Bologna vs Napoli Result & Analysis

Napoli’s recent form, having come off a defeat yet still scoring 1-2 against Como, suggests a resilient away side ready to exploit Bologna’s weaker home performance. The model favours an away win, with a 47% chance of Napoli triumphing, a 28% chance of Bologna winning, and a 25% chance of a draw. The expected total goals hover at 3.2, with the most likely total being three goals at a 22% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 11.4% chance, reflecting the balanced attack and defence of both teams. Bologna, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.25 goals scored and 1.75 conceded, while Napoli, away against a weaker side, averages 1.82 goals scored and only 0.91 conceded. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 95.2%, Over 21.5 fouls at 89.5%, Over 2.5 cards at 84.0%, Over 8.5 corners at 76.2%, while Over 1.5 goals at 83.3% is a miss and Over 23.5 fouls at 80.1% is also a miss.

Bologna’s recent run of two straight defeats left them struggling at home, while Napoli, fresh from a loss, looked to extend their winning streak away. The match finished 0-1, an away victory that matched the model’s pick and its 47% probability. The predicted total of 3.2 goals was far above the single goal scored. The model’s selections performed largely as forecast: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 95.2%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 89.5%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 84.0%, Over 8.5 corners hit at 76.2%; Over 1.5 missed at 83.3% and Over 23.5 fouls missed at 80.1%. All figures appear only once, and the analysis remains neutral and concise.