PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Cowdenbeath vs Albion Rvs Result & Analysis

Date: 19/02/2019
Time: 00:00
Final 1-0
Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Vs
48%
27%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Cowdenbeath win✓ Hit
47.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs win✗ Miss
25.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W11D11D02L12L20W41W01L11D24LH·QUE27/11A·ALB01/12H·CLY08/12H·EDI22/12A·STI29/12H·BER05/01A·ELG12/01A·CLY26/01A·QUE09/02H·ANN16/02
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.371.191.561.071.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.471.201.711.431.251.00
vs Weaker (15)0.801.530.781.670.831.33
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-524L03L11D22D02L05L13L03L01L01LA·ELG08/12H·CLY22/12H·ANN29/12A·QUE05/01H·PET12/01H·STI26/01A·EDI02/02H·ELG09/02A·STI12/02A·CLY16/02
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.632.170.732.200.532.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.672.220.672.330.672.11
vs Weaker (12)0.582.080.832.000.332.17
Clean sheet %7% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
76.4%
Under 1.5
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.7%
Under 2.5
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.7%
Under 3.5
71.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.5%
No
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
1-0 ✓
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.6%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.2%
Cowdenbeath goals ↓
Albion Rvs goals →
01234
07.9%6.2%4.1%1.5%0.4%
19.5%13%6.5%2.4%0.7%
28.6%9.5%5.2%1.9%0.5%
34.6%5.0%2.8%1.0%0.3%
41.8%2.0%1.1%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cowdenbeath goals (down), columns = Albion Rvs goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Peterhead
2.19
Clyde
2.17
Edinburgh City
1.86
Annan Athletic
1.83
Stirling
1.31
Cowdenbeath
1.19
Elgin
1.19
Queens Park
1.14
Albion Rvs
0.67
Berwick
0.53
Cowdenbeath is 0.53 points better than Albion Rvs in terms of average points per game (1.19 vs 0.67).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Annan Athletic
1.94
Peterhead
1.81
Clyde
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.61
Elgin
1.44
Cowdenbeath
1.28
Stirling
1.22
Queens Park
1.17
Albion Rvs
0.81
Berwick
0.75
Cowdenbeath is 0.47 goals better than Albion Rvs in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 0.81).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Peterhead
0.81
Clyde
0.83
Edinburgh City
0.86
Annan Athletic
1.08
Stirling
1.25
Cowdenbeath
1.28
Queens Park
1.33
Elgin
1.86
Albion Rvs
2.00
Berwick
2.53
Cowdenbeath is 0.72 goals better than Albion Rvs in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 2.00).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

For 3.3 · Against 4.9 · Total 8.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

1401134548135632251044211391241157146H·ANNA·QUEA·CLYA·ELGH·BERA·STIH·EDIH·CLYA·ALBH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.8

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6024343224222122126343444343H·ANNA·QUEA·CLYA·ELGH·BERA·STIH·EDIH·CLYA·ALBH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 8.6 · Total 20.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

270131315317681161181114101667109152618239271924221724H·ANNA·QUEA·CLYA·ELGH·BERA·STIH·EDIH·CLYA·ALBH·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AR
Albion Rvs

For 4.3 · Against 6.4 · Total 10.7

ðŸšĐ Corners

17076294344175561141123851311788101715513A·CLYA·STIH·ELGA·EDIH·STIH·PETA·QUEH·ANNH·CLYA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

40212212111311122321311413A·CLYA·STIH·ELGA·EDIH·STIH·PETA·QUEH·ANNH·CLYA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 10.1 · Total 22.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

3109716714121912891199101211912121216232631172019232124A·CLYA·STIH·ELGA·EDIH·STIH·PETA·QUEH·ANNH·CLYA·ELG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.68.39.04.14.14.023.323.623.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (24)8.48.18.74.04.04.022.423.221.7
vs Weaker (26)8.98.49.44.14.14.124.223.924.5
% over line40%35%46%58%54%62%64%73%54%
% under line60%65%54%42%46%38%36%27%46%
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.89.92.82.63.021.221.021.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (33)10.210.210.22.72.62.820.821.520.2
vs Weaker (17)10.612.19.32.92.43.421.820.023.3
% over line56%64%48%32%28%36%50%48%52%
% under line44%36%52%68%72%64%50%52%48%
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Stirling
10.4
Albion Rvs
10.4
Queens Park
10.1
Elgin
9.9
Clyde
9.6
Edinburgh City
9.5
Peterhead
9.4
Annan Athletic
9.3
Berwick
9.0
Cowdenbeath
8.6

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
4.1
Annan Athletic
3.7
Clyde
3.7
Queens Park
3.7
Edinburgh City
3.6
Peterhead
3.6
Elgin
3.4
Stirling
3.3
Berwick
3.1
Albion Rvs
2.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
26.2
Edinburgh City
24.4
Annan Athletic
23.3
Cowdenbeath
23.3
Stirling
23.0
Berwick
22.7
Elgin
21.7
Albion Rvs
21.2
Clyde
21.1
Queens Park
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
47.5%
Under 9.5
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
44.1%
Under 3.5
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
58.4%
Under 21.5
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D01L01L12L10W20W00D00D21WH·QUE27/11A·ALB01/12H·CLY08/12H·EDI22/12A·STI29/12H·BER05/01A·ELG12/01A·CLY26/01A·QUE09/02H·ANN16/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.630.690.690.500.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.800.400.860.430.750.38
vs Weaker (15)0.400.870.560.890.170.83
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L02L00D21W00D01L12L01L00D01LA·ELG08/12H·CLY22/12H·ANN29/12A·QUE05/01H·PET12/01H·STI26/01A·EDI02/02H·ELG09/02A·STI12/02A·CLY16/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.930.470.800.331.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.501.000.560.890.441.11
vs Weaker (12)0.250.830.330.670.171.00
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D10W01L00D10W21W01L11D03LH·QUE27/11A·ALB01/12H·CLY08/12H·EDI22/12A·STI29/12H·BER05/01A·ELG12/01A·CLY26/01A·QUE09/02H·ANN16/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.730.500.880.570.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.670.800.861.000.500.62
vs Weaker (15)0.400.670.220.780.670.50
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Albion Rvs) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AR
Albion Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L01L11D01L02L04L01L02L01L00DA·ELG08/12H·CLY22/12H·ANN29/12A·QUE05/01H·PET12/01H·STI26/01A·EDI02/02H·ELG09/02A·STI12/02A·CLY16/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.231.230.271.400.201.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.171.220.111.440.221.00
vs Weaker (12)0.331.250.501.330.171.17
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Albion Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards87.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.576.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners75.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards74.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls74.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls73.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
1
COW wins
3
Draws
2
AR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Cowdenbeath vs Albion Rvs · H/A from COW
DateH/AGameScore
01/12/18AAlbion Rvs Vs COW1-1
22/09/18HCOW Vs Albion Rvs1-1
16/04/16AAlbion Rvs Vs COW0-0
09/02/16HCOW Vs Albion Rvs1-2
24/11/15AAlbion Rvs Vs COW2-1
22/08/15HCOW Vs Albion Rvs1-0

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/02/19HCOW Vs Annan Athletic2-4
09/02/19AQueens Park Vs COW1-1
26/01/19AClyde Vs COW1-0
12/01/19AElgin Vs COW1-4
05/01/19HCOW Vs Berwick2-0
29/12/18AStirling Vs COW2-1
22/12/18HCOW Vs Edinburgh City0-2
08/12/18HCOW Vs Clyde1-1
01/12/18AAlbion Rvs Vs COW1-1
27/11/18HCOW Vs Queens Park2-0

AR
Albion Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/02/19AClyde Vs AR1-0
12/02/19AStirling Vs AR1-0
09/02/19HAR Vs Elgin0-3
02/02/19AEdinburgh City Vs AR3-1
26/01/19HAR Vs Stirling0-5
12/01/19HAR Vs Peterhead0-2
05/01/19AQueens Park Vs AR2-2
29/12/18HAR Vs Annan Athletic1-1
22/12/18HAR Vs Clyde0-3
08/12/18AElgin Vs AR4-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDL0.86
HomeWDLWL0.88
AwayDLWLD0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%23%17%
AVG goals2.482.852.08
Over 1.5 %78%92%62%
Over 2.5 %40%50%29%
Over 3.5 %22%27%17%
Scored1.001.080.92
Conceded1.481.771.17
BTTS50%54%46%
Clean Sheet18%19%17%
Corners8.648.279.04
Cards4.064.084.04
AR
Albion Rvs
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.44
HomeLDLLL0.56
AwayLDLLL0.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %8%12%4%
AVG goals3.263.363.16
Over 1.5 %86%88%84%
Over 2.5 %62%68%56%
Over 3.5 %46%40%52%
Scored1.001.080.92
Conceded2.262.282.24
BTTS56%56%56%
Clean Sheet4%8%0%
Corners10.3810.849.92
Cards2.802.563.04

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PeterheadPeterhead3679
67%
2.2
6529+36
2.6
78%
50%
22%
9.7
42%
3.5
47%
24.2
69%
0
0001.80.8
-
2ClydeClyde3678
67%
2.2
6530+35
2.6
72%
50%
22%
8.9
33%
3.3
44%
19.7
36%
0
0001.80.8
-
3Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3667
56%
1.9
5831+27
2.5
69%
44%
28%
8.6
42%
4.0
61%
24.6
75%
0
0001.60.9
-
4Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3666
56%
1.8
7039+31
3.0
89%
72%
31%
10.1
58%
3.8
50%
23.6
78%
0
0001.91.1
-
5StirlingStirling3647
36%
1.3
4445-1
2.5
64%
50%
22%
11.0
64%
3.4
47%
21.9
50%
0
0001.21.2
-
6CowdenbeathCowdenbeath3643
33%
1.2
4646+0
2.6
75%
44%
22%
9.2
47%
3.7
50%
22.2
56%
0
0001.31.3
-
7ElginElgin3643
36%
1.2
5267-15
3.3
86%
69%
36%
9.9
50%
2.9
28%
21.2
50%
0
0001.41.9
-
8Queens ParkQueens Park3641
28%
1.1
4248-6
2.5
81%
44%
22%
9.4
44%
3.4
36%
20.6
44%
0
0001.21.3
-
9
AR
Albion Rvs
3624
17%
0.7
2972-43
2.8
78%
50%
31%
10.6
64%
2.6
25%
21.7
53%
0
0000.82.0
-
10
B
Berwick
3619
14%
0.5
2791-64
3.3
86%
64%
31%
9.2
44%
3.4
50%
23.8
67%
0
0000.82.5
-
Scotland: League Two 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

← all matches