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Bistrica vs Rudar Result & Analysis

Date: 08/08/2025
Time: 15:30
Final 3-1
Bistrica
Bistrica
Vs
55%
24%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rudar
Rudar
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bistrica win✓ Hit
55.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rudar win✗ Miss
21.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BistricaBistrica

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-822D23L21W40W00D00D21W53W82W12LA·RUD28/03H·TRI06/04H·SLO11/04A·NŠ 19/04H·TAB27/04A·BIL03/05H·KRK08/05A·TOL11/05H·DEK17/05A·DRA24/05
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.272.401.331.601.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)2.001.272.401.331.601.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RudarRudar

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D01L12L10W00D40W00D10W03L21WH·BIS28/03A·NŠ 06/04H·TAB11/04A·BIL19/04H·KRK25/04A·TOL03/05H·DEK08/05A·DRA11/05H·ALU18/05A·ILI24/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.470.871.400.931.53
vs Stronger (8)1.122.381.501.750.753.00
vs Similar (22)0.821.140.641.271.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Bistrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.8%
Under 1.5
17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.3%
Under 2.5
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
38.0%
Under 3.5
62.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.9%
No
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.5%
1-0
7.7%
3-1 ✓
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
Bistrica goals ↓
Rudar goals →
01234
05.4%4.1%3.0%1.1%0.3%
17.7%11%5.8%2.2%0.6%
28.5%9.8%5.7%2.2%0.6%
35.6%6.4%3.7%1.4%0.4%
42.7%3.2%1.8%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bistrica goals (down), columns = Rudar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.50
Nafta
2.50
Triglav
2.13
Beltinci
2.00
Tabor Sežana
1.67
Bistrica
1.50
Rudar
1.23
Dravinja
1.23
Bilje
1.13
Dekani
1.10
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
0.97
Ilirija
0.90
Krško
0.87
Gorica
0.73
Jesenice
0.60
Bistrica is 0.27 points better than Rudar in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.23).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Triglav
2.40
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.33
Nafta
2.17
Beltinci
1.83
Bistrica
1.67
Rudar
1.53
Dekani
1.33
Ilirija
1.27
Tabor Sežana
1.23
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
1.07
Dravinja
1.07
Gorica
1.03
Bilje
0.90
Jesenice
0.87
Krško
0.80
Bistrica is 0.13 goals better than Rudar in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.53).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nafta
0.77
Beltinci
0.83
Brinje-Grosuplje
0.87
Triglav
0.93
Tabor Sežana
1.10
Bistrica
1.20
Rudar
1.30
Dravinja
1.47
Gorica
1.50
Dekani
1.53
Bilje
1.57
Krka
1.70
Ilirija
1.73
Slovan Ljubljana
1.73
Krško
2.07
Jesenice
2.27
Bistrica is 0.10 goals better than Rudar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 1.30).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BistricaBistrica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D11D10W20W00D00D11D31W42W12LA·RUD28/03H·TRI06/04H·SLO11/04A·NŠ 19/04H·TAB27/04A·BIL03/05H·KRK08/05A·TOL11/05H·DEK17/05A·DRA24/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.701.070.800.870.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.970.701.070.800.870.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RudarRudar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D11D10W00D10W00D10W02L10WH·BIS28/03A·NŠ 06/04H·TAB11/04A·BIL19/04H·KRK25/04A·TOL03/05H·DEK08/05A·DRA11/05H·ALU18/05A·ILI24/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.500.530.600.470.40
vs Stronger (8)0.750.621.000.750.500.50
vs Similar (22)0.410.450.360.550.450.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Bistrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bistrica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BistricaBistrica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D12L11D20W00D00D10W22D40W00DA·RUD28/03H·TRI06/04H·SLO11/04A·NŠ 19/04H·TAB27/04A·BIL03/05H·KRK08/05A·TOL11/05H·DEK17/05A·DRA24/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.571.330.530.730.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.030.571.330.530.730.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RudarRudar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L01L00D00D30W00D00D01L11DH·BIS28/03A·NŠ 06/04H·TAB11/04A·BIL19/04H·KRK25/04A·TOL03/05H·DEK08/05A·DRA11/05H·ALU18/05A·ILI24/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.970.330.800.471.13
vs Stronger (8)0.381.750.501.000.252.50
vs Similar (22)0.410.680.270.730.550.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Bistrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bistrica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
JES (13)
€1m
SL (13)
€1m
KRŠ (13)
€1m
Bistrica and Rudar have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
JES (5)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
KRŠ (4)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
SL (2)
€0m
Bistrica and Rudar have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
SL (3)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
JES (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
KRŠ (1)
€0m
Bistrica and Rudar have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
KRŠ (8)
€0m
SL (8)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
JES (6)
€0m
Bistrica and Rudar have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
2
BIS wins
3
Draws
1
RUD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bistrica vs Rudar · H/A from BIS
DateH/AGameScore
28/03/25ARudar Vs BIS2-2
14/09/24HBIS Vs Rudar2-1
06/11/23HBIS Vs Rudar5-1
30/07/23ARudar Vs BIS0-0
13/05/23HBIS Vs Rudar2-2
29/10/22ARudar Vs BIS2-1

BistricaBistrica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/05/25ADravinja Vs BIS2-1
17/05/25HBIS Vs Dekani8-2
11/05/25ATolmin Vs BIS3-5
08/05/25HBIS Vs Krka2-1
03/05/25ABilje Vs BIS0-0
27/04/25HBIS Vs Tabor Sežana0-0
19/04/25ANŠ Drava Vs BIS0-4
11/04/25HBIS Vs Slovan Ljubljana2-1
06/04/25HBIS Vs Triglav2-3
28/03/25ARudar Vs BIS2-2

RudarRudar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/05/25AIlirija Vs RUD1-2
18/05/25HRUD Vs Aluminij0-3
11/05/25ADravinja Vs RUD0-1
08/05/25HRUD Vs Dekani0-0
03/05/25ATolmin Vs RUD0-4
25/04/25HRUD Vs Krka0-0
19/04/25ABilje Vs RUD0-1
11/04/25HRUD Vs Tabor Sežana1-2
06/04/25ANŠ Drava Vs RUD1-0
28/03/25HRUD Vs Bistrica2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bistrica
Bistrica
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWL1.56
HomeLWDWW1.96
AwayDWDWL1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%56%28%
AVG goals3.323.682.96
Over 1.5 %84%80%88%
Over 2.5 %62%68%56%
Over 3.5 %46%52%40%
Scored1.842.281.40
Conceded1.481.401.56
BTTS66%72%60%
Clean Sheet26%24%28%
Corners---
Cards---
Rudar
Rudar
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLW1.20
HomeDLDDL1.40
AwayLWWWW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%36%24%
AVG goals2.602.482.72
Over 1.5 %68%64%72%
Over 2.5 %48%56%40%
Over 3.5 %30%32%28%
Scored1.021.041.00
Conceded1.581.441.72
BTTS42%44%40%
Clean Sheet34%40%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3075
77%
2.5
7026+44
3.2
83%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.30.9
-
2NaftaNafta3075
77%
2.5
6523+42
2.9
90%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.20.8
-
3TriglavTriglav3064
67%
2.1
7228+44
3.3
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.40.9
-
4BeltinciBeltinci3060
60%
2.0
5525+30
2.7
77%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.80.8
-
5Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3050
50%
1.7
3733+4
2.3
67%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.1
-
6BistricaBistrica3045
43%
1.5
5036+14
2.9
83%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.2
-
7RudarRudar3037
30%
1.2
4639+7
2.8
80%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.51.3
-
8DravinjaDravinja3037
33%
1.2
3244-12
2.5
80%
43%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.5
-
9BiljeBilje3034
30%
1.1
2747-20
2.5
60%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.91.6
-
10DekaniDekani3033
27%
1.1
4046-6
2.9
83%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.5
-
11Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana3032
30%
1.1
3252-20
2.8
77%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.7
-
12KrkaKrka3029
20%
1.0
3251-19
2.8
70%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.7
-
13IlirijaIlirija3027
20%
0.9
3852-14
3.0
87%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.7
-
14KrškoKrško3026
23%
0.9
2462-38
2.9
87%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.82.1
-
15GoricaGorica3022
13%
0.7
3145-14
2.5
73%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
16JeseniceJesenice3018
13%
0.6
2668-42
3.1
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.3
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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