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Cowdenbeath vs Albion Rvs Result & Analysis

Date: 22/09/2018
Time: 00:00
Final 1-1
Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Vs
42%
29%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Cowdenbeath win✗ Miss
41.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs win✗ Miss
29.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W03L01L01L02L02L12L40W00D24LH·CLY07/04H·MON10/04A·PET14/04A·BER21/04H·ANN28/04A·CLY04/08H·ANN11/08H·BER18/08A·QUE01/09H·PET15/09
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.571.061.880.641.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.081.771.572.290.501.17
vs Weaker (17)0.711.410.671.560.751.25
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L02L10W02L04L04L01L02L35L01LH·FOR07/04A·AIR14/04H·EAS21/04A·AYR28/04A·EDI04/08H·PET11/08H·ELG18/08A·QUE25/08H·BER01/09A·CLY15/09← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.032.271.202.200.872.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.002.221.312.230.602.20
vs Weaker (7)1.142.430.502.001.402.60
Clean sheet %3% (-23pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.5%
Under 1.5
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.1%
Under 2.5
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.4%
Under 3.5
73.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.7%
No
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
8.7%
2-0
7.6%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
5.2%
Cowdenbeath goals ↓
Albion Rvs goals →
01234
08.7%7.5%5.1%2.0%0.6%
19.4%14%7.3%2.8%0.8%
27.6%8.9%5.2%2.0%0.6%
33.6%4.2%2.5%1.0%0.3%
41.3%1.5%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cowdenbeath goals (down), columns = Albion Rvs goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Peterhead
2.19
Clyde
2.17
Edinburgh City
1.86
Annan Athletic
1.83
Stirling
1.31
Cowdenbeath
1.19
Elgin
1.19
Queens Park
1.14
Albion Rvs
0.67
Berwick
0.53
Cowdenbeath is 0.53 points better than Albion Rvs in terms of average points per game (1.19 vs 0.67).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Annan Athletic
1.94
Peterhead
1.81
Clyde
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.61
Elgin
1.44
Cowdenbeath
1.28
Stirling
1.22
Queens Park
1.17
Albion Rvs
0.81
Berwick
0.75
Cowdenbeath is 0.47 goals better than Albion Rvs in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 0.81).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Peterhead
0.81
Clyde
0.83
Edinburgh City
0.86
Annan Athletic
1.08
Stirling
1.25
Cowdenbeath
1.28
Queens Park
1.33
Elgin
1.86
Albion Rvs
2.00
Berwick
2.53
Cowdenbeath is 0.72 goals better than Albion Rvs in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 2.00).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

For 2.9 · Against 6.4 · Total 9.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

1602511042844122225382917711612164711118H·PETA·QUEH·BERH·ANNA·CLYH·ANNA·BERA·PETH·MONH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

804211422242116222256264431847H·PETA·QUEH·BERH·ANNA·CLYH·ANNA·BERA·PETH·MONH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 10.0 · Total 24.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

3601618138131014111571381282313147121034212325222120362122H·PETA·QUEH·BERH·ANNA·CLYH·ANNA·BERA·PETH·MONH·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

For 3.5 · Against 5.7 · Total 9.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

1507731106952161055258710111552715713A·CLYH·BERA·QUEH·ELGH·PETA·EDIA·AYRH·EASA·AIRH·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.0 · Total 3.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

50411312111213232114243023552A·CLYH·BERA·QUEH·ELGH·PETA·EDIA·AYRH·EASA·AIRH·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 8.2 · Total 19.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

2801191298511615131591187416891120211317282419112420A·CLYH·BERA·QUEH·ELGH·PETA·EDIA·AYRH·EASA·AIRH·FOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.98.49.43.23.43.023.723.723.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (22)8.68.58.83.33.23.423.223.223.2
vs Weaker (28)9.28.410.03.13.62.724.224.224.2
% over line39%33%45%48%48%48%63%71%55%
% under line61%67%55%52%52%52%37%29%45%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.111.58.82.62.23.020.720.620.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (39)9.911.18.72.42.32.520.621.120.0
vs Weaker (11)10.813.59.03.31.64.721.018.222.8
% over line50%67%33%36%27%46%40%38%43%
% under line50%33%67%64%73%54%60%62%57%
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Queens Park
10.5
Clyde
10.2
Albion Rvs
10.1
Elgin
10.1
Stirling
10.0
Edinburgh City
9.7
Peterhead
9.6
Berwick
9.5
Annan Athletic
9.0
Cowdenbeath
8.9

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Clyde
4.0
Cowdenbeath
3.9
Annan Athletic
3.8
Peterhead
3.7
Queens Park
3.7
Elgin
3.7
Edinburgh City
3.4
Stirling
3.3
Albion Rvs
3.1
Berwick
3.1

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.2
Edinburgh City
24.1
Annan Athletic
23.9
Cowdenbeath
23.7
Stirling
23.2
Clyde
22.5
Elgin
22.4
Berwick
21.8
Albion Rvs
20.7
Queens Park
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
33.6%
Under 9.5
66.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
55.5%
Under 3.5
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
59.3%
Under 21.5
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D01L02L02L11D20W00D21WH·CLY07/04H·MON10/04A·PET14/04A·BER21/04H·ANN28/04A·CLY04/08H·ANN11/08H·BER18/08A·QUE01/09H·PET15/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.630.620.880.290.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.620.541.000.860.170.17
vs Weaker (17)0.350.710.330.890.380.50
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L10W01L01L01L00D02L22D01LH·FOR07/04A·AIR14/04H·EAS21/04A·AYR28/04A·EDI04/08H·PET11/08H·ELG18/08A·QUE25/08H·BER01/09A·CLY15/09← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.130.670.930.271.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.521.130.771.000.201.30
vs Weaker (7)0.291.140.000.500.401.40
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W02L01L00D00D00D01L20W00D03LH·CLY07/04H·MON10/04A·PET14/04A·BER21/04H·ANN28/04A·CLY04/08H·ANN11/08H·BER18/08A·QUE01/09H·PET15/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.930.441.000.360.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.461.230.571.430.331.00
vs Weaker (17)0.350.710.330.670.380.75
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L00D01L03L03L01L00D13L00DH·FOR07/04A·AIR14/04H·EAS21/04A·AYR28/04A·EDI04/08H·PET11/08H·ELG18/08A·QUE25/08H·BER01/09A·CLY15/09← League OneLeague Two →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.130.531.270.601.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.481.090.541.230.400.90
vs Weaker (7)0.861.290.501.501.001.20
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 11.5 corners85.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards79.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners77.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards75.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls74.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.574.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls72.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
COW wins
1
Draws
2
AR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Cowdenbeath vs Albion Rvs · H/A from COW
DateH/AGameScore
16/04/16AAlbion Rvs Vs COW0-0
09/02/16HCOW Vs Albion Rvs1-2
24/11/15AAlbion Rvs Vs COW2-1
22/08/15HCOW Vs Albion Rvs1-0

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/09/18HCOW Vs Peterhead2-4
01/09/18AQueens Park Vs COW0-0
18/08/18HCOW Vs Berwick4-0
11/08/18HCOW Vs Annan Athletic1-2
04/08/18AClyde Vs COW2-0
28/04/18HCOW Vs Annan Athletic0-2
21/04/18ABerwick Vs COW1-0
14/04/18APeterhead Vs COW1-0
10/04/18HCOW Vs Montrose0-3
07/04/18HCOW Vs Clyde1-0

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/09/18AClyde Vs AR1-0
01/09/18HAR Vs Berwick3-5
25/08/18AQueens Park Vs AR2-0
18/08/18HAR Vs Elgin0-1
11/08/18HAR Vs Peterhead0-4
04/08/18AEdinburgh City Vs AR4-0
28/04/18AAyr Vs AR2-0
21/04/18HAR Vs East Fife1-0
14/04/18AAirdrie United Vs AR2-0
07/04/18HAR Vs Forfar0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWDL0.76
HomeLLLWL0.76
AwayDLLLD0.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %16%20%12%
AVG goals2.202.721.68
Over 1.5 %68%84%52%
Over 2.5 %34%52%16%
Over 3.5 %18%28%8%
Scored0.780.880.68
Conceded1.421.841.00
BTTS42%48%36%
Clean Sheet18%16%20%
Corners8.938.439.45
Cards3.934.103.75
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 1 Wins / 0 Draws / 9 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.76
HomeLWLLL0.73
AwayLLLLL0.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%19%21%
AVG goals3.423.233.62
Over 1.5 %82%77%88%
Over 2.5 %58%62%54%
Over 3.5 %48%42%54%
Scored1.321.151.50
Conceded2.102.082.12
BTTS56%58%54%
Clean Sheet8%12%4%
Corners10.1411.528.76
Cards3.102.713.48

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PeterheadPeterhead3679
67%
2.2
6529+36
2.6
78%
50%
22%
9.7
42%
3.5
47%
24.2
69%
0
0001.80.8
-
2ClydeClyde3678
67%
2.2
6530+35
2.6
72%
50%
22%
8.9
33%
3.3
44%
19.7
36%
0
0001.80.8
-
3Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3667
56%
1.9
5831+27
2.5
69%
44%
28%
8.6
42%
4.0
61%
24.6
75%
0
0001.60.9
-
4Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3666
56%
1.8
7039+31
3.0
89%
72%
31%
10.1
58%
3.8
50%
23.6
78%
0
0001.91.1
-
5StirlingStirling3647
36%
1.3
4445-1
2.5
64%
50%
22%
11.0
64%
3.4
47%
21.9
50%
0
0001.21.2
-
6CowdenbeathCowdenbeath3643
33%
1.2
4646+0
2.6
75%
44%
22%
9.2
47%
3.7
50%
22.2
56%
0
0001.31.3
-
7ElginElgin3643
36%
1.2
5267-15
3.3
86%
69%
36%
9.9
50%
2.9
28%
21.2
50%
0
0001.41.9
-
8Queens ParkQueens Park3641
28%
1.1
4248-6
2.5
81%
44%
22%
9.4
44%
3.4
36%
20.6
44%
0
0001.21.3
-
9
AR
Albion Rvs
3624
17%
0.7
2972-43
2.8
78%
50%
31%
10.6
64%
2.6
25%
21.7
53%
0
0000.82.0
-
10
B
Berwick
3619
14%
0.5
2791-64
3.3
86%
64%
31%
9.2
44%
3.4
50%
23.8
67%
0
0000.82.5
-
Scotland: League Two 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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