Bilje vs Dekani Result & Analysis

Bilje are tipped to win, the model favouring a home victory with a 51% probability, while a draw sits at 28% and an away win at 21%. The expected total of 2.5 goals points to a compact contest, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13.2% chance. Bilje’s home form shows an average of 1.08 goals scored and 0.75 conceded against similarly ranked opposition, whereas Dekani’s away record against similar teams yields 0.8 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 3.5 with a 75.4% probability, hit, and Over 1.5 at 72.8%, miss. Bilje’s recent run of LLWWL, after two straight defeats and a 1-4 loss to Rudar, contrasts with Dekani’s DLLWW, coming off a 0-0 draw with Krško. The overall shape suggests a tight match where home advantage and defensive solidity may tip the balance.

The pre-match favourite, Bilje, failed to deliver, as the match finished 0-0, a draw that left the model’s pick wrong. Bilje’s recent form, after two straight defeats, had been a mixed bag of losses and wins, while Dekani, coming off a draw, had shown a similar pattern. The model had given Bilje a 51% chance of winning, yet the result was a stalemate. The model’s other selections were mixed: the Under 3.5 goal pick, at 75.4%, hit, whereas the Over 1.5 goal pick, at 72.8%, missed. The most likely scoreline of 1-1 had a 13.2% chance, but the game ended without any goals, confirming the unexpected outcome.