Clermont Foot's defensive solidity at home is a key storyline, with the team conceding just one goal per match on average when playing at home against weaker opponents. However, Dijon has struggled to score away from home, averaging just half a goal per match against stronger opponents. The model predicts a low-scoring match, with an expected total of 2.1 goals and a most likely total of 2 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 14.2%.
Clermont Foot's home win percentage stands at 45%, while the draw percentage is 31% and the away win percentage is 24%. The model's selection is a home win, with Dijon unlikely to take all three points. Dijon's away scoring and conceding averages are 0.5 and 1.38 goals per match, respectively, against stronger opponents.
The model suggests an Over 21.5 fouls selection with a high probability of 90.2%, and an Under 3.5 selection with a probability of 83.1%.
Results analysis
The 1-1 draw stunned the pre-match favourite, Clermont Foot, who had been tipped to win with a 44 % probability. The model’s call was wrong, as the game finished in a stalemate. The upset came on the back of Clermont’s recent form, a sequence of DLDWW that saw them return from a draw, while Dijon mirrored that pattern with DLDLD. The model’s selections largely hit: Under 7.5 goals (99.9 %) and Under 6.5 (99.4 %) were correct, as were Away under 3.5 goals (98.9 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.7 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.1 %), Under 5.5 (97.9 %), Home under 3.5 goals (96.2 %) and Over 19.5 fouls (95.7 %). All probabilities were expressed as percentages.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Clermont Foot win✗ Miss
43.9%
Avg Implied 33.9% · @ 2.74
Edge
+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.86
Dafabet
2.85
Superbet
2.85
Betano
2.82
Betfair
2.80
Draw✓ Hit
31.8%
Avg Implied 29.0% · @ 3.21
Edge
+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.37
1xBet
3.32
Marathonbet
3.32
10Bet
3.30
BetVictor
3.25
Dijon win✗ Miss
24.3%
Avg Implied 37.1% · @ 2.50
Edge
-12.9%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.65
Betano
2.60
Superbet
2.57
SBO
2.56
Pinnacle
2.55
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Clermont Foot
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.27
1.00
1.00
1.20
1.53
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.19
1.33
1.15
1.08
1.21
1.57
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Dijon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dijon
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.10
1.17
0.75
1.22
1.33
vs Stronger (11)
0.45
1.18
0.40
0.80
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (18)
1.50
1.00
1.71
0.71
1.36
1.18
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
2.00
-
-
4.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Clermont Foot) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.4%
@ 1.33-6.8%
Under 1.5
36.6%
@ 3.14+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
Pinnacle
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Betfair
1.36
10Bet
1.35
Under
Betano
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.24
Superbet
3.15
Unibet
3.15
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
35.1%
@ 2.05-10.8%
Under 2.5
64.9%
@ 1.74+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.15
Superbet
2.12
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Betano
2.07
Under
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
Betano
1.78
10Bet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.75
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.2%
@ 3.65-9.4%
Under 3.5
83.8%
@ 1.25+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.90
Pinnacle
3.89
Betfair
3.80
888Sport
3.80
Superbet
3.80
Under
Betano
1.30
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Unibet
1.26
1xBet
1.25
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
42.3%
@ 1.78-9.7%
No
57.7%
@ 1.93+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.83
Superbet
1.83
Betfair
1.80
888Sport
1.80
William Hil
1.80
No
Betano
2.00
Betfair
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.94
BetVictor
1.93
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.3%@ 5.86+6.7%
1-0
13.9%@ 7.62+8.1%
0-0
13.5%@ 8.51+8.3%
2-0
9.5%@ 12.39+5.9%
0-1
9.2%@ 7.42+3.2%
2-1
8.1%@ 9.39+3.4%
1-2
5.6%@ 9.11+0.7%
0-2
4.5%@ 11.65+0.7%
Clermont Foot goals ↓
Dijon goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
14%
9.2%
4.5%
1.3%
0.3%
1
14%
14%
5.6%
1.6%
0.3%
2
9.5%
8.1%
3.5%
1.0%
0.2%
3
3.9%
3.4%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
4
1.2%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Clermont Foot goals (down), columns = Dijon goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Nantes
1.92
Saint Etienne
1.75
Rodez
1.67
Reims
1.67
RED Star FC 93
1.67
Metz
1.64
Annecy
1.53
Montpellier
1.47
PAU
1.33
Dunkerque
1.28
Sochaux
1.11
Guingamp
1.11
Grenoble
1.08
Clermont Foot
1.06
Dijon
1.03
Nancy
1.03
Boulogne
1.03
Laval
0.97
Clermont Foot is 0.02 points better than Dijon in terms of average points per game (1.06 vs 1.03).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nantes
1.80
Saint Etienne
1.72
Dunkerque
1.56
Reims
1.56
Metz
1.54
PAU
1.42
Annecy
1.42
RED Star FC 93
1.36
Rodez
1.31
Guingamp
1.22
Montpellier
1.19
Clermont Foot
1.11
Sochaux
1.05
Boulogne
1.03
Nancy
1.00
Dijon
0.97
Grenoble
0.92
Laval
0.84
Clermont Foot is 0.14 goals better than Dijon in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 0.97).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Nantes
0.85
Montpellier
0.92
Metz
1.00
Reims
1.03
Saint Etienne
1.11
RED Star FC 93
1.12
Rodez
1.14
Annecy
1.14
Grenoble
1.19
Dunkerque
1.28
Clermont Foot
1.31
Laval
1.32
Sochaux
1.47
Boulogne
1.47
Nancy
1.53
Guingamp
1.56
Dijon
1.58
PAU
1.81
Clermont Foot is 0.28 goals better than Dijon in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.58).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Saint Etienne
59%
Reims
58%
Dunkerque
57%
Guingamp
56%
RED Star FC 93
54%
Montpellier
52%
PAU
51%
Clermont Foot
50%
Laval
47%
Boulogne
46%
Annecy
45%
Grenoble
44%
Nancy
42%
Rodez
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Clermont Foot
For 3.6 · Against 6.3 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 15.2 · Total 28.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dijon
For 2.7 · Against 3.3 · Total 6.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 18.0 · Total 32.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Clermont Foot
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
8.9
9.4
3.8
4.2
3.5
26.7
26.2
27.2
vs Stronger (4)
7.0
6.0
8.0
4.0
4.0
4.0
26.0
27.0
25.0
vs Similar (45)
9.3
9.1
9.5
3.9
4.2
3.6
26.8
26.1
27.4
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
45%
38%
52%
56%
62%
50%
84%
88%
80%
% under line
55%
62%
48%
44%
38%
50%
16%
12%
20%
This opponent (Dijon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dijon
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
11.5
7.2
0.4
0.3
0.6
23.4
21.8
24.8
vs Stronger (19)
8.0
10.5
5.5
0.7
0.4
0.9
28.0
24.0
32.0
vs Similar (30)
10.0
12.5
8.3
0.3
0.2
0.4
19.8
19.5
20.0
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
44%
75%
20%
4%
0%
7%
44%
25%
60%
% under line
56%
25%
80%
96%
100%
93%
56%
75%
40%
This opponent (Clermont Foot) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Laval
10.4
Rodez
9.9
Grenoble
9.7
Montpellier
9.6
Nancy
9.5
Saint Etienne
9.5
PAU
9.4
Metz
9.4
Nantes
9.3
Dijon
9.3
Clermont Foot
9.1
Sochaux
9.1
Guingamp
9.0
Reims
8.7
Boulogne
8.7
Dunkerque
8.5
Annecy
8.4
RED Star FC 93
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Guingamp
4.6
PAU
4.5
Nantes
4.5
Boulogne
4.3
Annecy
4.2
Sochaux
4.2
Montpellier
4.2
Rodez
4.1
Reims
4.1
Clermont Foot
4.0
Laval
4.0
Dunkerque
4.0
Nancy
4.0
Dijon
3.8
Metz
3.8
RED Star FC 93
3.8
Saint Etienne
3.8
Grenoble
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Montpellier
29.3
Nancy
28.9
Annecy
28.7
Boulogne
28.2
Laval
28.1
Guingamp
27.8
Dijon
27.5
Clermont Foot
26.8
Nantes
26.6
RED Star FC 93
26.5
Saint Etienne
26.2
Sochaux
26.0
Dunkerque
25.8
Rodez
25.7
PAU
25.7
Grenoble
25.6
Reims
24.8
Metz
22.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
34.1%
@ 2.60-1.3%
Under 9.5
65.9%
@ 1.43+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.75
Superbet
2.70
Betano
2.67
Pinnacle
2.56
Marathonbet
2.50
Under
Pinnacle
1.48
1xBet
1.44
Betano
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Superbet
1.41
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
61.9%
@ 1.59+4.8%
Under 3.5
38.1%
@ 2.12-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.59
Under
Superbet
2.12
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
90.4%
Under 21.5
9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Clermont Foot or Draw✓ Hit
75.7%
Avg Implied 63.1% · @ 1.48
Edge
+12.6%
44%
32%
24%
covers Clermont Foot + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.53
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.51
1xBet
1.51
Marathonbet
1.51
Clermont Foot or Dijon✗ Miss
68.2%
Avg Implied 71.2% · @ 1.31
Edge
-3.0%
44%
32%
24%
covers Clermont Foot + Dijon
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.35
William Hil
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Betfair
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Draw or Dijon✓ Hit
56.1%
Avg Implied 65.7% · @ 1.42
Edge
-9.7%
44%
32%
24%
covers Draw + Dijon
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.43
SBO
1.43
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Clermont Foot over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.2%
@ 1.33+1.6%
Under
28.8%
@ 3.04-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
888Sport
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Pinnacle
3.11
Unibet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.04
Clermont Foot over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
35.3%
@ 2.65+0.1%
Under
64.7%
@ 1.44-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.91
888Sport
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Superbet
2.67
BetVictor
2.63
Under
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
10Bet
1.45
BetVictor
1.44
Clermont Foot over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.0%
@ 6.32-1.7%
Under
87.0%
@ 1.09+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
7.00
BetVictor
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Superbet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.09
BetVictor
1.08
Clermont Foot over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.8%
@ 17.38-1.8%
Under
96.2%
@ 1.02+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
23.00
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
17.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
888Sport
1.01
Dijon over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
57.6%
@ 1.30-13.6%
Under
42.4%
@ 3.21+13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
Betano
1.31
Under
Pinnacle
3.40
Marathonbet
3.26
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.25
Dijon over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
21.2%
@ 2.50-16.1%
Under
78.8%
@ 1.49+16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.62
Pinnacle
2.62
Superbet
2.57
10Bet
2.55
BetVictor
2.50
Under
1xBet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Betfair
1.50
Dijon over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.6%
@ 5.89-10.2%
Under
94.4%
@ 1.11+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
6.25
888Sport
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Superbet
5.90
Under
Betano
1.13
Betfair
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Dijon over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.1%
@ 14.75-5.3%
Under
98.9%
@ 1.02+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
19.00
Bet365
19.00
Superbet
15.00
Marathonbet
10.50
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Clermont Foot, so a minus line means Clermont Foot give that many goals of a start and Dijon receive them. At -1, Clermont Foot must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Clermont Foot win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Clermont Foot)Actual: Dijon
Clermont Foot -2
7.0%
@ 12.36-0.2%
Draw -2
13.3%
@ 7.26+1.1%
Dijon +2
79.7%
@ 1.10-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
17.00
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
13.00
Unibet
11.50
Marathonbet
7.30
Draw
Betfair
9.00
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.40
Unibet
7.00
Marathonbet
4.90
Away
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
Handicap -1 (Clermont Foot)Actual: Dijon
Clermont Foot -1
20.3%
@ 5.53+4.2%
Draw -1
23.6%
@ 4.15+2.1%
Dijon +1
56.1%
@ 1.43-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.40
Unibet
5.30
10Bet
5.25
Draw
Betfair
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
Superbet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Away
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.47
Bet365
1.44
Unibet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.42
Handicap +1 (Clermont Foot)Actual: Clermont Foot
Clermont Foot +1
75.7%
@ 1.47+15.3%
Draw +1
15.9%
@ 4.03-6.2%
Dijon -1
8.4%
@ 5.07-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.51
Superbet
1.50
Unibet
1.48
10Bet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.94
Away
10Bet
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.00
Superbet
4.90
Unibet
4.75
Handicap +2 (Clermont Foot)Actual: Clermont Foot
Clermont Foot +2
91.6%
@ 1.13+12.8%
Draw +2
6.3%
@ 6.73-6.9%
Dijon -2
2.1%
@ 11.04-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.14
Unibet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Superbet
6.80
Unibet
6.50
Marathonbet
4.85
Away
Betfair
14.00
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
11.00
Unibet
10.50
Marathonbet
6.70
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Clermont Foot
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.57
0.27
0.40
0.60
0.73
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.48
0.63
0.31
0.46
0.64
0.79
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Dijon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dijon
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.47
0.58
0.25
0.22
0.61
vs Stronger (11)
0.00
0.55
0.00
0.20
0.00
0.83
vs Similar (18)
0.56
0.39
1.00
0.29
0.27
0.45
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Clermont Foot) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
66.3%
@ 1.41+0.3%
Under 0.5
33.7%
@ 2.74-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.45
BetVictor
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
William Hil
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
2.89
10Bet
2.80
William Hil
2.80
Unibet
2.75
Betfair
2.75
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
26.7%
@ 2.91-5.2%
Under 1.5
73.3%
@ 1.37+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.10
Superbet
3.05
Pinnacle
3.04
Betfair
3.00
William Hil
2.90
Under
10Bet
1.40
Betano
1.38
BetVictor
1.38
Pinnacle
1.38
Unibet
1.37
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.0%
@ 7.37-3.6%
Under 2.5
91.0%
@ 1.06+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
8.00
Superbet
7.90
William Hil
7.50
Betano
7.10
Marathonbet
6.85
Under
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Clermont Foot over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
47.3%
@ 2.16+4.4%
Under
52.7%
@ 1.62-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.24
Superbet
2.22
Betano
2.22
1xBet
2.16
Marathonbet
2.16
Under
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.65
Betano
1.62
Unibet
1.61
1xBet
1.60
Clermont Foot over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.0%
@ 7.00-2.3%
Under
89.0%
@ 1.07+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.30
Superbet
7.30
Marathonbet
7.30
Betano
6.60
10Bet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
Clermont Foot over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 20.83-2.7%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
27.00
10Bet
23.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Dijon over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
39.2%
@ 2.10-4.8%
Under
60.8%
@ 1.65+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.17
Betano
2.15
Superbet
2.15
10Bet
2.10
1xBet
2.06
Under
Pinnacle
1.69
1xBet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.66
Betano
1.65
10Bet
1.65
Dijon over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.7%
@ 6.74-5.0%
Under
91.3%
@ 1.07+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
7.00
Superbet
6.80
1xBet
6.70
Marathonbet
6.70
Betano
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Dijon over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.3%
@ 20.50-3.4%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.01+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
23.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Clermont Foot
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.70
0.73
0.60
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.70
0.70
0.85
0.62
0.57
0.79
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Dijon) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dijon
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.63
0.58
0.50
1.00
0.72
vs Stronger (11)
0.45
0.64
0.40
0.60
0.50
0.67
vs Similar (18)
0.94
0.61
0.71
0.43
1.09
0.73
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
-
-
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Clermont Foot) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Clermont Foot over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clermont Foot over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clermont Foot over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dijon over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dijon over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dijon over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.4%
1.01
Betano
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.9%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
888Sport
1.02
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
888Sport
1.01
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
94.4%
1.11
Betano
1.13
Betfair
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
+10.2%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
93.8%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Unibet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
+6.8%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
91.6%
1.13
Superbet
1.14
Unibet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
+12.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.3%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
10Bet
1.07
+5.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
91.0%
1.06
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.04
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.0%
1.07
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
87.0%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.09
BetVictor
1.08
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
85.3%
1.12
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
83.8%
1.25
Betano
1.30
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Unibet
1.26
1xBet
1.25
+9.4%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
80.0%
1.22
Superbet
1.22
-
-
-
-
+7.0%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
79.7%
1.10
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Betfair
1.08
-0.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
78.8%
1.49
1xBet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Betfair
1.50
+16.1%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
76.9%
1.23
Superbet
1.25
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
Unibet
1.19
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
75.7%
1.48
Betfair
1.53
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.51
1xBet
1.51
Marathonbet
1.51
+12.6%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
75.7%
1.47
Marathonbet
1.51
Superbet
1.50
Unibet
1.48
10Bet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
+15.3%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 1.5 HT goals
73.3%
1.37
10Bet
1.40
Betano
1.38
BetVictor
1.38
Pinnacle
1.38
Unibet
1.37
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
71.2%
1.33
Betano
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
888Sport
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Bet365
1.33
+1.6%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Clermont Foot
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ousmane Diop25%
Adrien Hunou0%
Yoann Salmier0%
Vital Nsimba0%
Junior Sambia0%
Théo Guivarch0%
Maïdine Douane0%
Ibrahim Coulibaly0%
Mohamed-Amine Bouchenna0%
Jean Grillot0%
El Hadj Koné0%
Ethan Kena Kabeya0%
Ivan M'Bahia0%
Arthur Saintorens0%
Christ Okou0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan M'Bahia33%
Yoann Salmier25%
Jean Grillot25%
Adrien Hunou0%
Vital Nsimba0%
Junior Sambia0%
Théo Guivarch0%
Maïdine Douane0%
Ibrahim Coulibaly0%
Mohamed-Amine Bouchenna0%
El Hadj Koné0%
Ousmane Diop0%
Ethan Kena Kabeya0%
Arthur Saintorens0%
Christ Okou0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Adrien Hunou25%
Junior Sambia25%
Yoann Salmier0%
Vital Nsimba0%
Théo Guivarch0%
Maïdine Douane0%
Ibrahim Coulibaly0%
Mohamed-Amine Bouchenna0%
Jean Grillot0%
El Hadj Koné0%
Ousmane Diop0%
Ethan Kena Kabeya0%
Ivan M'Bahia0%
Arthur Saintorens0%
Christ Okou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Adrien Hunou0%
Yoann Salmier0%
Vital Nsimba0%
Junior Sambia0%
Théo Guivarch0%
Maïdine Douane0%
Ibrahim Coulibaly0%
Mohamed-Amine Bouchenna0%
Jean Grillot0%
El Hadj Koné0%
Ousmane Diop0%
Ethan Kena Kabeya0%
Ivan M'Bahia0%
Arthur Saintorens0%
Christ Okou0%
Dijon
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jordan Marié25%
Adel Lembezat25%
Samy Chouchane25%
Paul Delecroix0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Mickaël Barreto0%
Yanis Barka0%
Júlio Tavares0%
Ismail Bouleghcha0%
Paul Bellon0%
Lenny Lacroix0%
Brandon Ndezi0%
Alexis Ntamack0%
Ylan Aka0%
Tyris Dong0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lenny Lacroix50%
Adel Lembezat25%
Paul Bellon25%
Brandon Ndezi25%
Tyris Dong25%
Paul Delecroix0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Mickaël Barreto0%
Yanis Barka0%
Jordan Marié0%
Júlio Tavares0%
Ismail Bouleghcha0%
Samy Chouchane0%
Alexis Ntamack0%
Ylan Aka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Júlio Tavares25%
Paul Bellon25%
Paul Delecroix0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Mickaël Barreto0%
Yanis Barka0%
Jordan Marié0%
Adel Lembezat0%
Ismail Bouleghcha0%
Lenny Lacroix0%
Samy Chouchane0%
Brandon Ndezi0%
Alexis Ntamack0%
Ylan Aka0%
Tyris Dong0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexis Ntamack50%
Yanis Barka25%
Adel Lembezat25%
Samy Chouchane25%
Paul Delecroix0%
Quentin Bernard0%
Mickaël Barreto0%
Jordan Marié0%
Júlio Tavares0%
Ismail Bouleghcha0%
Paul Bellon0%
Lenny Lacroix0%
Brandon Ndezi0%
Ylan Aka0%
Tyris Dong0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SE (30)
€93m
NAN (25)
€82m
REI (30)
€72m
MET (26)
€43m
MON (24)
€29m
ROD (23)
€15m
CF (21)
€15m
RSF (22)
€15m
PAU (20)
€14m
NAN (26)
€13m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
DUN (21)
€11m
ANN (21)
€10m
LAV (24)
€9m
BOU (23)
€8m
SOC (20)
€7m
DIJ (20)
€5m
Clermont Foot's squad is €10m more valuable than Dijon's (€15m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SE (10)
€54m
REI (12)
€38m
NAN (8)
€31m
MET (11)
€17m
MON (9)
€11m
PAU (6)
€6m
GRE (12)
€5m
NAN (9)
€5m
DUN (7)
€4m
RSF (6)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
ANN (7)
€3m
SOC (8)
€3m
BOU (6)
€2m
CF (5)
€2m
LAV (7)
€2m
DIJ (7)
€1m
Clermont Foot and Dijon have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MET (5)
€18m
NAN (7)
€16m
REI (6)
€13m
SE (7)
€11m
MON (5)
€6m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
RSF (5)
€3m
ANN (6)
€3m
LAV (7)
€3m
GRE (5)
€3m
CF (4)
€3m
BOU (6)
€3m
NAN (6)
€2m
PAU (4)
€2m
DIJ (6)
€2m
DUN (5)
€1m
SOC (3)
€1m
Clermont Foot and Dijon have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAN (10)
€34m
SE (13)
€28m
REI (12)
€21m
MON (10)
€12m
CF (12)
€10m
MET (10)
€8m
ROD (10)
€7m
RSF (11)
€7m
NAN (11)
€6m
PAU (10)
€6m
DUN (9)
€5m
LAV (10)
€4m
ANN (8)
€4m
GRE (10)
€4m
SOC (9)
€3m
BOU (11)
€3m
GUI (8)
€3m
DIJ (7)
€2m
Clermont Foot's defence is €8m more valuable than Dijon's (€10m vs €2m).
France: Ligue 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 2 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Saint Etienne
Reims
Montpellier
Rodez
Nancy
Annecy
Metz
RED Star FC 93
Sochaux
Dunkerque
Guingamp
PAU
Grenoble
Laval
Boulogne
Nantes