This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Nordsjaelland
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.57
2.29
1.29
1.38
1.81
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.46
1.77
2.17
1.50
0.86
2.00
vs Weaker (17)
2.06
1.41
2.38
1.12
1.78
1.67
Clean sheet %
13% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Brondby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.4%
Under 1.5
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.1%
Under 2.5
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.7%
Under 3.5
67.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.1%
No
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.2%
1-0
9.0%
0-0 ✓
6.7%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
Brondby goals ↓
FC Nordsjaelland goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.7%
4.9%
3.2%
1.1%
0.3%
1
9.0%
12%
5.8%
2.1%
0.6%
2
9.2%
9.8%
5.3%
1.9%
0.5%
3
5.6%
6.0%
3.2%
1.1%
0.3%
4
2.5%
2.7%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brondby goals (down), columns = FC Nordsjaelland goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Copenhagen
1.97
FC Midtjylland
1.94
Brondby
1.59
Silkeborg
1.58
Viborg
1.47
Randers FC
1.45
FC Nordsjaelland
1.44
Aarhus
1.25
Sonderjyske
1.16
Vejle
0.88
Lyngby
0.84
Aalborg
0.75
Brondby is 0.16 points better than FC Nordsjaelland in terms of average points per game (1.59 vs 1.44).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Midtjylland
2.00
FC Copenhagen
1.88
Brondby
1.81
Silkeborg
1.79
Viborg
1.78
Randers FC
1.76
Aarhus
1.66
FC Nordsjaelland
1.66
Sonderjyske
1.47
Vejle
1.16
Aalborg
1.06
Lyngby
0.81
Brondby is 0.16 goals better than FC Nordsjaelland in terms of goals scored per game (1.81 vs 1.66).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Copenhagen
1.03
Silkeborg
1.27
FC Midtjylland
1.31
Lyngby
1.34
Aarhus
1.44
Brondby
1.44
Viborg
1.56
Randers FC
1.61
FC Nordsjaelland
1.75
Sonderjyske
2.00
Vejle
2.00
Aalborg
2.09
Brondby is 0.31 goals better than FC Nordsjaelland in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 1.75).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Nordsjaelland
61%
Brondby
54%
Silkeborg
54%
FC Copenhagen
53%
Aarhus
52%
Viborg
49%
FC Midtjylland
48%
Aalborg
47%
Sonderjyske
47%
Lyngby
47%
Randers FC
46%
Vejle
42%
Brondby is 6.6 percentage points worse than FC Nordsjaelland in terms of average possession (54% vs 61%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Brondby
For 4.8 · Against 6.2 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.9 · Against 8.9 · Total 17.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Nordsjaelland
For 3.7 · Against 3.3 · Total 7.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 10.3 · Total 22.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brondby
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.0
10.4
3.4
3.4
3.4
20.0
19.8
20.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
10.1
9.5
10.6
3.7
3.3
4.0
19.8
19.8
19.8
vs Weaker (20)
10.4
10.8
10.0
3.0
3.6
2.4
20.3
19.8
20.9
% over line
61%
61%
61%
46%
52%
40%
33%
26%
39%
% under line
39%
39%
39%
54%
48%
60%
67%
74%
61%
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Nordsjaelland
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.6
9.0
3.4
2.8
3.9
20.6
19.4
21.9
vs Stronger (1)
12.0
12.0
-
1.0
1.0
-
24.0
24.0
-
vs Similar (23)
9.2
8.3
9.8
3.7
2.5
4.5
21.4
20.1
22.4
vs Weaker (26)
9.4
10.4
8.0
3.2
3.1
3.2
19.7
18.6
21.3
% over line
46%
52%
39%
40%
20%
60%
44%
36%
52%
% under line
54%
48%
61%
60%
80%
40%
56%
64%
48%
This opponent (Brondby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Midtjylland
11.3
Viborg
11.3
Vejle
11.2
Lyngby
10.4
Randers FC
10.3
Brondby
10.0
Aalborg
9.8
Sonderjyske
9.7
FC Nordsjaelland
9.5
Aarhus
9.5
FC Copenhagen
8.9
Silkeborg
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Copenhagen
4.4
Aarhus
4.2
Sonderjyske
4.0
Lyngby
4.0
Viborg
3.9
Brondby
3.8
Randers FC
3.7
Vejle
3.7
FC Nordsjaelland
3.6
FC Midtjylland
3.5
Aalborg
3.4
Silkeborg
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lyngby
23.8
Aarhus
23.3
Randers FC
22.6
Viborg
22.3
Sonderjyske
22.3
Vejle
22.2
FC Copenhagen
21.9
FC Midtjylland
21.7
Aalborg
21.2
FC Nordsjaelland
20.6
Brondby
20.4
Silkeborg
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
47.2%
Under 9.5
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
53.3%
Under 3.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
42.5%
Under 21.5
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Brondby
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.57
0.86
0.43
0.94
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.84
0.63
1.00
0.30
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (11)
1.00
0.45
0.50
0.75
1.29
0.29
Clean sheet %
60% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Nordsjaelland
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.80
1.64
0.71
0.69
0.88
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.23
0.85
2.00
0.83
0.57
0.86
vs Weaker (17)
1.06
0.76
1.38
0.62
0.78
0.89
Clean sheet %
40% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Brondby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Brondby over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brondby over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brondby over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Brondby
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.73
0.86
0.57
1.19
0.88
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.84
0.58
0.80
0.60
0.89
0.56
vs Weaker (11)
1.36
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.57
1.29
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Nordsjaelland) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Nordsjaelland
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.77
0.64
0.57
0.69
0.94
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.23
0.92
0.17
0.67
0.29
1.14
vs Weaker (17)
1.00
0.65
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.78
Clean sheet %
47% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Brondby) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Brondby over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brondby over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brondby over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Nordsjaelland over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 23.5 fouls
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Brondby
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mathias Kvistgaarden50%
Yuito Suzuki31%
Ohi Omoijuanfo25%
Emmanuel Yeboah25%
Nicolai Vallys20%
Mathias Greve17%
Mileta Rajović17%
Noah Nartey12%
Oscar Schwartau12%
Filip Bundgaard11%
Daniel Wass9%
Jordi Vanlerberghe9%
Frederik Alves8%
Clement Bischoff6%
Marko Divković4%
Sebastian Sebulonsen3%
Patrick Pentz0%
Josip Radošević0%
Kevin Tshiembe0%
Jacob Rasmussen0%
Stijn Spierings0%
Sean Klaiber0%
Rasmus Lauritsen0%
Benjamin Tahirović0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jordi Vanlerberghe22%
Kevin Tshiembe20%
Noah Nartey19%
Mathias Greve17%
Stijn Spierings17%
Jacob Rasmussen16%
Rasmus Lauritsen15%
Benjamin Tahirović13%
Mathias Kvistgaarden12%
Emmanuel Yeboah12%
Oscar Schwartau12%
Daniel Wass12%
Clement Bischoff12%
Sean Klaiber10%
Yuito Suzuki9%
Frederik Alves8%
Nicolai Vallys8%
Filip Bundgaard7%
Marko Divković7%
Josip Radošević5%
Mileta Rajović4%
Sebastian Sebulonsen3%
Patrick Pentz3%
Ohi Omoijuanfo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mathias Kvistgaarden19%
Sebastian Sebulonsen16%
Noah Nartey16%
Sean Klaiber14%
Oscar Schwartau12%
Daniel Wass12%
Clement Bischoff12%
Yuito Suzuki11%
Marko Divković11%
Mileta Rajović8%
Nicolai Vallys8%
Filip Bundgaard7%
Benjamin Tahirović7%
Jacob Rasmussen3%
Patrick Pentz0%
Jordi Vanlerberghe0%
Mathias Greve0%
Josip Radošević0%
Frederik Alves0%
Kevin Tshiembe0%
Stijn Spierings0%
Ohi Omoijuanfo0%
Rasmus Lauritsen0%
Emmanuel Yeboah0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mathias Kvistgaarden41%
Ohi Omoijuanfo25%
Yuito Suzuki23%
Mileta Rajović21%
Emmanuel Yeboah12%
Nicolai Vallys8%
Sean Klaiber7%
Noah Nartey6%
Daniel Wass6%
Clement Bischoff6%
Jordi Vanlerberghe4%
Frederik Alves4%
Filip Bundgaard4%
Sebastian Sebulonsen3%
Patrick Pentz0%
Mathias Greve0%
Josip Radošević0%
Kevin Tshiembe0%
Jacob Rasmussen0%
Stijn Spierings0%
Rasmus Lauritsen0%
Marko Divković0%
Benjamin Tahirović0%
Oscar Schwartau0%
FC Nordsjaelland
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Benjamin Nygren43%
Oliver Antman33%
Sindre Walle Egeli29%
Marcus Ingvartsen24%
Stephen Acquah20%
Conrad Harder14%
Milan Iloski12%
Caleb Yirenkyi12%
Levy Nene11%
Peter Ankersen10%
Mads Hansen10%
Gustav Wikheim8%
Jeppe Tverskov7%
Mario Dorgeles7%
Lucas Hey6%
Zidan Sertdemir3%
Erik Marxen0%
Kian Hansen0%
Mark Brink0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Tobias Salquist0%
Oliver Villadsen0%
Daniel Svensson0%
Juho Lähteenmäki0%
Lucas Høgsberg0%
Noah Markmann0%
Araphat Mohammed0%
Justin Janssen0%
Villum Berthelsen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oliver Antman33%
Peter Ankersen31%
Jeppe Tverskov27%
Caleb Yirenkyi24%
Sindre Walle Egeli19%
Lucas Høgsberg18%
Marcus Ingvartsen18%
Lucas Hey18%
Araphat Mohammed17%
Kian Hansen12%
Daniel Svensson12%
Mario Dorgeles10%
Noah Markmann10%
Mark Brink8%
Justin Janssen8%
Levy Nene5%
Benjamin Nygren3%
Zidan Sertdemir3%
Erik Marxen0%
Gustav Wikheim0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Tobias Salquist0%
Oliver Villadsen0%
Mads Hansen0%
Milan Iloski0%
Juho Lähteenmäki0%
Conrad Harder0%
Villum Berthelsen0%
Stephen Acquah0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Oliver Villadsen50%
Conrad Harder43%
Oliver Antman33%
Stephen Acquah20%
Villum Berthelsen17%
Sindre Walle Egeli16%
Peter Ankersen14%
Jeppe Tverskov13%
Mario Dorgeles13%
Lucas Hey12%
Caleb Yirenkyi12%
Benjamin Nygren7%
Marcus Ingvartsen6%
Daniel Svensson6%
Levy Nene5%
Mark Brink4%
Lucas Høgsberg4%
Zidan Sertdemir3%
Erik Marxen0%
Kian Hansen0%
Gustav Wikheim0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Tobias Salquist0%
Mads Hansen0%
Milan Iloski0%
Juho Lähteenmäki0%
Noah Markmann0%
Araphat Mohammed0%
Justin Janssen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Conrad Harder71%
Sindre Walle Egeli42%
Oliver Antman33%
Benjamin Nygren33%
Marcus Ingvartsen24%
Levy Nene21%
Mario Dorgeles17%
Milan Iloski12%
Peter Ankersen7%
Caleb Yirenkyi6%
Erik Marxen0%
Kian Hansen0%
Gustav Wikheim0%
Mark Brink0%
Jeppe Tverskov0%
Andreas Hansen0%
Tobias Salquist0%
Oliver Villadsen0%
Mads Hansen0%
Daniel Svensson0%
Lucas Hey0%
Zidan Sertdemir0%
Juho Lähteenmäki0%
Lucas Høgsberg0%
Noah Markmann0%
Araphat Mohammed0%
Justin Janssen0%
Villum Berthelsen0%
Stephen Acquah0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (26)
€108m
FC (26)
€73m
BRO (29)
€48m
FN (25)
€37m
AAR (28)
€36m
SIL (23)
€19m
VIB (22)
€19m
RF (24)
€14m
SON (26)
€13m
LYN (22)
€13m
AAL (24)
€10m
VEJ (22)
€9m
Brondby's squad is €11m more valuable than FC Nordsjaelland's (€48m vs €37m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€47m
FN (8)
€18m
FC (7)
€17m
BRO (9)
€15m
AAR (10)
€14m
SIL (6)
€6m
VIB (8)
€6m
RF (9)
€5m
VEJ (7)
€3m
SON (6)
€3m
LYN (5)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
Brondby's attack is €3m less valuable than FC Nordsjaelland's (€15m vs €18m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FM (8)
€24m
FC (7)
€17m
AAR (10)
€14m
BRO (5)
€11m
FN (5)
€7m
SIL (6)
€5m
LYN (8)
€5m
SON (7)
€3m
RF (5)
€3m
VIB (4)
€2m
VEJ (6)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
Brondby's midfield is €4m more valuable than FC Nordsjaelland's (€11m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FC (12)
€39m
FM (10)
€37m
BRO (15)
€22m
FN (12)
€12m
VIB (10)
€11m
AAR (8)
€8m
SIL (11)
€8m
SON (13)
€6m
RF (10)
€6m
AAL (12)
€6m
LYN (9)
€5m
VEJ (9)
€4m
Brondby's defence is €10m more valuable than FC Nordsjaelland's (€22m vs €12m).
Denmark: Superliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: Superliga stats & trends →
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FC Copenhagen
FC Midtjylland
Silkeborg
Randers FC
Viborg
Aarhus
Sonderjyske
Vejle
Lyngby
Aalborg