This opponent (Guingamp) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Guingamp
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.57
1.19
1.06
0.71
2.14
vs Stronger (13)
0.77
2.31
0.50
1.75
0.89
2.56
vs Similar (14)
1.21
1.21
1.50
1.00
0.50
1.75
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Chambly) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
53.7%
Under 1.5
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
25.7%
@ 2.49-12.0%
Under 2.5
74.3%
@ 1.51+12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
10.1%
Under 3.5
89.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
35.4%
No
64.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
18.6%
1-1
14.6%
1-0
14.0%
0-1
13.7%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.5%
2-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
Chambly goals ↓
Guingamp goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
19%
14%
6.5%
1.9%
0.4%
1
14%
15%
5.8%
1.7%
0.4%
2
6.8%
5.9%
2.6%
0.7%
0.2%
3
2.0%
1.7%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
4
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chambly goals (down), columns = Guingamp goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lorient
1.93
Lens
1.89
Ajaccio
1.86
Estac Troyes
1.82
Clermont Foot
1.79
Le Havre
1.57
Valenciennes
1.50
Guingamp
1.39
Grenoble
1.25
Chambly
1.25
Auxerre
1.21
Caen
1.21
Nancy
1.21
Sochaux
1.21
Chateauroux
1.21
Rodez
1.14
Paris FC
1.00
Le Mans
0.93
Niort
0.93
Orleans
0.68
Chambly is 0.14 points worse than Guingamp in terms of average points per game (1.25 vs 1.39).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lorient
1.61
Guingamp
1.43
Lens
1.39
Le Havre
1.36
Ajaccio
1.36
Clermont Foot
1.25
Estac Troyes
1.21
Caen
1.18
Auxerre
1.11
Rodez
1.11
Le Mans
1.07
Niort
1.07
Sochaux
1.00
Grenoble
0.96
Nancy
0.96
Chambly
0.93
Valenciennes
0.86
Paris FC
0.79
Chateauroux
0.79
Orleans
0.75
Chambly is 0.50 goals worse than Guingamp in terms of goals scored per game (0.93 vs 1.43).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Valenciennes
0.71
Ajaccio
0.79
Lens
0.86
Le Havre
0.89
Clermont Foot
0.89
Estac Troyes
0.89
Lorient
0.89
Nancy
0.93
Grenoble
1.04
Auxerre
1.07
Sochaux
1.07
Chambly
1.14
Guingamp
1.18
Caen
1.21
Rodez
1.21
Chateauroux
1.36
Paris FC
1.43
Niort
1.46
Orleans
1.54
Le Mans
1.61
Chambly is 0.04 goals better than Guingamp in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.18).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
C
Chambly
For 3.8 · Against 3.9 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 12.4 · Total 25.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Guingamp
For 5.3 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 14.4 · Total 27.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
C
Chambly
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (12)
7.9
6.7
9.2
4.1
3.3
4.8
26.7
27.0
26.3
vs Stronger (4)
6.5
7.0
6.0
3.8
2.5
5.0
23.2
20.0
26.5
vs Similar (8)
8.6
6.5
10.8
4.2
3.8
4.8
28.4
30.5
26.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
17%
0%
33%
67%
50%
83%
92%
83%
100%
% under line
83%
100%
67%
33%
50%
17%
8%
17%
0%
This opponent (Guingamp) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Guingamp
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.5
9.5
3.8
3.9
3.8
25.8
26.8
24.7
vs Stronger (25)
10.1
10.1
10.1
3.8
3.7
3.9
24.9
25.9
24.1
vs Similar (21)
9.0
9.0
8.9
3.7
4.2
3.0
26.5
28.5
23.2
vs Weaker (4)
8.5
9.0
8.0
4.5
3.0
6.0
28.0
21.0
35.0
% over line
48%
50%
46%
58%
58%
58%
84%
92%
75%
% under line
52%
50%
54%
42%
42%
42%
16%
8%
25%
This opponent (Chambly) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Le Havre
10.5
Lens
9.9
Estac Troyes
9.5
Grenoble
9.5
Chateauroux
9.5
Guingamp
9.5
Niort
9.3
Caen
9.3
Orleans
9.2
Auxerre
9.2
Lorient
9.0
Sochaux
9.0
Valenciennes
9.0
Clermont Foot
8.9
Nancy
8.9
Rodez
8.6
Ajaccio
8.5
Le Mans
8.2
Paris FC
8.1
Chambly
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lorient
4.8
Rodez
4.5
Sochaux
4.5
Le Havre
4.4
Nancy
4.3
Lens
4.3
Valenciennes
4.3
Estac Troyes
4.2
Niort
4.2
Caen
4.1
Chambly
4.1
Paris FC
4.1
Chateauroux
4.0
Le Mans
4.0
Orleans
3.8
Guingamp
3.8
Clermont Foot
3.8
Ajaccio
3.8
Grenoble
3.7
Auxerre
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Le Mans
31.2
Nancy
29.2
Sochaux
29.1
Paris FC
28.9
Caen
28.6
Lorient
28.5
Lens
28.5
Ajaccio
28.2
Valenciennes
28.2
Estac Troyes
27.7
Chateauroux
27.7
Le Havre
27.6
Grenoble
27.5
Niort
27.4
Chambly
26.7
Orleans
26.6
Rodez
26.6
Guingamp
25.8
Auxerre
25.4
Clermont Foot
24.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
32.8%
Under 9.5
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
51.7%
Under 3.5
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
85.1%
Under 21.5
14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
C
Chambly
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.25
0.17
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.33
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (8)
0.12
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.25
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
83% (+52pp vs league)
This opponent (Guingamp) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Guingamp
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.70
0.62
0.50
0.36
0.93
vs Stronger (13)
0.38
0.92
0.25
0.75
0.44
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.64
0.64
0.80
0.50
0.25
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Chambly) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chambly over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chambly over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chambly over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guingamp over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guingamp over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guingamp over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
C
Chambly
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.25
0.75
0.33
0.83
0.17
0.67
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.50
0.50
2.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (8)
0.12
0.38
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
58% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Guingamp) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Guingamp
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.87
0.56
0.56
0.36
1.21
vs Stronger (13)
0.38
1.38
0.25
1.00
0.44
1.56
vs Similar (14)
0.57
0.57
0.70
0.50
0.25
0.75
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Chambly) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chambly over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chambly over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chambly over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guingamp over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guingamp over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Guingamp over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5
74.3%
1.51
-
-
-
-
-
+12.0%
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Guingamp · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Donatien Gomis25%
Albin Demouchy25%
Stanislas Kielt25%
Samir Ben Brahim25%
Erwin Koffi0%
Tom Ducrocq0%
Dylan Louiserre0%
Teddy Averlant0%
Adrián Ortolá0%
Florent Sanchez Da Silva0%
Amine Hemia0%
Amadou Samoura0%
Vimoj Muntu0%
Tanguy Ahile0%
Jérémie Matumona0%
Jasser Chamakh0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Donatien Gomis50%
Albin Demouchy50%
Tom Ducrocq25%
Dylan Louiserre25%
Adrián Ortolá25%
Jasser Chamakh25%
Erwin Koffi0%
Teddy Averlant0%
Florent Sanchez Da Silva0%
Amine Hemia0%
Amadou Samoura0%
Stanislas Kielt0%
Vimoj Muntu0%
Tanguy Ahile0%
Jérémie Matumona0%
Samir Ben Brahim0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Amine Hemia33%
Jérémie Matumona33%
Teddy Averlant25%
Erwin Koffi0%
Tom Ducrocq0%
Dylan Louiserre0%
Donatien Gomis0%
Adrián Ortolá0%
Florent Sanchez Da Silva0%
Albin Demouchy0%
Amadou Samoura0%
Stanislas Kielt0%
Vimoj Muntu0%
Tanguy Ahile0%
Samir Ben Brahim0%
Jasser Chamakh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stanislas Kielt50%
Teddy Averlant25%
Erwin Koffi0%
Tom Ducrocq0%
Dylan Louiserre0%
Donatien Gomis0%
Adrián Ortolá0%
Florent Sanchez Da Silva0%
Amine Hemia0%
Albin Demouchy0%
Amadou Samoura0%
Vimoj Muntu0%
Tanguy Ahile0%
Jérémie Matumona0%
Samir Ben Brahim0%
Jasser Chamakh0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
France: Ligue 2 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →