This opponent (St. Truiden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St. Truiden
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.60
1.27
1.33
1.20
1.87
vs Stronger (8)
1.38
2.25
1.50
1.50
1.25
3.00
vs Similar (15)
0.93
1.67
0.88
1.50
1.00
1.86
vs Weaker (7)
1.71
0.71
2.00
0.67
1.50
0.75
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Cercle Brugge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.1%
Under 1.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.1%
@ 1.69-2.7%
Under 2.5
46.9%
@ 2.14+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.9%
Under 3.5
69.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.6%
No
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
0-0
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
0-1
6.5%
2-2
5.8%
Cercle Brugge goals ↓
St. Truiden goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.2%
6.5%
4.9%
2.1%
0.7%
1
8.1%
13%
7.5%
3.2%
1.0%
2
7.1%
9.0%
5.8%
2.4%
0.8%
3
3.6%
4.6%
2.9%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.4%
1.8%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cercle Brugge goals (down), columns = St. Truiden goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Club Brugge KV
2.24
Antwerp
1.76
Anderlecht
1.71
Genk
1.65
Oostende
1.56
Standard Liege
1.47
Gent
1.44
KV Mechelen
1.41
Beerschot VA
1.38
Zulte Waregem
1.35
OH Leuven
1.32
Eupen
1.26
Charleroi
1.24
Kortrijk
1.15
St. Truiden
1.12
Cercle Brugge
1.06
Mouscron
0.91
SK Beveren
0.91
Cercle Brugge is 0.06 points worse than St. Truiden in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.12).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Club Brugge KV
2.15
Genk
1.97
Beerschot VA
1.71
Antwerp
1.68
Gent
1.62
KV Mechelen
1.59
OH Leuven
1.59
Zulte Waregem
1.56
Standard Liege
1.53
Anderlecht
1.50
Oostende
1.44
Charleroi
1.35
Kortrijk
1.29
SK Beveren
1.29
Eupen
1.29
St. Truiden
1.21
Cercle Brugge
1.18
Mouscron
0.94
Cercle Brugge is 0.03 goals worse than St. Truiden in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 1.21).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Club Brugge KV
0.76
Anderlecht
1.00
Oostende
1.21
Standard Liege
1.21
Gent
1.24
Antwerp
1.41
Genk
1.41
Charleroi
1.44
Cercle Brugge
1.50
St. Truiden
1.53
Mouscron
1.59
KV Mechelen
1.59
Eupen
1.62
Kortrijk
1.68
OH Leuven
1.74
Beerschot VA
1.88
Zulte Waregem
2.03
SK Beveren
2.06
Cercle Brugge is 0.03 goals better than St. Truiden in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.53).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cercle Brugge
For 5.2 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 12.6 · Total 26.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
St. Truiden
For 4.0 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 3.2 · Total 6.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 16.4 · Total 31.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cercle Brugge
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.9
9.3
4.4
4.7
4.1
28.1
28.6
27.7
vs Stronger (13)
11.2
10.8
11.4
4.5
5.5
3.6
24.1
22.0
25.8
vs Similar (28)
9.6
10.6
8.6
4.2
3.9
4.5
29.2
29.1
29.4
vs Weaker (9)
7.0
5.8
8.0
5.0
6.5
3.8
30.8
39.5
25.0
% over line
50%
58%
42%
62%
58%
65%
85%
75%
94%
% under line
50%
42%
58%
38%
42%
35%
15%
25%
6%
This opponent (St. Truiden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St. Truiden
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.7
9.7
4.7
4.8
4.6
27.6
29.0
26.1
vs Stronger (13)
10.3
11.4
9.0
4.5
4.7
4.2
27.4
30.0
25.4
vs Similar (24)
10.7
10.7
10.7
4.2
4.2
4.3
27.1
28.3
25.8
vs Weaker (13)
9.2
9.8
8.8
5.8
6.4
5.4
28.6
29.5
27.8
% over line
52%
56%
48%
62%
60%
64%
88%
100%
76%
% under line
48%
44%
52%
38%
40%
36%
12%
0%
24%
This opponent (Cercle Brugge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Oostende
10.7
St. Truiden
10.2
SK Beveren
10.2
Beerschot VA
10.2
Charleroi
10.0
Antwerp
9.9
Eupen
9.9
Genk
9.8
OH Leuven
9.8
Kortrijk
9.7
KV Mechelen
9.7
Anderlecht
9.7
Standard Liege
9.6
Cercle Brugge
9.6
Mouscron
9.5
Club Brugge KV
9.5
Gent
9.4
Zulte Waregem
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Antwerp
4.9
Standard Liege
4.7
St. Truiden
4.7
OH Leuven
4.5
Cercle Brugge
4.4
Anderlecht
4.4
Club Brugge KV
4.3
Eupen
4.3
Gent
4.2
Mouscron
4.2
Charleroi
4.2
KV Mechelen
4.1
Kortrijk
4.0
SK Beveren
4.0
Genk
3.8
Zulte Waregem
3.7
Beerschot VA
3.7
Oostende
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Kortrijk
29.7
Standard Liege
28.7
Charleroi
28.7
Anderlecht
28.3
Cercle Brugge
28.1
SK Beveren
28.1
Eupen
28.0
Antwerp
27.9
KV Mechelen
27.7
St. Truiden
27.6
OH Leuven
27.5
Oostende
27.1
Zulte Waregem
27.0
Club Brugge KV
27.0
Genk
26.9
Gent
26.4
Mouscron
26.3
Beerschot VA
26.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
46.5%
Under 9.5
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
62.2%
Under 3.5
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
89.0%
Under 21.5
11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cercle Brugge
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.83
0.64
0.64
0.19
1.00
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
1.11
0.50
0.50
0.40
1.60
vs Similar (17)
0.35
0.76
0.62
0.75
0.11
0.78
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (St. Truiden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St. Truiden
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.77
0.47
0.47
0.40
1.07
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
1.25
0.50
0.75
0.50
1.75
vs Similar (15)
0.27
0.67
0.25
0.25
0.29
1.14
vs Weaker (7)
0.71
0.43
1.00
0.67
0.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Cercle Brugge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cercle Brugge over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cercle Brugge over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cercle Brugge over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cercle Brugge
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.83
0.57
0.79
0.56
0.88
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
0.67
0.25
1.00
0.40
0.40
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.94
0.75
0.50
0.67
1.33
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.75
0.50
1.50
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (St. Truiden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St. Truiden
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.83
0.80
0.87
0.80
0.80
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
1.00
1.00
0.75
0.75
1.25
vs Similar (15)
0.67
1.00
0.62
1.25
0.71
0.71
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
0.29
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Cercle Brugge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cercle Brugge over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cercle Brugge over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cercle Brugge over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Truiden over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cercle Brugge · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Christiaan Ravych33%
Lukas Mondele25%
Steve Ngoura25%
Erick Nunes25%
Lazare Amani0%
Gaëtan Coucke0%
Dante Vanzeir0%
Gary Magnee0%
Ibrahim Diakité0%
Lucas Michal0%
Geoffrey Kondo0%
Makaya Ibrahima Diaby0%
Emmanuel Kakou0%
Valy Konaté0%
Krys Kouassi0%
Viggo Martens0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Geoffrey Kondo25%
Makaya Ibrahima Diaby25%
Valy Konaté25%
Krys Kouassi25%
Lazare Amani0%
Gaëtan Coucke0%
Dante Vanzeir0%
Gary Magnee0%
Lukas Mondele0%
Ibrahim Diakité0%
Steve Ngoura0%
Lucas Michal0%
Christiaan Ravych0%
Erick Nunes0%
Emmanuel Kakou0%
Viggo Martens0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dante Vanzeir25%
Lazare Amani0%
Gaëtan Coucke0%
Gary Magnee0%
Lukas Mondele0%
Ibrahim Diakité0%
Steve Ngoura0%
Lucas Michal0%
Christiaan Ravych0%
Geoffrey Kondo0%
Makaya Ibrahima Diaby0%
Erick Nunes0%
Emmanuel Kakou0%
Valy Konaté0%
Krys Kouassi0%
Viggo Martens0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Steve Ngoura50%
Christiaan Ravych33%
Lukas Mondele25%
Makaya Ibrahima Diaby25%
Lazare Amani0%
Gaëtan Coucke0%
Dante Vanzeir0%
Gary Magnee0%
Ibrahim Diakité0%
Lucas Michal0%
Geoffrey Kondo0%
Erick Nunes0%
Emmanuel Kakou0%
Valy Konaté0%
Krys Kouassi0%
Viggo Martens0%
St. Truiden · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
K. Matsuzawa33%
Ryan Merlen25%
I. Sebaoui25%
N. Ishiwatari25%
A. Sissako0%
J. Pupe0%
V. Musliu0%
L. Kokubo0%
T. Hata0%
R. Vanwesemael0%
Oumar Diouf0%
S. Shinkawa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
N. Ishiwatari75%
J. Pupe33%
A. Sissako25%
L. Kokubo25%
Ryan Merlen25%
R. Vanwesemael25%
V. Musliu0%
T. Hata0%
I. Sebaoui0%
K. Matsuzawa0%
Oumar Diouf0%
S. Shinkawa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
I. Sebaoui50%
Ryan Merlen25%
N. Ishiwatari25%
R. Vanwesemael25%
A. Sissako0%
J. Pupe0%
V. Musliu0%
L. Kokubo0%
T. Hata0%
K. Matsuzawa0%
Oumar Diouf0%
S. Shinkawa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
I. Sebaoui50%
Ryan Merlen25%
N. Ishiwatari25%
A. Sissako0%
J. Pupe0%
V. Musliu0%
L. Kokubo0%
T. Hata0%
R. Vanwesemael0%
K. Matsuzawa0%
Oumar Diouf0%
S. Shinkawa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (27)
€196m
GEN (30)
€113m
AND (32)
€91m
GEN (32)
€58m
SL (27)
€54m
KM (31)
€45m
CB (26)
€40m
ANT (24)
€33m
CHA (21)
€31m
OL (27)
€30m
ST (23)
€30m
ZW (27)
€20m
KOR (24)
€18m
SB (24)
€12m
BV (26)
€9m
Cercle Brugge's squad is €11m more valuable than St. Truiden's (€40m vs €30m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (10)
€92m
AND (12)
€50m
GEN (10)
€39m
CB (9)
€18m
GEN (11)
€17m
SL (9)
€14m
KM (9)
€13m
CHA (8)
€13m
ST (10)
€11m
ANT (10)
€9m
KOR (9)
€9m
ZW (10)
€8m
OL (8)
€7m
SB (9)
€4m
BV (13)
€4m
Cercle Brugge's attack is €7m more valuable than St. Truiden's (€18m vs €11m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (5)
€23m
GEN (8)
€22m
GEN (5)
€19m
AND (5)
€18m
ANT (4)
€10m
SL (7)
€8m
KM (7)
€7m
OL (6)
€6m
CB (6)
€5m
ST (4)
€4m
CHA (5)
€4m
KOR (5)
€4m
ZW (4)
€4m
SB (5)
€3m
BV (2)
€0m
Cercle Brugge's midfield is €1m more valuable than St. Truiden's (€5m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CBK (12)
€81m
GEN (15)
€55m
SL (11)
€31m
KM (15)
€25m
AND (15)
€24m
GEN (13)
€19m
OL (13)
€17m
CB (11)
€17m
ANT (10)
€14m
CHA (8)
€14m
ST (9)
€14m
ZW (13)
€9m
KOR (10)
€5m
BV (11)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
Cercle Brugge's defence is €3m more valuable than St. Truiden's (€17m vs €14m).
Belgium: Jupiler Pro League 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Jupiler Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Club Brugge KV
Antwerp
Anderlecht
Genk
Oostende
Standard Liege
Gent
KV Mechelen
Beerschot VA
Zulte Waregem
OH Leuven
Charleroi
Kortrijk
SK Beveren