This opponent (FC Thun) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Thun
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.20
1.13
2.19
1.12
2.21
1.14
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
2.17
1.22
2.31
1.31
2.00
1.10
vs Weaker (7)
2.29
0.86
1.67
0.33
2.75
1.25
Clean sheet %
23% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (BSC Young Boys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.6%
Under 1.5
13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
66.5%
Under 2.5
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
44.7%
Under 3.5
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
67.9%
No
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
1-2 ✓
7.6%
2-2
6.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
5.2%
1-0
5.0%
0-1
4.3%
BSC Young Boys goals ↓
FC Thun goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.2%
4.3%
4.2%
2.2%
0.9%
1
5.0%
10%
7.6%
4.1%
1.6%
2
5.4%
8.7%
6.9%
3.7%
1.5%
3
3.3%
5.2%
4.2%
2.3%
0.9%
4
1.5%
2.4%
1.9%
1.0%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = BSC Young Boys goals (down), columns = FC Thun goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Thun
1.97
FC ST. Gallen
1.84
FC Lugano
1.76
FC Sion
1.66
FC Basel 1893
1.47
BSC Young Boys
1.45
FC Luzern
1.39
Servette FC
1.39
Lausanne
1.11
FC Zurich
1.00
FC Aarau
1.00
Grasshoppers
0.88
FC Winterthur
0.61
BSC Young Boys is 0.53 points worse than FC Thun in terms of average points per game (1.45 vs 1.97).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Thun
2.11
BSC Young Boys
2.11
FC Luzern
2.00
FC ST. Gallen
1.89
Servette FC
1.87
FC Sion
1.66
FC Lugano
1.55
FC Basel 1893
1.45
Lausanne
1.39
FC Zurich
1.29
Grasshoppers
1.23
FC Winterthur
1.16
FC Aarau
0.50
BSC Young Boys and FC Thun are level in goals scored per game (both 2.11).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Aarau
0.50
FC Sion
1.05
FC Lugano
1.11
FC ST. Gallen
1.24
FC Thun
1.37
FC Basel 1893
1.53
Servette FC
1.66
FC Luzern
1.74
Lausanne
1.76
BSC Young Boys
1.82
Grasshoppers
1.88
FC Zurich
1.89
FC Winterthur
2.63
BSC Young Boys is 0.45 goals worse than FC Thun in terms of goals conceded per game (1.82 vs 1.37).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Lugano
56%
BSC Young Boys
55%
FC Basel 1893
55%
Servette FC
52%
FC Sion
51%
FC Zurich
51%
FC Luzern
50%
Lausanne
50%
FC Thun
46%
FC Aarau
46%
Grasshoppers
45%
FC ST. Gallen
45%
FC Winterthur
44%
BSC Young Boys is 9.0 percentage points better than FC Thun in terms of average possession (55% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
BSC Young Boys
For 6.0 · Against 4.0 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 12.7 · Total 23.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Thun
For 6.7 · Against 4.0 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 11.6 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
BSC Young Boys
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.8
9.6
3.8
3.6
4.0
23.8
23.2
24.3
vs Stronger (1)
7.0
-
7.0
3.0
-
3.0
23.0
-
23.0
vs Similar (26)
9.6
9.1
10.2
4.2
4.2
4.3
23.8
23.5
24.1
vs Weaker (23)
9.8
10.5
9.2
3.4
3.0
3.8
23.8
22.8
24.8
% over line
52%
58%
46%
52%
50%
54%
62%
54%
69%
% under line
48%
42%
54%
48%
50%
46%
38%
46%
31%
This opponent (FC Thun) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Thun
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.8
9.4
2.7
2.7
2.6
28.0
28.6
27.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
10.3
11.1
9.3
4.9
4.8
5.0
28.5
28.5
28.5
vs Weaker (27)
9.4
9.0
9.7
0.8
0.7
0.9
25.8
29.5
23.3
% over line
57%
67%
46%
40%
38%
42%
89%
93%
85%
% under line
43%
33%
54%
60%
62%
58%
11%
7%
15%
This opponent (BSC Young Boys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Zurich
10.9
Lausanne
10.8
Servette FC
10.7
FC ST. Gallen
10.2
FC Thun
10.1
FC Winterthur
10.1
FC Luzern
10.0
FC Basel 1893
9.8
FC Sion
9.8
Grasshoppers
9.7
BSC Young Boys
9.7
FC Lugano
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC ST. Gallen
5.7
FC Aarau
5.0
Lausanne
5.0
Grasshoppers
4.9
FC Basel 1893
4.9
FC Lugano
4.8
FC Luzern
4.8
FC Thun
4.8
FC Zurich
4.8
FC Sion
4.6
Servette FC
4.5
FC Winterthur
4.1
BSC Young Boys
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Thun
28.0
FC ST. Gallen
28.0
FC Zurich
26.9
FC Basel 1893
26.8
FC Sion
26.3
FC Lugano
25.1
Grasshoppers
24.8
FC Luzern
24.3
Lausanne
24.1
FC Winterthur
24.0
BSC Young Boys
23.8
Servette FC
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.8%
Under 9.5
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.3%
Under 3.5
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
78.2%
Under 21.5
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
BSC Young Boys
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.03
0.79
0.71
0.62
1.31
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
-
-
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (16)
0.50
1.00
0.38
0.88
0.62
1.12
vs Weaker (13)
1.00
1.00
1.33
0.50
0.71
1.43
Clean sheet %
47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Thun) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Thun
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.57
0.94
0.62
0.93
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.87
0.65
0.92
0.77
0.80
0.50
vs Weaker (7)
1.14
0.29
1.00
0.00
1.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (BSC Young Boys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
BSC Young Boys over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BSC Young Boys over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BSC Young Boys over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Thun over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Thun over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Thun over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
BSC Young Boys
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.00
1.50
0.79
0.94
1.19
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (16)
0.81
1.25
1.00
0.88
0.62
1.62
vs Weaker (13)
1.69
0.77
2.17
0.67
1.29
0.86
Clean sheet %
43% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Thun) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Thun
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.57
1.25
0.50
1.29
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
1.30
0.57
1.38
0.54
1.20
0.60
vs Weaker (7)
1.14
0.57
0.67
0.33
1.50
0.75
Clean sheet %
57% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (BSC Young Boys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
BSC Young Boys over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BSC Young Boys over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BSC Young Boys over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Thun over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Thun over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Thun over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
BSC Young Boys
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christian Fassnacht40%
Chris Bedia34%
Alvyn Sanches27%
Darian Maleš22%
Joël Monteiro16%
Samuel Essende15%
Alan Virginius15%
Ebrima Colley11%
Jaouen Hadjam8%
Sergio Córdova7%
Edimilson Fernandes6%
Dominik Pech6%
Armin Gigović5%
Sandro Lauper5%
Rayan Raveloson3%
Saidy Janko3%
Loris Benito0%
Gregory Wüthrich0%
Yan Valery0%
Marvin Keller0%
Tanguy Zoukrou0%
Stefan Bukinac0%
Ryan Andrews0%
Zachary Athekame0%
Rhodri Smith0%
Felix Tsimba0%
Olivier Mambwa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Zachary Athekame25%
Rayan Raveloson23%
Jaouen Hadjam23%
Joël Monteiro21%
Edimilson Fernandes19%
Saidy Janko18%
Sandro Lauper18%
Gregory Wüthrich17%
Rhodri Smith17%
Felix Tsimba17%
Samuel Essende15%
Loris Benito15%
Yan Valery14%
Olivier Mambwa14%
Chris Bedia11%
Armin Gigović11%
Christian Fassnacht8%
Ebrima Colley5%
Tanguy Zoukrou5%
Marvin Keller4%
Sergio Córdova3%
Alvyn Sanches3%
Darian Maleš3%
Alan Virginius0%
Stefan Bukinac0%
Ryan Andrews0%
Dominik Pech0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Edimilson Fernandes28%
Alan Virginius21%
Alvyn Sanches18%
Christian Fassnacht18%
Yan Valery14%
Olivier Mambwa14%
Jaouen Hadjam12%
Armin Gigović11%
Chris Bedia9%
Darian Maleš8%
Joël Monteiro8%
Samuel Essende8%
Sandro Lauper8%
Gregory Wüthrich7%
Sergio Córdova7%
Ryan Andrews6%
Saidy Janko3%
Dominik Pech3%
Loris Benito2%
Rayan Raveloson0%
Marvin Keller0%
Ebrima Colley0%
Tanguy Zoukrou0%
Stefan Bukinac0%
Zachary Athekame0%
Rhodri Smith0%
Felix Tsimba0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Samuel Essende38%
Christian Fassnacht20%
Chris Bedia16%
Alan Virginius13%
Alvyn Sanches9%
Armin Gigović8%
Joël Monteiro8%
Darian Maleš5%
Ebrima Colley5%
Jaouen Hadjam4%
Rayan Raveloson3%
Edimilson Fernandes3%
Loris Benito0%
Gregory Wüthrich0%
Sandro Lauper0%
Sergio Córdova0%
Yan Valery0%
Saidy Janko0%
Marvin Keller0%
Tanguy Zoukrou0%
Stefan Bukinac0%
Ryan Andrews0%
Dominik Pech0%
Zachary Athekame0%
Rhodri Smith0%
Felix Tsimba0%
Olivier Mambwa0%
FC Thun
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Elmin Rastoder39%
Leonardo Bertone30%
Christopher Ibayi30%
Franz-Ethan Meichtry23%
Kastriot Imeri20%
Valmir Matoshi15%
Genís Montolio14%
Nils Reichmuth12%
Brighton Labeau8%
Furkan Dursun8%
Mattias Käit7%
Fabio Fehr7%
Michael Heule6%
Marco Bürki6%
Lucien Dähler5%
Justin Roth4%
Jan Bamert3%
Vasilije Janjičić0%
Dominik Franke0%
Layton Stewart0%
Niklas Steffen0%
Tim Spycher0%
Noah Rupp0%
Marc Gutbub0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marco Bürki33%
Michael Heule26%
Leonardo Bertone24%
Franz-Ethan Meichtry23%
Fabio Fehr21%
Valmir Matoshi21%
Dominik Franke17%
Christopher Ibayi17%
Justin Roth14%
Kastriot Imeri13%
Niklas Steffen11%
Genís Montolio11%
Lucien Dähler11%
Mattias Käit10%
Nils Reichmuth9%
Jan Bamert9%
Elmin Rastoder8%
Marc Gutbub7%
Noah Rupp6%
Brighton Labeau6%
Vasilije Janjičić0%
Layton Stewart0%
Tim Spycher0%
Furkan Dursun0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Michael Heule23%
Fabio Fehr21%
Kastriot Imeri20%
Elmin Rastoder14%
Christopher Ibayi13%
Lucien Dähler11%
Nils Reichmuth9%
Valmir Matoshi9%
Furkan Dursun8%
Marco Bürki6%
Leonardo Bertone6%
Franz-Ethan Meichtry6%
Brighton Labeau6%
Genís Montolio4%
Justin Roth4%
Mattias Käit3%
Jan Bamert3%
Niklas Steffen3%
Vasilije Janjičić0%
Dominik Franke0%
Layton Stewart0%
Tim Spycher0%
Noah Rupp0%
Marc Gutbub0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Elmin Rastoder22%
Leonardo Bertone18%
Brighton Labeau17%
Kastriot Imeri13%
Christopher Ibayi13%
Michael Heule13%
Nils Reichmuth9%
Franz-Ethan Meichtry9%
Furkan Dursun8%
Mattias Käit7%
Jan Bamert6%
Lucien Dähler5%
Justin Roth4%
Valmir Matoshi3%
Marco Bürki0%
Vasilije Janjičić0%
Dominik Franke0%
Genís Montolio0%
Layton Stewart0%
Niklas Steffen0%
Fabio Fehr0%
Tim Spycher0%
Noah Rupp0%
Marc Gutbub0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (28)
€66m
FB1 (26)
€49m
FL (26)
€39m
FSG (28)
€32m
FS (28)
€30m
LAU (23)
€27m
FL (28)
€26m
SF (27)
€21m
FT (25)
€17m
GRA (35)
€16m
FZ (27)
€15m
FW (25)
€6m
FA (23)
€6m
BSC Young Boys's squad is €49m more valuable than FC Thun's (€66m vs €17m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FB1 (11)
€16m
FL (11)
€15m
BYB (4)
€15m
FS (10)
€15m
FSG (11)
€12m
LAU (8)
€9m
FL (7)
€8m
SF (6)
€7m
FZ (7)
€6m
GRA (10)
€4m
FT (7)
€4m
FW (9)
€2m
FA (6)
€2m
BSC Young Boys's attack is €11m more valuable than FC Thun's (€15m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (8)
€18m
FB1 (5)
€16m
SF (9)
€7m
FL (5)
€7m
FSG (6)
€6m
FS (6)
€6m
LAU (5)
€5m
FT (8)
€5m
GRA (10)
€4m
FL (5)
€3m
FZ (6)
€3m
FW (7)
€2m
FA (4)
€1m
BSC Young Boys's midfield is €13m more valuable than FC Thun's (€18m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BYB (16)
€33m
FL (14)
€24m
FB1 (10)
€16m
FSG (11)
€14m
LAU (10)
€13m
FS (12)
€9m
SF (12)
€8m
FL (12)
€8m
FT (10)
€8m
GRA (15)
€7m
FZ (14)
€6m
FA (13)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
BSC Young Boys's defence is €25m more valuable than FC Thun's (€33m vs €8m).
Switzerland: Super League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Super League stats & trends →
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FC ST. Gallen
FC Lugano
FC Sion
FC Basel 1893
FC Luzern
Servette FC
Lausanne
FC Zurich
Grasshoppers
FC Winterthur
FC Aarau