The model projects a high-scoring encounter, with an expected total of four goals and a 21% chance of six or more. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying an 8.1% probability, even though the overall odds favor a Bayern München win at 45%. Dortmund’s home form shows they score 2.93 and concede 1.07 against weaker opponents, while Bayern’s away form is even more potent, scoring 2.93 and conceding only 1.07. The predicted outcome is an away victory, with home win at 33%, draw at 22%, and away win at 45%. The model’s selections include Under 5.5 cards at 91.4%, Over 1.5 goals at 91.4% (hit), Under 25.5 fouls at 82.0%, Under 4.5 cards at 81.2%, Over 2.5 goals at 75.8% with a 6% edge (hit), BTTS Yes at 74.9% (hit), and Under 11.5 corners at 70.3%. Dortmund are on a three-game winning streak, while Bayern also enjoy a three-game winning run, setting the stage for a thrilling match.
Results analysis
The match ended 2-2, a draw that left the pre-match favourite, Bayern Munich, disappointed. Dortmund, on a three-game winning run, held Bayern to a stalemate, extending their good form. The model had picked an away win with a 45% probability; this call was wrong. The suggested picks all hit: Over 1.5 goals at 91.4%, Over 2.5 goals at 75.8% with a 6% edge, and BTTS Yes at 74.9%. The final score of 2-2 matched the model’s most likely score of 1-2, and the total of four goals fell short of the 6+ most likely total, which had a 21% probability.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Borussia Dortmund win✗ Miss
33.4%
Avg Implied 21.8% · @ 4.41
Edge
+11.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
22.1%
Avg Implied 20.4% · @ 4.70
Edge
+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bayern München win✗ Miss
44.5%
Avg Implied 57.8% · @ 1.66
Edge
-13.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Borussia Dortmund
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.27
1.40
2.64
1.36
1.94
1.44
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.50
-
-
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (4)
1.00
3.00
1.33
3.00
0.00
3.00
vs Weaker (24)
2.58
1.04
3.00
0.91
2.23
1.15
Clean sheet %
37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bayern München
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.73
0.90
2.60
0.80
2.87
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
vs Weaker (28)
2.79
0.96
2.64
0.86
2.93
1.07
Clean sheet %
43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Borussia Dortmund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
91.4%
Under 1.5
8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
75.8%
@ 1.36+5.6%
Under 2.5
24.2%
@ 3.19-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
56.1%
Under 3.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
74.9%
No
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-2 ✓
7.3%
2-1
6.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-3
5.1%
3-2
4.4%
0-2
4.3%
Borussia Dortmund goals ↓
Bayern München goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.6%
3.3%
4.3%
3.0%
1.6%
1
2.7%
8.1%
7.9%
5.6%
3.0%
2
3.2%
6.8%
7.3%
5.1%
2.7%
3
2.0%
4.2%
4.4%
3.2%
1.7%
4
0.9%
1.9%
2.0%
1.5%
0.8%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Borussia Dortmund goals (down), columns = Bayern München goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Borussia Dortmund
2.09
Bayern München
2.09
RB Leipzig
1.94
Union Berlin
1.82
SC Freiburg
1.74
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.47
Bayer Leverkusen
1.47
VfL Wolfsburg
1.44
FSV Mainz 05
1.35
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.26
1. FC Köln
1.24
VfB Stuttgart
1.08
Werder Bremen
1.06
1899 Hoffenheim
1.06
VfL Bochum
1.03
FC Augsburg
1.00
FC Schalke 04
0.91
Hertha BSC
0.85
Hamburger SV
0.00
Borussia Dortmund and Bayern München are level in average points per game (both 2.09).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bayern München
2.71
Borussia Dortmund
2.44
RB Leipzig
1.88
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.71
VfL Wolfsburg
1.68
Bayer Leverkusen
1.68
FSV Mainz 05
1.59
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.53
Union Berlin
1.50
Werder Bremen
1.50
SC Freiburg
1.50
1. FC Köln
1.44
VfB Stuttgart
1.42
1899 Hoffenheim
1.41
Hertha BSC
1.24
FC Augsburg
1.24
VfL Bochum
1.18
FC Schalke 04
1.03
Hamburger SV
0.50
Borussia Dortmund is 0.26 goals worse than Bayern München in terms of goals scored per game (2.44 vs 2.71).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Union Berlin
1.12
Bayern München
1.12
RB Leipzig
1.21
Borussia Dortmund
1.29
SC Freiburg
1.29
VfL Wolfsburg
1.41
Bayer Leverkusen
1.44
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.53
1. FC Köln
1.59
VfB Stuttgart
1.61
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.62
FSV Mainz 05
1.62
1899 Hoffenheim
1.68
FC Augsburg
1.85
Werder Bremen
1.88
Hertha BSC
2.03
FC Schalke 04
2.09
VfL Bochum
2.12
Hamburger SV
3.00
Borussia Dortmund is 0.18 goals worse than Bayern München in terms of goals conceded per game (1.29 vs 1.12).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Borussia Dortmund
For 4.2 · Against 4.3 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 11.6 · Total 21.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bayern München
For 5.3 · Against 3.3 · Total 8.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 10.7 · Total 20.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Borussia Dortmund
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.7
9.4
3.1
2.6
3.6
22.3
21.1
23.6
vs Stronger (3)
7.3
10.0
6.0
3.3
4.0
3.0
18.7
20.0
18.0
vs Similar (8)
11.0
12.0
9.0
2.9
1.6
5.0
20.2
17.5
25.5
vs Weaker (39)
9.5
9.1
9.8
3.1
2.8
3.4
23.1
22.1
24.0
% over line
52%
57%
48%
44%
36%
52%
50%
38%
62%
% under line
48%
43%
52%
56%
64%
48%
50%
62%
38%
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bayern München
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
8.4
10.2
2.2
2.0
2.3
19.9
19.8
20.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
8.0
8.0
8.0
2.5
3.0
2.0
20.0
20.0
20.0
vs Weaker (48)
9.3
8.4
10.4
2.1
2.0
2.3
19.9
19.8
20.1
% over line
50%
41%
60%
18%
15%
21%
33%
32%
35%
% under line
50%
59%
40%
82%
85%
79%
67%
68%
65%
This opponent (Borussia Dortmund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Hamburger SV
11.1
Eintracht Frankfurt
10.3
1. FC Köln
10.1
VfL Wolfsburg
10.0
FC Augsburg
9.9
Werder Bremen
9.9
FC Schalke 04
9.9
Bayer Leverkusen
9.8
1899 Hoffenheim
9.7
SC Freiburg
9.5
VfL Bochum
9.5
Hertha BSC
9.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach
9.4
Borussia Dortmund
9.4
Bayern München
9.3
VfB Stuttgart
9.3
FSV Mainz 05
9.2
RB Leipzig
8.5
Union Berlin
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Hamburger SV
4.3
Werder Bremen
4.2
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4.0
FC Schalke 04
4.0
FSV Mainz 05
4.0
1. FC Köln
3.9
FC Augsburg
3.9
VfL Wolfsburg
3.8
Borussia Dortmund
3.7
Hertha BSC
3.7
VfB Stuttgart
3.6
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.6
VfL Bochum
3.5
RB Leipzig
3.5
1899 Hoffenheim
3.4
Union Berlin
3.4
Bayer Leverkusen
3.4
SC Freiburg
3.4
Bayern München
2.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FSV Mainz 05
26.7
1. FC Köln
25.8
Hertha BSC
25.6
VfL Wolfsburg
24.9
VfL Bochum
24.8
FC Augsburg
24.5
VfB Stuttgart
24.4
Borussia Mönchengladbach
24.2
RB Leipzig
23.9
SC Freiburg
23.7
FC Schalke 04
23.5
Werder Bremen
23.4
Hamburger SV
23.3
1899 Hoffenheim
23.1
Union Berlin
22.9
Eintracht Frankfurt
22.2
Borussia Dortmund
22.2
Bayer Leverkusen
21.5
Bayern München
19.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
53.5%
Under 9.5
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
35.7%
Under 3.5
64.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
46.9%
Under 21.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Borussia Dortmund
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.57
1.43
0.57
0.81
0.56
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (4)
0.50
1.75
0.67
1.67
0.00
2.00
vs Weaker (24)
1.29
0.33
1.64
0.27
1.00
0.38
Clean sheet %
67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bayern München
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
0.53
1.40
0.47
1.53
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (28)
1.54
0.57
1.50
0.50
1.57
0.64
Clean sheet %
63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Borussia Dortmund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Borussia Dortmund
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.83
1.21
0.79
1.12
0.88
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
-
-
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (4)
0.50
1.25
0.67
1.33
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (24)
1.29
0.71
1.36
0.64
1.23
0.77
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bayern München
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.37
1.20
0.33
1.33
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (28)
1.25
0.39
1.14
0.36
1.36
0.43
Clean sheet %
67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Borussia Dortmund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5 cards
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
75.8%
1.36
-
-
-
-
-
+5.6%
✓ Hit
BTTS Yes
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Borussia Dortmund
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sébastien Haller29%
Jude Bellingham26%
Julian Brandt26%
Donyell Malen25%
Giovanni Reyna25%
Karim Adeyemi23%
Marco Reus21%
Youssoufa Moukoko19%
Raphaël Guerreiro18%
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens18%
Nico Schlotterbeck11%
Anthony Modeste8%
Emre Can6%
Julian Ryerson6%
Niklas Süle5%
Thorgan Hazard5%
Marius Wolf3%
Mats Hummels3%
Mahmoud Dahoud0%
Thomas Meunier0%
Felix Passlack0%
Salih Özcan0%
Gregor Kobel0%
Alexander Meyer0%
Antonios Papadopoulos0%
Tom Rothe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Karim Adeyemi33%
Salih Özcan30%
Emre Can29%
Jude Bellingham26%
Thomas Meunier21%
Anthony Modeste19%
Julian Ryerson17%
Mats Hummels15%
Marco Reus14%
Raphaël Guerreiro12%
Mahmoud Dahoud11%
Niklas Süle11%
Marius Wolf10%
Nico Schlotterbeck8%
Giovanni Reyna7%
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens6%
Thorgan Hazard5%
Julian Brandt5%
Sébastien Haller5%
Donyell Malen3%
Felix Passlack0%
Gregor Kobel0%
Alexander Meyer0%
Antonios Papadopoulos0%
Youssoufa Moukoko0%
Tom Rothe0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Raphaël Guerreiro27%
Julian Brandt18%
Marco Reus14%
Sébastien Haller14%
Nico Schlotterbeck14%
Karim Adeyemi13%
Jude Bellingham13%
Donyell Malen12%
Youssoufa Moukoko12%
Niklas Süle8%
Thomas Meunier7%
Giovanni Reyna7%
Salih Özcan6%
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens6%
Anthony Modeste4%
Marius Wolf3%
Emre Can3%
Mahmoud Dahoud0%
Mats Hummels0%
Thorgan Hazard0%
Felix Passlack0%
Julian Ryerson0%
Gregor Kobel0%
Alexander Meyer0%
Antonios Papadopoulos0%
Tom Rothe0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Donyell Malen34%
Sébastien Haller24%
Jude Bellingham24%
Karim Adeyemi17%
Youssoufa Moukoko16%
Julian Brandt15%
Marco Reus11%
Anthony Modeste8%
Raphaël Guerreiro6%
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens6%
Nico Schlotterbeck6%
Niklas Süle5%
Marius Wolf3%
Mats Hummels3%
Mahmoud Dahoud0%
Thomas Meunier0%
Emre Can0%
Thorgan Hazard0%
Felix Passlack0%
Salih Özcan0%
Julian Ryerson0%
Gregor Kobel0%
Alexander Meyer0%
Antonios Papadopoulos0%
Giovanni Reyna0%
Tom Rothe0%
Bayern München
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting50%
Serge Gnabry31%
Leroy Sané28%
Sadio Mané26%
Jamal Musiala26%
Kingsley Coman26%
Thomas Müller20%
Mathys Tel19%
Joshua Kimmich14%
Benjamin Pavard13%
Lucas Hernández11%
Leon Goretzka11%
Matthijs de Ligt8%
João Cancelo5%
Marcel Sabitzer5%
Noussair Mazraoui4%
Alphonso Davies3%
Manuel Neuer0%
Sven Ulreich0%
Daley Blind0%
Ryan Gravenberch0%
Dayot Upamecano0%
Yann Sommer0%
Josip Stanišić0%
Paul Wanner0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sven Ulreich33%
Paul Wanner25%
Marcel Sabitzer24%
Benjamin Pavard23%
João Cancelo21%
Dayot Upamecano21%
Joshua Kimmich19%
Leon Goretzka17%
Josip Stanišić14%
Matthijs de Ligt13%
Lucas Hernández11%
Leroy Sané10%
Noussair Mazraoui8%
Mathys Tel7%
Sadio Mané6%
Yann Sommer4%
Ryan Gravenberch3%
Kingsley Coman3%
Alphonso Davies3%
Jamal Musiala2%
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting0%
Manuel Neuer0%
Serge Gnabry0%
Thomas Müller0%
Daley Blind0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
João Cancelo26%
Jamal Musiala24%
Leroy Sané20%
Joshua Kimmich19%
Thomas Müller17%
Kingsley Coman16%
Sadio Mané15%
Alphonso Davies14%
Serge Gnabry14%
Leon Goretzka14%
Noussair Mazraoui12%
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting8%
Marcel Sabitzer5%
Matthijs de Ligt3%
Dayot Upamecano3%
Benjamin Pavard3%
Lucas Hernández0%
Manuel Neuer0%
Sven Ulreich0%
Daley Blind0%
Ryan Gravenberch0%
Yann Sommer0%
Josip Stanišić0%
Mathys Tel0%
Paul Wanner0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Leroy Sané35%
Serge Gnabry26%
Kingsley Coman26%
Sadio Mané24%
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting15%
Jamal Musiala14%
Thomas Müller11%
Joshua Kimmich10%
Leon Goretzka8%
Benjamin Pavard8%
Marcel Sabitzer5%
Mathys Tel4%
Matthijs de Ligt3%
Lucas Hernández0%
Manuel Neuer0%
Sven Ulreich0%
Alphonso Davies0%
Daley Blind0%
Ryan Gravenberch0%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
João Cancelo0%
Dayot Upamecano0%
Yann Sommer0%
Josip Stanišić0%
Paul Wanner0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
VW (33)
€154m
1FK (74)
€133m
BM (29)
€129m
UB (29)
€123m
WB (33)
€119m
HS (28)
€117m
FS0 (29)
€67m
HB (24)
€25m
VB (24)
€19m
Borussia Dortmund's squad is €547m less valuable than Bayern München's (€529m vs €1076m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
1FK (25)
€72m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
VW (10)
€56m
WB (13)
€50m
FM0 (11)
€49m
UB (10)
€46m
HS (11)
€46m
FS0 (8)
€17m
HB (8)
€8m
VB (9)
€6m
Borussia Dortmund's attack is €384m less valuable than Bayern München's (€170m vs €554m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
HS (5)
€34m
VW (8)
€32m
WB (5)
€28m
UB (6)
€26m
FS0 (8)
€24m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
1FK (16)
€19m
VB (4)
€5m
HB (6)
€3m
Borussia Dortmund's midfield is €41m less valuable than Bayern München's (€146m vs €187m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
VW (15)
€66m
UB (13)
€50m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
1FK (33)
€43m
WB (15)
€41m
HS (12)
€37m
FS0 (13)
€26m
HB (10)
€13m
VB (11)
€8m
Borussia Dortmund's defence is €122m less valuable than Bayern München's (€214m vs €336m).
Germany: Bundesliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →
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RB Leipzig
Union Berlin
SC Freiburg
Bayer Leverkusen
Eintracht Frankfurt
VfL Wolfsburg
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1. FC Köln
VfB Stuttgart
1899 Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen
VfL Bochum
FC Augsburg
FC Schalke 04
Hertha BSC
Hamburger SV