This opponent (Catanzaro) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Catanzaro
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.37
2.07
1.43
1.15
1.31
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (14)
1.43
1.21
1.57
1.43
1.29
1.00
vs Weaker (12)
2.00
1.58
2.57
1.43
1.20
1.80
Clean sheet %
26% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.1%
Under 1.5
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.1%
@ 2.18+2.0%
Under 2.5
54.9%
@ 1.65-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.8%
Under 3.5
76.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.6%
No
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
1-0
9.7%
0-0
9.7%
0-1
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
0-2 ✓
5.7%
Cosenza goals ↓
Catanzaro goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.7%
8.5%
5.7%
2.2%
0.7%
1
9.7%
14%
7.5%
2.9%
0.9%
2
7.2%
8.4%
4.9%
1.9%
0.6%
3
3.1%
3.7%
2.1%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.0%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cosenza goals (down), columns = Catanzaro goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Parma
2.00
Como
1.92
Venezia
1.90
Cremonese
1.71
Catanzaro
1.51
Sampdoria
1.46
Palermo
1.44
Brescia
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.24
Modena
1.24
Reggiana
1.24
Cittadella
1.21
Pisa
1.21
Spezia
1.16
Bari
1.12
Ternana
1.10
Ascoli
1.08
FeralpiSalo
0.87
Lecco
0.68
Cosenza is 0.28 points worse than Catanzaro in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.51).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Venezia
1.74
Parma
1.74
Palermo
1.59
Catanzaro
1.56
Como
1.53
Sampdoria
1.36
Pisa
1.34
Cremonese
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.21
Brescia
1.18
FeralpiSalo
1.16
Ternana
1.10
Modena
1.08
Cittadella
1.05
Bari
1.05
Ascoli
1.00
Reggiana
1.00
Spezia
0.95
Lecco
0.92
Cosenza is 0.32 goals worse than Catanzaro in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.56).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cremonese
0.86
Parma
0.92
Como
1.05
Brescia
1.08
Cosenza
1.11
Ascoli
1.11
Venezia
1.12
Reggiana
1.18
Cittadella
1.24
Modena
1.24
Bari
1.25
Sudtirol
1.26
Spezia
1.29
Sampdoria
1.33
Ternana
1.35
Palermo
1.37
Catanzaro
1.41
Pisa
1.42
FeralpiSalo
1.71
Lecco
1.95
Cosenza is 0.31 goals better than Catanzaro in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.41).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Catanzaro
58%
Pisa
56%
Cremonese
56%
Venezia
52%
Reggiana
52%
Como
51%
Spezia
51%
Sampdoria
51%
Parma
50%
Bari
50%
Palermo
50%
Modena
50%
Cosenza
49%
Brescia
48%
Sudtirol
48%
Cittadella
47%
Lecco
47%
FeralpiSalo
45%
Ascoli
45%
Ternana
44%
Cosenza is 8.3 percentage points worse than Catanzaro in terms of average possession (49% vs 58%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Cosenza
For 4.7 · Against 6.1 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.7 · Against 3.4 · Total 7.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.2 · Against 15.0 · Total 29.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Catanzaro
For 4.7 · Against 3.7 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 17.2 · Total 31.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cosenza
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.8
9.7
3.7
3.4
4.0
28.1
26.0
30.0
vs Stronger (31)
9.7
9.9
9.5
4.1
4.0
4.2
28.3
26.9
29.3
vs Similar (19)
9.9
9.6
10.3
3.0
2.8
3.4
27.6
24.6
32.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
48%
38%
57%
50%
52%
48%
85%
85%
86%
% under line
52%
62%
43%
50%
48%
52%
15%
15%
14%
This opponent (Catanzaro) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Catanzaro
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (27)
8.6
9.1
8.1
5.6
5.2
5.9
29.7
29.9
29.4
vs Stronger (1)
8.0
-
8.0
4.0
-
4.0
28.0
-
28.0
vs Similar (14)
8.3
8.0
8.6
5.4
5.1
5.6
29.2
29.4
29.0
vs Weaker (12)
9.0
10.1
7.4
5.9
5.3
6.8
30.3
30.4
30.2
% over line
30%
36%
23%
85%
79%
92%
89%
86%
92%
% under line
70%
64%
77%
15%
21%
8%
11%
14%
8%
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Parma
10.5
Bari
10.2
Venezia
10.2
Ternana
10.1
Palermo
10.1
Modena
9.9
Brescia
9.9
Pisa
9.9
Lecco
9.9
Cremonese
9.8
Spezia
9.8
Como
9.7
Reggiana
9.5
Cosenza
9.3
Ascoli
9.3
Cittadella
9.1
FeralpiSalo
9.0
Catanzaro
8.6
Sampdoria
8.5
Sudtirol
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cosenza
6.5
Pisa
6.4
Modena
6.0
Cittadella
5.9
Ascoli
5.9
Sudtirol
5.8
Spezia
5.8
Lecco
5.8
Reggiana
5.6
Catanzaro
5.6
Sampdoria
5.5
Parma
5.5
Cremonese
5.4
Bari
5.3
Palermo
5.3
FeralpiSalo
5.3
Venezia
5.2
Como
5.1
Brescia
5.1
Ternana
5.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Cittadella
32.3
Ascoli
31.4
Reggiana
30.5
Sudtirol
30.4
Palermo
29.8
Como
29.7
Catanzaro
29.7
Bari
29.4
Pisa
29.3
Sampdoria
29.3
Spezia
29.0
Modena
28.9
Cosenza
28.5
Brescia
28.3
Cremonese
28.1
Parma
27.8
Lecco
27.8
Ternana
27.6
FeralpiSalo
27.3
Venezia
25.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
40.5%
Under 9.5
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
87.3%
Under 3.5
12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
90.8%
Under 21.5
9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Cosenza
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.37
0.73
0.40
0.40
0.33
vs Stronger (20)
0.50
0.45
0.67
0.67
0.36
0.27
vs Similar (10)
0.70
0.20
0.83
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Catanzaro) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Catanzaro
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.78
0.78
0.79
0.79
0.77
0.77
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.86
0.71
0.57
0.71
1.14
0.71
vs Weaker (12)
0.75
0.83
1.00
0.86
0.40
0.80
Clean sheet %
41% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Catanzaro over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Catanzaro over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Catanzaro over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Cosenza
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.70
0.73
0.80
0.33
0.60
vs Stronger (20)
0.40
0.70
0.56
0.89
0.27
0.55
vs Similar (10)
0.80
0.70
1.00
0.67
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Catanzaro) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Catanzaro
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.85
0.59
1.29
0.64
0.38
0.54
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (14)
0.57
0.50
1.00
0.71
0.14
0.29
vs Weaker (12)
1.25
0.75
1.57
0.57
0.80
1.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Cosenza) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cosenza over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cosenza over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Catanzaro over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Catanzaro over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Catanzaro over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Cosenza
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gennaro Tutino46%
Alessandro Arioli25%
Gianluca Frabotta20%
Massimo Zilli17%
Simone Mazzocchi11%
Francesco Forte10%
Idriz Voca9%
Mirko Antonucci8%
Michael Venturi7%
Manuel Marras6%
Michele Camporese5%
Valerio Crespi5%
Luigi Canotto4%
Tommaso D'Orazio4%
Giacomo Calò3%
Christian D'Urso0%
Bright Gyamfi0%
Andrea Meroni0%
Mattia Viviani0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Andrea Rispoli0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Mateusz Praszelik0%
Aldo Florenzi0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Pietro Martino0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Alessandro Fontanarosa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Michael Venturi50%
Tommaso D'Orazio44%
Mateusz Praszelik42%
Alessandro Fontanarosa33%
Aldo Florenzi29%
Mattia Viviani27%
Gianluca Frabotta27%
Michele Camporese26%
Alessandro Arioli25%
Federico Zuccon24%
Gennaro Tutino23%
Manuel Marras21%
Alessandro Micai19%
Giacomo Calò19%
Bright Gyamfi18%
Luigi Canotto17%
Idriz Voca15%
Simone Mazzocchi14%
Francesco Forte13%
Filippo Sgarbi12%
Baldovino Cimino12%
Pietro Martino10%
Andrea Meroni9%
Mirko Antonucci8%
Valerio Crespi5%
Christian D'Urso0%
Andrea Rispoli0%
Massimo Zilli0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Christian D'Urso33%
Giacomo Calò22%
Manuel Marras18%
Federico Zuccon10%
Bright Gyamfi9%
Simone Mazzocchi9%
Gennaro Tutino9%
Tommaso D'Orazio8%
Mirko Antonucci8%
Andrea Rispoli8%
Gianluca Frabotta7%
Baldovino Cimino6%
Idriz Voca6%
Aldo Florenzi4%
Francesco Forte3%
Andrea Meroni0%
Mattia Viviani0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Luigi Canotto0%
Mateusz Praszelik0%
Michael Venturi0%
Alessandro Arioli0%
Massimo Zilli0%
Pietro Martino0%
Alessandro Fontanarosa0%
Valerio Crespi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gennaro Tutino31%
Simone Mazzocchi14%
Francesco Forte13%
Gianluca Frabotta7%
Valerio Crespi5%
Tommaso D'Orazio4%
Aldo Florenzi4%
Giacomo Calò3%
Manuel Marras3%
Christian D'Urso0%
Bright Gyamfi0%
Andrea Meroni0%
Mattia Viviani0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Mirko Antonucci0%
Andrea Rispoli0%
Michele Camporese0%
Alessandro Micai0%
Luigi Canotto0%
Mateusz Praszelik0%
Idriz Voca0%
Michael Venturi0%
Alessandro Arioli0%
Baldovino Cimino0%
Massimo Zilli0%
Pietro Martino0%
Federico Zuccon0%
Alessandro Fontanarosa0%
Catanzaro
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pietro Iemmello34%
Tommaso Biasci28%
Matias Antonini24%
Jari Vandeputte23%
Enrico Brignola15%
Alfredo Donnarumma13%
Giuseppe Ambrosino11%
Luca Verna10%
Simone Pontisso7%
Dimitrios Sounas6%
Andrea Ghion5%
Andrea Oliveri3%
Marco Pompetti3%
Nicolò Brighenti3%
Mario Šitum0%
Matteo Stoppa0%
Andrea Fulignati0%
Luka Krajnc0%
Stefano Scognamillo0%
Jacopo Petriccione0%
Davide Veroli0%
Luca D'Andrea0%
Kevin Miranda0%
Panos Katseris0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Stefano Scognamillo41%
Kevin Miranda30%
Nicolò Brighenti28%
Panos Katseris27%
Jacopo Petriccione26%
Davide Veroli19%
Mario Šitum19%
Jari Vandeputte18%
Dimitrios Sounas14%
Andrea Ghion14%
Luka Krajnc13%
Luca D'Andrea13%
Marco Pompetti13%
Matias Antonini12%
Matteo Stoppa12%
Simone Pontisso11%
Giuseppe Ambrosino11%
Tommaso Biasci10%
Pietro Iemmello8%
Luca Verna7%
Andrea Oliveri7%
Enrico Brignola5%
Andrea Fulignati2%
Alfredo Donnarumma0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jari Vandeputte31%
Pietro Iemmello18%
Panos Katseris13%
Dimitrios Sounas11%
Mario Šitum11%
Alfredo Donnarumma9%
Matteo Stoppa8%
Tommaso Biasci8%
Giuseppe Ambrosino7%
Marco Pompetti6%
Jacopo Petriccione5%
Luca Verna3%
Andrea Oliveri3%
Davide Veroli3%
Stefano Scognamillo3%
Enrico Brignola0%
Andrea Fulignati0%
Nicolò Brighenti0%
Luka Krajnc0%
Simone Pontisso0%
Andrea Ghion0%
Matias Antonini0%
Luca D'Andrea0%
Kevin Miranda0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pietro Iemmello24%
Tommaso Biasci21%
Alfredo Donnarumma13%
Jari Vandeputte10%
Matias Antonini6%
Luca D'Andrea4%
Giuseppe Ambrosino4%
Mario Šitum0%
Enrico Brignola0%
Matteo Stoppa0%
Luca Verna0%
Andrea Fulignati0%
Nicolò Brighenti0%
Luka Krajnc0%
Stefano Scognamillo0%
Simone Pontisso0%
Jacopo Petriccione0%
Dimitrios Sounas0%
Andrea Ghion0%
Marco Pompetti0%
Davide Veroli0%
Andrea Oliveri0%
Kevin Miranda0%
Panos Katseris0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →