Cardiff’s recent five-game run of LDDWL, ending with a 1-2 loss to Norwich, sets a cautious tone, while Norwich’s WLLWL streak, capped by a 2-1 win over Cardiff, suggests a slight edge for the visitors. The model sees a home win as the most likely outcome, with probabilities of 48% for Cardiff, 26% for a draw and 25% for Norwich. The expected total of 2.9 goals points to a moderate-scoring affair, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.5% chance. Cardiff averages 1.38 goals scored and 0.75 conceded at home against similarly matched opponents, whereas Norwich averages 1.69 goals scored and 1.15 conceded on the road against similar opposition. The model’s suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.1%), Under 6.5 (97.3% with a 3% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (96.8% with a 7% edge), Under 5.5 (92.9% with a 4% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (90.9%), Home +2 handicap (89.4% with a 13% edge), Away under 2.5 goals (88.5% with a 12% edge) and Under 5.5 cards (87.7%). The model’s strongest disagreement with the market lies in the Home +2 handicap, where the edge of 13% signals a notable advantage for Cardiff’s potential to cover that margin.
Results analysis
The upset came early as Norwich edged Cardiff 2-1, overturning the model’s home-win prediction that had a 48% chance. The pre-match favourite was Cardiff, but the model was wrong. The final score of 1-2 confirmed the away win. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.1%, Under 6.5 at 97.3%, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.8%, Under 5.5 at 92.9%, Home under 3.5 goals at 90.9%, Home +2 handicap at 89.4%, Away under 2.5 goals at 88.5% and Under 5.5 cards at 87.7%. Cardiff’s recent form, coming off a defeat, and Norwich’s recent win set the stage for the surprising result.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Cardiff win✗ Miss
48.2%
Avg Implied 33.7% · @ 2.79
Edge
+14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.88
Dafabet
2.85
Marathonbet
2.82
1xBet
2.81
10Bet
2.80
Draw✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied 25.6% · @ 3.68
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.90
Pinnacle
3.86
1xBet
3.76
Marathonbet
3.76
BetVictor
3.75
Norwich win✓ Hit
25.5%
Avg Implied 40.7% · @ 2.31
Edge
-15.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.41
Marathonbet
2.39
Pinnacle
2.39
Unibet
2.35
Dafabet
2.35
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Cardiff
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
1.17
1.87
0.80
2.13
1.53
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (19)
1.58
1.42
1.38
0.75
1.73
1.91
vs Weaker (10)
2.90
0.70
2.67
0.83
3.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Norwich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Norwich
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.07
1.71
1.00
1.69
1.15
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.48
1.11
1.29
1.07
1.69
1.15
vs Weaker (3)
3.67
0.67
3.67
0.67
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.0%
@ 1.18-0.7%
Under 1.5
21.0%
@ 4.64+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Pinnacle
1.18
Under
Pinnacle
5.09
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
4.75
1xBet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.70
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.5%
@ 1.61-4.2%
Under 2.5
45.5%
@ 2.28+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.67
SBO
1.65
Unibet
1.64
10Bet
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Under
Pinnacle
2.42
Betfair
2.38
1xBet
2.36
Marathonbet
2.36
Superbet
2.32
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.2%
@ 2.48-5.6%
Under 3.5
67.8%
@ 1.50+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.63
Bet365
2.62
10Bet
2.55
Pinnacle
2.51
Betano
2.47
Under
Pinnacle
1.55
Betfair
1.53
Betano
1.53
Superbet
1.52
BetVictor
1.51
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.4%
@ 1.50-4.5%
No
42.6%
@ 2.44+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.55
Bet365
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Unibet
1.50
Betano
1.50
No
Betfair
2.63
BetVictor
2.50
1xBet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.46
Superbet
2.45
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%@ 6.69+5.8%
2-1
9.6%@ 9.51+4.9%
1-0
8.5%@ 11.08+4.5%
2-0
8.1%@ 15.21+5.2%
0-0
6.9%@ 13.49+3.5%
1-2 ✓
6.7%@ 8.40+1.3%
2-2
5.6%@ 10.51+1.4%
0-1
5.6%@ 9.84+1.0%
Cardiff goals ↓
Norwich goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.9%
5.6%
3.9%
1.5%
0.5%
1
8.5%
12%
6.7%
2.6%
0.8%
2
8.1%
9.6%
5.6%
2.2%
0.6%
3
4.6%
5.4%
3.2%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.9%
2.3%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cardiff goals (down), columns = Norwich goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
3.00
Cardiff
2.40
Millwall
2.33
Arsenal
2.17
Southampton
2.00
Reading
2.00
Doncaster
2.00
Cambridge
2.00
Port Vale
2.00
Accrington
2.00
Wycombe
2.00
Plymouth
2.00
Bradford
2.00
Wigan
2.00
Wolves
2.00
Lincoln
2.00
Brighton
2.00
Chelsea
1.80
Newcastle
1.80
Wrexham
1.75
Fulham
1.75
Grimsby
1.75
Swansea
1.75
Brentford
1.75
Crystal Palace
1.67
Bristol City
1.50
Coventry
1.50
Birmingham
1.50
Stockport
1.50
Cheltenham
1.50
Tottenham
1.50
Everton
1.50
Norwich
1.50
Oxford
1.50
Preston
1.50
Burnley
1.50
Charlton
1.50
Liverpool
1.50
Mansfield
1.50
Barnsley
1.33
Leeds
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Barnet
1.00
Salford
1.00
Fleetwood Town
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Leicester
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Manchester United
1.00
Hull
1.00
Tranmere
1.00
Walsall
1.00
Bolton
1.00
Sunderland
1.00
Aston Villa
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Sheffield Weds
0.67
Huddersfield
0.67
Burton
0.50
AFC Wimbledon
0.50
Rotherham
0.50
Stoke
0.50
Derby
0.50
Newport County
0.50
Rochdale
0.48
York
0.36
Sheffield United
0.00
West Ham
0.00
Blackburn
0.00
Blackpool
0.00
Shrewsbury
0.00
Stevenage
0.00
Exeter
0.00
QPR
0.00
Oldham
0.00
Notts County
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Crawley Town
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Watford
0.00
Leyton Orient
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Nottingham Forest
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Swindon
0.00
Chesterfield
0.00
Middlesbrough
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Luton
0.00
Crewe
0.00
Colchester
0.00
Cardiff is 0.90 points better than Norwich in terms of average points per game (2.40 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Brighton
4.00
Hull
3.00
Bolton
3.00
Wolves
2.67
Manchester City
2.33
Wrexham
2.25
Chelsea
2.20
Cardiff
2.00
West Ham
2.00
Doncaster
2.00
Barnet
2.00
QPR
2.00
Fleetwood Town
2.00
Leicester
2.00
Swansea
2.00
Nottingham Forest
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Plymouth
2.00
Bradford
2.00
Charlton
2.00
Brentford
2.00
Newcastle
1.80
Southampton
1.67
Cambridge
1.67
Accrington
1.67
Lincoln
1.67
Crystal Palace
1.67
Stockport
1.50
Grimsby
1.50
Tottenham
1.50
Preston
1.50
Burnley
1.50
Arsenal
1.50
Reading
1.33
Barnsley
1.33
Millwall
1.33
Sheffield Weds
1.33
Fulham
1.25
Wycombe
1.25
Bristol City
1.00
Coventry
1.00
Sheffield United
1.00
Leeds
1.00
Birmingham
1.00
Blackburn
1.00
Shrewsbury
1.00
Stevenage
1.00
AFC Wimbledon
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Cheltenham
1.00
Oldham
1.00
Crawley Town
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Watford
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Everton
1.00
Norwich
1.00
Derby
1.00
Portsmouth
1.00
Newport County
1.00
Tranmere
1.00
Swindon
1.00
Huddersfield
1.00
Peterboro
1.00
Crewe
1.00
Sunderland
1.00
Liverpool
1.00
Aston Villa
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Port Vale
0.67
Wigan
0.67
Rochdale
0.56
Burton
0.50
Rotherham
0.50
Oxford
0.50
York
0.42
Blackpool
0.00
Exeter
0.00
Salford
0.00
Notts County
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Leyton Orient
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Stoke
0.00
Chesterfield
0.00
Walsall
0.00
Middlesbrough
0.00
Luton
0.00
Colchester
0.00
Cardiff is 1.00 goals better than Norwich in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Salford
0.00
Walsall
0.00
Manchester City
0.33
Wycombe
0.50
Southampton
0.67
Cambridge
0.67
Port Vale
0.67
Millwall
0.67
Wigan
0.67
Crystal Palace
0.67
Brighton
0.67
Fulham
0.75
Brentford
0.75
Arsenal
0.83
Bristol City
1.00
Coventry
1.00
Leeds
1.00
Birmingham
1.00
Blackpool
1.00
Doncaster
1.00
Burton
1.00
Stockport
1.00
Rotherham
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Notts County
1.00
Northampton
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Leyton Orient
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Tottenham
1.00
Everton
1.00
Tranmere
1.00
Luton
1.00
Lincoln
1.00
Colchester
1.00
Sunderland
1.00
Aston Villa
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Cardiff
1.20
Reading
1.33
Accrington
1.33
Newcastle
1.40
AFC Wimbledon
1.50
Cheltenham
1.50
Stoke
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Derby
1.50
Newport County
1.50
Preston
1.50
Burnley
1.50
Sheffield Weds
1.67
Bradford
1.67
Huddersfield
1.67
Wrexham
1.75
Swansea
1.75
Chelsea
1.80
Sheffield United
2.00
Blackburn
2.00
Barnet
2.00
Exeter
2.00
Grimsby
2.00
Fleetwood Town
2.00
Bristol Rvs
2.00
Leicester
2.00
Watford
2.00
Bournemouth
2.00
Norwich
2.00
Milton Keynes Dons
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Portsmouth
2.00
Swindon
2.00
Chesterfield
2.00
Wolves
2.00
Peterboro
2.00
Charlton
2.00
Liverpool
2.00
West Ham
3.00
Shrewsbury
3.00
Stevenage
3.00
Barnsley
3.00
QPR
3.00
Oldham
3.00
Crawley Town
3.00
Nottingham Forest
3.00
Hull
3.00
Oxford
3.00
Crewe
3.00
Bolton
3.00
Rochdale
3.31
Middlesbrough
4.00
York
4.45
Cardiff is 0.80 goals better than Norwich in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Leeds
80%
Barnet
77%
Peterboro
72%
Chesterfield
71%
Ipswich
71%
Manchester United
70%
Sunderland
70%
Stoke
66%
Manchester City
66%
Blackburn
65%
Bournemouth
65%
Notts County
64%
Portsmouth
63%
Tranmere
63%
Birmingham
62%
Fulham
62%
Middlesbrough
62%
Hull
61%
Chelsea
60%
Leicester
60%
Liverpool
60%
Stevenage
58%
Oldham
58%
Preston
58%
Brighton
57%
Blackpool
57%
Bristol Rvs
57%
Cardiff
57%
Everton
56%
Coventry
56%
Barnsley
56%
Stockport
55%
West Brom
55%
Nottingham Forest
55%
Tottenham
54%
Arsenal
54%
Aston Villa
54%
Bristol City
54%
Exeter
53%
Newcastle
53%
Bolton
53%
Norwich
52%
Plymouth
52%
Salford
51%
Gillingham
51%
Burnley
51%
Wycombe
50%
Oxford
50%
AFC Wimbledon
50%
Millwall
50%
Doncaster
49%
West Ham
49%
Southampton
49%
Leyton Orient
49%
Swansea
49%
Charlton
48%
Wolves
48%
Lincoln
47%
Reading
46%
Sheffield United
46%
Luton
46%
Wrexham
46%
Derby
45%
Brentford
44%
Grimsby
44%
Shrewsbury
44%
Watford
44%
Crewe
44%
Rotherham
44%
Northampton
43%
Burton
42%
Cheltenham
42%
Wigan
42%
Crystal Palace
42%
Sheffield Weds
40%
Crawley Town
39%
Cambridge
37%
Colchester
37%
Accrington
35%
Fleetwood Town
35%
Milton Keynes Dons
35%
Bradford
33%
Huddersfield
32%
Mansfield
32%
QPR
31%
Port Vale
31%
Newport County
30%
Bromley
30%
Swindon
27%
Walsall
26%
Cardiff is 4.3 percentage points better than Norwich in terms of average possession (57% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cardiff
For 7.9 · Against 5.1 · Total 13.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 9.7 · Total 19.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Norwich
For 6.6 · Against 3.1 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 12.4 · Total 24.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cardiff
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
10.9
10.9
3.4
3.3
3.5
20.6
20.4
20.9
vs Stronger (3)
13.7
14.0
13.0
2.7
2.5
3.0
19.0
18.0
21.0
vs Similar (32)
11.4
11.6
11.2
3.5
3.4
3.6
20.5
19.8
21.2
vs Weaker (15)
9.3
9.0
9.8
3.3
3.3
3.2
21.1
21.8
20.2
% over line
67%
68%
67%
46%
48%
44%
35%
36%
33%
% under line
33%
32%
33%
54%
52%
56%
65%
64%
67%
This opponent (Norwich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Norwich
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.3
10.7
3.8
3.7
3.9
21.3
21.3
21.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (46)
10.4
10.3
10.6
3.9
3.9
3.9
21.5
21.7
21.4
vs Weaker (4)
10.8
10.0
13.0
2.2
1.7
4.0
18.2
18.7
17.0
% over line
64%
65%
62%
56%
54%
58%
46%
50%
42%
% under line
36%
35%
38%
44%
46%
42%
54%
50%
58%
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Crawley Town
12.0
York
12.0
Sheffield United
11.4
Plymouth
11.3
Oxford
11.3
Swindon
11.2
West Ham
11.1
Newcastle
11.0
Leicester
11.0
Southampton
11.0
Barnsley
10.9
Middlesbrough
10.9
Cardiff
10.8
Millwall
10.8
Portsmouth
10.7
Preston
10.6
Bournemouth
10.6
Blackpool
10.6
Wigan
10.6
Grimsby
10.6
Stoke
10.6
Blackburn
10.6
Walsall
10.5
Rochdale
10.5
Norwich
10.5
Bromley
10.4
Fulham
10.4
Watford
10.4
Wrexham
10.4
Luton
10.4
Port Vale
10.4
Huddersfield
10.3
Hull
10.3
Burton
10.3
Birmingham
10.3
Sheffield Weds
10.3
Chesterfield
10.2
Exeter
10.2
Barnet
10.2
Liverpool
10.2
QPR
10.2
Northampton
10.2
Peterboro
10.2
Bolton
10.2
Manchester City
10.2
Bradford
10.2
Fleetwood Town
10.2
Wycombe
10.1
Bristol City
10.0
Swansea
10.0
Nottingham Forest
10.0
Tranmere
10.0
Derby
10.0
Doncaster
10.0
Stockport
10.0
Ipswich
10.0
Chelsea
9.9
Oldham
9.9
Brentford
9.9
Tottenham
9.9
AFC Wimbledon
9.8
Salford
9.7
Accrington
9.7
Rotherham
9.7
Leyton Orient
9.7
Newport County
9.7
Mansfield
9.7
Cheltenham
9.7
Coventry
9.7
Brighton
9.7
Charlton
9.7
Gillingham
9.7
Leeds
9.6
Manchester United
9.6
Bristol Rvs
9.5
Crewe
9.5
Wolves
9.5
Aston Villa
9.4
Notts County
9.4
Burnley
9.3
Reading
9.3
West Brom
9.3
Everton
9.2
Colchester
9.2
Sunderland
9.2
Cambridge
9.2
Lincoln
9.1
Milton Keynes Dons
9.0
Arsenal
9.0
Crystal Palace
8.7
Stevenage
8.6
Shrewsbury
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Plymouth
4.9
Tottenham
4.6
Bristol Rvs
4.6
Chelsea
4.5
Bournemouth
4.5
Watford
4.5
Notts County
4.4
Crawley Town
4.4
Peterboro
4.3
Shrewsbury
4.3
Newcastle
4.2
Hull
4.2
Ipswich
4.2
Sunderland
4.2
Colchester
4.2
Lincoln
4.1
Chesterfield
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Sheffield United
4.1
Derby
4.1
Bradford
4.1
Huddersfield
4.1
Southampton
4.1
Stoke
4.0
Rotherham
4.0
Accrington
4.0
Leyton Orient
4.0
Oldham
4.0
Brighton
4.0
Gillingham
3.9
Portsmouth
3.9
Blackburn
3.9
Newport County
3.9
York
3.9
Bristol City
3.9
Crewe
3.9
Swansea
3.9
West Ham
3.9
Fleetwood Town
3.9
Tranmere
3.9
Norwich
3.9
Wolves
3.8
Doncaster
3.8
Aston Villa
3.8
Stevenage
3.8
Salford
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Luton
3.7
Wycombe
3.7
Milton Keynes Dons
3.7
Grimsby
3.7
Crystal Palace
3.7
Bromley
3.7
Leicester
3.7
Brentford
3.7
Blackpool
3.7
Coventry
3.7
Walsall
3.7
Mansfield
3.7
QPR
3.7
Bolton
3.7
Birmingham
3.7
Everton
3.7
Fulham
3.6
Charlton
3.6
Liverpool
3.6
Burton
3.6
Middlesbrough
3.6
Reading
3.6
Port Vale
3.6
Barnet
3.6
Cheltenham
3.5
Millwall
3.5
Arsenal
3.5
Cardiff
3.5
Preston
3.5
Leeds
3.5
Northampton
3.5
Wrexham
3.5
Nottingham Forest
3.5
Exeter
3.5
Oxford
3.4
Barnsley
3.4
West Brom
3.4
Swindon
3.4
Stockport
3.3
Rochdale
3.3
Burnley
3.2
AFC Wimbledon
3.2
Wigan
3.1
Cambridge
3.1
Sheffield Weds
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crewe
25.6
Crawley Town
25.3
Oldham
25.3
Colchester
25.0
Salford
24.8
Stevenage
24.7
Notts County
24.7
Bradford
24.6
Plymouth
24.3
Huddersfield
24.2
Ipswich
24.1
Luton
24.0
Rochdale
24.0
Bristol Rvs
23.9
Peterboro
23.9
Barnet
23.9
Gillingham
23.9
Grimsby
23.8
Rotherham
23.7
Aston Villa
23.6
Nottingham Forest
23.4
Milton Keynes Dons
23.3
Wolves
23.3
Leyton Orient
23.3
Blackpool
23.3
Wigan
23.3
Bournemouth
23.3
AFC Wimbledon
23.2
Newport County
23.1
Chelsea
23.0
Fleetwood Town
23.0
Lincoln
23.0
Tottenham
23.0
Tranmere
22.8
Shrewsbury
22.8
Derby
22.8
Sunderland
22.7
Reading
22.6
Walsall
22.6
Doncaster
22.5
Southampton
22.5
West Ham
22.5
Oxford
22.5
Cambridge
22.4
Swansea
22.4
Leicester
22.3
Portsmouth
22.2
Accrington
22.2
Bolton
22.2
Mansfield
22.2
Brighton
22.2
Burton
22.2
Cheltenham
22.1
Arsenal
22.1
Chesterfield
22.0
Birmingham
22.0
Northampton
22.0
Everton
22.0
Sheffield Weds
22.0
Exeter
22.0
Leeds
21.9
Newcastle
21.8
Port Vale
21.7
Bromley
21.7
Manchester United
21.7
Sheffield United
21.6
Charlton
21.6
Crystal Palace
21.5
Hull
21.4
Wycombe
21.4
Middlesbrough
21.3
Norwich
21.3
Watford
21.3
Liverpool
21.3
Manchester City
21.3
Bristol City
21.2
Blackburn
21.1
Coventry
21.0
Stockport
20.9
Stoke
20.8
QPR
20.7
Millwall
20.7
West Brom
20.7
Barnsley
20.7
Cardiff
20.6
Swindon
20.4
Burnley
20.3
Preston
20.1
Fulham
20.1
Brentford
19.7
Wrexham
19.4
York
18.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.2%
@ 1.76+5.6%
Under 9.5
41.8%
@ 1.95-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.83
1xBet
1.79
Superbet
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.76
Under
Pinnacle
2.02
Unibet
2.00
Betano
2.00
Bet365
2.00
10Bet
1.95
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.0%
@ 1.83-7.0%
Under 3.5
57.0%
@ 1.83+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Unibet
1.82
Superbet
1.82
Under
Betano
1.87
Superbet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Unibet
1.77
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
48.1%
@ 1.62-8.3%
Under 21.5
51.9%
@ 2.10+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.62
Under
1xBet
2.10
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Cardiff or Draw✗ Miss
74.5%
Avg Implied 59.4% · @ 1.58
Edge
+15.1%
48%
26%
25%
covers Cardiff + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
10Bet
1.60
SBO
1.58
Cardiff or Norwich✓ Hit
73.7%
Avg Implied 74.3% · @ 1.26
Edge
-0.7%
48%
26%
25%
covers Cardiff + Norwich
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Draw or Norwich✓ Hit
51.8%
Avg Implied 66.3% · @ 1.42
Edge
-14.5%
48%
26%
25%
covers Draw + Norwich
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
Betano
1.45
Betfair
1.44
10Bet
1.42
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Cardiff over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
81.5%
@ 1.23+6.0%
Under
18.5%
@ 3.79-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.26
Unibet
1.24
Superbet
1.24
BetVictor
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
4.22
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.92
Superbet
3.85
BetVictor
3.80
Cardiff over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
50.2%
@ 2.16+6.9%
Under
49.8%
@ 1.65-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.25
Unibet
2.18
1xBet
2.18
Marathonbet
2.18
Pinnacle
2.17
Under
Pinnacle
1.71
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.69
Betfair
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Cardiff over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
23.9%
@ 4.81+4.5%
Under
76.1%
@ 1.16-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Unibet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.90
1xBet
4.90
BetVictor
4.75
Under
Betano
1.19
Betfair
1.17
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
Cardiff over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.1%
@ 11.53+0.9%
Under
90.9%
@ 1.03-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Marathonbet
12.25
1xBet
12.20
Superbet
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Norwich over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
69.1%
@ 1.19-9.3%
Under
30.9%
@ 4.32+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Under
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
Pinnacle
4.48
Superbet
4.45
1xBet
4.40
Norwich over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
32.8%
@ 1.94-15.4%
Under
67.2%
@ 1.81+15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
1.98
Marathonbet
1.96
1xBet
1.96
10Bet
1.93
Under
Pinnacle
1.86
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Superbet
1.83
Betano
1.82
Norwich over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.5%
@ 4.00-11.8%
Under
88.5%
@ 1.21+11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
Pinnacle
4.09
1xBet
4.05
Marathonbet
4.05
BetVictor
4.00
Under
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Norwich over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.2%
@ 9.33-6.9%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.04+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
9.80
Marathonbet
9.80
Betfair
9.50
Superbet
8.40
Under
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Cardiff, so a minus line means Cardiff give that many goals of a start and Norwich receive them. At -1, Cardiff must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Cardiff win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Cardiff)Actual: Norwich
Cardiff -2
11.4%
@ 11.06+3.3%
Draw -2
15.0%
@ 7.24+2.8%
Norwich +2
73.6%
@ 1.11-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
13.00
10Bet
11.00
Unibet
10.50
Superbet
10.00
Draw
Betfair
8.50
Bet365
8.50
Unibet
7.50
Superbet
7.20
10Bet
7.00
Away
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Handicap -1 (Cardiff)Actual: Norwich
Cardiff -1
26.4%
@ 5.47+9.9%
Draw -1
21.8%
@ 4.63+2.3%
Norwich +1
51.8%
@ 1.41-12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.40
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
5.20
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.75
10Bet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.40
Away
Marathonbet
1.47
10Bet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Unibet
1.38
Handicap +1 (Cardiff)Actual: Draw
Cardiff +1
74.5%
@ 1.58+17.6%
Draw +1
14.8%
@ 4.14-6.9%
Norwich -1
10.6%
@ 4.21-10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Bet365
1.57
Unibet
1.56
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.30
Betfair
4.20
Superbet
4.15
10Bet
4.00
Away
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.30
Unibet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Handicap +2 (Cardiff)Actual: Cardiff
Cardiff +2
89.4%
@ 1.18+13.2%
Draw +2
7.3%
@ 6.49-6.5%
Norwich -2
3.3%
@ 9.00-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Draw
Marathonbet
7.10
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
6.25
Superbet
6.10
Away
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
9.20
10Bet
8.50
Unibet
8.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cardiff
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.60
0.87
0.33
0.93
0.87
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.89
0.74
0.88
0.25
0.91
1.09
vs Weaker (10)
1.00
0.30
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.25
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Norwich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Norwich
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.47
0.71
0.35
0.46
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.41
0.52
0.36
0.43
0.46
0.62
vs Weaker (3)
2.33
0.00
2.33
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Pinnacle
1.32
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Under
Betfair
3.80
1xBet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.55
Superbet
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Marathonbet
2.38
Pinnacle
2.38
William Hil
2.38
Under
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Superbet
1.57
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
5.50
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.50
Marathonbet
5.50
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cardiff over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.00
Pinnacle
1.96
10Bet
1.95
Unibet
1.95
Superbet
1.95
Under
Pinnacle
1.84
Marathonbet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.77
Cardiff over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.20
1xBet
6.20
10Bet
5.75
Superbet
5.65
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
Cardiff over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Norwich over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.87
Betano
1.85
Unibet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.80
10Bet
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
10Bet
1.93
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
Norwich over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.40
Marathonbet
5.40
Betano
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Superbet
4.85
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Norwich over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
15.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cardiff
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.57
1.00
0.47
1.20
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.68
0.68
0.50
0.50
0.82
0.82
vs Weaker (10)
1.90
0.40
1.67
0.50
2.25
0.25
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Norwich) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Norwich
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.60
1.00
0.65
1.23
0.54
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.07
0.59
0.93
0.64
1.23
0.54
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.67
1.33
0.67
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.15
Under
Marathonbet
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Betano
4.75
10Bet
4.75
Superbet
4.70
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
Bet365
1.83
William Hil
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Under
Betano
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
1xBet
1.97
Superbet
1.92
10Bet
1.91
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.64
1xBet
3.64
William Hil
3.60
Superbet
3.50
Under
Betano
1.31
Superbet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cardiff over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.66
Superbet
1.65
Under
Betano
2.12
Superbet
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.09
Cardiff over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.45
10Bet
4.33
1xBet
4.20
Superbet
4.15
Betano
4.00
Under
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
Cardiff over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
Norwich over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.64
Superbet
1.57
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.55
Under
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.30
Superbet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.12
Norwich over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.82
10Bet
3.70
Superbet
3.65
1xBet
3.60
Betano
3.50
Under
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Norwich over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Superbet
9.80
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Betfair
1.01
1xBet
1.01
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.8%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.9%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.06
BetVictor
1.04
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
90.9%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-0.9%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
89.4%
1.18
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
+13.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
88.5%
1.21
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Pinnacle
1.23
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
+11.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
83.8%
1.19
Pinnacle
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
10Bet
1.20
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
81.5%
1.23
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.26
Unibet
1.24
Superbet
1.24
BetVictor
1.22
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.0%
1.18
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.19
Pinnacle
1.18
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
76.1%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Betfair
1.17
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
-4.5%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
75.4%
1.39
Superbet
1.39
-
-
-
-
+10.5%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
74.5%
1.58
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
10Bet
1.60
SBO
1.58
+15.1%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
74.5%
1.58
Marathonbet
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Bet365
1.57
Unibet
1.56
+17.6%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
73.7%
1.26
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.26
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
73.6%
1.11
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
-6.1%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
70.2%
1.46
Superbet
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Pinnacle
1.47
1xBet
1.46
Betano
1.45
+7.0%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cardiff
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yousef Salech50%
Jack Moylan33%
Cian Ashford33%
Rubin Colwill20%
Perry Ng17%
Callum Robinson0%
Gabriel Osho0%
Chris Willock0%
David Turnbull0%
Nathan Trott0%
Ollie Tanner0%
Joel Bagan0%
Isaak Davies0%
Alex Robertson0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Joel Colwill0%
Ronan Kpakio0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Perry Ng33%
Alex Robertson33%
Ollie Tanner20%
Rubin Colwill20%
Jack Moylan17%
Isaak Davies17%
Joel Colwill17%
Callum Robinson0%
Gabriel Osho0%
Chris Willock0%
David Turnbull0%
Nathan Trott0%
Joel Bagan0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Yousef Salech0%
Cian Ashford0%
Ronan Kpakio0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cian Ashford33%
Ronan Kpakio25%
Ollie Tanner20%
Rubin Colwill20%
Yousef Salech17%
Perry Ng0%
Callum Robinson0%
Gabriel Osho0%
Chris Willock0%
David Turnbull0%
Nathan Trott0%
Jack Moylan0%
Joel Bagan0%
Isaak Davies0%
Alex Robertson0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Joel Colwill0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yousef Salech67%
Jack Moylan33%
Perry Ng17%
Cian Ashford17%
Callum Robinson0%
Gabriel Osho0%
Chris Willock0%
David Turnbull0%
Nathan Trott0%
Ollie Tanner0%
Joel Bagan0%
Isaak Davies0%
Alex Robertson0%
Rubin Colwill0%
Calum Scanlon0%
Joel Colwill0%
Ronan Kpakio0%
Norwich
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
M. Touré40%
M. Kvistgaarden40%
Andre Brooks33%
Ben Chrisene20%
Anis Ben Slimane17%
P. Mattsson0%
H. Darling0%
K. McLean0%
S. Field0%
J. Stacey0%
Anthony Musaba0%
José Córdoba0%
Vladan Kovačević0%
Ruairi McConville0%
K. Fisher0%
O. Schwartau0%
Jacob Wright0%
P. Diallo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
José Córdoba80%
K. McLean40%
Andre Brooks33%
H. Darling25%
Ruairi McConville25%
J. Stacey20%
P. Mattsson17%
Anis Ben Slimane17%
S. Field0%
Anthony Musaba0%
Vladan Kovačević0%
Ben Chrisene0%
M. Touré0%
M. Kvistgaarden0%
K. Fisher0%
O. Schwartau0%
Jacob Wright0%
P. Diallo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
J. Stacey40%
Anthony Musaba25%
K. McLean20%
José Córdoba20%
M. Touré20%
Jacob Wright20%
Andre Brooks17%
P. Mattsson0%
H. Darling0%
S. Field0%
Vladan Kovačević0%
Ben Chrisene0%
Anis Ben Slimane0%
M. Kvistgaarden0%
Ruairi McConville0%
K. Fisher0%
O. Schwartau0%
P. Diallo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
M. Touré40%
K. Fisher33%
H. Darling25%
Anthony Musaba25%
K. McLean20%
O. Schwartau17%
Andre Brooks17%
P. Mattsson0%
S. Field0%
J. Stacey0%
José Córdoba0%
Vladan Kovačević0%
Ben Chrisene0%
Anis Ben Slimane0%
M. Kvistgaarden0%
Ruairi McConville0%
Jacob Wright0%
P. Diallo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
SAL (26)
€8m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
CHE (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
BRO (19)
€4m
BAR (15)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
OLD (21)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
ROC (10)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
YOR (8)
€1m
Cardiff's squad is €78m less valuable than Norwich's (€29m vs €107m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
CHE (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (2)
€0m
SHR (3)
€0m
YOR (2)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
Cardiff's attack is €31m less valuable than Norwich's (€15m vs €46m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
FUL (3)
€28m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
MKD (6)
€7m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
SAL (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
ROC (3)
€1m
YOR (2)
€0m
BR (4)
€0m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
Cardiff's midfield is €27m less valuable than Norwich's (€4m vs €31m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
BAR (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
OLD (7)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
ROC (4)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
YOR (4)
€1m
Cardiff's defence is €19m less valuable than Norwich's (€10m vs €29m).
England: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Swansea
QPR
Charlton
Southampton
Wolves
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
West Brom
Birmingham
Sheffield United
Millwall
Wrexham
West Ham
Blackburn
Watford
Bolton
Derby
Lincoln
Portsmouth
Stoke
Burnley
Preston