PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Brinje-Grosuplje vs Dekani Result & Analysis

Date: 17/10/2025
Time: 17:30
Final 1-1
Brinje-Grosuplje
Brinje-Grosuplje
Vs
75%
17%
8%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dekani
Dekani
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brinje-Grosuplje win✗ Miss
74.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
17.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dekani win✗ Miss
7.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-532W30W20W30W42W30W21W22D50W42WA·BEL09/08A·ILI16/08H·TRI23/08A·SLO30/08H·RUD05/09A·KRK12/09H·DRA19/09A·GOR26/09H·KRŠ04/10A·JES11/10
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
3.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.470.902.440.442.501.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.671.251.000.172.332.33
vs Weaker (18)3.000.673.300.602.620.75
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Dekani) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DekaniDekani

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W21W12L22D31W03L02L02L00D01LH·DRA09/08A·GOR16/08H·KRŠ23/08A·JES30/08H·ILI06/09H·TAB13/09A·BIS21/09H·NAF27/09A·BIL04/10H·BEL12/10
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.032.001.272.070.801.93
vs Stronger (8)0.752.750.803.200.672.00
vs Similar (21)1.101.711.501.500.731.91
vs Weaker (1)2.002.00--2.002.00
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Brinje-Grosuplje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%5%013%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.9%
Under 1.5
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.3%
Under 2.5
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.0%
Under 3.5
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.4%
No
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
13.3%
3-0
10.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.0%
1-1 ✓
8.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-0
6.4%
0-0
5.4%
Brinje-Grosuplje goals ↓
Dekani goals →
01234
05.4%2.4%1.1%0.2%0.0%
110%8.3%2.5%0.6%0.1%
213%9.0%3.0%0.7%0.1%
311%7.2%2.4%0.5%0.1%
46.4%4.3%1.5%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brinje-Grosuplje goals (down), columns = Dekani goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.50
Nafta
2.50
Triglav
2.13
Beltinci
2.00
Tabor Sežana
1.67
Bistrica
1.50
Rudar
1.23
Dravinja
1.23
Bilje
1.13
Dekani
1.10
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
0.97
Ilirija
0.90
Krško
0.87
Gorica
0.73
Jesenice
0.60
Brinje-Grosuplje is 1.40 points better than Dekani in terms of average points per game (2.50 vs 1.10).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Triglav
2.40
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.33
Nafta
2.17
Beltinci
1.83
Bistrica
1.67
Rudar
1.53
Dekani
1.33
Ilirija
1.27
Tabor Sežana
1.23
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
1.07
Dravinja
1.07
Gorica
1.03
Bilje
0.90
Jesenice
0.87
Krško
0.80
Brinje-Grosuplje is 1.00 goals better than Dekani in terms of goals scored per game (2.33 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nafta
0.77
Beltinci
0.83
Brinje-Grosuplje
0.87
Triglav
0.93
Tabor Sežana
1.10
Bistrica
1.20
Rudar
1.30
Dravinja
1.47
Gorica
1.50
Dekani
1.53
Bilje
1.57
Krka
1.70
Ilirija
1.73
Slovan Ljubljana
1.73
Krško
2.07
Jesenice
2.27
Brinje-Grosuplje is 0.67 goals better than Dekani in terms of goals conceded per game (0.87 vs 1.53).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W10W10W00D21W10W11D11D20W11DA·BEL09/08A·ILI16/08H·TRI23/08A·SLO30/08H·RUD05/09A·KRK12/09H·DRA19/09A·GOR26/09H·KRŠ04/10A·JES11/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.401.120.251.140.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.920.500.500.171.330.83
vs Weaker (18)1.280.331.500.301.000.38
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Dekani) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DekaniDekani

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W01L20W31W01L01L01L00D00DH·DRA09/08A·GOR16/08H·KRŠ23/08A·JES30/08H·ILI06/09H·TAB13/09A·BIS21/09H·NAF27/09A·BIL04/10H·BEL12/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.870.601.000.530.73
vs Stronger (8)0.381.000.401.200.330.67
vs Similar (21)0.570.860.700.900.450.82
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Brinje-Grosuplje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Brinje-Grosuplje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brinje-Grosuplje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brinje-Grosuplje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D20W10W30W21W20W10W11D30W31WA·BEL09/08A·ILI16/08H·TRI23/08A·SLO30/08H·RUD05/09A·KRK12/09H·DRA19/09A·GOR26/09H·KRŠ04/10A·JES11/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.501.310.191.360.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.750.750.500.001.001.50
vs Weaker (18)1.720.331.800.301.620.38
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Dekani) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DekaniDekani

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W11D11D02L00D02L01L01L00D01LH·DRA09/08A·GOR16/08H·KRŠ23/08A·JES30/08H·ILI06/09H·TAB13/09A·BIS21/09H·NAF27/09A·BIL04/10H·BEL12/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.130.671.070.271.20
vs Stronger (8)0.381.750.402.000.331.33
vs Similar (21)0.520.860.800.600.271.09
vs Weaker (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Brinje-Grosuplje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Brinje-Grosuplje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brinje-Grosuplje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brinje-Grosuplje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.9%-------✓ Hit
Home win74.9%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
JES (13)
€1m
SL (13)
€1m
KRŠ (13)
€1m
Brinje-Grosuplje's squad is €2m more valuable than Dekani's (€3m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
JES (5)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
KRŠ (4)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
SL (2)
€0m
Brinje-Grosuplje and Dekani have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
SL (3)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
JES (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
KRŠ (1)
€0m
Brinje-Grosuplje and Dekani have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
KRŠ (8)
€0m
SL (8)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
JES (6)
€0m
Brinje-Grosuplje and Dekani have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
3
BRI wins
3
Draws
0
DEK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Brinje-Grosuplje vs Dekani · H/A from BRI
DateH/AGameScore
03/05/25HBRI Vs Dekani4-0
19/10/24ADekani Vs BRI0-2
21/04/24HBRI Vs Dekani2-1
30/09/23ADekani Vs BRI1-1
30/04/23HBRI Vs Dekani1-1
15/10/22ADekani Vs BRI1-1

Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/10/25AJesenice Vs BRI2-4
04/10/25HBRI Vs Krško5-0
26/09/25AGorica Vs BRI2-2
19/09/25HBRI Vs Dravinja2-1
12/09/25AKrka Vs BRI0-3
05/09/25HBRI Vs Rudar4-2
30/08/25ASlovan Ljubljana Vs BRI0-3
23/08/25HBRI Vs Triglav2-0
16/08/25AIlirija Vs BRI0-3
09/08/25ABeltinci Vs BRI2-3

DekaniDekani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/10/25HDEK Vs Beltinci0-1
04/10/25ABilje Vs DEK0-0
27/09/25HDEK Vs Nafta0-2
21/09/25ABistrica Vs DEK2-0
13/09/25HDEK Vs Tabor Sežana0-3
06/09/25HDEK Vs Ilirija3-1
30/08/25AJesenice Vs DEK2-2
23/08/25HDEK Vs Krško1-2
16/08/25AGorica Vs DEK1-2
09/08/25HDEK Vs Dravinja3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Brinje-Grosuplje
Brinje-Grosuplje
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW2.10
HomeWWWWW2.33
AwayWWWDW1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%71%58%
AVG goals3.262.713.77
Over 1.5 %84%75%92%
Over 2.5 %60%46%73%
Over 3.5 %38%29%46%
Scored2.202.082.31
Conceded1.060.621.46
BTTS50%42%58%
Clean Sheet38%50%27%
Corners---
Cards---
Dekani
Dekani
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL1.02
HomeLWLLL1.19
AwayLWDLD0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%35%21%
AVG goals2.722.852.58
Over 1.5 %72%81%62%
Over 2.5 %52%54%50%
Over 3.5 %28%31%25%
Scored1.041.270.79
Conceded1.681.581.79
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet24%27%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3075
77%
2.5
7026+44
3.2
83%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.30.9
-
2NaftaNafta3075
77%
2.5
6523+42
2.9
90%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.20.8
-
3TriglavTriglav3064
67%
2.1
7228+44
3.3
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.40.9
-
4BeltinciBeltinci3060
60%
2.0
5525+30
2.7
77%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.80.8
-
5Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3050
50%
1.7
3733+4
2.3
67%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.1
-
6BistricaBistrica3045
43%
1.5
5036+14
2.9
83%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.2
-
7RudarRudar3037
30%
1.2
4639+7
2.8
80%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.51.3
-
8DravinjaDravinja3037
33%
1.2
3244-12
2.5
80%
43%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.5
-
9BiljeBilje3034
30%
1.1
2747-20
2.5
60%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.91.6
-
10DekaniDekani3033
27%
1.1
4046-6
2.9
83%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.5
-
11Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana3032
30%
1.1
3252-20
2.8
77%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.7
-
12KrkaKrka3029
20%
1.0
3251-19
2.8
70%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.7
-
13IlirijaIlirija3027
20%
0.9
3852-14
3.0
87%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.7
-
14KrškoKrško3026
23%
0.9
2462-38
2.9
87%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.82.1
-
15GoricaGorica3022
13%
0.7
3145-14
2.5
73%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
16JeseniceJesenice3018
13%
0.6
2668-42
3.1
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.3
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

← all matches