PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Cowdenbeath vs Elgin Result & Analysis

Date: 03/11/2018
Time: 00:00
Final 1-2
Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Vs
38%
27%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Elgin
Elgin
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Cowdenbeath win✗ Miss
38.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Elgin win✓ Hit
35.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L12L40W00D24L11D01L10W13L30WA·CLY04/08H·ANN11/08H·BER18/08A·QUE01/09H·PET15/09H·ALB22/09A·EDI29/09H·STI06/10A·ELG13/10A·BER27/10
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.471.071.730.731.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)1.141.501.572.000.711.00
vs Weaker (16)0.691.440.621.500.751.38
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D10W10W03L30W14L21W03L31W01LA·ANN04/08H·EDI11/08A·ALB18/08H·STI01/09A·BER15/09A·CLY22/09H·QUE29/09A·PET06/10H·COW13/10H·ANN27/10
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.701.470.931.002.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.461.621.830.831.142.29
vs Weaker (17)1.061.761.221.000.882.62
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.1%
Under 1.5
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.5%
Under 2.5
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.1%
Under 3.5
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.3%
No
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
2-1
8.6%
1-2 ✓
8.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
6.3%
0-1
6.2%
0-0
6.1%
2-0
5.9%
Cowdenbeath goals ↓
Elgin goals →
01234
06.1%6.2%5.4%2.6%1.0%
16.6%12%8.2%4.0%1.5%
25.9%8.6%6.3%3.1%1.1%
33.0%4.4%3.2%1.6%0.6%
41.1%1.7%1.2%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Cowdenbeath goals (down), columns = Elgin goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Peterhead
2.19
Clyde
2.17
Edinburgh City
1.86
Annan Athletic
1.83
Stirling
1.31
Cowdenbeath
1.19
Elgin
1.19
Queens Park
1.14
Albion Rvs
0.67
Berwick
0.53
Cowdenbeath and Elgin are level in average points per game (both 1.19).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Annan Athletic
1.94
Peterhead
1.81
Clyde
1.81
Edinburgh City
1.61
Elgin
1.44
Cowdenbeath
1.28
Stirling
1.22
Queens Park
1.17
Albion Rvs
0.81
Berwick
0.75
Cowdenbeath is 0.17 goals worse than Elgin in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.44).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Peterhead
0.81
Clyde
0.83
Edinburgh City
0.86
Annan Athletic
1.08
Stirling
1.25
Cowdenbeath
1.28
Queens Park
1.33
Elgin
1.86
Albion Rvs
2.00
Berwick
2.53
Cowdenbeath is 0.58 goals better than Elgin in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.86).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

For 3.8 · Against 6.6 · Total 10.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

160244421038872511042844126812111571161216A·BERA·ELGH·STIA·EDIH·ALBH·PETA·QUEH·BERH·ANNA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.4 · Total 4.2

ðŸŸĻ Cards

805321141124211422248225362644A·BERA·ELGH·STIA·EDIH·ALBH·PETA·QUEH·BERH·ANNA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.3 · Against 10.5 · Total 25.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

34021131361412221212816181381310141115734192634203421232522A·BERA·ELGH·STIA·EDIH·ALBH·PETA·QUEH·BERH·ANNA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ElginElgin

For 5.2 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

17062441252611511069615548837176161569H·ANNH·COWA·PETH·QUEA·CLYA·BERH·STIA·ALBH·EDIA·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

60112121111221122422232241362H·ANNH·COWA·PETH·QUEA·CLYA·BERH·STIA·ALBH·EDIA·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 12.7 · Total 23.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

360912613181861397141215106111616111521193619162625173226H·ANNH·COWA·PETH·QUEA·CLYA·BERH·STIA·ALBH·EDIA·ANN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.18.99.33.63.63.624.023.724.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (24)8.89.18.53.63.53.723.422.923.8
vs Weaker (26)9.48.710.13.73.83.524.724.325.0
% over line41%39%43%52%48%56%63%70%57%
% under line59%61%57%48%52%44%37%30%43%
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.99.310.53.23.03.422.422.222.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (23)9.38.89.73.02.83.122.022.221.8
vs Weaker (27)10.59.811.23.53.23.822.722.223.2
% over line57%48%65%40%36%44%50%48%52%
% under line43%52%35%60%64%56%50%52%48%
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Albion Rvs
10.5
Stirling
10.3
Queens Park
10.3
Clyde
10.1
Elgin
9.9
Edinburgh City
9.6
Peterhead
9.4
Annan Athletic
9.2
Berwick
9.1
Cowdenbeath
9.1

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cowdenbeath
3.9
Clyde
3.9
Queens Park
3.7
Peterhead
3.7
Annan Athletic
3.6
Elgin
3.5
Edinburgh City
3.5
Stirling
3.2
Berwick
3.1
Albion Rvs
3.1

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
27.3
Edinburgh City
24.5
Cowdenbeath
24.0
Annan Athletic
23.8
Stirling
23.4
Elgin
22.4
Berwick
22.2
Clyde
22.1
Albion Rvs
20.9
Queens Park
19.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.7%
Under 9.5
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
49.0%
Under 3.5
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
64.6%
Under 21.5
35.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L11D20W00D21W01L00D10W11D20WA·CLY04/08H·ANN11/08H·BER18/08A·QUE01/09H·PET15/09H·ALB22/09A·EDI29/09H·STI06/10A·ELG13/10A·BER27/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.600.670.800.400.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.710.501.000.710.430.29
vs Weaker (16)0.380.690.380.880.380.50
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D03L30W13L01L01L11D01LA·ANN04/08H·EDI11/08A·ALB18/08H·STI01/09A·BER15/09A·CLY22/09H·QUE29/09A·PET06/10H·COW13/10H·ANN27/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.730.530.470.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.690.540.670.500.710.57
vs Weaker (17)0.530.880.780.560.251.25
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L20W00D03L10W01L00D02L10WA·CLY04/08H·ANN11/08H·BER18/08A·QUE01/09H·PET15/09H·ALB22/09A·EDI29/09H·STI06/10A·ELG13/10A·BER27/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.870.400.930.330.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.431.000.571.290.290.71
vs Weaker (16)0.310.750.250.620.380.88
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Elgin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ElginElgin

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W10W00D00D01L20W02L20W00DA·ANN04/08H·EDI11/08A·ALB18/08H·STI01/09A·BER15/09A·CLY22/09H·QUE29/09A·PET06/10H·COW13/10H·ANN27/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.970.730.400.531.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.771.081.170.330.431.71
vs Weaker (17)0.530.880.440.440.621.38
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Cowdenbeath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Cowdenbeath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cowdenbeath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Elgin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards84.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.581.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls79.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners71.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards70.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards70.2%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STI (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
COW wins
3
Draws
4
ELG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Cowdenbeath vs Elgin · H/A from COW
DateH/AGameScore
13/10/18AElgin Vs COW3-1
17/03/18HCOW Vs Elgin3-1
13/01/18AElgin Vs COW1-0
11/11/17HCOW Vs Elgin1-3
05/08/17AElgin Vs COW1-1
06/05/17AElgin Vs COW0-0
14/03/17HCOW Vs Elgin1-1
29/10/16AElgin Vs COW3-1

CowdenbeathCowdenbeath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/10/18ABerwick Vs COW0-3
13/10/18AElgin Vs COW3-1
06/10/18HCOW Vs Stirling1-0
29/09/18AEdinburgh City Vs COW1-0
22/09/18HCOW Vs Albion Rvs1-1
15/09/18HCOW Vs Peterhead2-4
01/09/18AQueens Park Vs COW0-0
18/08/18HCOW Vs Berwick4-0
11/08/18HCOW Vs Annan Athletic1-2
04/08/18AClyde Vs COW2-0

ElginElgin

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/10/18HELG Vs Annan Athletic0-1
13/10/18HELG Vs Cowdenbeath3-1
06/10/18APeterhead Vs ELG3-0
29/09/18HELG Vs Queens Park2-1
22/09/18AClyde Vs ELG4-1
15/09/18ABerwick Vs ELG0-3
01/09/18HELG Vs Stirling0-3
18/08/18AAlbion Rvs Vs ELG0-1
11/08/18HELG Vs Edinburgh City1-0
04/08/18AAnnan Athletic Vs ELG1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Cowdenbeath
Cowdenbeath
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLW0.76
HomeLWLDW0.80
AwayLDLLW0.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %16%20%12%
AVG goals2.262.721.80
Over 1.5 %68%84%52%
Over 2.5 %38%52%24%
Over 3.5 %20%28%12%
Scored0.820.920.72
Conceded1.441.801.08
BTTS44%52%36%
Clean Sheet18%16%20%
Corners9.098.879.30
Cards3.933.963.91
Elgin
Elgin
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWL1.34
HomeWLWWL1.80
AwayDWWLL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%52%24%
AVG goals3.102.523.68
Over 1.5 %84%76%92%
Over 2.5 %62%48%76%
Over 3.5 %38%20%56%
Scored1.441.561.32
Conceded1.660.962.36
BTTS50%44%56%
Clean Sheet24%32%16%
Corners9.939.3510.52
Cards3.523.303.74

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PeterheadPeterhead3679
67%
2.2
6529+36
2.6
78%
50%
22%
9.7
42%
3.5
47%
24.2
69%
0
0001.80.8
-
2ClydeClyde3678
67%
2.2
6530+35
2.6
72%
50%
22%
8.9
33%
3.3
44%
19.7
36%
0
0001.80.8
-
3Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3667
56%
1.9
5831+27
2.5
69%
44%
28%
8.6
42%
4.0
61%
24.6
75%
0
0001.60.9
-
4Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3666
56%
1.8
7039+31
3.0
89%
72%
31%
10.1
58%
3.8
50%
23.6
78%
0
0001.91.1
-
5StirlingStirling3647
36%
1.3
4445-1
2.5
64%
50%
22%
11.0
64%
3.4
47%
21.9
50%
0
0001.21.2
-
6CowdenbeathCowdenbeath3643
33%
1.2
4646+0
2.6
75%
44%
22%
9.2
47%
3.7
50%
22.2
56%
0
0001.31.3
-
7ElginElgin3643
36%
1.2
5267-15
3.3
86%
69%
36%
9.9
50%
2.9
28%
21.2
50%
0
0001.41.9
-
8Queens ParkQueens Park3641
28%
1.1
4248-6
2.5
81%
44%
22%
9.4
44%
3.4
36%
20.6
44%
0
0001.21.3
-
9
AR
Albion Rvs
3624
17%
0.7
2972-43
2.8
78%
50%
31%
10.6
64%
2.6
25%
21.7
53%
0
0000.82.0
-
10
B
Berwick
3619
14%
0.5
2791-64
3.3
86%
64%
31%
9.2
44%
3.4
50%
23.8
67%
0
0000.82.5
-
Scotland: League Two 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

← all matches