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Bilje vs Brinje-Grosuplje Result & Analysis

Date: 22/05/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
Bilje
Bilje
Vs
29%
29%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Brinje-Grosuplje
Brinje-Grosuplje
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The model favours an away win, with Brinje-Grosuplje holding a 42 % chance of triumph, while Bilje and a draw each sit at 29 %. The expected total is 2.5 goals, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13.9 % probability. Bilje, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.33 conceded, whereas Brinje-Grosuplje, on the road against a weaker opponent, averages 2.5 scored and 0.88 conceded. The suggested picks are Under 3.5 with a 75.4 % chance of success and Over 1.5 with a 72.9 % chance of missing. The match is expected to be tight, with both teams showing similar win probabilities and a modest goal expectation. The model’s selections reflect the balanced nature of the contest, offering a clear edge for the away side while still acknowledging the likelihood of a low-scoring draw.

Results analysis

The match finished 0-1, confirming the model’s prediction of an away win. Bilje, fresh from a defeat, struggled at home while Brinje-Grosuplje, still on a losing streak, capitalised on their superior away form. The model’s favourite, Away win, came with a 42 % probability and was correct. The suggested picks were mixed: Under 3.5, with a 75.4 % chance, hit, whereas Over 1.5, at 72.9 %, missed. The most likely scoreline of 1-1 (13.9 %) was not reached, and the 0-1 outcome fell outside the top three possibilities. Overall, the model’s call was accurate, but its total-goals selections were only partially successful.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilje win✗ Miss
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brinje-Grosuplje win✓ Hit
41.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BiljeBilje

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L32W01L20W22D21W03L01L01L31WA·DRA21/03H·GOR29/03A·KRŠ04/04H·JES11/04A·DEK18/04H·TAB26/04A·BIS30/04H·NAF06/05A·ILI09/05A·BEL16/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.601.000.710.942.38
vs Stronger (7)1.142.711.001.331.253.75
vs Similar (21)0.811.330.900.600.732.00
vs Weaker (2)2.000.502.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Brinje-Grosuplje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-832W00D11D10W21W81W11D21W40W21WA·RUD21/03H·KRK27/03A·DRA04/04H·GOR10/04A·KRŠ18/04H·JES26/04A·DEK29/04H·TAB06/05A·BIS09/05H·NAF17/05
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.370.902.530.672.201.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.770.921.670.331.861.43
vs Weaker (17)2.820.883.110.892.500.88
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Bilje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.9%
Under 1.5
27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.0%
Under 2.5
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.6%
Under 3.5
75.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.0%
No
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
0-1 ✓
10.0%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.1%
Bilje goals ↓
Brinje-Grosuplje goals →
01234
09.3%10%7.9%3.7%1.3%
17.8%14%8.8%4.1%1.4%
25.1%7.1%4.9%2.3%0.8%
31.9%2.6%1.8%0.9%0.3%
40.5%0.7%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bilje goals (down), columns = Brinje-Grosuplje goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.50
Nafta
2.50
Triglav
2.13
Beltinci
2.00
Tabor Sežana
1.67
Bistrica
1.50
Rudar
1.23
Dravinja
1.23
Bilje
1.13
Dekani
1.10
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
0.97
Ilirija
0.90
Krško
0.87
Gorica
0.73
Jesenice
0.60
Bilje is 1.37 points worse than Brinje-Grosuplje in terms of average points per game (1.13 vs 2.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Triglav
2.40
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.33
Nafta
2.17
Beltinci
1.83
Bistrica
1.67
Rudar
1.53
Dekani
1.33
Ilirija
1.27
Tabor Sežana
1.23
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
1.07
Dravinja
1.07
Gorica
1.03
Bilje
0.90
Jesenice
0.87
Krško
0.80
Bilje is 1.43 goals worse than Brinje-Grosuplje in terms of goals scored per game (0.90 vs 2.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nafta
0.77
Beltinci
0.83
Brinje-Grosuplje
0.87
Triglav
0.93
Tabor Sežana
1.10
Bistrica
1.20
Rudar
1.30
Dravinja
1.47
Gorica
1.50
Dekani
1.53
Bilje
1.57
Krka
1.70
Ilirija
1.73
Slovan Ljubljana
1.73
Krško
2.07
Jesenice
2.27
Bilje is 0.70 goals worse than Brinje-Grosuplje in terms of goals conceded per game (1.57 vs 0.87).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BiljeBilje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D00D00D22D01L01L01L00D20WA·DRA21/03H·GOR29/03A·KRŠ04/04H·JES11/04A·DEK18/04H·TAB26/04A·BIS30/04H·NAF06/05A·ILI09/05A·BEL16/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.770.290.500.441.00
vs Stronger (7)0.571.140.330.670.751.50
vs Similar (21)0.290.710.300.500.270.91
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Brinje-Grosuplje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L00D00D00D01L41W10W20W20W20WA·RUD21/03H·KRK27/03A·DRA04/04H·GOR10/04A·KRŠ18/04H·JES26/04A·DEK29/04H·TAB06/05A·BIS09/05H·NAF17/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.471.330.330.800.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.000.381.000.001.000.71
vs Weaker (17)1.120.531.560.560.620.50
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Bilje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bilje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brinje-Grosuplje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brinje-Grosuplje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brinje-Grosuplje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BiljeBilje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L21W01L20W00D20W02L00D01L11DA·DRA21/03H·GOR29/03A·KRŠ04/04H·JES11/04A·DEK18/04H·TAB26/04A·BIS30/04H·NAF06/05A·ILI09/05A·BEL16/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.830.710.210.501.38
vs Stronger (7)0.571.570.670.670.502.25
vs Similar (21)0.520.620.600.100.451.09
vs Weaker (2)1.500.502.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Brinje-Grosuplje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D11D10W20W40W01L01L20W01LA·RUD21/03H·KRK27/03A·DRA04/04H·GOR10/04A·KRŠ18/04H·JES26/04A·DEK29/04H·TAB06/05A·BIS09/05H·NAF17/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.431.200.331.400.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.770.540.670.330.860.71
vs Weaker (17)1.710.351.560.331.880.38
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Bilje) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bilje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bilje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brinje-Grosuplje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brinje-Grosuplje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brinje-Grosuplje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.9%-------✗ Miss

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TS (43)
€3m
BRI (26)
€3m
BEL (31)
€2m
NAF (24)
€2m
TRI (32)
€2m
BIS (39)
€2m
DEK (50)
€2m
RUD (52)
€2m
SL (36)
€2m
BIL (46)
€2m
ILI (46)
€2m
KRK (42)
€2m
DRA (34)
€1m
KRŠ (36)
€1m
JES (35)
€1m
Bilje and Brinje-Grosuplje have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (0)
€0m
NAF (0)
€0m
BEL (0)
€0m
BIL (0)
€0m
BIS (0)
€0m
DEK (0)
€0m
DRA (0)
€0m
ILI (0)
€0m
JES (0)
€0m
KRK (0)
€0m
KRŠ (0)
€0m
RUD (0)
€0m
SL (0)
€0m
TS (0)
€0m
TRI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (0)
€0m
NAF (0)
€0m
BEL (0)
€0m
BIL (0)
€0m
BIS (0)
€0m
DEK (0)
€0m
DRA (0)
€0m
ILI (0)
€0m
JES (0)
€0m
KRK (0)
€0m
KRŠ (0)
€0m
RUD (0)
€0m
SL (0)
€0m
TS (0)
€0m
TRI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (0)
€0m
NAF (0)
€0m
BEL (0)
€0m
BIL (0)
€0m
BIS (0)
€0m
DEK (0)
€0m
DRA (0)
€0m
ILI (0)
€0m
JES (0)
€0m
KRK (0)
€0m
KRŠ (0)
€0m
RUD (0)
€0m
SL (0)
€0m
TS (0)
€0m
TRI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
2
BIL wins
1
Draws
4
BRI wins

Head-to-head

Bilje vs Brinje-Grosuplje · H/A from BIL
DateH/AGameScore
14/11/25ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs BIL3-0
12/04/25ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs BIL1-0
08/10/24HBIL Vs Brinje-Grosuplje1-1
30/03/24HBIL Vs Brinje-Grosuplje1-5
17/09/23ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs BIL1-3
12/05/23ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs BIL1-3
29/10/22HBIL Vs Brinje-Grosuplje0-1

BiljeBilje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26ABeltinci Vs BIL1-3
09/05/26AIlirija Vs BIL1-0
06/05/26HBIL Vs Nafta0-1
30/04/26ABistrica Vs BIL3-0
26/04/26HBIL Vs Tabor Sežana2-1
18/04/26ADekani Vs BIL2-2
11/04/26HBIL Vs Jesenice2-0
04/04/26AKrško Vs BIL1-0
29/03/26HBIL Vs Gorica3-2
21/03/26ADravinja Vs BIL1-0

Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/26HBRI Vs Nafta2-1
09/05/26ABistrica Vs BRI0-4
06/05/26HBRI Vs Tabor Sežana2-1
29/04/26ADekani Vs BRI1-1
26/04/26HBRI Vs Jesenice8-1
18/04/26AKrško Vs BRI1-2
10/04/26HBRI Vs Gorica1-0
04/04/26ADravinja Vs BRI1-1
27/03/26HBRI Vs Krka0-0
21/03/26ARudar Vs BRI2-3

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Bilje
Bilje
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLW1.12
HomeDWWWL1.48
AwayLDLLW0.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%40%16%
AVG goals2.701.923.48
Over 1.5 %64%52%76%
Over 2.5 %48%36%60%
Over 3.5 %28%16%40%
Scored1.061.001.12
Conceded1.640.922.36
BTTS42%28%56%
Clean Sheet24%44%4%
Corners---
Cards---
Brinje-Grosuplje
Brinje-Grosuplje
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWW2.30
HomeDWWWW2.59
AwayWDWDW1.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %70%81%57%
AVG goals3.162.893.48
Over 1.5 %80%70%91%
Over 2.5 %58%52%65%
Over 3.5 %36%30%43%
Scored2.282.372.17
Conceded0.880.521.30
BTTS48%41%57%
Clean Sheet44%56%30%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3075
77%
2.5
7026+44
3.2
83%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0002.30.9
-
2NaftaNafta3075
77%
2.5
6523+42
2.9
90%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0002.20.8
-
3TriglavTriglav3064
67%
2.1
7228+44
3.3
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0002.40.9
-
4BeltinciBeltinci3060
60%
2.0
5525+30
2.7
77%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.80.8
-
5Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3050
50%
1.7
3733+4
2.3
67%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.21.1
-
6BistricaBistrica3045
43%
1.5
5036+14
2.9
83%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.71.2
-
7RudarRudar3037
30%
1.2
4639+7
2.8
80%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.51.3
-
8DravinjaDravinja3037
33%
1.2
3244-12
2.5
80%
43%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.5
-
9BiljeBilje3034
30%
1.1
2747-20
2.5
60%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0000.91.6
-
10DekaniDekani3033
27%
1.1
4046-6
2.9
83%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.31.5
-
11Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana3032
30%
1.1
3252-20
2.8
77%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.11.7
-
12KrkaKrka3029
20%
1.0
3251-19
2.8
70%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.11.7
-
13IlirijaIlirija3027
20%
0.9
3852-14
3.0
87%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.31.7
-
14KrškoKrško3026
23%
0.9
2462-38
2.9
87%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.82.1
-
15GoricaGorica3022
13%
0.7
3145-14
2.5
73%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
16JeseniceJesenice3018
13%
0.6
2668-42
3.1
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.3
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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