Borussia Dortmund’s recent 3-game winning streak and a 2-0 victory over Hamburger SV set the stage for a high-scoring encounter, yet the model still favors a home win at 51%. Bayern Munich, also on a 3-game winning run and a 5-1 triumph over VfB Stuttgart, is projected to score 2.08 goals and concede 1.31 when playing away against a weaker opponent. The expected total of 3.7 goals and a most likely total of 3 (21%) point to a lively match, with the single most probable scoreline being 1-1 at 9%. The model’s selection list includes Over 1.5 goals at 89.3%, Over 2.5 cards at 77.5%, Under 5.5 cards at 77.0%, Over 19.5 fouls at 73.9% (missed), Under 25.5 fouls at 73.4%, Over 2.5 at 71.7%, Under 11.5 corners at 71.3%, and BTTS Yes at 70.5% (missed). Home win 51%, draw 22%, away win 27%.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, a home win for Borussia Dortmund, fell short as Bayern Munich secured a 0-4 victory, extending their own three-game winning run. The model’s call was wrong, with a 51% probability for a home win. The final score of 0-4 matched the actual result of an away win. The model’s selection of Over 1.5 goals, hit at 89.3%, and Over 2.5 goals, hit at 71.7%, proved correct, as did Over 2.5 cards (77.5%) and Under 25.5 fouls (73.4%). Under 5.5 cards (77.0%) and Under 11.5 corners (71.3%) also hit. Over 19.5 fouls (73.9%) and BTTS Yes (70.5%) missed, while the model’s pick for a home win was the sole miss.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Borussia Dortmund win✗ Miss
51.0%
Avg Implied 25.2% · @ 3.81
Edge
+25.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.3%
Avg Implied 21.9% · @ 4.39
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bayern München win✓ Hit
26.8%
Avg Implied 52.8% · @ 1.82
Edge
-26.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Borussia Dortmund
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.40
1.13
2.88
0.81
1.86
1.50
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
3.00
-
-
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (5)
0.80
0.60
1.00
0.33
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (23)
2.87
1.09
3.31
0.92
2.30
1.30
Clean sheet %
37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bayern München
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.7
Avg scored
3.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.67
1.20
3.47
1.07
1.87
1.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
1.00
1.00
1.50
0.50
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (26)
2.92
1.23
3.77
1.15
2.08
1.31
Clean sheet %
33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Borussia Dortmund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.3%
Under 1.5
10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
71.7%
@ 1.34+0.4%
Under 2.5
28.3%
@ 3.32-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
50.9%
Under 3.5
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
70.5%
No
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.0%
2-1
8.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-2
4.9%
1-0
4.5%
Borussia Dortmund goals ↓
Bayern München goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.3%
3.0%
2.9%
1.5%
0.6%
1
4.5%
9.0%
6.3%
3.3%
1.3%
2
5.7%
8.9%
6.9%
3.5%
1.4%
3
4.1%
6.4%
4.9%
2.6%
1.0%
4
2.2%
3.5%
2.7%
1.4%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Borussia Dortmund goals (down), columns = Bayern München goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Bayer Leverkusen
2.65
VfB Stuttgart
2.15
Bayern München
2.12
RB Leipzig
1.91
Borussia Dortmund
1.85
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.50
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.38
1899 Hoffenheim
1.35
Werder Bremen
1.24
SC Freiburg
1.24
1. FC Heidenheim
1.24
FC Augsburg
1.15
VfL Wolfsburg
1.09
FSV Mainz 05
1.03
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.00
VfL Bochum
1.00
Union Berlin
0.97
1. FC Köln
0.79
SV Darmstadt 98
0.50
Borussia Dortmund is 0.26 points worse than Bayern München in terms of average points per game (1.85 vs 2.12).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bayern München
2.76
Bayer Leverkusen
2.62
VfB Stuttgart
2.29
RB Leipzig
2.26
Borussia Dortmund
2.00
1899 Hoffenheim
1.94
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.65
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.50
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.50
FC Augsburg
1.47
1. FC Heidenheim
1.47
Werder Bremen
1.41
SC Freiburg
1.32
VfL Bochum
1.25
VfL Wolfsburg
1.21
FSV Mainz 05
1.15
Union Berlin
0.97
SV Darmstadt 98
0.88
1. FC Köln
0.82
Borussia Dortmund is 0.76 goals worse than Bayern München in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 2.76).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bayer Leverkusen
0.71
RB Leipzig
1.15
VfB Stuttgart
1.15
Borussia Dortmund
1.26
Bayern München
1.32
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.47
FSV Mainz 05
1.50
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.50
Werder Bremen
1.59
1. FC Heidenheim
1.62
VfL Wolfsburg
1.65
Union Berlin
1.71
SC Freiburg
1.71
1. FC Köln
1.76
FC Augsburg
1.76
1899 Hoffenheim
1.94
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.97
VfL Bochum
2.14
SV Darmstadt 98
2.53
Borussia Dortmund is 0.06 goals better than Bayern München in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 1.32).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bayer Leverkusen
62%
Bayern München
61%
VfB Stuttgart
60%
Borussia Dortmund
58%
RB Leipzig
56%
Eintracht Frankfurt
52%
1899 Hoffenheim
50%
VfL Wolfsburg
48%
VfL Bochum
47%
Werder Bremen
47%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
47%
SC Freiburg
46%
1. FC Köln
46%
FSV Mainz 05
46%
SV Darmstadt 98
46%
FC Augsburg
44%
Union Berlin
43%
1. FC Heidenheim
42%
Fortuna Düsseldorf
38%
Borussia Dortmund is 3.1 percentage points worse than Bayern München in terms of average possession (58% vs 61%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Borussia Dortmund
For 5.9 · Against 5.7 · Total 11.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 12.9 · Total 23.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bayern München
For 7.3 · Against 2.5 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 9.3 · Total 20.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Borussia Dortmund
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.5
10.5
1.8
1.7
2.0
22.3
21.4
23.2
vs Stronger (5)
9.3
3.0
12.5
2.6
2.5
2.7
16.3
15.0
17.0
vs Similar (7)
14.0
14.0
14.0
3.4
5.0
2.2
24.5
24.5
24.5
vs Weaker (38)
8.9
9.1
8.7
1.4
1.1
1.8
23.0
21.4
24.8
% over line
35%
40%
30%
26%
24%
28%
60%
60%
60%
% under line
65%
60%
70%
74%
76%
72%
40%
40%
40%
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bayern München
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.8
9.0
1.5
1.4
1.7
21.5
19.8
23.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
8.7
8.2
9.3
4.4
4.8
4.0
22.6
21.5
24.0
vs Weaker (43)
9.0
9.1
8.9
1.1
0.8
1.4
20.9
18.9
23.0
% over line
38%
36%
40%
18%
12%
25%
48%
36%
60%
% under line
62%
64%
60%
82%
88%
75%
52%
64%
40%
This opponent (Borussia Dortmund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
1. FC Heidenheim
11.1
Fortuna Düsseldorf
10.9
1. FC Köln
10.8
Borussia Mönchengladbach
10.2
FC Augsburg
10.0
Werder Bremen
10.0
1899 Hoffenheim
9.8
Borussia Dortmund
9.8
SC Freiburg
9.7
Bayer Leverkusen
9.7
VfL Wolfsburg
9.6
FSV Mainz 05
9.5
Eintracht Frankfurt
9.4
Bayern München
9.3
VfL Bochum
9.3
VfB Stuttgart
9.1
SV Darmstadt 98
8.8
RB Leipzig
8.5
Union Berlin
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SV Darmstadt 98
4.8
Werder Bremen
4.5
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4.4
Union Berlin
4.2
FSV Mainz 05
4.2
Borussia Dortmund
4.1
VfL Wolfsburg
4.1
FC Augsburg
4.1
1. FC Köln
4.1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4.0
Eintracht Frankfurt
4.0
Bayer Leverkusen
3.8
RB Leipzig
3.8
1899 Hoffenheim
3.8
VfL Bochum
3.7
VfB Stuttgart
3.6
1. FC Heidenheim
3.6
SC Freiburg
3.4
Bayern München
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FSV Mainz 05
26.6
FC Augsburg
24.8
SV Darmstadt 98
24.8
VfL Wolfsburg
24.6
VfL Bochum
24.6
1. FC Köln
24.6
Union Berlin
24.1
Werder Bremen
24.0
Borussia Mönchengladbach
23.9
VfB Stuttgart
23.6
Fortuna Düsseldorf
23.1
RB Leipzig
22.8
Borussia Dortmund
22.7
1899 Hoffenheim
22.7
Eintracht Frankfurt
22.4
SC Freiburg
22.4
Bayer Leverkusen
21.2
1. FC Heidenheim
21.0
Bayern München
20.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
52.4%
Under 9.5
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
58.5%
Under 3.5
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
58.1%
Under 21.5
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Borussia Dortmund
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.57
1.44
0.38
0.71
0.79
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
-
-
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (5)
0.60
0.20
0.67
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (23)
1.30
0.57
1.62
0.46
0.90
0.70
Clean sheet %
63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bayern München
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.30
1.67
0.13
0.60
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.00
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (26)
1.31
0.31
1.92
0.15
0.69
0.46
Clean sheet %
73% (+50pp vs league)
This opponent (Borussia Dortmund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Borussia Dortmund
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.57
1.44
0.44
1.14
0.71
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
-
-
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (5)
0.20
0.40
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (23)
1.57
0.52
1.69
0.46
1.40
0.60
Clean sheet %
63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bayern München
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
0.90
1.80
0.93
1.27
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
1.00
0.75
1.50
0.50
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (26)
1.62
0.92
1.85
1.00
1.38
0.85
Clean sheet %
47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Borussia Dortmund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
71.7%
1.34
-
-
-
-
-
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
BTTS Yes
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Borussia Dortmund
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Donyell Malen34%
Niclas Füllkrug31%
Marco Reus21%
Julian Brandt20%
Youssoufa Moukoko17%
Karim Adeyemi15%
Jadon Sancho14%
Ian Maatsen13%
Julian Ryerson13%
Marcel Sabitzer11%
Mats Hummels8%
Felix Nmecha7%
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens6%
Emre Can6%
Sébastien Haller6%
Nico Schlotterbeck4%
Niklas Süle3%
Marius Wolf0%
Thomas Meunier0%
Ramy Bensebaini0%
Salih Özcan0%
Gregor Kobel0%
Alexander Meyer0%
Mateu Morey0%
Giovanni Reyna0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ian Maatsen35%
Emre Can22%
Mats Hummels21%
Nico Schlotterbeck18%
Karim Adeyemi15%
Donyell Malen14%
Felix Nmecha14%
Ramy Bensebaini14%
Marcel Sabitzer14%
Julian Ryerson13%
Sébastien Haller11%
Marius Wolf11%
Salih Özcan9%
Giovanni Reyna8%
Marco Reus5%
Jadon Sancho5%
Julian Brandt5%
Youssoufa Moukoko4%
Niklas Süle3%
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens3%
Gregor Kobel3%
Niclas Füllkrug2%
Thomas Meunier0%
Alexander Meyer0%
Mateu Morey0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Julian Brandt27%
Niclas Füllkrug24%
Marcel Sabitzer19%
Marco Reus13%
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens12%
Jadon Sancho10%
Ian Maatsen9%
Felix Nmecha7%
Nico Schlotterbeck7%
Karim Adeyemi6%
Emre Can6%
Sébastien Haller6%
Marius Wolf4%
Julian Ryerson3%
Donyell Malen3%
Mats Hummels3%
Thomas Meunier0%
Niklas Süle0%
Ramy Bensebaini0%
Salih Özcan0%
Gregor Kobel0%
Alexander Meyer0%
Mateu Morey0%
Youssoufa Moukoko0%
Giovanni Reyna0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Donyell Malen29%
Niclas Füllkrug26%
Marcel Sabitzer16%
Marco Reus13%
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens6%
Mats Hummels5%
Jadon Sancho5%
Julian Brandt5%
Ramy Bensebaini5%
Youssoufa Moukoko4%
Marius Wolf0%
Thomas Meunier0%
Niklas Süle0%
Felix Nmecha0%
Emre Can0%
Sébastien Haller0%
Karim Adeyemi0%
Salih Özcan0%
Julian Ryerson0%
Gregor Kobel0%
Nico Schlotterbeck0%
Alexander Meyer0%
Mateu Morey0%
Ian Maatsen0%
Giovanni Reyna0%
Bayern München
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Harry Kane66%
Serge Gnabry29%
Jamal Musiala26%
Mathys Tel24%
Leroy Sané21%
Lovro Zvonarek20%
Kingsley Coman17%
Leon Goretzka12%
Thomas Müller12%
Raphaël Guerreiro11%
Aleksandar Pavlović9%
Alphonso Davies8%
Matthijs de Ligt7%
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting6%
Joshua Kimmich5%
Dayot Upamecano3%
Min-jae Kim3%
Eric Dier0%
Manuel Neuer0%
Sven Ulreich0%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Konrad Laimer0%
Bouna Sarr0%
Frans Krätzig0%
Bryan Zaragoza0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aleksandar Pavlović27%
Matthijs de Ligt18%
Noussair Mazraoui15%
Sven Ulreich14%
Bryan Zaragoza14%
Leroy Sané13%
Leon Goretzka12%
Konrad Laimer12%
Min-jae Kim12%
Jamal Musiala9%
Alphonso Davies8%
Joshua Kimmich8%
Raphaël Guerreiro7%
Harry Kane7%
Dayot Upamecano6%
Mathys Tel5%
Eric Dier5%
Kingsley Coman4%
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting3%
Manuel Neuer3%
Serge Gnabry0%
Thomas Müller0%
Bouna Sarr0%
Frans Krätzig0%
Lovro Zvonarek0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Harry Kane25%
Leroy Sané23%
Thomas Müller20%
Joshua Kimmich18%
Leon Goretzka18%
Mathys Tel16%
Jamal Musiala14%
Kingsley Coman12%
Noussair Mazraoui11%
Alphonso Davies10%
Konrad Laimer10%
Aleksandar Pavlović9%
Raphaël Guerreiro7%
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting6%
Serge Gnabry6%
Matthijs de Ligt4%
Min-jae Kim3%
Eric Dier0%
Manuel Neuer0%
Sven Ulreich0%
Dayot Upamecano0%
Bouna Sarr0%
Frans Krätzig0%
Bryan Zaragoza0%
Lovro Zvonarek0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Harry Kane59%
Leroy Sané36%
Jamal Musiala14%
Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting12%
Kingsley Coman12%
Serge Gnabry6%
Mathys Tel5%
Leon Goretzka5%
Thomas Müller5%
Dayot Upamecano3%
Raphaël Guerreiro0%
Eric Dier0%
Manuel Neuer0%
Sven Ulreich0%
Joshua Kimmich0%
Alphonso Davies0%
Matthijs de Ligt0%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Konrad Laimer0%
Bouna Sarr0%
Min-jae Kim0%
Frans Krätzig0%
Bryan Zaragoza0%
Lovro Zvonarek0%
Aleksandar Pavlović0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
VW (33)
€154m
1FK (74)
€133m
BM (29)
€129m
UB (29)
€123m
WB (33)
€119m
1FH (26)
€33m
SD9 (28)
€24m
VB (24)
€19m
FD (26)
€10m
Borussia Dortmund's squad is €547m less valuable than Bayern München's (€529m vs €1076m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
1FK (25)
€72m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
VW (10)
€56m
WB (13)
€50m
FM0 (11)
€49m
UB (10)
€46m
1FH (11)
€15m
SD9 (11)
€9m
VB (9)
€6m
FD (8)
€3m
Borussia Dortmund's attack is €384m less valuable than Bayern München's (€170m vs €554m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
VW (8)
€32m
WB (5)
€28m
UB (6)
€26m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
1FK (16)
€19m
1FH (4)
€7m
SD9 (4)
€6m
VB (4)
€5m
FD (5)
€2m
Borussia Dortmund's midfield is €41m less valuable than Bayern München's (€146m vs €187m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
VW (15)
€66m
UB (13)
€50m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
1FK (33)
€43m
WB (15)
€41m
1FH (11)
€12m
SD9 (13)
€8m
VB (11)
€8m
FD (13)
€5m
Borussia Dortmund's defence is €122m less valuable than Bayern München's (€214m vs €336m).
Germany: Bundesliga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →