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Clyde vs Elgin Result & Analysis

Date: 22/09/2018
Time: 00:00
Final 4-1
Clyde
Clyde
Vs
45%
27%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Elgin
Elgin
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Clyde are tipped to lift the trophy at home, the model’s pick and the highest probability of 45 percent. With an expected 2.8 goals, the match should see a modest scoring output, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13 percent chance. Clyde’s home form shows they average 1.14 goals scored and only 0.71 conceded against stronger opposition, while Elgin, on the road, struggles, netting 0.75 and conceding 2.38 against weaker teams. The draw probability sits at 27 percent and the away win at 28 percent. Suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards at 81.5 percent, Over 1.5 goals at 77.6 percent, Under 25.5 fouls at 77.4 percent, Over 8.5 corners at 73.3 percent, and Over 2.5 cards at 73.1 percent, the latter being the only miss. Clyde’s recent draw against Spartans and Elgin’s unbeaten run, highlighted by a 4-0 win over Stirling, add intrigue to this encounter.

Results analysis

The match saw Clyde extend their recent form, moving from a draw into a win after a 4-1 triumph over Elgin. The Pythia model had picked a home win with a 45% probability, and the prediction proved correct. The final score of 4-1 confirmed the model’s forecast. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 5.5 cards hit at 81.5%, Over 1.5 hit at 77.6%, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 77.4%, Over 8.5 corners hit at 73.3%, while Over 2.5 cards missed at 73.1%. The most likely score of 1-1 at 13% was not realised, but the overall outcome matched the model’s expectations.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Clyde win✓ Hit
44.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Elgin win✗ Miss
28.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ClydeClyde

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L21W31W12L20W30W01L02L21W10WA·COW07/04H·STI14/04A·EDI21/04H·BER28/04H·COW04/08A·STI11/08A·PET18/08H·EDI25/08A·ANN01/09H·ALB15/09
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.901.140.711.561.06
vs Stronger (30)1.370.901.140.711.561.06
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W14L11D01L11D11D10W10W03L30WH·STI31/03A·ANN07/04H·EDI14/04H·PET21/04A·MON28/04A·ANN04/08H·EDI11/08A·ALB18/08H·STI01/09A·BER15/09
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.631.640.931.062.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.691.622.200.801.382.12
vs Weaker (17)1.061.651.331.000.752.38
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.6%
Under 1.5
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.4%
Under 2.5
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.2%
Under 3.5
69.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.6%
No
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-0
7.7%
0-0
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
5.6%
Clyde goals ↓
Elgin goals →
01234
07.4%6.3%4.5%1.8%0.5%
18.6%13%7.1%2.9%0.9%
27.7%9.3%5.6%2.2%0.7%
34.0%4.8%2.9%1.2%0.4%
41.6%1.9%1.1%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Clyde goals (down), columns = Elgin goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Peterhead
2.19
Clyde
2.17
Edinburgh City
1.86
Annan Athletic
1.83
Stirling
1.31
Cowdenbeath
1.19
Elgin
1.19
Queens Park
1.14
Albion Rvs
0.67
Berwick
0.53
Clyde is 0.97 points better than Elgin in terms of average points per game (2.17 vs 1.19).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Annan Athletic
1.94
Peterhead
1.81
Clyde
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.61
Elgin
1.44
Cowdenbeath
1.28
Stirling
1.22
Queens Park
1.17
Albion Rvs
0.81
Berwick
0.75
Clyde is 0.36 goals better than Elgin in terms of goals scored per game (1.81 vs 1.44).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Peterhead
0.81
Clyde
0.83
Edinburgh City
0.86
Annan Athletic
1.08
Stirling
1.25
Cowdenbeath
1.28
Queens Park
1.33
Elgin
1.86
Albion Rvs
2.00
Berwick
2.53
Clyde is 1.03 goals better than Elgin in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 1.86).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ClydeClyde

For 6.2 · Against 3.2 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

1607337634431249496117176137716131528H·ALBA·ANNH·EDIA·PETA·STIH·COWH·BERA·EDIH·STIA·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

70422211223413512524433544537H·ALBA·ANNH·EDIA·PETA·STIH·COWH·BERA·EDIH·STIA·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.4 · Against 12.2 · Total 21.6

⚠️ Fouls

3609111315106142288715399131111101220281636162212222222H·ALBA·ANNH·EDIA·PETA·STIH·COWH·BERA·EDIH·STIA·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ElginElgin

For 5.3 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.4

🚩 Corners

160511069615541553105444261615691581586A·BERH·STIA·ALBH·EDIA·ANNA·MONH·PETH·EDIA·ANNH·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

60221122421132214124136214453A·BERH·STIA·ALBH·EDIA·ANNA·MONH·PETH·EDIA·ANNH·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 12.1 · Total 24.3

⚠️ Fouls

320141215106111616111511714161113138111326251732261830242124A·BERH·STIA·ALBH·EDIA·ANNA·MONH·PETH·EDIA·ANNH·STI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ClydeClyde

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.69.83.33.43.322.522.922.1
vs Stronger (50)10.210.69.83.33.43.322.522.922.1
vs Similar (0)---------
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line48%52%43%50%54%46%57%52%62%
% under line52%48%57%50%46%54%43%48%38%
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.19.610.63.02.83.222.422.622.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (23)9.89.110.42.72.52.821.623.020.4
vs Weaker (27)10.39.910.73.33.13.623.022.323.8
% over line61%55%67%40%36%44%54%55%52%
% under line39%45%33%60%64%56%46%45%48%
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Queens Park
10.5
Clyde
10.2
Albion Rvs
10.1
Elgin
10.1
Stirling
10.0
Edinburgh City
9.7
Peterhead
9.6
Berwick
9.5
Annan Athletic
9.0
Cowdenbeath
8.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Clyde
4.0
Cowdenbeath
3.9
Annan Athletic
3.8
Peterhead
3.7
Queens Park
3.7
Elgin
3.7
Edinburgh City
3.4
Stirling
3.3
Albion Rvs
3.1
Berwick
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.2
Edinburgh City
24.1
Annan Athletic
23.9
Cowdenbeath
23.7
Stirling
23.2
Clyde
22.5
Elgin
22.4
Berwick
21.8
Albion Rvs
20.7
Queens Park
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
61.7%
Under 9.5
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
52.7%
Under 3.5
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
53.2%
Under 21.5
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ClydeClyde

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W01L20W20W00D00D11D10WA·COW07/04H·STI14/04A·EDI21/04H·BER28/04H·COW04/08A·STI11/08A·PET18/08H·EDI25/08A·ANN01/09H·ALB15/09
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.300.570.210.690.38
vs Stronger (30)0.630.300.570.210.690.38
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L10W00D10W00D00D00D03L30WH·STI31/03A·ANN07/04H·EDI14/04H·PET21/04A·MON28/04A·ANN04/08H·EDI11/08A·ALB18/08H·STI01/09A·BER15/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.570.790.360.500.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.850.380.800.200.880.50
vs Weaker (17)0.470.710.780.440.121.00
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Clyde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ClydeClyde

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L21W21W11D00D10W01L02L10W00DA·COW07/04H·STI14/04A·EDI21/04H·BER28/04H·COW04/08A·STI11/08A·PET18/08H·EDI25/08A·ANN01/09H·ALB15/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.600.570.500.880.69
vs Stronger (30)0.730.600.570.500.880.69
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D13L01L01L01L11D10W10W00D00DH·STI31/03A·ANN07/04H·EDI14/04H·PET21/04A·MON28/04A·ANN04/08H·EDI11/08A·ALB18/08H·STI01/09A·BER15/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.070.860.570.561.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.851.231.400.600.501.62
vs Weaker (17)0.590.940.560.560.621.38
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Clyde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards81.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.577.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls77.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners73.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards73.1%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
CLY wins
0
Draws
4
ELG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Clyde vs Elgin · H/A from CLY
DateH/AGameScore
13/03/18HCLY Vs Elgin1-0
06/01/18AElgin Vs CLY2-1
28/10/17HCLY Vs Elgin2-4
19/08/17AElgin Vs CLY3-2
15/04/17HCLY Vs Elgin3-2
18/02/17AElgin Vs CLY4-1
05/11/16HCLY Vs Elgin2-1
17/09/16AElgin Vs CLY0-2

ClydeClyde

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/09/18HCLY Vs Albion Rvs1-0
01/09/18AAnnan Athletic Vs CLY1-2
25/08/18HCLY Vs Edinburgh City0-2
18/08/18APeterhead Vs CLY1-0
11/08/18AStirling Vs CLY0-3
04/08/18HCLY Vs Cowdenbeath2-0
28/04/18HCLY Vs Berwick1-2
21/04/18AEdinburgh City Vs CLY1-3
14/04/18HCLY Vs Stirling2-1
07/04/18ACowdenbeath Vs CLY1-0

ElginElgin

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/09/18ABerwick Vs ELG0-3
01/09/18HELG Vs Stirling0-3
18/08/18AAlbion Rvs Vs ELG0-1
11/08/18HELG Vs Edinburgh City1-0
04/08/18AAnnan Athletic Vs ELG1-1
28/04/18AMontrose Vs ELG1-1
21/04/18HELG Vs Peterhead0-1
14/04/18HELG Vs Edinburgh City1-1
07/04/18AAnnan Athletic Vs ELG4-1
31/03/18HELG Vs Stirling3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Clyde
Clyde
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWW1.42
HomeWLWLW1.54
AwayLWWLW1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%42%38%
AVG goals2.742.622.88
Over 1.5 %78%77%79%
Over 2.5 %56%46%67%
Over 3.5 %26%23%29%
Scored1.381.311.46
Conceded1.361.311.42
BTTS56%54%58%
Clean Sheet28%35%21%
Corners10.1910.629.76
Cards3.984.193.76
Elgin
Elgin
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLW1.30
HomeWDLWL1.68
AwayLDDWW0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%44%24%
AVG goals3.042.523.56
Over 1.5 %86%80%92%
Over 2.5 %58%44%72%
Over 3.5 %36%20%52%
Scored1.421.521.32
Conceded1.621.002.24
BTTS52%48%56%
Clean Sheet24%32%16%
Corners10.109.6010.57
Cards3.683.503.86

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PeterheadPeterhead3679
67%
2.2
6529+36
2.6
78%
50%
22%
9.7
42%
3.5
47%
24.2
69%
0
0001.80.8
-
2ClydeClyde3678
67%
2.2
6530+35
2.6
72%
50%
22%
8.9
33%
3.3
44%
19.7
36%
0
0001.80.8
-
3Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3667
56%
1.9
5831+27
2.5
69%
44%
28%
8.6
42%
4.0
61%
24.6
75%
0
0001.60.9
-
4Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3666
56%
1.8
7039+31
3.0
89%
72%
31%
10.1
58%
3.8
50%
23.6
78%
0
0001.91.1
-
5StirlingStirling3647
36%
1.3
4445-1
2.5
64%
50%
22%
11.0
64%
3.4
47%
21.9
50%
0
0001.21.2
-
6CowdenbeathCowdenbeath3643
33%
1.2
4646+0
2.6
75%
44%
22%
9.2
47%
3.7
50%
22.2
56%
0
0001.31.3
-
7ElginElgin3643
36%
1.2
5267-15
3.3
86%
69%
36%
9.9
50%
2.9
28%
21.2
50%
0
0001.41.9
-
8Queens ParkQueens Park3641
28%
1.1
4248-6
2.5
81%
44%
22%
9.4
44%
3.4
36%
20.6
44%
0
0001.21.3
-
9
AR
Albion Rvs
3624
17%
0.7
2972-43
2.8
78%
50%
31%
10.6
64%
2.6
25%
21.7
53%
0
0000.82.0
-
10
B
Berwick
3619
14%
0.5
2791-64
3.3
86%
64%
31%
9.2
44%
3.4
50%
23.8
67%
0
0000.82.5
-
Scotland: League Two 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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