This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sligo Rovers
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.37
1.13
1.20
1.00
1.53
vs Stronger (10)
0.90
1.20
0.83
1.17
1.00
1.25
vs Similar (20)
1.15
1.45
1.33
1.22
1.00
1.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Cork City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.5%
Under 1.5
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.3%
Under 2.5
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.2%
Under 3.5
76.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.1%
No
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-0
9.9%
1-0
9.7%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
5.9%
Cork City goals ↓
Sligo Rovers goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.9%
8.8%
5.9%
2.3%
0.7%
1
9.7%
14%
7.6%
3.0%
0.9%
2
7.1%
8.3%
4.8%
1.9%
0.6%
3
3.0%
3.5%
2.1%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.0%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cork City goals (down), columns = Sligo Rovers goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shamrock Rovers
2.00
Derry City
1.81
St Patrick's Athl.
1.72
Shelbourne
1.67
Dundalk
1.61
Bohemians
1.61
Drogheda United
1.14
Sligo Rovers
1.03
Waterford
1.00
Cork City
0.86
UCD
0.31
Cork City is 0.16 points worse than Sligo Rovers in terms of average points per game (0.86 vs 1.03).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.86
Dundalk
1.64
St Patrick's Athl.
1.64
Derry City
1.58
Bohemians
1.47
Shelbourne
1.22
Drogheda United
1.11
Waterford
1.00
Sligo Rovers
1.00
Cork City
0.97
UCD
0.53
Cork City is 0.03 goals worse than Sligo Rovers in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Derry City
0.67
Shelbourne
0.75
Shamrock Rovers
0.75
Waterford
1.00
Bohemians
1.11
St Patrick's Athl.
1.17
Dundalk
1.22
Sligo Rovers
1.42
Drogheda United
1.50
Cork City
1.76
UCD
2.67
Cork City is 0.34 goals worse than Sligo Rovers in terms of goals conceded per game (1.76 vs 1.42).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shamrock Rovers
60%
Bohemians
57%
Dundalk
56%
Derry City
56%
Shelbourne
53%
Sligo Rovers
49%
St Patrick's Athl.
46%
Cork City
45%
Drogheda United
40%
UCD
38%
Cork City is 4.0 percentage points worse than Sligo Rovers in terms of average possession (45% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cork City
For 3.6 · Against 6.4 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 9.6 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sligo Rovers
For 4.5 · Against 3.3 · Total 7.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 13.3 · Total 27.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cork City
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.0
10.6
0.6
0.3
0.9
23.2
22.7
23.6
vs Stronger (9)
10.7
-
10.7
1.3
0.0
2.0
23.3
-
23.3
vs Similar (30)
9.6
9.0
10.5
0.6
0.5
0.8
23.2
22.7
24.0
vs Weaker (11)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
62%
33%
80%
8%
4%
12%
62%
67%
60%
% under line
38%
67%
20%
92%
96%
88%
38%
33%
40%
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sligo Rovers
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
10.0
8.0
0.9
1.1
0.8
26.4
25.0
28.3
vs Stronger (18)
11.2
12.0
10.5
1.5
1.6
1.4
25.0
24.0
27.0
vs Similar (31)
7.5
8.7
6.3
0.6
0.7
0.6
27.5
26.0
29.0
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
50%
60%
40%
18%
20%
16%
86%
75%
100%
% under line
50%
40%
60%
82%
80%
84%
14%
25%
0%
This opponent (Cork City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bohemians
12.1
Cork City
10.0
Shamrock Rovers
9.7
St Patrick's Athl.
9.6
Derry City
9.5
Drogheda United
9.4
Sligo Rovers
9.0
UCD
8.8
Shelbourne
7.9
Dundalk
7.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
St Patrick's Athl.
6.8
Derry City
5.8
Shelbourne
5.6
Dundalk
5.3
Shamrock Rovers
5.0
Bohemians
5.0
Sligo Rovers
4.7
UCD
4.3
Drogheda United
3.9
Cork City
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dundalk
26.8
Sligo Rovers
26.4
Derry City
26.2
Shelbourne
25.9
St Patrick's Athl.
24.9
Bohemians
23.4
Cork City
23.2
Shamrock Rovers
23.0
Drogheda United
22.1
UCD
21.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
39.5%
Under 9.5
60.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
62.2%
Under 3.5
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
71.5%
Under 21.5
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cork City
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.57
0.60
0.47
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
0.89
0.67
0.67
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.42
0.64
0.45
0.38
0.38
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sligo Rovers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.57
0.47
0.53
0.53
0.60
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
0.50
0.33
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.60
0.56
0.56
0.55
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Cork City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cork City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cork City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cork City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cork City
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.23
0.67
0.73
0.40
1.73
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
1.44
0.67
1.33
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (19)
0.47
1.16
0.55
0.64
0.38
1.88
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Sligo Rovers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sligo Rovers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.80
0.67
0.67
0.47
0.93
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.70
0.50
0.67
0.50
0.75
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.85
0.78
0.67
0.45
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Cork City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cork City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cork City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cork City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sligo Rovers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cork City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ruairi Keating29%
Joe O'Brien Whitmarsh 25%
Kevin Custovic9%
Barry Coffey9%
Cian Bargary7%
Oliver Byrne0%
Ben Worman0%
Jonas Hakkinen0%
Andriy Kravchuk0%
Ally Gilchrist0%
Cian Coleman0%
Cian Murphy0%
Gordon Walker0%
Jaze Kabia0%
Rokas Stanulevicius0%
Aaron Bolger0%
Joshua Honohan0%
Tunde Owolabi0%
Conor Drinan0%
James Corcoran0%
Tiernan Brooks0%
Malik Dijksteel0%
Oran Crowe0%
John O'Donovan0%
Joshua Fitzpatrick0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ruairi Keating36%
Aaron Bolger36%
John O'Donovan33%
Conor Drinan25%
Jaze Kabia22%
Cian Coleman21%
Joshua Honohan21%
Rokas Stanulevicius20%
Jonas Hakkinen17%
Malik Dijksteel12%
Oliver Byrne10%
Kevin Custovic9%
Tunde Owolabi8%
Cian Bargary7%
Ben Worman0%
Andriy Kravchuk0%
Ally Gilchrist0%
Cian Murphy0%
Gordon Walker0%
Barry Coffey0%
James Corcoran0%
Tiernan Brooks0%
Oran Crowe0%
Joe O'Brien Whitmarsh 0%
Joshua Fitzpatrick0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ben Worman18%
John O'Donovan11%
Aaron Bolger7%
Cian Bargary7%
Oliver Byrne0%
Jonas Hakkinen0%
Andriy Kravchuk0%
Ally Gilchrist0%
Cian Coleman0%
Cian Murphy0%
Gordon Walker0%
Jaze Kabia0%
Rokas Stanulevicius0%
Ruairi Keating0%
Kevin Custovic0%
Joshua Honohan0%
Barry Coffey0%
Tunde Owolabi0%
Conor Drinan0%
James Corcoran0%
Tiernan Brooks0%
Malik Dijksteel0%
Oran Crowe0%
Joe O'Brien Whitmarsh 0%
Joshua Fitzpatrick0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ruairi Keating43%
Barry Coffey18%
Joe O'Brien Whitmarsh 12%
Ben Worman9%
Cian Bargary7%
Oliver Byrne0%
Jonas Hakkinen0%
Andriy Kravchuk0%
Ally Gilchrist0%
Cian Coleman0%
Cian Murphy0%
Gordon Walker0%
Jaze Kabia0%
Rokas Stanulevicius0%
Aaron Bolger0%
Kevin Custovic0%
Joshua Honohan0%
Tunde Owolabi0%
Conor Drinan0%
James Corcoran0%
Tiernan Brooks0%
Malik Dijksteel0%
Oran Crowe0%
John O'Donovan0%
Joshua Fitzpatrick0%
Sligo Rovers
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Max Mata33%
Stefan Radosavljević27%
Kailin Barlow17%
Fabrice Hartmann10%
Pedro Martelo8%
Reece Hutchinson0%
Frank Liivak0%
Greg Bolger0%
Luke McNicholas0%
John Mahon0%
David Cawley0%
Niall Morahan0%
Garry Buckley0%
William Fitzgerald0%
Karl O'Sullivan0%
Nando Pijnaker0%
Johan Brannefalk0%
Richard Brush0%
Robbie Burton0%
Lukas Browning Lagerfeldt0%
Conor Walsh0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Robbie Burton57%
Fabrice Hartmann50%
Lukas Browning Lagerfeldt43%
Nando Pijnaker42%
Greg Bolger38%
Johan Brannefalk31%
Garry Buckley27%
Frank Liivak25%
John Mahon23%
Karl O'Sullivan20%
David Cawley18%
William Fitzgerald17%
Niall Morahan14%
Reece Hutchinson11%
Pedro Martelo8%
Kailin Barlow8%
Luke McNicholas0%
Stefan Radosavljević0%
Max Mata0%
Richard Brush0%
Conor Walsh0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kailin Barlow17%
Fabrice Hartmann10%
Niall Morahan7%
Reece Hutchinson0%
Pedro Martelo0%
Frank Liivak0%
Greg Bolger0%
Luke McNicholas0%
John Mahon0%
David Cawley0%
Garry Buckley0%
William Fitzgerald0%
Karl O'Sullivan0%
Stefan Radosavljević0%
Nando Pijnaker0%
Max Mata0%
Johan Brannefalk0%
Richard Brush0%
Robbie Burton0%
Lukas Browning Lagerfeldt0%
Conor Walsh0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pedro Martelo33%
Max Mata33%
Fabrice Hartmann30%
Stefan Radosavljević9%
Nando Pijnaker8%
Reece Hutchinson0%
Frank Liivak0%
Greg Bolger0%
Luke McNicholas0%
John Mahon0%
David Cawley0%
Niall Morahan0%
Garry Buckley0%
William Fitzgerald0%
Karl O'Sullivan0%
Johan Brannefalk0%
Richard Brush0%
Robbie Burton0%
Lukas Browning Lagerfeldt0%
Conor Walsh0%
Kailin Barlow0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (22)
€5m
BOH (23)
€4m
DC (22)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
DUN (20)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
CC (2)
€0m
Cork City's squad is €3m less valuable than Sligo Rovers's (€0m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
DUN (3)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
Cork City's attack is €1m less valuable than Sligo Rovers's (€0m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (6)
€1m
BOH (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
DUN (6)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
Cork City and Sligo Rovers have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
SPA (9)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
DUN (11)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
CC (0)
€0m
Cork City's defence is €1m less valuable than Sligo Rovers's (€0m vs €1m).
Ireland: Premier Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: Premier Division stats & trends →
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Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Bohemians
Drogheda United
UCD
Waterford