Clyde are tipped to win this match, with a 53% chance of a home victory, 25% for a draw and 22% for an away win. The model expects a total of three goals, but the most likely total is two, with a 23% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 11.6% chance. Clyde’s home form shows they average 1.57 goals scored and 0.93 conceded against stronger opposition, while Elgin, playing away against weaker teams, average 1.0 goal scored and 3.2 conceded. The suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards at 86.7%, Under 25.5 fouls at 85.9%, Over 1.5 at 81.1%, Under 23.5 fouls at 74.5% and Under 4.5 cards at 73.9%. The home side’s recent five matches are DWWLW, coming off a draw, and the away side’s last five are WDWDW, unbeaten, with a 4-0 win over Stirling.
Results analysis
Clyde’s recent form, coming off a draw, has been solid, while Elgin remain unbeaten in their last five. The model’s favourite, a home win, proved correct as Clyde secured a 2-0 victory. The pre-match probability for a home win was 53%. The model’s selections largely hit: Under 5.5 cards at 86.7% was fulfilled, Under 25.5 fouls at 85.9% came through, Over 1.5 at 81.1% was correct, Under 23.5 fouls at 74.5% and Under 4.5 cards at 73.9% all hit. The final score of 2-0 matched the expected result, confirming the model’s accurate predictions.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Clyde win✓ Hit
53.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Elgin win✗ Miss
22.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Clyde
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
0.87
1.57
0.93
1.75
0.81
vs Stronger (30)
1.67
0.87
1.57
0.93
1.75
0.81
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Elgin
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.90
1.60
2.07
1.53
1.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
1.78
1.56
1.75
2.25
1.80
1.00
vs Weaker (12)
1.25
2.42
1.43
1.86
1.00
3.20
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.1%
Under 1.5
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.7%
Under 2.5
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.3%
Under 3.5
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.4%
No
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
2-0 ✓
8.6%
1-0
8.2%
3-1
6.1%
0-0
6.0%
1-2
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
Clyde goals ↓
Elgin goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.0%
4.6%
3.2%
1.2%
0.3%
1
8.2%
12%
6.0%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.6%
9.8%
5.6%
2.1%
0.6%
3
5.4%
6.1%
3.5%
1.3%
0.4%
4
2.5%
2.8%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Clyde goals (down), columns = Elgin goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Peterhead
2.19
Clyde
2.17
Edinburgh City
1.86
Annan Athletic
1.83
Stirling
1.31
Cowdenbeath
1.19
Elgin
1.19
Queens Park
1.14
Albion Rvs
0.67
Berwick
0.53
Clyde is 0.97 points better than Elgin in terms of average points per game (2.17 vs 1.19).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Annan Athletic
1.94
Peterhead
1.81
Clyde
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.61
Elgin
1.44
Cowdenbeath
1.28
Stirling
1.22
Queens Park
1.17
Albion Rvs
0.81
Berwick
0.75
Clyde is 0.36 goals better than Elgin in terms of goals scored per game (1.81 vs 1.44).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Peterhead
0.81
Clyde
0.83
Edinburgh City
0.86
Annan Athletic
1.08
Stirling
1.25
Cowdenbeath
1.28
Queens Park
1.33
Elgin
1.86
Albion Rvs
2.00
Berwick
2.53
Clyde is 1.03 goals better than Elgin in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 1.86).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Clyde
For 4.4 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.7 · Total 2.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.3 · Against 8.7 · Total 17.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Elgin
For 4.6 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.0 · Against 11.2 · Total 19.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Clyde
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
10.7
8.1
3.6
3.7
3.5
20.7
20.3
21.1
vs Stronger (50)
9.3
10.7
8.1
3.6
3.7
3.5
20.7
20.3
21.1
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
40%
61%
22%
50%
52%
48%
48%
48%
48%
% under line
60%
39%
78%
50%
48%
52%
52%
52%
52%
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Elgin
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.3
10.7
3.1
3.2
3.0
21.3
21.2
21.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
9.4
9.1
9.7
3.1
3.2
3.1
21.8
21.9
21.8
vs Weaker (25)
10.5
9.4
11.9
3.0
3.1
2.9
20.8
20.7
20.9
% over line
54%
44%
64%
34%
32%
36%
48%
44%
52%
% under line
46%
56%
36%
66%
68%
64%
52%
56%
48%
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Albion Rvs
10.5
Stirling
10.3
Elgin
10.0
Queens Park
9.8
Annan Athletic
9.6
Edinburgh City
9.5
Peterhead
9.4
Berwick
9.3
Clyde
9.3
Cowdenbeath
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
4.1
Edinburgh City
3.8
Queens Park
3.7
Annan Athletic
3.6
Clyde
3.6
Peterhead
3.5
Stirling
3.3
Berwick
3.2
Elgin
3.1
Albion Rvs
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
25.6
Edinburgh City
24.2
Cowdenbeath
23.2
Berwick
23.1
Annan Athletic
22.9
Stirling
22.4
Elgin
21.3
Albion Rvs
21.2
Clyde
20.7
Queens Park
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
57.7%
Under 9.5
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
44.8%
Under 3.5
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
40.8%
Under 21.5
59.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Clyde
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.40
0.71
0.43
0.94
0.38
vs Stronger (30)
0.83
0.40
0.71
0.43
0.94
0.38
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Elgin
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.97
0.47
1.13
0.73
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.72
0.38
1.12
0.80
0.40
vs Weaker (12)
0.58
1.33
0.57
1.14
0.60
1.60
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Clyde over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Clyde
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.47
0.86
0.50
0.81
0.44
vs Stronger (30)
0.83
0.47
0.86
0.50
0.81
0.44
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Elgin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.93
1.13
0.93
0.80
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
1.17
0.83
1.38
1.12
1.00
0.60
vs Weaker (12)
0.67
1.08
0.86
0.71
0.40
1.60
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Clyde) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Clyde over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clyde over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Scotland: League Two 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Peterhead
Edinburgh City
Annan Athletic
Stirling
Cowdenbeath
Queens Park