Clyde are tipped to lift the trophy at home, the model’s pick and the highest probability of 45 percent. With an expected 2.8 goals, the match should see a modest scoring output, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13 percent chance. Clyde’s home form shows they average 1.14 goals scored and only 0.71 conceded against stronger opposition, while Elgin, on the road, struggles, netting 0.75 and conceding 2.38 against weaker teams. The draw probability sits at 27 percent and the away win at 28 percent. Suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards at 81.5 percent, Over 1.5 goals at 77.6 percent, Under 25.5 fouls at 77.4 percent, Over 8.5 corners at 73.3 percent, and Over 2.5 cards at 73.1 percent, the latter being the only miss. Clyde’s recent draw against Spartans and Elgin’s unbeaten run, highlighted by a 4-0 win over Stirling, add intrigue to this encounter.
Results analysis
The match saw Clyde extend their recent form, moving from a draw into a win after a 4-1 triumph over Elgin. The Pythia model had picked a home win with a 45% probability, and the prediction proved correct. The final score of 4-1 confirmed the model’s forecast. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 5.5 cards hit at 81.5%, Over 1.5 hit at 77.6%, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 77.4%, Over 8.5 corners hit at 73.3%, while Over 2.5 cards missed at 73.1%. The most likely score of 1-1 at 13% was not realised, but the overall outcome matched the model’s expectations.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Clyde win✓ Hit
44.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Elgin win✗ Miss
28.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Clyde
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.90
1.14
0.71
1.56
1.06
vs Stronger (30)
1.37
0.90
1.14
0.71
1.56
1.06
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Elgin
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.63
1.64
0.93
1.06
2.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.69
1.62
2.20
0.80
1.38
2.12
vs Weaker (17)
1.06
1.65
1.33
1.00
0.75
2.38
Clean sheet %
27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.6%
Under 1.5
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.4%
Under 2.5
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.2%
Under 3.5
69.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.6%
No
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-0
7.7%
0-0
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.6%
Clyde goals ↓
Elgin goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.4%
6.3%
4.5%
1.8%
0.5%
1
8.6%
13%
7.1%
2.9%
0.9%
2
7.7%
9.3%
5.6%
2.2%
0.7%
3
4.0%
4.8%
2.9%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.6%
1.9%
1.1%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Clyde goals (down), columns = Elgin goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Peterhead
2.19
Clyde
2.17
Edinburgh City
1.86
Annan Athletic
1.83
Stirling
1.31
Cowdenbeath
1.19
Elgin
1.19
Queens Park
1.14
Albion Rvs
0.67
Berwick
0.53
Clyde is 0.97 points better than Elgin in terms of average points per game (2.17 vs 1.19).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Annan Athletic
1.94
Peterhead
1.81
Clyde
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.61
Elgin
1.44
Cowdenbeath
1.28
Stirling
1.22
Queens Park
1.17
Albion Rvs
0.81
Berwick
0.75
Clyde is 0.36 goals better than Elgin in terms of goals scored per game (1.81 vs 1.44).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Peterhead
0.81
Clyde
0.83
Edinburgh City
0.86
Annan Athletic
1.08
Stirling
1.25
Cowdenbeath
1.28
Queens Park
1.33
Elgin
1.86
Albion Rvs
2.00
Berwick
2.53
Clyde is 1.03 goals better than Elgin in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 1.86).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Clyde
For 6.2 · Against 3.2 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.4 · Against 12.2 · Total 21.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Elgin
For 5.3 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 12.1 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Clyde
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.6
9.8
3.3
3.4
3.3
22.5
22.9
22.1
vs Stronger (50)
10.2
10.6
9.8
3.3
3.4
3.3
22.5
22.9
22.1
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
48%
52%
43%
50%
54%
46%
57%
52%
62%
% under line
52%
48%
57%
50%
46%
54%
43%
48%
38%
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Elgin
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.6
10.6
3.0
2.8
3.2
22.4
22.6
22.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
9.8
9.1
10.4
2.7
2.5
2.8
21.6
23.0
20.4
vs Weaker (27)
10.3
9.9
10.7
3.3
3.1
3.6
23.0
22.3
23.8
% over line
61%
55%
67%
40%
36%
44%
54%
55%
52%
% under line
39%
45%
33%
60%
64%
56%
46%
45%
48%
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Queens Park
10.5
Clyde
10.2
Albion Rvs
10.1
Elgin
10.1
Stirling
10.0
Edinburgh City
9.7
Peterhead
9.6
Berwick
9.5
Annan Athletic
9.0
Cowdenbeath
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Clyde
4.0
Cowdenbeath
3.9
Annan Athletic
3.8
Peterhead
3.7
Queens Park
3.7
Elgin
3.7
Edinburgh City
3.4
Stirling
3.3
Albion Rvs
3.1
Berwick
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.2
Edinburgh City
24.1
Annan Athletic
23.9
Cowdenbeath
23.7
Stirling
23.2
Clyde
22.5
Elgin
22.4
Berwick
21.8
Albion Rvs
20.7
Queens Park
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
61.7%
Under 9.5
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
52.7%
Under 3.5
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
53.2%
Under 21.5
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Clyde
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.30
0.57
0.21
0.69
0.38
vs Stronger (30)
0.63
0.30
0.57
0.21
0.69
0.38
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Elgin
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.57
0.79
0.36
0.50
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.85
0.38
0.80
0.20
0.88
0.50
vs Weaker (17)
0.47
0.71
0.78
0.44
0.12
1.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Clyde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Clyde
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.60
0.57
0.50
0.88
0.69
vs Stronger (30)
0.73
0.60
0.57
0.50
0.88
0.69
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Elgin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.07
0.86
0.57
0.56
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.85
1.23
1.40
0.60
0.50
1.62
vs Weaker (17)
0.59
0.94
0.56
0.56
0.62
1.38
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Clyde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Scotland: League Two 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →