The contest between Bodrum FK and Esenler Erokspor is finely balanced, with the model favouring a home win. The probabilities show 37% for Bodrum, 30% for a draw, and 33% for Esenler. The expected total is 2.4 goals, and the most likely total is two, with a 27% chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.2% probability. Bodrum, playing at home against a similarly-strengthened opponent, averages 1.07 goals scored and 1.13 conceded, while Esenler, on the road, averages 2.14 scored and 0.93 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Under 6.5 (98.7%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.2%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.9%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.7%), Under 5.5 (96.2%), and Home under 3.5 goals (96.0%). Each pick is listed with its probability, and the home win remains the most probable outcome.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Bodrum FK, failed to deliver a win, and the match finished 0-0, a draw. The model had chosen a home win with a 37% probability, but the call was wrong. Every suggested pick was a hit: Under 7.5 (99.6%), Under 6.5 (98.8%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.0%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.9%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.8%), Under 5.5 (96.2%), and Home under 3.5 goals (96.2%). Both sides entered the game coming off a draw, with Bodrum FK’s recent form showing a string of defeats and a single draw, and Esenler Erokspor’s recent form a similar pattern. The final 0-0 result confirmed the model’s low-scoring predictions, even though the favourite did not win.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Bodrum FK win✗ Miss
36.6%
Avg Implied 35.3% · @ 2.58
Edge
+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.70
Pinnacle
2.69
Superbet
2.67
Dafabet
2.65
Betano
2.62
Draw✓ Hit
30.0%
Avg Implied 29.4% · @ 3.10
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.20
10Bet
3.20
Dafabet
3.20
BetVictor
3.20
Pinnacle
3.19
Esenler Erokspor win✗ Miss
33.4%
Avg Implied 35.4% · @ 2.58
Edge
-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.75
Dafabet
2.65
Unibet
2.63
William Hil
2.62
Betfair
2.60
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Bodrum FK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.07
1.25
1.06
1.36
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.19
1.15
1.14
1.21
1.23
1.08
vs Weaker (3)
2.33
0.33
2.00
0.00
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Esenler Erokspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Esenler Erokspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.00
1.20
1.13
2.20
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.70
1.00
1.20
1.13
2.20
0.87
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Bodrum FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
71.1%
@ 1.30+0.0%
Under 1.5
28.9%
@ 3.20-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.36
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
BetVictor
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.42
Bet365
3.40
Unibet
3.35
BetVictor
3.20
10Bet
3.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.9%
@ 1.98-3.2%
Under 2.5
56.1%
@ 1.76+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.05
Superbet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Betano
2.00
Under
Unibet
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.80
10Bet
1.77
1xBet
1.75
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.8%
@ 3.40-4.5%
Under 3.5
77.2%
@ 1.27+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.80
BetVictor
3.60
Pinnacle
3.47
Superbet
3.45
10Bet
3.45
Under
Unibet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.8%
@ 1.74-2.2%
No
49.2%
@ 1.96+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.77
William Hil
1.75
BetVictor
1.75
No
Unibet
2.06
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.95
Betfair
1.95
Betano
1.95
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%@ 5.56+6.4%
0-0 ✓
10.1%@ 8.22+4.8%
1-0
9.7%@ 7.55+3.9%
0-1
9.1%@ 7.42+3.2%
2-1
8.1%@ 9.00+3.2%
1-2
7.7%@ 8.87+2.7%
2-0
6.9%@ 11.95+3.2%
0-2
6.1%@ 11.70+2.4%
Bodrum FK goals ↓
Esenler Erokspor goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
9.1%
6.1%
2.4%
0.7%
1
9.7%
14%
7.7%
3.0%
0.9%
2
6.9%
8.1%
4.8%
1.9%
0.6%
3
2.9%
3.4%
2.0%
0.8%
0.2%
4
0.9%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bodrum FK goals (down), columns = Esenler Erokspor goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Batman Petrolspor
2.60
Bursaspor
2.40
Sarıyer
2.00
Kayserispor
2.00
Iğdır FK
1.80
Mardin 1969
1.80
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Fatih Karagümrük
1.60
Muğlaspor
1.60
Bandırmaspor
1.20
Antalyaspor
1.20
Pendikspor
1.00
Vanspor FK
0.80
Esenler Erokspor
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Sivasspor
0.60
Ümraniyespor
0.60
İstanbulspor
0.40
Boluspor
0.00
Bodrum FK and Esenler Erokspor are level in average points per game (both 0.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Keçiörengücü
2.40
Batman Petrolspor
2.00
Bursaspor
2.00
Manisa F.K.
2.00
Antalyaspor
1.60
Sarıyer
1.60
Mardin 1969
1.60
Iğdır FK
1.40
Pendikspor
1.40
Kayserispor
1.40
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Vanspor FK
1.00
Bandırmaspor
1.00
Sivasspor
1.00
İstanbulspor
1.00
Ümraniyespor
0.80
Muğlaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.40
Bodrum FK
0.40
Boluspor
0.20
Bodrum FK and Esenler Erokspor are level in goals scored per game (both 0.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Muğlaspor
0.40
Bandırmaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.60
Mardin 1969
0.60
Bursaspor
0.60
Kayserispor
0.60
Sarıyer
0.80
Batman Petrolspor
0.80
Iğdır FK
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Ümraniyespor
1.20
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Sivasspor
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Antalyaspor
2.00
Vanspor FK
2.20
Boluspor
2.20
Pendikspor
2.20
İstanbulspor
2.60
Bodrum FK is 0.20 goals worse than Esenler Erokspor in terms of goals conceded per game (0.80 vs 0.60).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Esenler Erokspor
61%
Bandırmaspor
60%
Bursaspor
59%
Manisa F.K.
55%
Antalyaspor
55%
Kayserispor
53%
Batman Petrolspor
52%
Ümraniyespor
52%
Pendikspor
51%
Sarıyer
50%
Iğdır FK
49%
Mardin 1969
49%
Sivasspor
48%
Bodrum FK
46%
Keçiörengücü
45%
Fatih Karagümrük
45%
İstanbulspor
44%
Muğlaspor
43%
Vanspor FK
42%
Boluspor
41%
Bodrum FK is 14.2 percentage points worse than Esenler Erokspor in terms of average possession (46% vs 61%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Bodrum FK
For 4.8 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 3.0 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 11.9 · Total 22.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Esenler Erokspor
For 4.8 · Against 4.5 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 11.9 · Total 23.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bodrum FK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
7.8
9.6
3.5
3.7
3.4
23.8
24.6
23.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (43)
8.7
7.8
9.6
3.5
3.8
3.3
24.3
25.6
23.0
vs Weaker (7)
8.3
7.3
9.3
3.6
3.0
4.0
20.7
18.7
22.7
% over line
35%
23%
48%
48%
50%
46%
67%
73%
62%
% under line
65%
77%
52%
52%
50%
54%
33%
27%
38%
This opponent (Esenler Erokspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Esenler Erokspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
9.0
8.8
4.6
3.8
5.4
23.0
22.5
23.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (50)
8.9
9.0
8.8
4.6
3.8
5.4
23.0
22.5
23.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
40%
42%
38%
72%
65%
79%
67%
62%
71%
% under line
60%
58%
62%
28%
35%
21%
33%
38%
29%
This opponent (Bodrum FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kayserispor
10.0
Sivasspor
9.5
Bodrum FK
9.1
Antalyaspor
9.1
Bursaspor
9.1
Bandırmaspor
9.1
Iğdır FK
9.0
Ümraniyespor
8.9
Esenler Erokspor
8.9
Fatih Karagümrük
8.9
Mardin 1969
8.6
Manisa F.K.
8.5
Pendikspor
8.4
İstanbulspor
8.4
Boluspor
8.3
Vanspor FK
8.3
Keçiörengücü
8.2
Batman Petrolspor
8.0
Sarıyer
7.8
Muğlaspor
6.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Muğlaspor
6.8
Batman Petrolspor
5.8
Antalyaspor
5.3
Pendikspor
5.1
Sarıyer
5.1
Vanspor FK
5.1
Boluspor
5.1
Manisa F.K.
5.0
Sivasspor
5.0
Esenler Erokspor
5.0
Iğdır FK
4.8
Bandırmaspor
4.7
İstanbulspor
4.6
Keçiörengücü
4.6
Kayserispor
4.6
Bursaspor
4.4
Fatih Karagümrük
4.3
Ümraniyespor
4.3
Bodrum FK
4.2
Mardin 1969
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Muğlaspor
30.8
Bursaspor
29.1
Fatih Karagümrük
28.7
Vanspor FK
27.8
Antalyaspor
27.4
Pendikspor
26.5
Batman Petrolspor
26.2
Mardin 1969
25.6
Boluspor
25.6
Kayserispor
24.8
Bandırmaspor
24.2
Bodrum FK
24.1
Keçiörengücü
23.7
Sivasspor
23.7
Iğdır FK
23.6
Manisa F.K.
23.6
Sarıyer
23.4
İstanbulspor
23.3
Ümraniyespor
23.2
Esenler Erokspor
22.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
35.2%
@ 2.00-11.0%
Under 9.5
64.8%
@ 1.72+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.02
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Betano
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
Under
Pinnacle
1.74
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.70
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
69.2%
Under 3.5
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
67.7%
Under 21.5
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bodrum FK or Draw✓ Hit
66.6%
Avg Implied 64.6% · @ 1.42
Edge
+2.0%
37%
30%
33%
covers Bodrum FK + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.45
10Bet
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Bodrum FK or Esenler Erokspor✗ Miss
70.0%
Avg Implied 70.9% · @ 1.29
Edge
-0.9%
37%
30%
33%
covers Bodrum FK + Esenler Erokspor
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.36
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Draw or Esenler Erokspor✓ Hit
63.4%
Avg Implied 64.6% · @ 1.42
Edge
-1.1%
37%
30%
33%
covers Draw + Esenler Erokspor
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Unibet
1.43
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bodrum FK over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
71.3%
@ 1.30+0.3%
Under
28.7%
@ 3.19-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.33
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.41
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.20
Betfair
3.20
1xBet
3.18
Bodrum FK over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
35.5%
@ 2.48-1.8%
Under
64.5%
@ 1.48+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.56
10Bet
2.55
Superbet
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Under
Unibet
1.54
Pinnacle
1.51
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Marathonbet
1.47
Bodrum FK over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.1%
@ 5.81-2.8%
Under
86.9%
@ 1.10+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.90
1xBet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.75
Under
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Bodrum FK over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.8%
@ 12.42-3.8%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.03+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Betano
10.25
Betfair
10.00
Under
Betfair
1.03
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Esenler Erokspor over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
69.4%
@ 1.30-1.9%
Under
30.6%
@ 3.22+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
Superbet
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.34
10Bet
3.25
Betfair
3.20
BetVictor
3.20
Esenler Erokspor over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
33.1%
@ 2.47-4.3%
Under
66.9%
@ 1.48+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.57
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.50
BetVictor
2.50
Under
Pinnacle
1.51
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
Unibet
1.48
Esenler Erokspor over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.7%
@ 5.86-4.1%
Under
88.3%
@ 1.10+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.80
Marathonbet
5.80
BetVictor
5.75
Under
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
BetVictor
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Esenler Erokspor over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.2%
@ 13.62-3.8%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.02+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Bodrum FK, so a minus line means Bodrum FK give that many goals of a start and Esenler Erokspor receive them. At -1, Bodrum FK must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bodrum FK win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bodrum FK)Actual: Esenler Erokspor
Bodrum FK -2
5.6%
@ 11.48-2.0%
Draw -2
10.9%
@ 6.87-1.9%
Esenler Erokspor +2
83.5%
@ 1.11+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
15.00
Bet365
13.00
Marathonbet
6.45
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
8.00
Marathonbet
4.60
Away
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Betfair
1.08
Handicap -1 (Bodrum FK)Actual: Esenler Erokspor
Bodrum FK -1
16.5%
@ 5.28-0.1%
Draw -1
20.0%
@ 4.08-1.5%
Esenler Erokspor +1
63.4%
@ 1.42+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.25
Unibet
3.90
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
10Bet
4.20
Betfair
4.20
Unibet
3.40
Away
Bet365
1.44
Unibet
1.43
10Bet
1.42
Betfair
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Handicap +1 (Bodrum FK)Actual: Bodrum FK
Bodrum FK +1
66.6%
@ 1.41+5.1%
Draw +1
18.9%
@ 4.06-2.4%
Esenler Erokspor -1
14.5%
@ 5.03-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.39
Unibet
1.35
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.30
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
3.60
Away
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.30
Betfair
5.00
Unibet
4.30
Handicap +2 (Bodrum FK)Actual: Bodrum FK
Bodrum FK +2
85.5%
@ 1.11+6.5%
Draw +2
9.8%
@ 6.77-3.2%
Esenler Erokspor -2
4.7%
@ 10.90-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Marathonbet
4.80
Away
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
13.00
Marathonbet
6.70
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bodrum FK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.43
0.62
0.62
0.57
0.21
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.59
0.48
0.57
0.71
0.62
0.23
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Esenler Erokspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Esenler Erokspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.53
0.47
0.73
0.80
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.63
0.53
0.47
0.73
0.80
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Bodrum FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
70.3%
@ 1.42+4.9%
Under 0.5
29.7%
@ 2.67-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.44
BetVictor
1.43
Marathonbet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Under
William Hil
2.80
Pinnacle
2.79
Betfair
2.75
Bet365
2.75
10Bet
2.70
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
32.4%
@ 2.87+0.1%
Under 1.5
67.6%
@ 1.36-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.05
Betfair
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Betano
2.95
William Hil
2.90
Under
Unibet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
10Bet
1.38
BetVictor
1.37
Betano
1.37
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.0%
@ 7.60-1.3%
Under 2.5
89.0%
@ 1.06+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
William Hil
8.00
BetVictor
8.00
Betfair
8.00
Marathonbet
7.20
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
William Hil
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bodrum FK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
45.4%
@ 2.18+2.7%
Under
54.6%
@ 1.62-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.20
Betano
2.18
Superbet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.14
Under
Pinnacle
1.66
Superbet
1.62
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
Bodrum FK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.6%
@ 7.13-0.3%
Under
87.4%
@ 1.06+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.00
Marathonbet
7.20
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
Bodrum FK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 11.25-6.1%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.01+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.01
Esenler Erokspor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.2%
@ 2.15-0.8%
Under
57.8%
@ 1.62+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.23
Betano
2.15
Marathonbet
2.14
Superbet
2.12
1xBet
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.64
Superbet
1.64
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.60
Esenler Erokspor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.6%
@ 7.17-1.3%
Under
88.4%
@ 1.06+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.00
Marathonbet
7.30
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
Esenler Erokspor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 11.25-6.3%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bodrum FK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.63
0.62
0.44
0.79
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.59
0.67
0.57
0.50
0.62
0.85
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Esenler Erokspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Esenler Erokspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.47
0.73
0.40
1.40
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.07
0.47
0.73
0.40
1.40
0.53
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Bodrum FK) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
78.0%
@ 1.24+3.9%
Under 0.5
22.0%
@ 3.54-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.26
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Under
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.50
Betano
3.50
William Hil
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
41.5%
@ 2.16-1.4%
Under 1.5
58.5%
@ 1.62+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.20
Bet365
2.20
William Hil
2.20
10Bet
2.15
1xBet
2.13
Under
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.63
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.0%
@ 4.65-1.9%
Under 2.5
82.0%
@ 1.15+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
William Hil
4.80
Superbet
4.75
1xBet
4.55
Marathonbet
4.55
Under
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.13
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bodrum FK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
51.5%
@ 1.80+0.2%
Under
48.5%
@ 1.89-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.85
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
Under
Betano
1.91
1xBet
1.89
Marathonbet
1.89
Superbet
1.87
Bodrum FK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.1%
@ 4.85-1.8%
Under
82.9%
@ 1.13+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.00
Marathonbet
5.00
Betano
4.55
Under
Betano
1.16
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Bodrum FK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.9%
@ 9.50-5.9%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.03+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Esenler Erokspor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
50.4%
@ 1.79-1.1%
Under
49.6%
@ 1.90+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.82
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
Betano
1.78
Under
Betano
1.93
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Esenler Erokspor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.2%
@ 4.87-2.7%
Under
83.8%
@ 1.13+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.05
1xBet
5.05
Betano
4.50
Under
Betano
1.16
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Esenler Erokspor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.1%
@ 9.50-6.7%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.03+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.03
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.8%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.0%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.9%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.2%
1.02
Bet365
1.03
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.2%
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.1%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
90.0%
1.08
Pinnacle
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.0%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
William Hil
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.4%
1.06
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
-
-
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
88.3%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.11
BetVictor
1.10
Betfair
1.08
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.4%
1.06
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
-
-
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
86.9%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
85.5%
1.11
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
+6.5%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
84.5%
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
-
-
-
+9.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
83.8%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
-
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
83.5%
1.11
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Betfair
1.08
-
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
82.9%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
-
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.0%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.13
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.0%
1.24
Superbet
1.26
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.22
+3.9%
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
77.2%
1.27
Unibet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.28
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
75.9%
1.41
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.39
-
-
+10.9%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
71.3%
1.30
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.33
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
+0.3%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
71.1%
1.30
Betfair
1.36
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.31
Pinnacle
1.31
BetVictor
1.30
+0.0%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.3%
1.42
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.44
BetVictor
1.43
Marathonbet
1.42
1xBet
1.42
+4.9%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bodrum FK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ali Aytemur0%
Diogo Sousa0%
Emre Kaplan0%
Ege Bilsel0%
B. Yavuzay0%
Enes Koc0%
Yusuf Sertkaya0%
Ali Habeşoğlu0%
Ege Arslan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Emre Kaplan33%
B. Yavuzay33%
Ali Aytemur0%
Diogo Sousa0%
Ege Bilsel0%
Enes Koc0%
Yusuf Sertkaya0%
Ali Habeşoğlu0%
Ege Arslan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ali Aytemur0%
Diogo Sousa0%
Emre Kaplan0%
Ege Bilsel0%
B. Yavuzay0%
Enes Koc0%
Yusuf Sertkaya0%
Ali Habeşoğlu0%
Ege Arslan0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ege Bilsel33%
Ali Habeşoğlu33%
Ali Aytemur0%
Diogo Sousa0%
Emre Kaplan0%
B. Yavuzay0%
Enes Koc0%
Yusuf Sertkaya0%
Ege Arslan0%
Esenler Erokspor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Muhamed Buljubašić25%
N. Janvier0%
Erkan Kaş0%
B. Öztürk0%
B. Samudio0%
Yusuf Erdoğan0%
Kubilay Kanatsızkuş0%
Luccas Claro0%
Recep Niyaz0%
H. Bilazer0%
A. Zeqiri0%
Enes Alic 0%
M. Okyar0%
Erdem Canpolat0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Recep Niyaz33%
M. Okyar33%
Erkan Kaş25%
Yusuf Erdoğan25%
Luccas Claro25%
H. Bilazer25%
Erdem Canpolat25%
Muhamed Buljubašić25%
N. Janvier0%
B. Öztürk0%
B. Samudio0%
Kubilay Kanatsızkuş0%
A. Zeqiri0%
Enes Alic 0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Erkan Kaş25%
N. Janvier0%
B. Öztürk0%
B. Samudio0%
Yusuf Erdoğan0%
Kubilay Kanatsızkuş0%
Luccas Claro0%
Recep Niyaz0%
H. Bilazer0%
A. Zeqiri0%
Enes Alic 0%
M. Okyar0%
Erdem Canpolat0%
Muhamed Buljubašić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kubilay Kanatsızkuş67%
N. Janvier25%
B. Samudio25%
Yusuf Erdoğan25%
A. Zeqiri25%
Erkan Kaş0%
B. Öztürk0%
Luccas Claro0%
Recep Niyaz0%
H. Bilazer0%
Enes Alic 0%
M. Okyar0%
Erdem Canpolat0%
Muhamed Buljubašić0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (27)
€19m
ANT (25)
€16m
BF (31)
€13m
FK (23)
€12m
KAY (23)
€12m
EE (23)
€11m
SIV (26)
€10m
IF (26)
€9m
MF (24)
€9m
BP (25)
€9m
İST (28)
€8m
BAN (29)
€7m
ÜMR (25)
€7m
PEN (26)
€6m
M1 (25)
€6m
VF (21)
€6m
KEÇ (25)
€6m
MUĞ (19)
€6m
SAR (20)
€5m
BOL (18)
€3m
Bodrum FK's squad is €2m more valuable than Esenler Erokspor's (€13m vs €11m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (10)
€10m
BF (10)
€6m
FK (9)
€5m
KAY (9)
€5m
ANT (8)
€5m
EE (8)
€4m
SIV (10)
€4m
BP (10)
€4m
IF (7)
€4m
VF (10)
€3m
İST (10)
€3m
ÜMR (8)
€3m
MUĞ (8)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
SAR (7)
€2m
MF (7)
€2m
BAN (8)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
PEN (10)
€2m
BOL (5)
€1m
Bodrum FK's attack is €1m more valuable than Esenler Erokspor's (€6m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (5)
€4m
ANT (6)
€4m
EE (6)
€3m
FK (3)
€3m
BF (10)
€3m
MF (7)
€3m
SIV (5)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
BP (5)
€2m
ÜMR (7)
€2m
IF (7)
€2m
BAN (6)
€2m
KAY (4)
€2m
PEN (5)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
MUĞ (7)
€2m
SAR (4)
€1m
VF (2)
€1m
İST (5)
€1m
BOL (5)
€1m
Bodrum FK and Esenler Erokspor have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ANT (11)
€7m
KAY (10)
€5m
BUR (12)
€4m
BF (11)
€4m
FK (11)
€4m
MF (10)
€4m
İST (13)
€4m
IF (12)
€3m
BAN (15)
€3m
PEN (11)
€3m
EE (9)
€3m
BP (10)
€3m
KEÇ (11)
€3m
SIV (11)
€3m
VF (9)
€2m
M1 (9)
€2m
SAR (9)
€2m
ÜMR (10)
€2m
MUĞ (4)
€2m
BOL (8)
€1m
Bodrum FK's defence is €1m more valuable than Esenler Erokspor's (€4m vs €3m).
Turkey: 1. Lig 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: 1. Lig stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Batman Petrolspor
Bursaspor
Sarıyer
Kayserispor
Mardin 1969
Iğdır FK
Keçiörengücü
Manisa F.K.
Muğlaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Bandırmaspor
Antalyaspor
Pendikspor
Vanspor FK
Ümraniyespor
Sivasspor
İstanbulspor
Boluspor