This opponent (Grenoble) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grenoble
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.14
0.95
1.00
0.75
1.30
1.20
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.29
0.33
1.00
0.25
1.50
vs Similar (13)
1.54
0.92
1.38
0.75
1.80
1.20
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
41% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Chateauroux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.8%
Under 1.5
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.0%
Under 2.5
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
20.6%
Under 3.5
79.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.9%
No
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-1
11.5%
0-0
11.1%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
8.5%
0-2
8.4%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
5.1%
Chateauroux goals ↓
Grenoble goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
11%
8.4%
3.6%
1.2%
1
8.6%
14%
8.5%
3.7%
1.2%
2
5.1%
6.6%
4.3%
1.9%
0.6%
3
1.7%
2.2%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.4%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chateauroux goals (down), columns = Grenoble goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Metz
2.13
Stade Brestois 29
1.95
Estac Troyes
1.87
Paris FC
1.71
Lens
1.66
Lorient
1.66
Le Havre
1.42
Orleans
1.37
Grenoble
1.32
Clermont Foot
1.26
Chateauroux
1.26
Niort
1.24
Valenciennes
1.13
Nancy
1.11
Auxerre
1.08
Sochaux
1.08
Ajaccio
1.04
Beziers
1.00
Red Star
0.79
Chateauroux is 0.05 points worse than Grenoble in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.32).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Stade Brestois 29
1.68
Metz
1.58
Valenciennes
1.37
Orleans
1.34
Estac Troyes
1.34
Lorient
1.34
Lens
1.29
Le Havre
1.18
Clermont Foot
1.16
Grenoble
1.13
Chateauroux
0.97
Paris FC
0.95
Nancy
0.95
Auxerre
0.89
Niort
0.89
Beziers
0.87
Ajaccio
0.78
Red Star
0.74
Sochaux
0.71
Chateauroux is 0.16 goals worse than Grenoble in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 1.13).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Paris FC
0.58
Metz
0.61
Lens
0.74
Estac Troyes
0.74
Stade Brestois 29
0.92
Auxerre
0.95
Clermont Foot
0.97
Le Havre
1.05
Niort
1.08
Lorient
1.08
Chateauroux
1.11
Sochaux
1.13
Grenoble
1.24
Ajaccio
1.30
Beziers
1.32
Nancy
1.32
Orleans
1.39
Red Star
1.53
Valenciennes
1.61
Chateauroux is 0.13 goals better than Grenoble in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.24).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Chateauroux
For 4.9 · Against 5.9 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 13.6 · Total 25.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Grenoble
For 4.7 · Against 3.2 · Total 7.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 15.3 · Total 25.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Chateauroux
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.8
10.0
3.5
3.2
3.8
29.8
26.0
33.6
vs Stronger (24)
10.1
10.5
9.7
3.5
3.4
3.5
27.2
25.2
28.3
vs Similar (26)
10.7
11.1
10.3
3.5
3.1
4.1
32.5
26.4
43.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
62%
65%
58%
46%
42%
50%
86%
73%
100%
% under line
38%
35%
42%
54%
58%
50%
14%
27%
0%
This opponent (Grenoble) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grenoble
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (22)
9.1
9.0
9.3
3.8
4.0
3.5
27.1
26.1
28.3
vs Stronger (7)
9.6
7.3
11.2
4.6
5.0
4.2
29.4
25.3
32.5
vs Similar (13)
9.0
9.5
8.2
3.4
3.5
3.2
25.8
25.4
26.4
vs Weaker (2)
8.5
10.0
7.0
3.5
5.0
2.0
27.5
34.0
21.0
% over line
36%
33%
40%
45%
50%
40%
82%
83%
80%
% under line
64%
67%
60%
55%
50%
60%
18%
17%
20%
This opponent (Chateauroux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Le Havre
10.5
Chateauroux
10.4
Stade Brestois 29
10.3
Estac Troyes
10.1
Lens
10.0
Niort
9.6
Auxerre
9.5
Sochaux
9.5
Clermont Foot
9.4
Metz
9.3
Lorient
9.1
Grenoble
9.1
Orleans
9.0
Valenciennes
8.9
Ajaccio
8.8
Paris FC
8.3
Beziers
8.1
Red Star
8.1
Nancy
7.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Beziers
4.8
Ajaccio
4.7
Lorient
4.6
Orleans
4.4
Niort
4.2
Valenciennes
4.2
Paris FC
4.2
Nancy
4.2
Stade Brestois 29
3.9
Lens
3.8
Red Star
3.8
Grenoble
3.8
Sochaux
3.8
Estac Troyes
3.7
Metz
3.6
Clermont Foot
3.6
Le Havre
3.6
Chateauroux
3.5
Auxerre
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lorient
31.2
Sochaux
30.3
Chateauroux
29.8
Beziers
29.8
Ajaccio
29.8
Valenciennes
29.6
Paris FC
29.3
Nancy
29.1
Le Havre
29.0
Red Star
28.1
Niort
28.1
Lens
27.4
Stade Brestois 29
27.2
Grenoble
27.1
Orleans
26.8
Metz
26.1
Estac Troyes
25.6
Clermont Foot
25.4
Auxerre
25.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
50.2%
Under 9.5
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
49.2%
Under 3.5
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
78.4%
Under 21.5
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Chateauroux
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.53
0.40
0.60
0.27
0.47
vs Stronger (15)
0.27
0.53
0.33
0.50
0.22
0.56
vs Similar (15)
0.40
0.53
0.44
0.67
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Grenoble) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grenoble
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.36
0.41
0.50
0.33
0.20
0.50
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
0.71
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.75
vs Similar (13)
0.54
0.31
0.62
0.25
0.40
0.40
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
64% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Chateauroux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chateauroux over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grenoble over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grenoble over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grenoble over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Chateauroux
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.63
0.60
0.67
0.53
0.60
vs Stronger (15)
0.40
0.93
0.50
1.33
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (15)
0.73
0.33
0.67
0.22
0.83
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Grenoble) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Grenoble
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.55
0.50
0.42
1.10
0.70
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
0.57
0.00
0.33
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (13)
1.00
0.62
0.75
0.50
1.40
0.80
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
55% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Chateauroux) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chateauroux over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chateauroux over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grenoble over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grenoble over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grenoble over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Grenoble · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Baptiste Mouazan33%
Yadaly Diaby33%
Samba Diba33%
Kyliann Fofana25%
Yohann Magnin0%
Alexandre Olliero0%
Clément Vidal0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Mael Corboz0%
Lucas Bernadou0%
Matthéo Xantippe0%
Leonardo Cerri0%
Nesta Zahui0%
Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yohann Magnin50%
Clément Vidal50%
Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro50%
Baptiste Mouazan33%
Samba Diba33%
Matthéo Xantippe25%
Kyliann Fofana25%
Alexandre Olliero0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Mael Corboz0%
Lucas Bernadou0%
Yadaly Diaby0%
Leonardo Cerri0%
Nesta Zahui0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yohann Magnin25%
Matthéo Xantippe25%
Alexandre Olliero0%
Clément Vidal0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Mael Corboz0%
Lucas Bernadou0%
Baptiste Mouazan0%
Yadaly Diaby0%
Leonardo Cerri0%
Nesta Zahui0%
Samba Diba0%
Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro0%
Kyliann Fofana0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yadaly Diaby33%
Yohann Magnin0%
Alexandre Olliero0%
Clément Vidal0%
Ugo Bonnet0%
Mael Corboz0%
Lucas Bernadou0%
Baptiste Mouazan0%
Matthéo Xantippe0%
Leonardo Cerri0%
Nesta Zahui0%
Samba Diba0%
Jean-Guy Akpa Akpro0%
Kyliann Fofana0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEN (27)
€187m
PF (37)
€176m
LOR (24)
€87m
AUX (29)
€84m
SB2 (20)
€64m
LH (25)
€55m
MET (26)
€43m
ET (23)
€36m
CF (21)
€15m
NAN (26)
€13m
GRE (27)
€12m
SOC (20)
€7m
VAL (21)
€4m
ORL (16)
€4m
CHA (5)
€1m
Chateauroux's squad is €11m less valuable than Grenoble's (€1m vs €12m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (13)
€59m
LEN (8)
€52m
SB2 (6)
€25m
AUX (11)
€23m
LOR (8)
€20m
MET (11)
€17m
LH (10)
€9m
ET (7)
€7m
GRE (12)
€5m
NAN (9)
€5m
SOC (8)
€3m
CF (5)
€2m
ORL (6)
€2m
VAL (8)
€1m
CHA (1)
€0m
Chateauroux's attack is €5m less valuable than Grenoble's (€0m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PF (7)
€54m
LOR (5)
€32m
AUX (5)
€28m
LEN (5)
€24m
LH (5)
€23m
SB2 (6)
€20m
MET (5)
€18m
ET (6)
€11m
GRE (5)
€3m
CF (4)
€3m
NAN (6)
€2m
SOC (3)
€1m
VAL (3)
€1m
ORL (4)
€1m
CHA (2)
€0m
Chateauroux's midfield is €2m less valuable than Grenoble's (€0m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEN (14)
€112m
PF (17)
€62m
LOR (11)
€35m
AUX (13)
€33m
LH (10)
€23m
SB2 (8)
€19m
ET (10)
€17m
CF (12)
€10m
MET (10)
€8m
NAN (11)
€6m
GRE (10)
€4m
SOC (9)
€3m
VAL (10)
€2m
ORL (6)
€2m
CHA (2)
€0m
Chateauroux's defence is €4m less valuable than Grenoble's (€0m vs €4m).
France: Ligue 2 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Metz
Ajaccio
Stade Brestois 29
Estac Troyes
Paris FC
Lens
Lorient
Le Havre
Orleans
Clermont Foot
Niort
Valenciennes
Nancy
Auxerre
Sochaux