BSC Young Boys are set to dominate the Swiss Super League fixture against FC Basel 1893, with a 60% chance of victory, a 21% chance of a draw and a 19% chance of a Basel win. The model’s favourite result is a home win, and the expected total goals is 3.7, pointing to a high-scoring affair. The single most likely scoreline is 2-1 for the Young Boys, with a 9.3% probability, distinct from the overall goal expectation. Young Boys have been scoring and conceding 1.29 goals each at home against similar opposition, while Basel, on the road, average 0.9 goals scored and 2.4 conceded against similar teams. The model’s selections include: Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.4% (edge 4%), Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.0% (edge 4%), Under 7.5 at 96.0% (edge 2%), Home under 2.5 HT goals at 93.8% (edge 6%), Away under 3.5 goals at 93.6% (edge 1%), Under 6.5 at 90.9% (edge 1%), Home over 0.5 goals at 90.2% (edge 2%) and Home +2 handicap at 89.4% (edge 1%). Young Boys have remained unbeaten in their last five matches, while Basel are riding a two-game winning streak.
Results analysis
The 3-3 draw was a shock to the pre-match favourite, BSC Young Boys, who had a 60% chance of winning. The model’s call was wrong, as the match finished a tie. The upset mirrored the teams’ recent form: both were unbeaten in their last five, each ending with a 3-3 draw against the other. The model’s selections largely held up: Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.2%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.7%), Under 7.5 (96.0%), Away under 3.5 goals (93.7%), Under 6.5 (90.9%), Home over 0.5 goals (90.2%) and Home +2 handicap (89.4%) all hit. Only Home under 2.5 HT goals (94.4%) missed. The expected total of 3.6 was close to the 3-goal outcome, but the most likely 3-goal scoreline did not materialise.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
BSC Young Boys win✗ Miss
60.1%
Avg Implied 59.5% · @ 1.56
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.62
Unibet
1.61
Pinnacle
1.60
William Hil
1.57
Betano
1.57
Draw✓ Hit
20.7%
Avg Implied 20.9% · @ 4.45
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.80
Betfair
4.75
Pinnacle
4.58
Superbet
4.55
1xBet
4.50
FC Basel 1893 win✗ Miss
19.2%
Avg Implied 19.6% · @ 4.75
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.20
Marathonbet
5.05
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.91
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
BSC Young Boys
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.8
Avg scored
3.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.17
1.73
2.25
1.50
2.07
2.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
1.94
1.76
1.14
1.29
2.50
2.10
vs Weaker (13)
2.46
1.69
3.11
1.67
1.00
1.75
Clean sheet %
23% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Basel 1893) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Basel 1893
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.70
1.38
1.38
1.36
2.07
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.50
1.00
2.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (25)
1.36
1.80
1.43
1.43
1.27
2.27
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
13% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (BSC Young Boys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.7%
@ 1.07+1.5%
Under 1.5
11.3%
@ 7.24-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.10
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Under
Bet365
8.00
BetVictor
8.00
Betfair
8.00
Marathonbet
7.40
1xBet
7.40
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
70.5%
@ 1.30-1.4%
Under 2.5
29.5%
@ 3.33+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.31
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Under
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Pinnacle
3.42
BetVictor
3.40
Superbet
3.30
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
49.4%
@ 1.77-3.8%
Under 3.5
50.6%
@ 2.01+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.83
Pinnacle
1.82
10Bet
1.80
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.77
Under
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.07
Marathonbet
2.03
1xBet
2.03
Betano
2.02
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
66.5%
@ 1.36-1.5%
No
33.5%
@ 2.89+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.38
Superbet
1.38
Betfair
1.36
William Hil
1.36
No
Betfair
3.10
BetVictor
3.00
1xBet
2.94
10Bet
2.90
Marathonbet
2.88
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.3%@ 8.42+3.9%
1-1
8.8%@ 9.64+4.0%
3-1
7.3%@ 10.09+2.8%
2-0
7.2%@ 11.35+3.2%
2-2
6.1%@ 11.06+1.9%
3-0
5.7%@ 13.96+2.4%
1-0
5.3%@ 12.97+1.8%
1-2
5.2%@ 14.72+2.0%
BSC Young Boys goals ↓
FC Basel 1893 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.4%
2.6%
2.2%
0.9%
0.3%
1
5.3%
8.8%
5.2%
2.2%
0.7%
2
7.2%
9.3%
6.1%
2.6%
0.8%
3
5.7%
7.3%
4.7%
2.0%
0.7%
4
3.3%
4.3%
2.8%
1.2%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = BSC Young Boys goals (down), columns = FC Basel 1893 goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Lugano
3.00
BSC Young Boys
2.33
FC Sion
1.80
FC Basel 1893
1.67
FC Thun
1.40
FC ST. Gallen
1.40
FC Luzern
1.33
FC Zurich
1.00
Lausanne
1.00
Grasshoppers
0.80
Servette FC
0.80
FC Vaduz
0.50
BSC Young Boys is 0.67 points better than FC Basel 1893 in terms of average points per game (2.33 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
BSC Young Boys
3.83
FC Lugano
2.80
FC Sion
2.20
FC Vaduz
2.17
FC ST. Gallen
2.00
FC Basel 1893
1.83
FC Thun
1.80
FC Zurich
1.50
Grasshoppers
1.40
FC Luzern
1.17
Lausanne
1.00
Servette FC
0.80
BSC Young Boys is 2.00 goals better than FC Basel 1893 in terms of goals scored per game (3.83 vs 1.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Lugano
0.60
Lausanne
1.17
Servette FC
1.20
FC Basel 1893
1.50
FC Luzern
1.67
FC Sion
1.80
BSC Young Boys
1.83
FC ST. Gallen
2.20
Grasshoppers
2.40
FC Zurich
2.67
FC Vaduz
2.67
FC Thun
2.80
BSC Young Boys is 0.33 goals worse than FC Basel 1893 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.83 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Sion
57%
FC ST. Gallen
56%
FC Lugano
55%
FC Vaduz
53%
Servette FC
53%
Lausanne
51%
FC Basel 1893
49%
BSC Young Boys
49%
FC Thun
46%
Grasshoppers
45%
FC Zurich
44%
FC Luzern
44%
BSC Young Boys is 0.5 percentage points worse than FC Basel 1893 in terms of average possession (49% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
BSC Young Boys
For 4.8 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 11.2 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Basel 1893
For 5.6 · Against 5.5 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 3.3 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 15.2 · Total 26.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
BSC Young Boys
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.8
9.5
4.1
3.8
4.4
24.1
23.2
25.0
vs Stronger (1)
7.0
-
7.0
3.0
-
3.0
23.0
-
23.0
vs Similar (30)
9.7
9.4
10.0
4.6
4.5
4.6
24.5
24.1
24.9
vs Weaker (19)
9.6
10.2
8.8
3.4
2.8
4.1
23.5
22.1
25.5
% over line
58%
68%
48%
56%
52%
60%
62%
52%
72%
% under line
42%
32%
52%
44%
48%
40%
38%
48%
28%
This opponent (FC Basel 1893) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Basel 1893
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.1
10.5
4.8
5.1
4.5
26.6
27.0
26.2
vs Stronger (3)
7.3
6.0
8.0
4.0
6.0
3.0
23.7
26.0
22.5
vs Similar (42)
10.4
10.1
10.8
4.7
5.0
4.3
26.8
27.6
25.9
vs Weaker (5)
11.2
12.0
10.7
6.2
5.5
6.7
26.4
20.0
30.7
% over line
56%
52%
60%
74%
80%
68%
86%
92%
80%
% under line
44%
48%
40%
26%
20%
32%
14%
8%
20%
This opponent (BSC Young Boys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Zurich
10.8
Lausanne
10.6
FC ST. Gallen
10.5
FC Luzern
10.4
Servette FC
10.4
FC Basel 1893
10.3
FC Thun
10.3
FC Vaduz
9.8
Grasshoppers
9.7
BSC Young Boys
9.6
FC Sion
9.5
FC Lugano
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC ST. Gallen
5.9
Grasshoppers
5.2
Lausanne
5.1
FC Thun
5.0
FC Zurich
4.9
FC Basel 1893
4.9
FC Vaduz
4.9
FC Lugano
4.6
Servette FC
4.6
FC Luzern
4.6
FC Sion
4.5
BSC Young Boys
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC ST. Gallen
30.3
FC Thun
28.0
FC Zurich
27.5
FC Basel 1893
26.6
FC Sion
26.5
FC Lugano
25.2
Grasshoppers
25.0
Lausanne
24.5
FC Vaduz
24.4
BSC Young Boys
24.1
FC Luzern
24.0
Servette FC
23.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
61.6%
@ 1.68+6.3%
Under 9.5
38.4%
@ 2.08-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.80
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.67
Betano
1.65
Under
Pinnacle
2.17
Betano
2.15
Marathonbet
2.15
1xBet
2.13
Unibet
2.10
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
67.5%
Under 3.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
76.4%
Under 21.5
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
BSC Young Boys or Draw✓ Hit
76.8%
Avg Implied 80.0% · @ 1.17
Edge
-3.3%
60%
21%
19%
covers BSC Young Boys + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
BSC Young Boys or FC Basel 1893✗ Miss
78.8%
Avg Implied 79.7% · @ 1.17
Edge
-0.9%
60%
21%
19%
covers BSC Young Boys + FC Basel 1893
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Draw or FC Basel 1893✓ Hit
44.4%
Avg Implied 40.3% · @ 2.32
Edge
+4.2%
60%
21%
19%
covers Draw + FC Basel 1893
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.50
Betano
2.47
Bet365
2.38
1xBet
2.38
Marathonbet
2.38
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
BSC Young Boys over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
90.2%
@ 1.05+1.0%
Under
9.8%
@ 8.68-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Under
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.50
Superbet
8.40
1xBet
8.00
Betano
7.50
BSC Young Boys over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
67.4%
@ 1.34-2.0%
Under
32.6%
@ 3.04+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.38
10Bet
1.36
Unibet
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.35
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.19
BetVictor
3.10
Marathonbet
3.10
BSC Young Boys over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
41.0%
@ 2.09-3.8%
Under
59.0%
@ 1.69+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.15
Pinnacle
2.15
Bet365
2.10
Unibet
2.10
Superbet
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
1xBet
1.72
Betano
1.72
BetVictor
1.70
BSC Young Boys over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
20.5%
@ 3.72-4.5%
Under
79.5%
@ 1.24+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.98
10Bet
3.95
BetVictor
3.80
Unibet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Under
1xBet
1.27
Betano
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
FC Basel 1893 over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.3%
@ 1.27+4.1%
Under
22.7%
@ 3.46-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
Under
Pinnacle
3.62
BetVictor
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
FC Basel 1893 over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
43.6%
@ 2.32+3.5%
Under
56.4%
@ 1.55-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.48
Bet365
2.38
Marathonbet
2.36
1xBet
2.36
Superbet
2.35
Under
10Bet
1.60
Betano
1.57
Unibet
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
FC Basel 1893 over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
18.7%
@ 5.23+0.9%
Under
81.3%
@ 1.13-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.55
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.30
BetVictor
5.25
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.13
FC Basel 1893 over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.3%
@ 12.50-1.3%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.03+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to BSC Young Boys, so a minus line means BSC Young Boys give that many goals of a start and FC Basel 1893 receive them. At -1, BSC Young Boys must win by two or more to land; a one-goal BSC Young Boys win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (BSC Young Boys)Actual: FC Basel 1893
BSC Young Boys -2
18.8%
@ 3.98-3.8%
Draw -2
16.6%
@ 4.67-2.6%
FC Basel 1893 +2
64.6%
@ 1.54+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
4.33
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
4.00
Superbet
3.80
Draw
Marathonbet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.60
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Away
Bet365
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.54
10Bet
1.50
Handicap -1 (BSC Young Boys)Actual: FC Basel 1893
BSC Young Boys -1
35.4%
@ 2.32-3.3%
Draw -1
20.2%
@ 4.03-2.1%
FC Basel 1893 +1
44.4%
@ 2.30+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.45
Bet365
2.40
Unibet
2.33
Superbet
2.27
Betfair
2.25
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
Superbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
3.85
Away
Betfair
2.40
Marathonbet
2.38
Superbet
2.35
10Bet
2.25
Unibet
2.23
Handicap +1 (BSC Young Boys)Actual: BSC Young Boys
BSC Young Boys +1
76.8%
@ 1.18+1.3%
Draw +1
12.6%
@ 6.36-1.3%
FC Basel 1893 -1
10.6%
@ 8.38+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Unibet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Betfair
7.50
Superbet
6.30
Unibet
6.10
10Bet
6.00
Away
Betfair
11.00
Bet365
10.00
Unibet
8.00
Superbet
7.70
10Bet
7.50
Handicap +2 (BSC Young Boys)Actual: BSC Young Boys
BSC Young Boys +2
89.4%
@ 1.04-0.4%
Draw +2
6.8%
@ 14.50+0.3%
FC Basel 1893 -2
3.8%
@ 24.50+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.04
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
14.00
Away
Betfair
26.00
Bet365
23.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
BSC Young Boys
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.80
0.75
0.62
0.71
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.76
0.43
0.43
0.90
1.00
vs Weaker (13)
0.77
0.85
1.00
0.78
0.25
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Basel 1893) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Basel 1893
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.73
0.56
0.50
0.43
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (25)
0.48
0.72
0.57
0.50
0.36
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (BSC Young Boys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.1%
@ 1.17-3.4%
Under 0.5
23.9%
@ 4.55+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.17
Under
Betfair
5.20
William Hil
4.75
BetVictor
4.75
Superbet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
44.5%
@ 1.84-6.1%
Under 1.5
55.5%
@ 1.89+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.93
SBO
1.89
Pinnacle
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
Under
Pinnacle
1.96
SBO
1.93
Betfair
1.91
10Bet
1.91
Superbet
1.90
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
17.4%
@ 3.62-8.1%
Under 2.5
82.6%
@ 1.24+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.65
1xBet
3.64
Marathonbet
3.64
Superbet
3.60
Under
Superbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Betano
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.25
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
BSC Young Boys over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
56.7%
@ 1.43-8.6%
Under
43.3%
@ 2.68+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.44
1xBet
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Unibet
1.41
Under
Pinnacle
2.83
Superbet
2.70
1xBet
2.65
10Bet
2.65
Unibet
2.63
BSC Young Boys over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
21.1%
@ 2.97-10.0%
Under
78.9%
@ 1.34+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.05
10Bet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.98
Superbet
2.90
1xBet
2.90
Under
Superbet
1.36
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
BSC Young Boys over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
5.6%
@ 7.33-7.0%
Under
94.4%
@ 1.06+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.70
10Bet
7.50
Superbet
7.10
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
FC Basel 1893 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
40.4%
@ 2.03-5.4%
Under
59.6%
@ 1.71+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.14
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.05
Superbet
2.05
1xBet
2.00
Under
10Bet
1.80
1xBet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.71
Unibet
1.70
Betano
1.70
FC Basel 1893 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
11.1%
@ 6.20-3.8%
Under
88.9%
@ 1.09+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.00
Superbet
6.30
Betano
6.10
1xBet
6.10
10Bet
5.50
Under
10Bet
1.11
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
FC Basel 1893 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 17.33-3.7%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
21.00
10Bet
19.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
BSC Young Boys
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
0.93
1.50
0.88
1.36
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
1.24
1.00
0.71
0.86
1.60
1.10
vs Weaker (13)
1.69
0.85
2.11
0.89
0.75
0.75
Clean sheet %
37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Basel 1893) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Basel 1893
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.97
0.81
0.88
0.93
1.07
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.88
1.08
0.86
0.93
0.91
1.27
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (BSC Young Boys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
83.2%
@ 1.09-2.7%
Under 0.5
16.8%
@ 6.66+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Under
1xBet
7.30
Bet365
7.00
Betano
6.50
Superbet
6.50
William Hil
6.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
58.1%
@ 1.49-4.3%
Under 1.5
41.9%
@ 2.47+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.51
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Unibet
1.48
Under
Betano
2.57
Bet365
2.50
1xBet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.50
Superbet
2.45
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
27.7%
@ 2.48-9.7%
Under 2.5
72.3%
@ 1.49+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.55
William Hil
2.50
Bet365
2.50
1xBet
2.47
Marathonbet
2.47
Under
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.48
Superbet
1.47
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
BSC Young Boys over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
66.0%
@ 1.27-6.9%
Under
34.0%
@ 3.44+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Betano
1.27
Under
Betano
3.55
Superbet
3.40
1xBet
3.40
10Bet
3.40
BSC Young Boys over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
31.9%
@ 2.27-9.0%
Under
68.1%
@ 1.57+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.35
Superbet
2.30
1xBet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.22
Betano
2.20
Under
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.57
1xBet
1.56
Superbet
1.55
10Bet
1.53
BSC Young Boys over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.3%
@ 5.01-6.2%
Under
87.7%
@ 1.14+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
5.25
1xBet
5.10
Superbet
5.10
Betano
4.60
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
FC Basel 1893 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
49.8%
@ 1.72-4.1%
Under
50.2%
@ 2.01+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.73
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.71
10Bet
1.70
Under
10Bet
2.05
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
1.97
Superbet
1.97
FC Basel 1893 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.6%
@ 4.54-4.8%
Under
84.4%
@ 1.16+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.90
Superbet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Betano
4.30
Under
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.13
FC Basel 1893 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.3%
@ 11.92-4.6%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.02+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
10Bet
12.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
96.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.4%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
-
+7.0%
✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals
93.7%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
90.9%
1.07
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
90.2%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.04
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
89.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.04
-
-
-
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.9%
1.09
10Bet
1.11
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
+3.8%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
88.7%
1.07
10Bet
1.10
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
87.7%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
-
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.4%
1.16
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.13
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
83.2%
1.09
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.06
-2.7%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
82.6%
1.24
Superbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Betano
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+8.1%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
81.5%
1.17
Betfair
1.20
Betano
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
+2.1%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
81.3%
1.13
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.13
-0.9%
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
79.5%
1.24
1xBet
1.27
Betano
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
78.9%
1.34
Superbet
1.36
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
+10.0%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
78.8%
1.17
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.18
-0.9%
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
77.3%
1.27
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
76.8%
1.17
Betano
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.17
-3.3%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
76.8%
1.18
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Unibet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.14
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
76.1%
1.17
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.17
-3.4%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
73.2%
1.38
Superbet
1.46
Betano
1.38
1xBet
1.37
Unibet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.32
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
72.3%
1.49
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.48
Superbet
1.47
+9.7%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
70.5%
1.30
Pinnacle
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.31
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
-1.4%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
BSC Young Boys
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joël Monteiro60%
S. Essende50%
A. Sanches50%
Cedric Zesiger33%
Kastriot Imeri33%
Mamadou Kaly Sene33%
Lewin Blum33%
A. Virginius33%
Christian Fassnacht25%
E. Fernandes20%
Armin Gigović17%
D. Pech17%
Loris Benito0%
G. Wüthrich0%
S. Lauper0%
M. Keller0%
I. Schmidt0%
Jaouen Hadjam0%
Stefan Bukinac0%
Edin Etoski0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lewin Blum50%
Kastriot Imeri33%
Christian Fassnacht25%
Joël Monteiro20%
Stefan Bukinac20%
S. Essende17%
Armin Gigović17%
A. Sanches17%
D. Pech17%
Loris Benito0%
G. Wüthrich0%
S. Lauper0%
E. Fernandes0%
Cedric Zesiger0%
Mamadou Kaly Sene0%
M. Keller0%
I. Schmidt0%
Jaouen Hadjam0%
A. Virginius0%
Edin Etoski0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mamadou Kaly Sene67%
S. Essende50%
Lewin Blum50%
Stefan Bukinac40%
Kastriot Imeri33%
A. Sanches33%
E. Fernandes20%
Joël Monteiro20%
D. Pech17%
Loris Benito0%
G. Wüthrich0%
Christian Fassnacht0%
S. Lauper0%
Cedric Zesiger0%
Armin Gigović0%
M. Keller0%
I. Schmidt0%
Jaouen Hadjam0%
A. Virginius0%
Edin Etoski0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
S. Essende83%
Joël Monteiro60%
Kastriot Imeri33%
Mamadou Kaly Sene33%
Jaouen Hadjam33%
A. Sanches33%
Christian Fassnacht25%
Armin Gigović17%
Loris Benito0%
G. Wüthrich0%
S. Lauper0%
E. Fernandes0%
Cedric Zesiger0%
M. Keller0%
Lewin Blum0%
I. Schmidt0%
A. Virginius0%
Stefan Bukinac0%
D. Pech0%
Edin Etoski0%
FC Basel 1893
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ž. Celar67%
Asane Sow50%
K. Olaigbe33%
X. Shaqiri17%
A. Victory17%
B. Omeragić0%
Leo Leroy0%
M. Salvi0%
N. Vouilloz0%
P. Otele0%
Flavius Daniliuc0%
K. Tsunemoto0%
Metinho0%
Moussa Cissé0%
Ludwig Thorell0%
Jonas Harder0%
G. Koloto0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
A. Victory50%
Metinho40%
Leo Leroy33%
Ludwig Thorell33%
B. Omeragić25%
Moussa Cissé17%
X. Shaqiri0%
Ž. Celar0%
M. Salvi0%
N. Vouilloz0%
P. Otele0%
Flavius Daniliuc0%
K. Olaigbe0%
K. Tsunemoto0%
Jonas Harder0%
G. Koloto0%
Asane Sow0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Leo Leroy33%
Asane Sow25%
Metinho20%
Ž. Celar17%
Flavius Daniliuc17%
K. Olaigbe17%
A. Victory17%
X. Shaqiri0%
B. Omeragić0%
M. Salvi0%
N. Vouilloz0%
P. Otele0%
K. Tsunemoto0%
Moussa Cissé0%
Ludwig Thorell0%
Jonas Harder0%
G. Koloto0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Asane Sow50%
Ž. Celar17%
X. Shaqiri0%
B. Omeragić0%
Leo Leroy0%
M. Salvi0%
N. Vouilloz0%
P. Otele0%
Flavius Daniliuc0%
K. Olaigbe0%
K. Tsunemoto0%
Metinho0%
Moussa Cissé0%
Ludwig Thorell0%
Jonas Harder0%
A. Victory0%
G. Koloto0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (28)
€66m
FB1 (26)
€49m
FL (26)
€39m
FSG (28)
€32m
FS (28)
€30m
LAU (23)
€27m
FL (28)
€26m
SF (27)
€21m
FT (25)
€17m
GRA (35)
€16m
FZ (27)
€15m
FV (26)
€6m
BSC Young Boys's squad is €17m more valuable than FC Basel 1893's (€66m vs €49m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (11)
€16m
FL (11)
€15m
BYB (4)
€15m
FS (10)
€15m
FSG (11)
€12m
LAU (8)
€9m
FL (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€7m
FZ (7)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
FT (7)
€4m
FV (9)
€2m
BSC Young Boys's attack is €1m less valuable than FC Basel 1893's (€15m vs €16m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (8)
€18m
FB1 (5)
€16m
SF (9)
€7m
FL (5)
€7m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (6)
€6m
LAU (5)
€5m
FT (8)
€5m
GRA (10)
€4m
FL (5)
€3m
FZ (6)
€3m
FV (8)
€2m
BSC Young Boys's midfield is €2m more valuable than FC Basel 1893's (€18m vs €16m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (16)
€33m
FL (14)
€24m
FB1 (10)
€16m
FSG (11)
€14m
LAU (10)
€13m
FS (12)
€9m
SF (12)
€8m
FL (12)
€8m
FT (10)
€8m
GRA (15)
€7m
FZ (14)
€6m
FV (9)
€2m
BSC Young Boys's defence is €17m more valuable than FC Basel 1893's (€33m vs €16m).
Switzerland: Super League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Lugano
FC Sion
FC Luzern
FC ST. Gallen
FC Thun
Lausanne
FC Zurich
Servette FC
Grasshoppers
FC Vaduz