This opponent (LNZ Cherkasy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
LNZ Cherkasy
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.00
1.73
1.20
1.07
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
3.50
2.00
4.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (13)
1.15
1.00
1.29
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (15)
1.67
0.67
2.14
1.00
1.25
0.38
Clean sheet %
37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Chornomorets) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
62.4%
Under 1.5
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
34.0%
Under 2.5
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
15.4%
Under 3.5
84.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
42.7%
No
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.9%
0-0
14.1%
1-0
12.1%
0-1
11.4%
2-1
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
6.4%
Chornomorets goals ↓
LNZ Cherkasy goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
11%
6.4%
2.1%
0.5%
1
12%
15%
6.8%
2.3%
0.6%
2
7.1%
7.2%
3.6%
1.2%
0.3%
3
2.5%
2.5%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.7%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Chornomorets goals (down), columns = LNZ Cherkasy goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.37
Dynamo Kyiv
2.30
Kryvbas KR
1.90
Dnipro-1
1.73
Polessya
1.67
Ruh Lviv
1.63
LNZ Cherkasy
1.37
Oleksandria
1.13
Vorskla Poltava
1.10
Kolos Kovalivka
1.07
Zorya Luhansk
1.07
Chornomorets
1.07
Veres Rivne
1.00
Obolon'-Brovar
0.94
Minai
0.83
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.77
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0.50
Livyi Bereh
0.50
Chornomorets is 0.30 points worse than LNZ Cherkasy in terms of average points per game (1.07 vs 1.37).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dynamo Kyiv
2.40
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.10
Kryvbas KR
1.70
Ruh Lviv
1.47
Dnipro-1
1.33
Polessya
1.30
Chornomorets
1.27
Veres Rivne
1.09
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.07
LNZ Cherkasy
1.03
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.00
Oleksandria
1.00
Vorskla Poltava
1.00
Zorya Luhansk
0.97
Minai
0.90
Kolos Kovalivka
0.73
Obolon'-Brovar
0.62
Livyi Bereh
0.50
Chornomorets is 0.23 goals better than LNZ Cherkasy in terms of goals scored per game (1.27 vs 1.03).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.80
Dnipro-1
0.90
Dynamo Kyiv
0.93
Polessya
1.00
Livyi Bereh
1.00
Kryvbas KR
1.00
Kolos Kovalivka
1.03
Ruh Lviv
1.03
LNZ Cherkasy
1.13
Zorya Luhansk
1.23
Oleksandria
1.27
Obolon'-Brovar
1.31
Veres Rivne
1.50
Vorskla Poltava
1.53
Chornomorets
1.57
Minai
1.67
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.90
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2.00
Chornomorets is 0.43 goals worse than LNZ Cherkasy in terms of goals conceded per game (1.57 vs 1.13).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shakhtar Donetsk
59%
Dynamo Kyiv
56%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
55%
Livyi Bereh
54%
Chornomorets
52%
Dnipro-1
52%
Kryvbas KR
51%
LNZ Cherkasy
51%
Polessya
51%
Oleksandria
51%
Ruh Lviv
50%
Vorskla Poltava
50%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
49%
Zorya Luhansk
47%
Kolos Kovalivka
47%
Obolon'-Brovar
44%
Minai
44%
Veres Rivne
44%
Chornomorets is 1.5 percentage points better than LNZ Cherkasy in terms of average possession (52% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Chornomorets
For 3.0 · Against 4.6 · Total 7.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.3 · Against 11.6 · Total 20.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
LNZ Cherkasy
For 5.0 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 11.0 · Total 23.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Chornomorets
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (44)
8.6
8.4
8.8
3.8
3.3
4.3
22.5
19.7
24.7
vs Stronger (7)
7.0
5.2
10.5
4.9
6.0
3.3
20.6
17.7
25.0
vs Similar (33)
8.9
9.9
8.2
3.7
2.8
4.4
23.0
20.6
24.8
vs Weaker (4)
9.0
7.0
11.0
2.8
1.5
4.0
21.2
18.5
24.0
% over line
44%
38%
50%
59%
48%
70%
48%
40%
56%
% under line
56%
62%
50%
41%
52%
30%
52%
60%
44%
This opponent (LNZ Cherkasy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
LNZ Cherkasy
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (39)
10.5
9.4
11.7
1.8
2.1
1.4
23.1
23.2
22.9
vs Stronger (2)
14.5
15.0
14.0
3.5
5.0
2.0
22.5
20.0
25.0
vs Similar (13)
10.9
9.2
13.0
2.5
2.9
2.2
21.9
19.2
25.3
vs Weaker (24)
8.7
7.7
9.7
1.2
1.5
1.0
24.7
29.7
19.7
% over line
67%
50%
86%
33%
40%
26%
60%
50%
71%
% under line
33%
50%
14%
67%
60%
74%
40%
50%
29%
This opponent (Chornomorets) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
LNZ Cherkasy
10.5
Veres Rivne
10.3
Kolos Kovalivka
10.2
Polessya
10.1
Vorskla Poltava
10.1
Zorya Luhansk
10.1
Minai
9.9
Dynamo Kyiv
9.5
Oleksandria
9.5
Ruh Lviv
9.5
Obolon'-Brovar
9.4
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
9.3
Shakhtar Donetsk
9.3
Kryvbas KR
9.1
Dnipro-1
9.0
Chornomorets
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Obolon'-Brovar
6.0
Polessya
5.9
Ruh Lviv
5.5
Dynamo Kyiv
5.2
Veres Rivne
5.2
Vorskla Poltava
5.1
Kolos Kovalivka
4.9
Chornomorets
4.9
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
4.7
LNZ Cherkasy
4.7
Minai
4.6
Zorya Luhansk
4.4
Oleksandria
4.3
Kryvbas KR
4.3
Shakhtar Donetsk
4.2
Dnipro-1
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Obolon'-Brovar
27.8
Vorskla Poltava
26.9
Minai
24.3
Kolos Kovalivka
24.3
Dynamo Kyiv
24.2
Ruh Lviv
23.6
Kryvbas KR
23.6
Dnipro-1
23.5
LNZ Cherkasy
23.1
Polessya
22.8
Zorya Luhansk
22.8
Oleksandria
22.7
Chornomorets
22.5
Veres Rivne
22.3
Shakhtar Donetsk
21.4
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
21.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
54.4%
Under 9.5
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
66.2%
Under 3.5
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
50.9%
Under 21.5
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Chornomorets
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.43
0.77
0.46
1.12
0.41
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
0.40
1.33
0.67
1.50
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.91
0.48
0.60
0.40
1.15
0.54
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
-
-
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (LNZ Cherkasy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
LNZ Cherkasy
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.30
0.80
0.33
0.53
0.27
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (13)
0.46
0.38
0.57
0.29
0.33
0.50
vs Weaker (15)
0.93
0.13
1.14
0.29
0.75
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Chornomorets) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Chornomorets over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chornomorets over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chornomorets over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
LNZ Cherkasy over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
LNZ Cherkasy over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
LNZ Cherkasy over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Chornomorets
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.00
0.69
0.69
0.71
1.24
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
0.80
0.67
0.67
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.61
1.13
0.70
0.70
0.54
1.46
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
-
-
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (LNZ Cherkasy) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
LNZ Cherkasy
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.70
0.93
0.87
0.53
0.53
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.50
2.00
3.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (13)
0.69
0.62
0.71
0.71
0.67
0.50
vs Weaker (15)
0.73
0.53
1.00
0.71
0.50
0.38
Clean sheet %
43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Chornomorets) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Chornomorets over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chornomorets over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chornomorets over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
LNZ Cherkasy over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
LNZ Cherkasy over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
LNZ Cherkasy over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Chornomorets
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andriy Shtohrin38%
Orest Kuzyk38%
Guy Hadida33%
Vitaliy Yermakov17%
Bohdan Boichuk14%
Ziguy Badibanga12%
Oleksandr Vasyliev0%
Samson Iyede0%
Vladyslav Vakula0%
Artur Avagimian0%
Luka Guček0%
Jon Šporn0%
Illia Putria0%
Danylo Varakuta0%
Maksym Bragaru0%
Volodymyr Salyuk0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Artur Avagimian29%
Oleksandr Vasyliev25%
Jon Šporn14%
Illia Putria14%
Andriy Shtohrin12%
Ziguy Badibanga12%
Maksym Bragaru12%
Volodymyr Salyuk12%
Samson Iyede0%
Vladyslav Vakula0%
Orest Kuzyk0%
Vitaliy Yermakov0%
Bohdan Boichuk0%
Guy Hadida0%
Luka Guček0%
Danylo Varakuta0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Artur Avagimian29%
Ziguy Badibanga25%
Samson Iyede17%
Illia Putria14%
Andriy Shtohrin12%
Maksym Bragaru12%
Oleksandr Vasyliev0%
Vladyslav Vakula0%
Orest Kuzyk0%
Vitaliy Yermakov0%
Bohdan Boichuk0%
Guy Hadida0%
Luka Guček0%
Jon Šporn0%
Danylo Varakuta0%
Volodymyr Salyuk0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Samson Iyede50%
Guy Hadida33%
Maksym Bragaru25%
Oleksandr Vasyliev12%
Andriy Shtohrin12%
Orest Kuzyk12%
Vladyslav Vakula0%
Artur Avagimian0%
Vitaliy Yermakov0%
Bohdan Boichuk0%
Ziguy Badibanga0%
Luka Guček0%
Jon Šporn0%
Illia Putria0%
Danylo Varakuta0%
Volodymyr Salyuk0%
LNZ Cherkasy
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Arad Bar25%
Eynel Soares25%
Denys Oliynyk20%
Muharrem Jashari20%
Vladyslav Naumets17%
Oleksiy Khoblenko0%
Serhiy Shestakov0%
Serhiy Rybalka0%
Olivier Thill0%
Oleksandr Nasonov0%
Hennadii Pasich0%
Herman Penkov0%
Oleksandr Kapliyenko0%
Maksym Priadun0%
Vitaliy Boyko0%
Petro Stasiuk0%
Nazarii Muravskyi0%
Hajdin Salihu0%
Guy Merlin Mollo Bessala0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Serhiy Rybalka50%
Arad Bar50%
Oleksandr Nasonov33%
Oleksandr Kapliyenko25%
Eynel Soares25%
Denys Oliynyk20%
Hennadii Pasich20%
Muharrem Jashari20%
Vitaliy Boyko20%
Hajdin Salihu20%
Oleksiy Khoblenko0%
Vladyslav Naumets0%
Serhiy Shestakov0%
Olivier Thill0%
Herman Penkov0%
Maksym Priadun0%
Petro Stasiuk0%
Nazarii Muravskyi0%
Guy Merlin Mollo Bessala0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Muharrem Jashari20%
Hajdin Salihu20%
Vladyslav Naumets17%
Oleksiy Khoblenko0%
Serhiy Shestakov0%
Serhiy Rybalka0%
Olivier Thill0%
Denys Oliynyk0%
Oleksandr Nasonov0%
Hennadii Pasich0%
Herman Penkov0%
Oleksandr Kapliyenko0%
Maksym Priadun0%
Vitaliy Boyko0%
Petro Stasiuk0%
Arad Bar0%
Nazarii Muravskyi0%
Eynel Soares0%
Guy Merlin Mollo Bessala0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Eynel Soares50%
Arad Bar25%
Oleksiy Khoblenko20%
Denys Oliynyk20%
Muharrem Jashari20%
Vladyslav Naumets17%
Serhiy Shestakov0%
Serhiy Rybalka0%
Olivier Thill0%
Oleksandr Nasonov0%
Hennadii Pasich0%
Herman Penkov0%
Oleksandr Kapliyenko0%
Maksym Priadun0%
Vitaliy Boyko0%
Petro Stasiuk0%
Nazarii Muravskyi0%
Hajdin Salihu0%
Guy Merlin Mollo Bessala0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (33)
€186m
DK (37)
€91m
POL (32)
€34m
M1K (26)
€28m
LC (25)
€20m
KK (27)
€13m
ZL (27)
€11m
KK (19)
€11m
OLE (25)
€8m
VR (21)
€7m
OBO (28)
€7m
ED (23)
€6m
CHO (21)
€5m
LB (25)
€5m
Chornomorets's squad is €15m less valuable than LNZ Cherkasy's (€5m vs €20m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (16)
€115m
DK (13)
€32m
POL (9)
€12m
M1K (10)
€10m
LC (9)
€8m
KK (10)
€5m
OLE (10)
€3m
ZL (11)
€3m
KK (7)
€3m
VR (9)
€3m
OBO (9)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
ED (6)
€1m
Chornomorets's attack is €6m less valuable than LNZ Cherkasy's (€2m vs €8m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DK (8)
€26m
SD (4)
€19m
POL (9)
€8m
M1K (6)
€7m
LC (5)
€5m
KK (4)
€3m
ZL (5)
€3m
KK (5)
€2m
ED (6)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
OBO (5)
€1m
OLE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
LB (6)
€1m
Chornomorets's midfield is €3m less valuable than LNZ Cherkasy's (€2m vs €5m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (13)
€52m
DK (16)
€33m
POL (14)
€14m
M1K (10)
€11m
LC (11)
€7m
KK (7)
€6m
ZL (11)
€6m
KK (13)
€5m
VR (8)
€4m
OLE (11)
€3m
ED (11)
€3m
OBO (14)
€3m
LB (12)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
Chornomorets's defence is €6m less valuable than LNZ Cherkasy's (€2m vs €7m).
Ukraine: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →