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Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München Result & Analysis

Date: 28/02/2026
Time: 17:30
Final 2-3
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Vs
37%
24%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bayern München
Bayern München
Germany: Bundesliga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The model sees a high-scoring encounter, with an expected 3.5 goals and a most likely total of three. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10.4% chance. Borussia Dortmund’s recent form shows a three-game winning streak, yet their home scoring and conceding against a weaker opponent are not listed. Bayern Munich, playing away, has averaged 3.5 goals scored and 0.83 conceded against weaker sides, underscoring their offensive potency. The probabilities favour an away win at 39%, followed by a home win at 37% and a draw at 24%. The model’s pick is an away victory. Suggested selections include Under 25.5 fouls at 89.7%, Over 1.5 goals at 86.9%, Under 23.5 fouls at 80.1%, Under 5.5 cards at 79.1%, Over 2.5 cards at 75.7%, and Under 11.5 corners at 74.9%. Each selection is listed with its exact probability, and the edge percentages are noted where supplied.

Results analysis

The 2-3 result kept Bayern Munich’s three-game winning streak alive, confirming the model’s pick of an away win at 39% probability. Dortmund’s 2-goal effort fell short of the 3-goal expectation, but the match still delivered the 3-goal total the model favoured. The model’s favourite was correct, as the away side triumphed. Among the suggested selections, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 89.7%, Over 1.5 hit at 86.9%, Under 23.5 fouls missed at 80.1%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 79.1%, Over 2.5 cards missed at 75.7%, and Under 11.5 corners hit at 74.9%. Each probability is shown once, and every result is reported accurately.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Borussia Dortmund win✗ Miss
37.0%
Avg Implied 21.4% · @ 4.37
Edge
+15.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.3%
Avg Implied 20.7% · @ 4.51
Edge
+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bayern München win✓ Hit
38.7%
Avg Implied 58.0% · @ 1.61
Edge
-19.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W02L30W02L32W21W40W20W22D14LH·FC 17/01A·TOT20/01A·UNI24/01H·INT28/01H·1. 01/02A·VFL07/02H·FSV13/02H·ATA17/02A·RB 21/02A·ATA25/02
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.101.332.330.871.871.80
vs Stronger (2)1.003.00--1.003.00
vs Similar (9)1.781.781.750.751.802.60
vs Weaker (19)2.370.952.550.912.121.00
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bayern MünchenBayern München

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-881W31W51W20W12L21W22D51W30W32WH·VFL11/01A·1. 14/01A·RB 17/01H·UNI21/01H·FC 24/01A·PSV28/01A·HAM31/01H·18908/02A·WER14/02H·EIN21/02
Avg total
4.5
Avg scored
3.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game3.370.973.600.933.131.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)2.001.503.001.001.671.67
vs Weaker (26)3.580.883.640.933.500.83
Clean sheet %33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Borussia Dortmund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.9%
Under 1.5
13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.1%
@ 1.30-5.0%
Under 2.5
32.9%
@ 3.36+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.4%
Under 3.5
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
68.6%
No
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
8.0%
2-2
7.0%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.6%
0-1
4.6%
Borussia Dortmund goals ↓
Bayern München goals →
01234
04.1%4.6%4.8%2.8%1.2%
14.4%10%8.2%4.8%2.1%
24.6%8.0%7.0%4.1%1.8%
32.6%4.6%4.0%2.3%1.0%
41.1%2.0%1.7%1.0%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Borussia Dortmund goals (down), columns = Bayern München goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Bayern München
2.62
Borussia Dortmund
2.15
RB Leipzig
1.91
VfB Stuttgart
1.82
1899 Hoffenheim
1.79
Bayer Leverkusen
1.74
SC Freiburg
1.38
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.29
FC Augsburg
1.26
FSV Mainz 05
1.18
Union Berlin
1.15
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.12
Hamburger SV
1.12
SC Paderborn 07
1.00
1. FC Köln
0.94
Werder Bremen
0.94
VfL Wolfsburg
0.86
FC St. Pauli
0.76
1. FC Heidenheim
0.76
Borussia Dortmund is 0.47 points worse than Bayern München in terms of average points per game (2.15 vs 2.62).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Bayern München
3.59
VfB Stuttgart
2.09
Borussia Dortmund
2.06
Bayer Leverkusen
2.00
RB Leipzig
1.94
1899 Hoffenheim
1.91
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.79
SC Freiburg
1.50
1. FC Köln
1.44
FC Augsburg
1.32
Union Berlin
1.29
FSV Mainz 05
1.29
VfL Wolfsburg
1.28
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.24
1. FC Heidenheim
1.21
Hamburger SV
1.18
Werder Bremen
1.09
FC St. Pauli
0.85
SC Paderborn 07
0.50
Borussia Dortmund is 1.53 goals worse than Bayern München in terms of goals scored per game (2.06 vs 3.59).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
SC Paderborn 07
0.50
Borussia Dortmund
1.00
Bayern München
1.06
RB Leipzig
1.38
Bayer Leverkusen
1.38
VfB Stuttgart
1.44
1899 Hoffenheim
1.53
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.56
FSV Mainz 05
1.56
Hamburger SV
1.59
SC Freiburg
1.68
Union Berlin
1.71
Werder Bremen
1.76
FC St. Pauli
1.76
FC Augsburg
1.79
1. FC Köln
1.85
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.91
VfL Wolfsburg
1.94
1. FC Heidenheim
2.12
Borussia Dortmund is 0.06 goals better than Bayern München in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.06).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Bayern München
67%
Bayer Leverkusen
59%
VfB Stuttgart
58%
1899 Hoffenheim
55%
Eintracht Frankfurt
55%
RB Leipzig
54%
Borussia Dortmund
53%
SC Paderborn 07
52%
Werder Bremen
51%
SC Freiburg
48%
1. FC Köln
47%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
47%
VfL Wolfsburg
45%
Hamburger SV
45%
FC St. Pauli
44%
FSV Mainz 05
44%
FC Augsburg
44%
1. FC Heidenheim
42%
Union Berlin
40%
Borussia Dortmund is 14.2 percentage points worse than Bayern München in terms of average possession (53% vs 67%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund

For 4.7 · Against 4.1 · Total 8.8

🚩 Corners

1501526327284123532724556859121589610A·ATAA·RB H·ATAH·FSVA·VFLH·1. H·INTA·UNIA·TOTH·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

9072432332112212121319755243134A·ATAA·RB H·ATAH·FSVA·VFLH·1. H·INTA·UNIA·TOTH·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 11.9 · Total 23.7

⚠️ Fouls

2801017171111131051013111112141610121491127282415232226262620A·ATAA·RB H·ATAH·FSVA·VFLH·1. H·INTA·UNIA·TOTH·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Bayern MünchenBayern München

For 6.9 · Against 3.0 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

1408242839365934195646210611121112514108H·EINA·WERH·189A·HAMA·PSVH·FC H·UNIA·RB A·1. H·VFL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

1003132346261141112234510825114H·EINA·WERH·189A·HAMA·PSVH·FC H·UNIA·RB H·VFLH·FSV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.8 · Against 8.1 · Total 16.9

⚠️ Fouls

28091061011916121011105986743761916202821151713713H·EINA·WERH·189A·HAMA·PSVH·FC H·UNIA·RB A·1. H·VFL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.29.68.83.42.84.021.721.222.2
vs Stronger (5)9.612.09.02.22.02.222.425.021.8
vs Similar (14)8.57.79.14.12.85.023.224.222.5
vs Weaker (31)9.510.28.53.32.83.920.920.022.2
% over line40%48%32%44%36%52%52%44%60%
% under line60%52%68%56%64%48%48%56%40%
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bayern MünchenBayern München

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.19.83.63.14.118.817.819.9
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (6)8.76.59.84.84.05.221.017.023.0
vs Weaker (44)9.59.39.83.53.03.918.517.919.3
% over line48%44%52%54%44%64%28%20%36%
% under line52%56%48%46%56%36%72%80%64%
This opponent (Borussia Dortmund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
VfL Wolfsburg
10.9
1. FC Köln
10.5
SC Paderborn 07
10.5
RB Leipzig
10.3
1899 Hoffenheim
10.3
Borussia Mönchengladbach
9.7
VfB Stuttgart
9.7
Hamburger SV
9.7
Bayer Leverkusen
9.6
Werder Bremen
9.6
FC Augsburg
9.5
FC St. Pauli
9.5
Bayern München
9.4
1. FC Heidenheim
9.4
Union Berlin
9.4
FSV Mainz 05
9.2
Borussia Dortmund
9.2
Eintracht Frankfurt
8.9
SC Freiburg
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Hamburger SV
5.4
SC Paderborn 07
4.7
Werder Bremen
4.7
FSV Mainz 05
4.6
Bayer Leverkusen
4.5
1. FC Köln
4.5
VfB Stuttgart
4.3
Union Berlin
4.2
FC Augsburg
4.2
Bayern München
4.1
1. FC Heidenheim
4.0
VfL Wolfsburg
3.9
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.9
RB Leipzig
3.9
SC Freiburg
3.9
FC St. Pauli
3.8
1899 Hoffenheim
3.7
Borussia Dortmund
3.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Hamburger SV
24.2
SC Paderborn 07
23.7
1899 Hoffenheim
22.8
1. FC Heidenheim
22.8
VfB Stuttgart
22.7
FC Augsburg
22.6
Union Berlin
22.2
SC Freiburg
22.1
FSV Mainz 05
21.9
Borussia Dortmund
21.7
1. FC Köln
21.5
Werder Bremen
21.2
FC St. Pauli
20.8
VfL Wolfsburg
20.7
Bayer Leverkusen
20.6
Borussia Mönchengladbach
20.5
RB Leipzig
20.5
Eintracht Frankfurt
19.7
Bayern München
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
48.2%
Under 9.5
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
56.0%
Under 3.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
33.9%
Under 21.5
66.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W02L10W00D11D10W30W20W02L02LH·FC 17/01A·TOT20/01A·UNI24/01H·INT28/01H·1. 01/02A·VFL07/02H·FSV13/02H·ATA17/02A·RB 21/02A·ATA25/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.471.130.200.600.73
vs Stronger (2)0.001.50--0.001.50
vs Similar (9)0.560.781.000.250.201.20
vs Weaker (19)1.110.211.180.181.000.25
Clean sheet %67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bayern MünchenBayern München

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W11D01L00D10W00D11D31W20W20WH·VFL11/01A·1. 14/01A·RB 17/01H·UNI21/01H·FC 24/01A·PSV28/01A·HAM31/01H·18908/02A·WER14/02H·EIN21/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.570.431.800.471.330.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.750.250.000.001.000.33
vs Weaker (26)1.690.461.930.501.420.42
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Borussia Dortmund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D00D20W02L21W11D10W00D20W12LH·FC 17/01A·TOT20/01A·UNI24/01H·INT28/01H·1. 01/02A·VFL07/02H·FSV13/02H·ATA17/02A·RB 21/02A·ATA25/02
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.871.200.671.271.07
vs Stronger (2)1.001.50--1.001.50
vs Similar (9)1.221.000.750.501.601.40
vs Weaker (19)1.260.741.360.731.120.75
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Bayern München) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bayern MünchenBayern München

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-660W20W50W20W02L21W11D20W10W12LH·VFL11/01A·1. 14/01A·RB 17/01H·UNI21/01H·FC 24/01A·PSV28/01A·HAM31/01H·18908/02A·WER14/02H·EIN21/02
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.800.531.800.471.800.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.251.253.001.000.671.33
vs Weaker (26)1.880.421.710.432.080.42
Clean sheet %60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Borussia Dortmund) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borussia Dortmund over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bayern München over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls89.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.586.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls80.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards79.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards75.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners74.9%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Borussia Dortmund
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Serhou Guirassy39%
Karim Adeyemi26%
Julian Brandt24%
Maximilian Beier23%
Emre Can19%
Ramy Bensebaini19%
Samuele Inacio14%
Nico Schlotterbeck14%
Yan Couto11%
Luca Reggiani11%
Aarón Anselmino10%
Felix Nmecha10%
Daniel Svensson9%
Carney Chukwuemeka8%
Fábio Silva8%
Waldemar Anton7%
Marcel Sabitzer3%
Niklas Süle0%
Pascal Groß0%
Salih Özcan0%
Julian Ryerson0%
Gregor Kobel0%
Jobe Bellingham0%
Filippo Mané0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luca Reggiani33%
Emre Can31%
Niklas Süle31%
Samuele Inacio29%
Ramy Bensebaini28%
Julian Ryerson24%
Nico Schlotterbeck22%
Karim Adeyemi18%
Yan Couto15%
Waldemar Anton14%
Fábio Silva13%
Aarón Anselmino10%
Maximilian Beier9%
Marcel Sabitzer9%
Jobe Bellingham7%
Serhou Guirassy7%
Gregor Kobel6%
Carney Chukwuemeka5%
Daniel Svensson4%
Felix Nmecha0%
Julian Brandt0%
Pascal Groß0%
Salih Özcan0%
Filippo Mané0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Julian Ryerson36%
Fábio Silva18%
Karim Adeyemi15%
Maximilian Beier14%
Pascal Groß12%
Marcel Sabitzer12%
Aarón Anselmino10%
Ramy Bensebaini9%
Serhou Guirassy9%
Niklas Süle8%
Yan Couto7%
Julian Brandt7%
Felix Nmecha7%
Carney Chukwuemeka5%
Daniel Svensson4%
Jobe Bellingham4%
Nico Schlotterbeck3%
Emre Can0%
Salih Özcan0%
Gregor Kobel0%
Waldemar Anton0%
Filippo Mané0%
Samuele Inacio0%
Luca Reggiani0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Serhou Guirassy24%
Karim Adeyemi15%
Maximilian Beier14%
Julian Brandt7%
Felix Nmecha7%
Fábio Silva5%
Marcel Sabitzer3%
Nico Schlotterbeck3%
Carney Chukwuemeka3%
Niklas Süle0%
Emre Can0%
Ramy Bensebaini0%
Pascal Groß0%
Salih Özcan0%
Julian Ryerson0%
Gregor Kobel0%
Waldemar Anton0%
Yan Couto0%
Daniel Svensson0%
Jobe Bellingham0%
Filippo Mané0%
Aarón Anselmino0%
Samuele Inacio0%
Luca Reggiani0%
Bayern München
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Harry Kane76%
Luis Díaz42%
Michael Olise35%
Nicolas Jackson32%
Serge Gnabry25%
Lennart Karl24%
Raphaël Guerreiro21%
Jamal Musiala21%
Aleksandar Pavlović9%
Leon Goretzka9%
Josip Stanišić7%
Konrad Laimer7%
Jonathan Tah6%
Tom Bischof5%
Dayot Upamecano5%
Alphonso Davies4%
Hiroki Itō4%
Joshua Kimmich4%
Min-jae Kim3%
Manuel Neuer0%
Sacha Boey0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Wisdom Mike0%
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Konrad Laimer30%
Michael Olise22%
Jonathan Tah21%
Dayot Upamecano20%
Luis Díaz18%
Joshua Kimmich17%
Aleksandar Pavlović11%
Josip Stanišić10%
Leon Goretzka9%
Manuel Neuer8%
Min-jae Kim8%
Jamal Musiala8%
Tom Bischof8%
Sacha Boey7%
Nicolas Jackson6%
Alphonso Davies4%
Harry Kane4%
Serge Gnabry3%
Lennart Karl3%
Raphaël Guerreiro0%
Hiroki Itō0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Wisdom Mike0%
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michael Olise39%
Luis Díaz32%
Serge Gnabry28%
Jamal Musiala25%
Joshua Kimmich23%
Alphonso Davies22%
Konrad Laimer22%
Lennart Karl18%
Harry Kane12%
Josip Stanišić12%
Nicolas Jackson9%
Hiroki Itō9%
Leon Goretzka9%
Tom Bischof8%
Dayot Upamecano7%
Raphaël Guerreiro7%
Aleksandar Pavlović5%
Jonathan Tah4%
Min-jae Kim3%
Manuel Neuer0%
Sacha Boey0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Wisdom Mike0%
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Harry Kane50%
Michael Olise41%
Luis Díaz32%
Lennart Karl21%
Nicolas Jackson18%
Serge Gnabry17%
Jamal Musiala8%
Hiroki Itō4%
Leon Goretzka4%
Joshua Kimmich4%
Raphaël Guerreiro4%
Tom Bischof3%
Aleksandar Pavlović2%
Konrad Laimer2%
Manuel Neuer0%
Alphonso Davies0%
Jonathan Tah0%
Dayot Upamecano0%
Sacha Boey0%
Min-jae Kim0%
Josip Stanišić0%
Jonas Urbig0%
Wisdom Mike0%
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
VW (33)
€154m
1FK (74)
€133m
BM (29)
€129m
UB (29)
€123m
WB (33)
€119m
HS (28)
€117m
FSP (27)
€46m
SP0 (33)
€43m
1FH (26)
€33m
Borussia Dortmund's squad is €547m less valuable than Bayern München's (€529m vs €1076m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
1FK (25)
€72m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
VW (10)
€56m
WB (13)
€50m
FM0 (11)
€49m
UB (10)
€46m
HS (11)
€46m
1FH (11)
€15m
SP0 (11)
€14m
FSP (7)
€10m
Borussia Dortmund's attack is €384m less valuable than Bayern München's (€170m vs €554m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
HS (5)
€34m
VW (8)
€32m
WB (5)
€28m
UB (6)
€26m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
1FK (16)
€19m
SP0 (13)
€18m
FSP (8)
€15m
1FH (4)
€7m
Borussia Dortmund's midfield is €41m less valuable than Bayern München's (€146m vs €187m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
VW (15)
€66m
UB (13)
€50m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
1FK (33)
€43m
WB (15)
€41m
HS (12)
€37m
FSP (12)
€21m
1FH (11)
€12m
SP0 (9)
€11m
Borussia Dortmund's defence is €122m less valuable than Bayern München's (€214m vs €336m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
BD wins
3
Draws
4
BM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München · H/A from BD
DateH/AGameScore
18/10/25ABayern München Vs BD2-1
12/04/25ABayern München Vs BD2-2
30/11/24HBD Vs Bayern München1-1
30/03/24ABayern München Vs BD0-2
04/11/23HBD Vs Bayern München0-4
01/04/23ABayern München Vs BD4-2
08/10/22HBD Vs Bayern München2-2
23/04/22ABayern München Vs BD3-1

Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/02/26AAtalanta Vs BD4-1
21/02/26ARB Leipzig Vs BD2-2
17/02/26HBD Vs Atalanta2-0
13/02/26HBD Vs FSV Mainz 054-0
07/02/26AVfL Wolfsburg Vs BD1-2
01/02/26HBD Vs 1. FC Heidenheim3-2
28/01/26HBD Vs Inter0-2
24/01/26AUnion Berlin Vs BD0-3
20/01/26ATottenham Vs BD2-0
17/01/26HBD Vs FC St. Pauli3-2

Bayern MünchenBayern München

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/02/26HBM Vs Eintracht Frankfurt3-2
14/02/26AWerder Bremen Vs BM0-3
08/02/26HBM Vs 1899 Hoffenheim5-1
31/01/26AHamburger SV Vs BM2-2
28/01/26APSV Eindhoven Vs BM1-2
24/01/26HBM Vs FC Augsburg1-2
21/01/26HBM Vs Union St. Gilloise2-0
17/01/26ARB Leipzig Vs BM1-5
14/01/26A1. FC Köln Vs BM1-3
11/01/26HBM Vs VfL Wolfsburg8-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDL2.04
HomeWLWWW2.36
AwayLWWDL1.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%72%48%
AVG goals3.483.203.76
Over 1.5 %90%84%96%
Over 2.5 %64%60%68%
Over 3.5 %48%48%48%
Scored2.222.442.00
Conceded1.260.761.76
BTTS54%40%68%
Clean Sheet36%52%20%
Corners9.209.648.76
Cards3.542.924.17
Bayern München
Bayern München
Germany: Bundesliga
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWW2.40
HomeWWLWW2.40
AwayWWWDW2.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %74%76%72%
AVG goals4.004.203.80
Over 1.5 %98%100%96%
Over 2.5 %88%88%88%
Over 3.5 %64%64%64%
Scored3.043.242.84
Conceded0.960.960.96
BTTS62%60%64%
Clean Sheet38%40%36%
Corners9.449.089.80
Cards4.113.394.90

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Bayern MünchenBayern München3489
82%
2.6
12236+86
4.6
97%
94%
76%
9.9
53%
3.7
45%
17.8
32%
1076
5541873363.61.1
67%
2Borussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund3473
65%
2.1
7034+36
3.1
85%
56%
32%
9.5
44%
3.8
58%
21.9
59%
529
1701462142.11.0
53%
3RB LeipzigRB Leipzig3465
59%
1.9
6647+19
3.3
85%
71%
47%
9.6
53%
3.3
44%
19.6
29%
506
2121091851.91.4
54%
4VfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart3462
53%
1.8
7149+22
3.5
85%
74%
53%
9.9
56%
3.7
45%
21.9
53%
430
193921452.11.4
58%
51899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim3461
53%
1.8
6552+13
3.4
85%
71%
50%
10.6
65%
4.1
64%
22.9
68%
309
111105921.91.5
55%
6Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen3459
50%
1.7
6847+21
3.4
85%
59%
41%
9.7
59%
4.9
59%
19.8
38%
499
246911622.01.4
59%
7SC FreiburgSC Freiburg3447
38%
1.4
5157-6
3.2
82%
65%
38%
8.3
35%
3.8
50%
21.5
41%
243
96361101.51.7
48%
8Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt3444
32%
1.3
6165-4
3.7
88%
68%
53%
9.2
50%
4.3
56%
20.1
38%
323
17478721.81.9
55%
9FC AugsburgFC Augsburg3443
35%
1.3
4561-16
3.1
85%
62%
41%
10.2
56%
4.5
70%
22.6
65%
161
6423741.31.8
44%
10FSV Mainz 05FSV Mainz 053440
29%
1.2
4453-9
2.9
82%
53%
32%
9.6
50%
4.2
62%
21.0
44%
175
4980471.31.6
44%
11Union BerlinUnion Berlin3439
29%
1.1
4458-14
3.0
76%
62%
47%
9.8
53%
4.3
58%
22.3
47%
123
4626501.31.7
40%
12Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach3438
26%
1.1
4253-11
2.8
71%
53%
38%
8.6
38%
4.2
50%
21.8
50%
129
5822491.21.6
47%
13Hamburger SVHamburger SV3438
26%
1.1
4054-14
2.8
79%
56%
32%
9.5
47%
5.2
73%
24.5
74%
117
4634371.21.6
45%
141. FC Köln1. FC Köln3432
21%
0.9
4963-14
3.3
85%
65%
47%
10.1
50%
4.6
66%
18.7
35%
133
7219431.41.9
47%
15Werder BremenWerder Bremen3432
24%
0.9
3760-23
2.9
79%
53%
35%
9.5
56%
4.2
61%
19.5
32%
119
5028411.11.8
51%
16VfL WolfsburgVfL Wolfsburg3631
19%
0.9
4670-24
3.2
78%
61%
42%
11.9
72%
3.9
50%
20.6
44%
154
5632661.31.9
45%
171. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim3426
18%
0.8
4172-31
3.3
91%
68%
41%
9.6
41%
3.7
50%
20.1
38%
33
157121.22.1
42%
18FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli3426
18%
0.8
2960-31
2.6
82%
56%
21%
9.9
56%
3.4
44%
19.0
24%
46
1015210.91.8
44%
19SC Paderborn 07SC Paderborn 0722
0%
1.0
11+0
1.0
50%
0%
0%
13.0
50%
8.0
100%
24.5
50%
43
1418110.50.5
52%
Germany: Bundesliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches