This opponent (Empoli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Empoli
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.40
0.69
1.31
0.50
1.50
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
2.25
0.33
2.50
0.33
2.00
vs Similar (14)
0.50
0.71
0.88
0.62
0.00
0.83
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
1.25
1.00
0.50
2.50
2.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Chievo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.2%
Under 1.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
35.0%
Under 2.5
65.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
16.1%
Under 3.5
83.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
39.3%
No
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.9%
0-0
13.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-0
11.9%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
7.5%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
Chievo goals ↓
Empoli goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
7.5%
3.1%
0.7%
0.1%
1
16%
13%
4.3%
1.0%
0.2%
2
12%
8.4%
3.0%
0.7%
0.1%
3
5.5%
3.9%
1.4%
0.3%
0.1%
4
1.9%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chievo goals (down), columns = Empoli goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Juventus
2.39
AS Roma
2.29
Napoli
2.26
Atalanta
1.89
Lazio
1.84
AC Milan
1.66
Inter
1.63
Fiorentina
1.58
Torino
1.39
Sampdoria
1.26
Cagliari
1.24
Sassuolo
1.21
Udinese
1.18
Chievo
1.13
Bologna
1.08
Genoa
0.95
Crotone
0.89
Empoli
0.84
Palermo
0.68
Pescara
0.47
Chievo is 0.29 points better than Empoli in terms of average points per game (1.13 vs 0.84).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Napoli
2.47
AS Roma
2.37
Juventus
2.03
Lazio
1.95
Inter
1.89
Torino
1.87
Fiorentina
1.66
Atalanta
1.63
Sassuolo
1.53
AC Milan
1.50
Cagliari
1.45
Sampdoria
1.29
Udinese
1.24
Chievo
1.13
Bologna
1.05
Genoa
1.00
Pescara
0.97
Crotone
0.89
Palermo
0.87
Empoli
0.76
Chievo is 0.37 goals better than Empoli in terms of goals scored per game (1.13 vs 0.76).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Juventus
0.71
AS Roma
1.00
Napoli
1.03
Atalanta
1.08
AC Milan
1.18
Inter
1.29
Lazio
1.34
Sampdoria
1.45
Udinese
1.47
Fiorentina
1.50
Bologna
1.53
Crotone
1.53
Chievo
1.61
Empoli
1.61
Sassuolo
1.66
Genoa
1.68
Torino
1.74
Cagliari
2.00
Palermo
2.03
Pescara
2.13
Chievo and Empoli are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.61).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
C
Chievo
For 3.9 · Against 7.6 · Total 11.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.1 · Against 15.2 · Total 29.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Empoli
For 3.3 · Against 5.8 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 15.7 · Total 28.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
C
Chievo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
9.8
10.8
4.9
5.2
4.6
30.0
30.2
29.7
vs Stronger (46)
10.0
9.5
10.6
4.9
5.1
4.7
29.9
30.3
29.5
vs Similar (4)
13.2
14.0
12.5
4.5
5.5
3.5
30.8
29.0
32.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
58%
62%
54%
74%
81%
67%
94%
96%
92%
% under line
42%
38%
46%
26%
19%
33%
6%
4%
8%
This opponent (Empoli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Empoli
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
8.6
10.2
5.5
5.5
5.5
30.4
31.9
28.8
vs Stronger (20)
10.0
9.4
10.6
4.8
5.1
4.4
27.2
28.7
25.8
vs Similar (23)
9.1
8.4
10.1
6.3
6.2
6.5
32.9
34.1
31.3
vs Weaker (7)
8.1
6.7
9.2
5.0
4.0
5.8
31.4
33.3
30.0
% over line
40%
35%
46%
82%
77%
88%
82%
81%
83%
% under line
60%
65%
54%
18%
23%
12%
18%
19%
17%
This opponent (Chievo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Inter
12.1
Sassuolo
12.1
AC Milan
11.6
AS Roma
11.5
Sampdoria
11.0
Pescara
10.9
Bologna
10.8
Torino
10.6
Crotone
10.6
Napoli
10.5
Cagliari
10.5
Lazio
10.5
Palermo
10.4
Atalanta
10.3
Chievo
10.3
Udinese
10.1
Genoa
10.0
Fiorentina
9.9
Empoli
9.3
Juventus
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cagliari
5.7
AC Milan
5.5
Empoli
5.5
Sampdoria
5.4
Fiorentina
5.3
Atalanta
5.2
Inter
5.1
Genoa
5.0
Chievo
4.9
Torino
4.8
Udinese
4.8
Palermo
4.8
Juventus
4.7
Sassuolo
4.7
Lazio
4.7
Bologna
4.6
Pescara
4.5
Napoli
4.4
AS Roma
4.4
Crotone
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Atalanta
32.1
Palermo
31.5
Torino
30.6
Empoli
30.4
Fiorentina
30.4
Juventus
30.0
Chievo
30.0
AC Milan
29.7
Sassuolo
29.5
Sampdoria
29.4
Crotone
29.3
Genoa
29.2
Pescara
29.0
Cagliari
28.8
Inter
28.7
Udinese
28.1
Bologna
27.4
Lazio
27.2
AS Roma
26.5
Napoli
23.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
59.0%
Under 9.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
71.4%
Under 3.5
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
91.9%
Under 21.5
8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
C
Chievo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.67
0.31
0.50
0.36
0.86
vs Stronger (27)
0.33
0.70
0.27
0.53
0.42
0.92
vs Similar (3)
0.33
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Empoli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Empoli
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.50
0.31
0.44
0.36
0.57
vs Stronger (12)
0.17
0.67
0.17
0.67
0.17
0.67
vs Similar (14)
0.21
0.36
0.38
0.25
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.50
0.50
0.50
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Chievo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chievo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Empoli over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Empoli over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Empoli over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
C
Chievo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.67
0.62
0.69
0.64
0.64
vs Stronger (27)
0.59
0.70
0.60
0.73
0.58
0.67
vs Similar (3)
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Empoli) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Empoli
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.90
0.38
0.88
0.14
0.93
vs Stronger (12)
0.17
1.58
0.17
1.83
0.17
1.33
vs Similar (14)
0.29
0.36
0.50
0.38
0.00
0.33
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.00
0.50
1.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Chievo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chievo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chievo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Empoli over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Empoli over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Empoli over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 25.5 fouls
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Empoli · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Edoardo Saporiti67%
Stiven Shpendi33%
Marco Curto0%
Luca Magnino0%
Cristian Cauz0%
Gerard Yepes0%
Filippo Distefano0%
Jacopo Seghetti0%
Bogdan Popov0%
Matteo Egan0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gerard Yepes67%
Marco Curto33%
Luca Magnino33%
Cristian Cauz0%
Stiven Shpendi0%
Filippo Distefano0%
Edoardo Saporiti0%
Jacopo Seghetti0%
Bogdan Popov0%
Matteo Egan0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cristian Cauz33%
Matteo Egan33%
Marco Curto0%
Luca Magnino0%
Gerard Yepes0%
Stiven Shpendi0%
Filippo Distefano0%
Edoardo Saporiti0%
Jacopo Seghetti0%
Bogdan Popov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Edoardo Saporiti33%
Marco Curto0%
Luca Magnino0%
Cristian Cauz0%
Gerard Yepes0%
Stiven Shpendi0%
Filippo Distefano0%
Jacopo Seghetti0%
Bogdan Popov0%
Matteo Egan0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie A 2016/17 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Empoli
Juventus
AS Roma
Napoli
Atalanta
Lazio
AC Milan
Inter
Fiorentina
Torino
Sampdoria
Cagliari
Sassuolo
Udinese
Bologna
Genoa
Palermo
Pescara