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Cove Rangers vs Montrose Result & Analysis

Date: 11/09/2021
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers
Vs
44%
27%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Montrose
Montrose
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Cove Rangers win✗ Miss
44.0%
Avg Implied 41.6% · @ 2.20
Edge
+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.0%
Avg Implied 28.3% · @ 3.24
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Montrose win✗ Miss
29.0%
Avg Implied 30.1% · @ 3.04
Edge
-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L22D22D20W02L11D02L52W31W12LA·MON20/04A·FAL24/04H·PAR27/04A·MON29/04H·AIR01/05H·FAL31/07A·QUE07/08H·EAS14/08A·DUM21/08A·CLY28/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.700.971.931.071.500.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.370.951.801.000.890.89
vs Weaker (11)2.271.002.251.252.290.86
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MontroseMontrose

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W12L02L21W32W30W22D10W20W12LH·COV20/04A·AIR27/04H·COV29/04A·FAL01/05H·PAR04/05A·AIR31/07H·CLY07/08H·PET14/08A·EAS21/08H·DUM28/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.331.801.271.401.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.471.371.561.331.401.40
vs Weaker (11)1.821.272.171.171.401.40
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.8%
Under 1.5
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.1%
@ 1.80+2.1%
Under 2.5
45.9%
@ 1.95-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.8%
Under 3.5
68.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.1%
No
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-0
7.0%
0-1
6.1%
2-2
5.8%
Cove Rangers goals ↓
Montrose goals →
01234
07.0%6.1%4.6%1.9%0.6%
18.1%13%7.3%3.0%1.0%
27.4%9.2%5.8%2.4%0.8%
33.9%4.9%3.1%1.3%0.4%
41.6%1.9%1.2%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cove Rangers goals (down), columns = Montrose goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cove Rangers
2.19
Airdrie United
2.00
Montrose
1.64
Queens Park
1.42
Alloa
1.25
Falkirk
1.22
Peterhead
1.17
Clyde
1.08
Dumbarton
0.94
East Fife
0.64
Cove Rangers is 0.56 points better than Montrose in terms of average points per game (2.19 vs 1.64).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cove Rangers
2.03
Airdrie United
1.89
Montrose
1.47
Queens Park
1.42
Falkirk
1.36
Alloa
1.36
Dumbarton
1.33
Peterhead
1.28
Clyde
1.08
East Fife
0.86
Cove Rangers is 0.56 goals better than Montrose in terms of goals scored per game (2.03 vs 1.47).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cove Rangers
0.89
Montrose
1.00
Queens Park
1.00
Airdrie United
1.03
Peterhead
1.42
Falkirk
1.53
Alloa
1.58
Clyde
1.72
East Fife
1.94
Dumbarton
1.97
Cove Rangers is 0.11 goals better than Montrose in terms of goals conceded per game (0.89 vs 1.00).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Cove RangersCove Rangers

For 3.5 · Against 3.4 · Total 6.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

150123391123444313214324151225874376A·CLYA·DUMH·EASA·QUEH·FALH·AIRA·MONH·PARA·FALA·MON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

701243232111434211653211573A·CLYA·DUMH·EASA·QUEH·FALH·AIRA·MONH·PARA·FALA·MON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 12.9 · Total 25.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

400912149162461412119912813121920111021234020231820253921A·CLYA·DUMH·EASA·QUEH·FALH·AIRA·MONH·PARA·FALA·MON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MontroseMontrose

For 5.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 8.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

1309265112444513353151421111138948466H·DUMA·EASH·PETH·CLYA·AIRH·PARA·FALH·COVA·AIRH·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

602422131211241111126443225123H·DUMA·EASH·PETH·CLYA·AIRH·PARA·FALH·COVA·AIRH·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 10.8 · Total 22.2

⚠ïļ Fouls

2901312891111141515914101098121110101125172229242419202121H·DUMA·EASH·PETH·CLYA·AIRH·PARA·FALH·COVA·AIRH·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Cove RangersCove Rangers

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.89.23.63.93.422.822.922.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (28)8.99.38.43.84.13.624.024.024.0
vs Weaker (22)10.210.510.03.43.63.221.321.321.3
% over line44%42%46%48%54%42%58%67%50%
% under line56%58%54%52%46%58%42%33%50%
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MontroseMontrose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.39.93.63.63.723.123.023.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (31)9.39.49.33.73.93.523.924.323.4
vs Weaker (19)10.19.311.03.53.13.921.921.022.9
% over line48%42%54%48%46%50%58%58%58%
% under line52%58%46%52%54%50%42%42%42%
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Alloa
11.0
Airdrie United
10.6
Dumbarton
10.0
Falkirk
10.0
Clyde
9.9
Queens Park
9.7
Montrose
9.6
Cove Rangers
9.5
East Fife
9.4
Peterhead
9.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.2
Queens Park
3.8
Falkirk
3.7
Cove Rangers
3.6
Montrose
3.6
East Fife
3.5
Airdrie United
3.4
Dumbarton
3.4
Clyde
3.2
Alloa
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Falkirk
24.5
Peterhead
24.1
Montrose
23.1
East Fife
23.1
Cove Rangers
22.8
Alloa
22.5
Queens Park
22.2
Dumbarton
21.7
Clyde
21.2
Airdrie United
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
44.3%
Under 9.5
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
47.1%
Under 3.5
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
63.6%
Under 21.5
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D11D10W00D00D00D20W20W02LA·MON20/04A·FAL24/04H·PAR27/04A·MON29/04H·AIR01/05H·FAL31/07A·QUE07/08H·EAS14/08A·DUM21/08A·CLY28/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.200.860.140.810.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.580.160.700.100.440.22
vs Weaker (11)1.270.271.250.251.290.29
Clean sheet %83% (+58pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MontroseMontrose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L01L11D21W10W00D00D10W02LH·COV20/04A·AIR27/04H·COV29/04A·FAL01/05H·PAR04/05A·AIR31/07H·CLY07/08H·PET14/08A·EAS21/08H·DUM28/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.670.930.600.400.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.630.740.890.560.400.90
vs Weaker (11)0.730.551.000.670.400.40
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cove Rangers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D11D10W02L11D02L32W11D10WA·MON20/04A·FAL24/04H·PAR27/04A·MON29/04H·AIR01/05H·FAL31/07A·QUE07/08H·EAS14/08A·DUM21/08A·CLY28/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.771.070.930.690.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.790.791.100.900.440.67
vs Weaker (11)1.000.731.001.001.000.57
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MontroseMontrose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D01L10W11D20W22D10W10W10WH·COV20/04A·AIR27/04H·COV29/04A·FAL01/05H·PAR04/05A·AIR31/07H·CLY07/08H·PET14/08A·EAS21/08H·DUM28/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.670.870.671.000.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.840.630.670.781.000.50
vs Weaker (11)1.090.731.170.501.001.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Cove Rangers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cove Rangers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cove Rangers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards85.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.578.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls78.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners78.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards71.9%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
MON (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
Cove Rangers and Montrose have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
CLY (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
Cove Rangers and Montrose have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (5)
€1m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
Cove Rangers and Montrose have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
DUM (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
Cove Rangers and Montrose have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
CR wins
0
Draws
2
MON wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Cove Rangers vs Montrose · H/A from CR
DateH/AGameScore
29/04/21AMontrose Vs CR0-2
20/04/21AMontrose Vs CR1-0
05/12/20HCR Vs Montrose1-2

Cove RangersCove Rangers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/21AClyde Vs CR2-1
21/08/21ADumbarton Vs CR1-3
14/08/21HCR Vs East Fife5-2
07/08/21AQueens Park Vs CR2-0
31/07/21HCR Vs Falkirk1-1
01/05/21HCR Vs Airdrie United0-2
29/04/21AMontrose Vs CR0-2
27/04/21HCR Vs Partick2-2
24/04/21AFalkirk Vs CR2-2
20/04/21AMontrose Vs CR1-0

MontroseMontrose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/21HMON Vs Dumbarton1-2
21/08/21AEast Fife Vs MON0-2
14/08/21HMON Vs Peterhead1-0
07/08/21HMON Vs Clyde2-2
31/07/21AAirdrie United Vs MON0-3
04/05/21HMON Vs Partick3-2
01/05/21AFalkirk Vs MON1-2
29/04/21HMON Vs Cove Rangers0-2
27/04/21AAirdrie United Vs MON2-1
20/04/21HMON Vs Cove Rangers1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Cove Rangers
Cove Rangers
Scotland: League One
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWL1.96
HomeWDLDW2.46
AwayDWLWL1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%79%42%
AVG goals3.002.833.15
Over 1.5 %82%83%81%
Over 2.5 %54%54%54%
Over 3.5 %32%25%38%
Scored1.942.081.81
Conceded1.060.751.35
BTTS50%42%58%
Clean Sheet38%54%23%
Corners9.469.799.15
Cards3.643.883.42
Montrose
Montrose
Scotland: League One
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWL1.78
HomeLWDWL1.88
AwayLLWWW1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%58%50%
AVG goals3.023.272.75
Over 1.5 %74%73%75%
Over 2.5 %60%69%50%
Over 3.5 %40%50%29%
Scored1.721.961.46
Conceded1.301.311.29
BTTS50%54%46%
Clean Sheet36%35%38%
Corners9.629.359.92
Cards3.643.623.67

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Cove RangersCove Rangers3679
64%
2.2
7332+41
2.9
78%
50%
31%
9.6
47%
3.8
58%
21.6
42%
0
0002.00.9
-
2Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United3672
58%
2.0
6837+31
2.9
83%
58%
33%
10.0
61%
3.5
42%
20.0
44%
0
0001.91.0
-
3MontroseMontrose3659
42%
1.6
5336+17
2.5
75%
47%
25%
10.0
50%
3.7
50%
22.2
58%
0
0001.51.0
-
4Queens ParkQueens Park3651
31%
1.4
5136+15
2.4
78%
36%
14%
9.6
47%
3.7
53%
18.9
17%
0
0001.41.0
-
5
A
Alloa
3645
33%
1.2
4957-8
2.9
89%
58%
28%
9.6
47%
3.1
36%
20.4
44%
0
0001.41.6
-
6FalkirkFalkirk3644
33%
1.2
4955-6
2.9
89%
58%
22%
10.2
56%
4.2
72%
21.5
47%
6
2131.41.5
-
7PeterheadPeterhead3642
31%
1.2
4651-5
2.7
67%
47%
28%
10.2
58%
4.2
58%
25.5
81%
0
0001.31.4
-
8ClydeClyde3639
25%
1.1
3962-23
2.8
83%
61%
31%
9.5
53%
3.9
58%
21.7
50%
0
0001.11.7
-
9DumbartonDumbarton3634
25%
0.9
4871-23
3.3
92%
69%
36%
10.9
69%
3.8
56%
21.8
46%
0
0001.32.0
-
10East FifeEast Fife3623
14%
0.6
3170-39
2.8
83%
47%
31%
9.1
50%
3.2
39%
20.7
34%
0
0000.91.9
-
Scotland: League One 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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