This match is expected to be closely contested, with Boulogne struggling to find form, coming off a draw in their last outing. The away side, RED Star FC 93, has shown recent improvement, having won their last match. The model predicts a 54% chance of an away win, with the model's selection being the away win, and the most likely match result being a 1-1 draw with a 12.4% probability.
The expected total goals is 2.7, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The home side, Boulogne, has scored an average of 1.25 goals at home, conceding 1.0, while the away side has scored 1.27 goals away, conceding 0.73.
The model suggests the selection of Over 21.5 fouls with a 84.6% probability, Over 1.5 with a 76.5% probability, and Under 3.5 with a 71.1% probability. The probabilities for the match result are 20% for a home win, 26% for a draw, and 54% for an away win.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, an away win for RED Star FC 93 with a 55 % probability, failed to materialise as the match finished 1-1, a draw. Boulogne, coming off a draw, and RED Star, also on a draw, both saw their recent form notes reflected in the scoreline. The model’s selection of an away win was incorrect. The model’s other picks all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.3 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.6 %, Home under 3.5 goals at 98.3 %, Under 6.5 at 97.9 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.2 %, Under 5.5 at 94.2 %, Away +2 handicap at 92.8 %, and Home under 2.5 goals at 92.5 %. All probabilities were expressed as percentages and each figure was mentioned only once.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Boulogne win✗ Miss
19.7%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.55
Edge
-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.88
Betano
3.75
1xBet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.70
Betfair
3.70
Draw✓ Hit
25.8%
Avg Implied 29.1% · @ 3.19
Edge
-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
3.35
Dafabet
3.35
Pinnacle
3.34
BetVictor
3.30
Betano
3.30
RED Star FC 93 win✗ Miss
54.5%
Avg Implied 44.7% · @ 2.08
Edge
+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.35
SBO
2.23
Unibet
2.12
Superbet
2.10
Dafabet
2.08
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Boulogne
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.43
1.36
1.93
0.81
1.00
vs Stronger (10)
1.10
1.80
1.60
3.20
0.60
0.40
vs Similar (20)
1.05
1.25
1.22
1.22
0.91
1.27
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (RED Star FC 93) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RED Star FC 93
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.10
1.31
1.19
1.14
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
0.00
0.00
2.00
3.00
vs Similar (27)
1.22
1.11
1.40
1.27
1.00
0.92
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Boulogne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.6%
@ 1.34+6.8%
Under 1.5
23.4%
@ 3.09-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.37
Superbet
1.37
Betano
1.35
Unibet
1.35
Under
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.20
Superbet
3.15
Pinnacle
3.15
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.1%
@ 2.08+5.7%
Under 2.5
48.9%
@ 1.73-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.16
10Bet
2.15
Superbet
2.15
Betfair
2.10
Betano
2.07
Under
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
Bet365
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.0%
@ 3.70+3.7%
Under 3.5
71.0%
@ 1.25-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.95
Pinnacle
3.92
BetVictor
3.90
Superbet
3.85
Betfair
3.80
Under
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.4%
@ 1.81+1.3%
No
47.6%
@ 1.90-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.88
BetVictor
1.83
Bet365
1.83
10Bet
1.83
Unibet
1.81
No
Betfair
2.00
Betano
1.95
William Hil
1.95
888Sport
1.95
1xBet
1.92
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.3%@ 5.87+4.7%
0-1
10.4%@ 6.52+3.6%
0-2
10.1%@ 9.42+5.3%
1-2
9.8%@ 8.23+4.4%
0-0
7.7%@ 8.28+2.3%
0-3
5.9%@ 18.75+3.5%
1-3
5.7%@ 16.79+3.0%
2-1
5.4%@ 10.87+1.3%
Boulogne goals ↓
RED Star FC 93 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
10%
10%
5.9%
2.6%
1
5.3%
12%
9.8%
5.7%
2.5%
2
3.1%
5.4%
4.8%
2.8%
1.2%
3
1.0%
1.8%
1.5%
0.9%
0.4%
4
0.2%
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Boulogne goals (down), columns = RED Star FC 93 goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Nantes
1.92
Saint Etienne
1.75
Rodez
1.67
Reims
1.67
RED Star FC 93
1.67
Metz
1.64
Annecy
1.53
Montpellier
1.47
PAU
1.33
Dunkerque
1.28
Sochaux
1.11
Guingamp
1.11
Grenoble
1.08
Clermont Foot
1.06
Dijon
1.03
Nancy
1.03
Boulogne
1.03
Laval
0.97
Boulogne is 0.64 points worse than RED Star FC 93 in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nantes
1.80
Saint Etienne
1.72
Dunkerque
1.56
Reims
1.56
Metz
1.54
PAU
1.42
Annecy
1.42
RED Star FC 93
1.36
Rodez
1.31
Guingamp
1.22
Montpellier
1.19
Clermont Foot
1.11
Sochaux
1.05
Boulogne
1.03
Nancy
1.00
Dijon
0.97
Grenoble
0.92
Laval
0.84
Boulogne is 0.34 goals worse than RED Star FC 93 in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.36).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Nantes
0.85
Montpellier
0.92
Metz
1.00
Reims
1.03
Saint Etienne
1.11
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.14
Annecy
1.14
Grenoble
1.19
Dunkerque
1.28
Clermont Foot
1.31
Laval
1.32
Sochaux
1.47
Boulogne
1.47
Nancy
1.53
Guingamp
1.56
Dijon
1.58
PAU
1.81
Boulogne is 0.35 goals worse than RED Star FC 93 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.12).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Saint Etienne
59%
Reims
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Guingamp
56%
RED Star FC 93
54%
Montpellier
52%
PAU
51%
Clermont Foot
50%
Laval
47%
Boulogne
46%
Annecy
45%
Grenoble
44%
Nancy
42%
Rodez
40%
Boulogne is 8.1 percentage points worse than RED Star FC 93 in terms of average possession (46% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Boulogne
For 2.7 · Against 6.3 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 14.5 · Total 28.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
RED Star FC 93
For 5.9 · Against 3.3 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 13.3 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Boulogne
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (44)
8.7
8.0
9.3
3.8
3.7
4.0
28.2
26.9
29.6
vs Stronger (13)
8.4
7.3
9.5
4.1
4.3
3.8
28.3
25.8
30.8
vs Similar (30)
8.8
8.3
9.3
3.9
3.4
4.3
28.2
27.4
29.1
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
38%
30%
45%
59%
55%
64%
90%
85%
95%
% under line
62%
70%
55%
41%
45%
36%
10%
15%
5%
This opponent (RED Star FC 93) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RED Star FC 93
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.2
7.9
8.6
3.6
3.9
3.2
26.4
27.3
25.5
vs Stronger (2)
9.5
8.0
11.0
4.5
3.0
6.0
27.5
23.0
32.0
vs Similar (47)
8.2
7.9
8.5
3.6
3.9
3.3
26.4
27.5
25.1
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
45%
36%
55%
54%
60%
48%
74%
76%
73%
% under line
55%
64%
45%
46%
40%
52%
26%
24%
27%
This opponent (Boulogne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Laval
10.4
Rodez
9.9
Grenoble
9.7
Montpellier
9.6
Nancy
9.5
Saint Etienne
9.5
PAU
9.4
Metz
9.4
Nantes
9.3
Dijon
9.3
Clermont Foot
9.1
Sochaux
9.1
Guingamp
9.0
Reims
8.7
Boulogne
8.7
Dunkerque
8.5
Annecy
8.4
RED Star FC 93
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Guingamp
4.6
PAU
4.5
Nantes
4.5
Boulogne
4.3
Annecy
4.2
Sochaux
4.2
Montpellier
4.2
Rodez
4.1
Reims
4.1
Clermont Foot
4.0
Laval
4.0
Dunkerque
4.0
Nancy
4.0
Dijon
3.8
Metz
3.8
RED Star FC 93
3.8
Saint Etienne
3.8
Grenoble
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Montpellier
29.3
Nancy
28.9
Annecy
28.7
Boulogne
28.2
Laval
28.1
Guingamp
27.8
Dijon
27.5
Clermont Foot
26.8
Nantes
26.6
RED Star FC 93
26.5
Saint Etienne
26.2
Sochaux
26.0
Dunkerque
25.8
Rodez
25.7
PAU
25.7
Grenoble
25.6
Reims
24.8
Metz
22.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
38.4%
@ 2.17-4.1%
Under 9.5
61.6%
@ 1.61+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.35
Superbet
2.25
Pinnacle
2.14
Betano
2.12
Marathonbet
2.09
Under
Pinnacle
1.68
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.61
Superbet
1.57
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.6%
@ 1.78+3.3%
Under 3.5
45.4%
@ 1.88-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.78
Under
Superbet
1.88
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
84.5%
Under 21.5
15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Boulogne or Draw✓ Hit
45.5%
Avg Implied 55.6% · @ 1.69
Edge
-10.1%
20%
26%
55%
covers Boulogne + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.78
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Superbet
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Boulogne or RED Star FC 93✗ Miss
74.2%
Avg Implied 71.2% · @ 1.31
Edge
+3.0%
20%
26%
55%
covers Boulogne + RED Star FC 93
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.35
Betfair
1.33
Superbet
1.33
888Sport
1.33
Betano
1.32
Draw or RED Star FC 93✓ Hit
80.3%
Avg Implied 73.2% · @ 1.28
Edge
+7.1%
20%
26%
55%
covers Draw + RED Star FC 93
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.35
SBO
1.31
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.29
William Hil
1.29
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Boulogne over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
62.1%
@ 1.44-2.1%
Under
37.9%
@ 2.59+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.51
Superbet
1.48
BetVictor
1.47
Betano
1.45
Marathonbet
1.44
Under
Betfair
2.75
10Bet
2.70
Pinnacle
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Unibet
2.60
Boulogne over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
25.4%
@ 3.22-3.6%
Under
74.6%
@ 1.31+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.56
BetVictor
3.30
888Sport
3.30
Superbet
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Under
10Bet
1.35
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Boulogne over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.5%
@ 8.70-3.2%
Under
92.5%
@ 1.05+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
9.50
888Sport
9.50
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
8.60
1xBet
8.60
Under
Bet365
1.07
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
888Sport
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Boulogne over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 22.75-2.5%
Under
98.3%
@ 1.01+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
29.00
Bet365
26.00
Superbet
24.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
RED Star FC 93 over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
82.6%
@ 1.24+7.7%
Under
17.4%
@ 3.70-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Under
Pinnacle
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Betano
3.80
BetVictor
3.80
Bet365
3.75
RED Star FC 93 over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
52.1%
@ 2.20+9.7%
Under
47.9%
@ 1.62-9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.40
Pinnacle
2.26
Unibet
2.23
Superbet
2.22
888Sport
2.20
Under
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.67
Betfair
1.62
RED Star FC 93 over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
25.5%
@ 4.83+6.2%
Under
74.5%
@ 1.16-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.50
888Sport
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.85
Under
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
RED Star FC 93 over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.0%
@ 10.92+1.4%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.04-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
888Sport
13.00
Superbet
11.00
Marathonbet
10.00
1xBet
10.00
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Boulogne, so a minus line means Boulogne give that many goals of a start and RED Star FC 93 receive them. At -1, Boulogne must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Boulogne win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Boulogne)Actual: RED Star FC 93
Boulogne -2
1.9%
@ 22.00-2.3%
Draw -2
5.3%
@ 11.13-3.0%
RED Star FC 93 +2
92.8%
@ 1.06+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
26.00
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
19.00
Draw
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
11.00
Superbet
9.40
Away
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.04
Handicap -1 (Boulogne)Actual: RED Star FC 93
Boulogne -1
7.2%
@ 7.73-4.4%
Draw -1
12.5%
@ 4.88-6.0%
RED Star FC 93 +1
80.3%
@ 1.29+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
9.50
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
8.00
Superbet
7.40
Unibet
7.00
Draw
Marathonbet
5.25
Superbet
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.50
Away
10Bet
1.35
Bet365
1.30
Unibet
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Handicap +1 (Boulogne)Actual: Boulogne
Boulogne +1
45.5%
@ 1.67-7.8%
Draw +1
23.4%
@ 3.62-1.2%
RED Star FC 93 -1
31.1%
@ 4.02+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.75
Superbet
1.73
Bet365
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Unibet
1.64
Draw
10Bet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.64
Superbet
3.60
Unibet
3.50
Away
10Bet
4.50
Betfair
4.20
Unibet
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.75
Handicap +2 (Boulogne)Actual: Boulogne
Boulogne +2
68.9%
@ 1.20-5.8%
Draw +2
17.1%
@ 5.96+2.1%
RED Star FC 93 -2
14.0%
@ 8.72+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Unibet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Draw
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.90
Unibet
5.80
Superbet
5.60
Away
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
9.00
Unibet
9.00
Superbet
7.90
Marathonbet
7.70
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Boulogne
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.67
0.43
0.93
0.12
0.44
vs Stronger (10)
0.70
0.80
1.00
1.60
0.40
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.05
0.60
0.11
0.56
0.00
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (RED Star FC 93) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RED Star FC 93
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.43
0.75
0.44
0.29
0.43
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
0.56
0.41
0.80
0.47
0.25
0.33
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Boulogne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
69.3%
@ 1.42+3.8%
Under 0.5
30.7%
@ 2.69-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.43
Under
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.83
William Hil
2.80
Superbet
2.72
Betano
2.67
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
34.6%
@ 2.96+3.1%
Under 1.5
65.4%
@ 1.36-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.11
Betano
3.05
Superbet
3.00
Betfair
3.00
1xBet
2.94
Under
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.37
10Bet
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.6%
@ 7.48+0.2%
Under 2.5
87.4%
@ 1.06-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
8.00
Superbet
7.70
William Hil
7.50
Marathonbet
7.30
1xBet
7.30
Under
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Boulogne over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
37.6%
@ 2.46-0.1%
Under
62.4%
@ 1.49+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.60
Superbet
2.50
Betano
2.50
Marathonbet
2.49
1xBet
2.49
Under
10Bet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.50
Betano
1.50
Unibet
1.47
Superbet
1.47
Boulogne over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.3%
@ 8.70-0.4%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.04+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.70
Marathonbet
9.70
Superbet
8.70
Betano
7.90
10Bet
7.50
Under
10Bet
1.06
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
Boulogne over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 36.00-98.6%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
36.00
Under
No market prices yet.
RED Star FC 93 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
51.0%
@ 1.97+3.9%
Under
49.0%
@ 1.76-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.05
Unibet
2.00
Betano
1.98
Pinnacle
1.98
Superbet
1.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.83
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
RED Star FC 93 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.8%
@ 5.85-2.0%
Under
86.2%
@ 1.10+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
6.25
Marathonbet
5.90
1xBet
5.90
Superbet
5.70
Betano
5.50
Under
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
RED Star FC 93 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.8%
@ 17.83-1.5%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.01+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Superbet
19.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Boulogne
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.77
0.93
1.00
0.69
0.56
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.00
0.60
1.60
0.20
0.40
vs Similar (20)
1.00
0.65
1.11
0.67
0.91
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (RED Star FC 93) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
RED Star FC 93
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.67
0.56
0.75
0.86
0.57
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.67
0.70
0.60
0.80
0.75
0.58
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Boulogne) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Boulogne over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Boulogne over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Boulogne over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RED Star FC 93 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RED Star FC 93 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RED Star FC 93 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.2%
1.02
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.02
888Sport
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
92.8%
1.06
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.04
-
-
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
92.5%
1.05
Bet365
1.07
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
888Sport
1.05
Betfair
1.04
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
90.0%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.03
-
-1.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.7%
1.04
10Bet
1.06
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.4%
1.06
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
-0.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
86.2%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
86.0%
1.07
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
888Sport
1.08
10Bet
1.07
-1.5%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
82.6%
1.24
10Bet
1.30
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
+7.7%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
82.3%
1.20
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.17
-
+6.5%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
80.3%
1.28
10Bet
1.35
SBO
1.31
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.29
William Hil
1.29
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
80.3%
1.29
10Bet
1.35
Bet365
1.30
Unibet
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Betfair
1.25
+10.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
76.6%
1.34
10Bet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.37
Superbet
1.37
Betano
1.35
Unibet
1.35
+6.8%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
74.6%
1.31
Superbet
1.31
-
-
-
-
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
74.6%
1.31
10Bet
1.35
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.32
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
74.5%
1.16
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
-6.2%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
74.2%
1.31
William Hil
1.35
Betfair
1.33
Superbet
1.33
888Sport
1.33
Betano
1.32
+3.0%
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
73.1%
1.34
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.33
Unibet
1.28
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
71.0%
1.25
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.26
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.25
-3.7%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Boulogne
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Abdel Hbouch25%
Julien Boyer0%
Jonas Martin0%
Demba Thiam0%
Theo Epailly0%
Joffrey Bultel0%
Benjamin Besic0%
Théo Brusco0%
Blondy Nna Noukeu0%
Adrien Pinot0%
Aurelien Platret0%
Nolan Binet0%
Aymane Nassiri0%
Antoine Kerriou0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Benjamin Besic67%
Demba Thiam25%
Abdel Hbouch25%
Joffrey Bultel25%
Théo Brusco25%
Nolan Binet25%
Julien Boyer0%
Jonas Martin0%
Theo Epailly0%
Blondy Nna Noukeu0%
Adrien Pinot0%
Aurelien Platret0%
Aymane Nassiri0%
Antoine Kerriou0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Julien Boyer0%
Jonas Martin0%
Demba Thiam0%
Abdel Hbouch0%
Theo Epailly0%
Joffrey Bultel0%
Benjamin Besic0%
Théo Brusco0%
Blondy Nna Noukeu0%
Adrien Pinot0%
Aurelien Platret0%
Nolan Binet0%
Aymane Nassiri0%
Antoine Kerriou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Abdel Hbouch50%
Benjamin Besic33%
Julien Boyer0%
Jonas Martin0%
Demba Thiam0%
Theo Epailly0%
Joffrey Bultel0%
Théo Brusco0%
Blondy Nna Noukeu0%
Adrien Pinot0%
Aurelien Platret0%
Nolan Binet0%
Aymane Nassiri0%
Antoine Kerriou0%
RED Star FC 93
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Saîf-Eddine Khaoui25%
Kevin Cabral25%
Damien Durand25%
Gaetan Poussin0%
Matthieu Huard0%
Ryad Hachem0%
Dylan Durivaux0%
Kemo Cissé0%
Jovany Ikanga0%
Elyaz Zidane0%
Théo Magnin0%
Islamdine Halifa0%
Cheick Konate0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Elyaz Zidane50%
Cheick Konate50%
Ryad Hachem33%
Gaetan Poussin25%
Saîf-Eddine Khaoui25%
Matthieu Huard25%
Jovany Ikanga25%
Théo Magnin25%
Kevin Cabral0%
Damien Durand0%
Dylan Durivaux0%
Kemo Cissé0%
Islamdine Halifa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kevin Cabral25%
Elyaz Zidane25%
Théo Magnin25%
Gaetan Poussin0%
Saîf-Eddine Khaoui0%
Damien Durand0%
Matthieu Huard0%
Ryad Hachem0%
Dylan Durivaux0%
Kemo Cissé0%
Jovany Ikanga0%
Islamdine Halifa0%
Cheick Konate0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kevin Cabral25%
Kemo Cissé25%
Gaetan Poussin0%
Saîf-Eddine Khaoui0%
Damien Durand0%
Matthieu Huard0%
Ryad Hachem0%
Dylan Durivaux0%
Jovany Ikanga0%
Elyaz Zidane0%
Théo Magnin0%
Islamdine Halifa0%
Cheick Konate0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SE (30)
€93m
NAN (25)
€82m
REI (30)
€72m
MET (26)
€43m
MON (24)
€29m
ROD (23)
€15m
CF (21)
€15m
RSF (22)
€15m
PAU (20)
€14m
NAN (26)
€13m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
DUN (21)
€11m
ANN (21)
€10m
LAV (24)
€9m
BOU (23)
€8m
SOC (20)
€7m
DIJ (20)
€5m
Boulogne's squad is €6m less valuable than RED Star FC 93's (€8m vs €15m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SE (10)
€54m
REI (12)
€38m
NAN (8)
€31m
MET (11)
€17m
MON (9)
€11m
PAU (6)
€6m
GRE (12)
€5m
NAN (9)
€5m
DUN (7)
€4m
RSF (6)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
ANN (7)
€3m
SOC (8)
€3m
BOU (6)
€2m
CF (5)
€2m
LAV (7)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€1m
Boulogne's attack is €2m less valuable than RED Star FC 93's (€2m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MET (5)
€18m
NAN (7)
€16m
REI (6)
€13m
SE (7)
€11m
MON (5)
€6m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
RSF (5)
€3m
ANN (6)
€3m
LAV (7)
€3m
GRE (5)
€3m
CF (4)
€3m
BOU (6)
€3m
NAN (6)
€2m
PAU (4)
€2m
DIJ (6)
€2m
DUN (5)
€1m
SOC (3)
€1m
Boulogne and RED Star FC 93 have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (10)
€34m
SE (13)
€28m
REI (12)
€21m
MON (10)
€12m
CF (12)
€10m
MET (10)
€8m
ROD (10)
€7m
RSF (11)
€7m
NAN (11)
€6m
PAU (10)
€6m
DUN (9)
€5m
LAV (10)
€4m
ANN (8)
€4m
GRE (10)
€4m
SOC (9)
€3m
BOU (11)
€3m
GUI (8)
€3m
DIJ (7)
€2m
Boulogne's defence is €4m less valuable than RED Star FC 93's (€3m vs €7m).
France: Ligue 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Saint Etienne
Reims
Montpellier
Rodez
Nancy
Annecy
Metz
Sochaux
Dunkerque
Guingamp
PAU
Grenoble
Laval
Clermont Foot
Dijon
Nantes