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Croatia Zmijavci vs Dubrava Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: 10/09/2023
Time: 14:30
Final 1-2
Croatia Zmijavci
Croatia Zmijavci
Vs
45%
33%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dubrava Zagreb
Dubrava Zagreb
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Croatia Zmijavci win✗ Miss
45.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb win✓ Hit
22.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W20W22D12L01L30W01L00D11D00DA·KUS29/04H·BSK07/05A·HRV12/05H·DUG21/05A·DUB27/05H·SOL03/06A·HNK12/08H·SES20/08A·DUG25/08A·BSK02/09
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.231.360.860.621.56
vs Stronger (2)1.501.501.501.50--
vs Similar (26)0.881.191.330.750.501.57
vs Weaker (2)1.501.50--1.501.50
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W11D04L01L10W10W11D11D10W13LH·HNK28/04A·VUK06/05H·RUD13/05A·JAR21/05H·CRO27/05A·KUS03/06A·ORI12/08H·HNK19/08A·SES28/08H·DUG04/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.201.531.270.731.13
vs Stronger (2)0.501.00--0.501.00
vs Similar (25)1.081.241.291.210.821.27
vs Weaker (3)2.001.005.002.000.500.50
Clean sheet %30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Croatia Zmijavci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%15%025%128%218%39%43%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
59.7%
Under 1.5
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
31.4%
Under 2.5
68.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.7%
Under 3.5
86.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
38.6%
No
61.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.6%
0-0
15.3%
1-1
14.1%
2-0
10.2%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
7.7%
1-2 ✓
4.9%
3-0
4.1%
Croatia Zmijavci goals ↓
Dubrava Zagreb goals →
01234
015%9.4%4.1%1.0%0.2%
116%14%4.9%1.2%0.2%
210%7.7%2.9%0.7%0.1%
34.1%3.1%1.2%0.3%0.1%
41.2%0.9%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Croatia Zmijavci goals (down), columns = Dubrava Zagreb goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sibenik
2.48
Zrinski Jurjevac
2.45
Vukovar
1.76
Sesvete
1.27
Jarun
1.21
Dubrava Zagreb
1.15
HNK Cibalia
1.12
Dugopolje
1.12
Orijent 1919
1.11
Croatia Zmijavci
1.09
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.03
Solin
0.73
Kustosija
0.00
Croatia Zmijavci is 0.06 points worse than Dubrava Zagreb in terms of average points per game (1.09 vs 1.15).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sibenik
2.06
Vukovar
1.70
Zrinski Jurjevac
1.61
Croatia Zmijavci
1.18
Dugopolje
1.15
HNK Cibalia
1.12
Sesvete
1.09
Dubrava Zagreb
1.09
Orijent 1919
1.09
Jarun
1.06
Solin
1.00
Kustosija
1.00
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
Croatia Zmijavci is 0.09 goals better than Dubrava Zagreb in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 1.09).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sibenik
0.55
Zrinski Jurjevac
0.55
Vukovar
1.09
Sesvete
1.24
Dubrava Zagreb
1.33
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.33
Dugopolje
1.36
Jarun
1.39
Orijent 1919
1.43
Croatia Zmijavci
1.45
Solin
1.52
HNK Cibalia
1.73
Kustosija
2.00
Croatia Zmijavci is 0.12 goals worse than Dubrava Zagreb in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 1.33).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W12L12L01L20W01L00D10W00DA·KUS29/04H·BSK07/05A·HRV12/05H·DUG21/05A·DUB27/05H·SOL03/06A·HNK12/08H·SES20/08A·DUG25/08A·BSK02/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.630.500.710.310.56
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.501.00--
vs Similar (26)0.350.620.500.670.210.57
vs Weaker (2)1.000.50--1.000.50
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W00D00D10W00D11D10W10W02LH·HNK28/04A·VUK06/05H·RUD13/05A·JAR21/05H·CRO27/05A·KUS03/06A·ORI12/08H·HNK19/08A·SES28/08H·DUG04/09
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.370.600.470.400.27
vs Stronger (2)0.500.00--0.500.00
vs Similar (25)0.480.400.500.430.450.36
vs Weaker (3)0.670.332.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Croatia Zmijavci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D10W10W00D00D10W00D00D01L00DA·KUS29/04H·BSK07/05A·HRV12/05H·DUG21/05A·DUB27/05H·SOL03/06A·HNK12/08H·SES20/08A·DUG25/08A·BSK02/09
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.600.860.140.311.00
vs Stronger (2)1.000.501.000.50--
vs Similar (26)0.540.580.830.080.291.00
vs Weaker (2)0.501.00--0.501.00
Clean sheet %63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W01L04L01L00D10W00D01L00D11DH·HNK28/04A·VUK06/05H·RUD13/05A·JAR21/05H·CRO27/05A·KUS03/06A·ORI12/08H·HNK19/08A·SES28/08H·DUG04/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.830.930.800.330.87
vs Stronger (2)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.600.840.790.790.360.91
vs Weaker (3)1.330.673.001.000.500.50
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Croatia Zmijavci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.586.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (22)
€3m
VUK (13)
€2m
DUG (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
KUS (12)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
Croatia Zmijavci and Dubrava Zagreb have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUK (6)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
SES (7)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
KUS (3)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
Croatia Zmijavci and Dubrava Zagreb have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (4)
€1m
DZ (3)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
KUS (2)
€0m
VUK (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
Croatia Zmijavci and Dubrava Zagreb have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (11)
€2m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
KUS (7)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
VUK (5)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
Croatia Zmijavci and Dubrava Zagreb have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
CZ wins
0
Draws
2
DZ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Croatia Zmijavci vs Dubrava Zagreb · H/A from CZ
DateH/AGameScore
27/05/23ADubrava Zagreb Vs CZ1-0
08/03/23HCZ Vs Dubrava Zagreb2-0
01/10/22ADubrava Zagreb Vs CZ2-1

Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/23ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs CZ0-0
25/08/23ADugopolje Vs CZ1-1
20/08/23HCZ Vs Sesvete0-0
12/08/23AHNK Cibalia Vs CZ1-0
03/06/23HCZ Vs Solin3-0
27/05/23ADubrava Zagreb Vs CZ1-0
21/05/23HCZ Vs Dugopolje1-2
12/05/23AHrvatski Dragovoljac Vs CZ2-2
07/05/23HCZ Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo2-0
29/04/23AKustosija Vs CZ1-2

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/09/23HDZ Vs Dugopolje1-3
28/08/23ASesvete Vs DZ0-1
19/08/23HDZ Vs HNK Cibalia1-1
12/08/23AOrijent 1919 Vs DZ1-1
03/06/23AKustosija Vs DZ0-1
27/05/23HDZ Vs Croatia Zmijavci1-0
21/05/23AJarun Vs DZ1-0
13/05/23HDZ Vs Rudes0-4
06/05/23AVukovar Vs DZ1-1
28/04/23HDZ Vs HNK Cibalia2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Croatia Zmijavci
Croatia Zmijavci
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDDD1.24
HomeWWLWD1.76
AwayDLLDD0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%53%15%
AVG goals2.272.352.20
Over 1.5 %73%82%65%
Over 2.5 %46%47%45%
Over 3.5 %19%12%25%
Scored1.031.410.70
Conceded1.240.941.50
BTTS46%47%45%
Clean Sheet32%35%30%
Corners---
Cards---
Dubrava Zagreb
Dubrava Zagreb
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWL1.27
HomeWLWDL1.47
AwayDLWDW1.06
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%42%22%
AVG goals2.322.632.00
Over 1.5 %68%74%61%
Over 2.5 %30%42%17%
Over 3.5 %22%26%17%
Scored1.141.420.83
Conceded1.191.211.17
BTTS43%42%44%
Clean Sheet27%32%22%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SibenikSibenik3382
79%
2.5
6818+50
2.6
73%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.10.5
-
2Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac3381
79%
2.5
5318+35
2.2
61%
42%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.60.5
-
3VukovarVukovar3358
48%
1.8
5636+20
2.8
79%
61%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.1
-
4SesveteSesvete3342
36%
1.3
3641-5
2.3
67%
42%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.11.2
-
5JarunJarun3340
33%
1.2
3546-11
2.5
70%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
6Orijent 1919Orijent 19193539
26%
1.1
3850-12
2.5
60%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.4
-
7Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3338
30%
1.2
3644-8
2.4
73%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.3
-
8DugopoljeDugopolje3337
24%
1.1
3845-7
2.5
82%
55%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.4
-
9HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3337
33%
1.1
3757-20
2.8
76%
55%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.7
-
10Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3336
24%
1.1
3948-9
2.6
76%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.5
-
11Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3334
21%
1.0
3044-14
2.2
64%
42%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.3
-
12SolinSolin3324
12%
0.7
3350-17
2.5
73%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
13KustosijaKustosija20
0%
0.0
24-2
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.02.0
-
Croatia: First NL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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