PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Croatia Zmijavci vs Dugopolje Result & Analysis

Date: 21/05/2023
Time: 15:30
Final 1-2
Croatia Zmijavci
Croatia Zmijavci
Vs
43%
33%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dugopolje
Dugopolje
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Croatia Zmijavci win✗ Miss
43.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dugopolje win✓ Hit
24.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D00D21W14L10W02L21W20W22DH·BSK12/03A·HNK17/03A·HNK24/03H·VUK02/04A·RUD08/04H·JAR16/04A·ORI22/04A·KUS29/04H·BSK07/05A·HRV12/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.371.431.000.811.69
vs Stronger (3)1.331.001.501.501.000.00
vs Similar (24)1.041.421.450.910.691.85
vs Weaker (3)1.331.331.001.001.501.50
Clean sheet %30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Dugopolje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DugopoljeDugopolje

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L11D12L22D11D04L00D01L11D10WH·HNK11/03A·SOL19/03H·HRV26/03H·ORI01/04A·DUB06/04H·SOL16/04A·HNK22/04H·VUK29/04A·RUD06/05H·JAR12/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.030.751.060.931.00
vs Stronger (3)0.330.670.501.000.000.00
vs Similar (25)0.761.120.771.150.751.08
vs Weaker (2)2.500.501.000.004.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Croatia Zmijavci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%15%024%128%218%39%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
60.8%
Under 1.5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
32.4%
Under 2.5
67.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
14.3%
Under 3.5
85.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
40.1%
No
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
14.8%
1-0
14.6%
1-1
14.4%
0-1
9.8%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
7.7%
1-2 ✓
5.4%
0-2
4.6%
Croatia Zmijavci goals ↓
Dugopolje goals →
01234
015%9.8%4.6%1.2%0.3%
115%14%5.4%1.5%0.3%
29.4%7.7%3.2%0.9%0.2%
33.7%3.0%1.3%0.3%0.1%
41.1%0.9%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Croatia Zmijavci goals (down), columns = Dugopolje goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vukovar
1.91
Rudes
1.85
HNK Cibalia
1.64
Zrinski Jurjevac
1.50
Jarun
1.33
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.33
Croatia Zmijavci
1.30
Orijent 1919
1.30
Solin
1.30
Dubrava Zagreb
1.27
Dugopolje
1.24
Kustosija
1.06
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
0.76
Croatia Zmijavci is 0.06 points better than Dugopolje in terms of average points per game (1.30 vs 1.24).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vukovar
1.73
Rudes
1.61
Solin
1.42
Orijent 1919
1.36
Jarun
1.30
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.24
Dubrava Zagreb
1.15
Croatia Zmijavci
1.12
HNK Cibalia
1.12
Kustosija
1.06
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
1.00
Zrinski Jurjevac
1.00
Dugopolje
0.91
Croatia Zmijavci is 0.21 goals better than Dugopolje in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 0.91).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vukovar
0.76
HNK Cibalia
0.79
Rudes
0.82
Zrinski Jurjevac
1.00
Dugopolje
1.06
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.12
Dubrava Zagreb
1.18
Croatia Zmijavci
1.33
Orijent 1919
1.36
Kustosija
1.49
Solin
1.67
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
1.70
Jarun
1.73
Croatia Zmijavci is 0.27 goals worse than Dugopolje in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.06).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D00D01L00D00D10W10W12LH·BSK12/03A·HNK17/03A·HNK24/03H·VUK02/04A·RUD08/04H·JAR16/04A·ORI22/04A·KUS29/04H·BSK07/05A·HRV12/05
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.700.500.790.380.62
vs Stronger (3)0.330.670.501.000.000.00
vs Similar (24)0.420.710.550.730.310.69
vs Weaker (3)0.670.670.001.001.000.50
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Dugopolje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DugopoljeDugopolje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W02L10W10W03L00D00D00D00DH·HNK11/03A·SOL19/03H·HRV26/03H·ORI01/04A·DUB06/04H·SOL16/04A·HNK22/04H·VUK29/04A·RUD06/05H·JAR12/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.300.310.440.570.14
vs Stronger (3)0.330.000.500.000.000.00
vs Similar (25)0.400.360.310.540.500.17
vs Weaker (2)1.000.000.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %83% (+52pp vs league)
This opponent (Croatia Zmijavci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dugopolje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dugopolje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dugopolje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D00D21W13L10W02L11D10W10WH·BSK12/03A·HNK17/03A·HNK24/03H·VUK02/04A·RUD08/04H·JAR16/04A·ORI22/04A·KUS29/04H·BSK07/05A·HRV12/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.670.930.210.441.06
vs Stronger (3)1.000.331.000.501.000.00
vs Similar (24)0.620.710.910.180.381.15
vs Weaker (3)0.670.671.000.000.501.00
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Dugopolje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

DugopoljeDugopolje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L10W12L01L01L00D01L11D10WH·HNK11/03A·SOL19/03H·HRV26/03H·ORI01/04A·DUB06/04H·SOL16/04A·HNK22/04H·VUK29/04A·RUD06/05H·JAR12/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.730.440.620.360.86
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (25)0.360.760.460.620.250.92
vs Weaker (2)1.500.501.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Croatia Zmijavci) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Croatia Zmijavci over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dugopolje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dugopolje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dugopolje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.585.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (27)
€5m
VUK (13)
€2m
DUG (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
KUS (12)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
Croatia Zmijavci and Dugopolje have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (13)
€3m
VUK (6)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
KUS (3)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
Croatia Zmijavci and Dugopolje have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (3)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
KUS (2)
€0m
VUK (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
Croatia Zmijavci and Dugopolje have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (10)
€1m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
KUS (7)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
VUK (5)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
Croatia Zmijavci and Dugopolje have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
CZ wins
0
Draws
1
DUG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Croatia Zmijavci vs Dugopolje · H/A from CZ
DateH/AGameScore
30/10/22HCZ Vs Dugopolje0-2
13/08/22ADugopolje Vs CZ0-2

Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/05/23AHrvatski Dragovoljac Vs CZ2-2
07/05/23HCZ Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo2-0
29/04/23AKustosija Vs CZ1-2
22/04/23AOrijent 1919 Vs CZ2-0
16/04/23HCZ Vs Jarun1-0
08/04/23ARudes Vs CZ4-1
02/04/23HCZ Vs Vukovar2-1
24/03/23AHNK Cibalia Vs CZ0-0
17/03/23AHNK Cibalia Vs CZ0-0
12/03/23HCZ Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo2-0

DugopoljeDugopolje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/05/23HDUG Vs Jarun1-0
06/05/23ARudes Vs DUG1-1
29/04/23HDUG Vs Vukovar0-1
22/04/23AHNK Cibalia Vs DUG0-0
16/04/23HDUG Vs Solin0-4
06/04/23ADubrava Zagreb Vs DUG1-1
01/04/23HDUG Vs Orijent 19192-2
26/03/23HDUG Vs Hrvatski Dragovoljac1-2
19/03/23ASolin Vs DUG1-1
11/03/23HDUG Vs HNK Cibalia0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Croatia Zmijavci
Croatia Zmijavci
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWD1.33
HomeWWWWW1.86
AwayDLLWD0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %37%57%19%
AVG goals2.472.432.50
Over 1.5 %80%86%75%
Over 2.5 %50%43%56%
Over 3.5 %23%14%31%
Scored1.101.430.81
Conceded1.371.001.69
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet30%29%31%
Corners---
Cards---
Dugopolje
Dugopolje
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLDW1.17
HomeLDLLW1.31
AwayDDDDD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %23%31%14%
AVG goals1.871.811.93
Over 1.5 %67%56%79%
Over 2.5 %20%25%14%
Over 3.5 %10%12%7%
Scored0.830.750.93
Conceded1.031.061.00
BTTS47%38%57%
Clean Sheet30%38%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VukovarVukovar3363
52%
1.9
5725+32
2.5
70%
42%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.70.8
-
2RudesRudes3361
55%
1.8
5327+26
2.4
70%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3111.60.8
-
3HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3354
39%
1.6
3726+11
1.9
58%
30%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.10.8
-
4Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3344
36%
1.3
4137+4
2.4
67%
45%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.1
-
5JarunJarun3344
39%
1.3
4357-14
3.0
73%
67%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
6Orijent 1919Orijent 19193343
30%
1.3
4545+0
2.7
73%
55%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.4
-
7Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3343
36%
1.3
3744-7
2.5
79%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.3
-
8SolinSolin3343
36%
1.3
4755-8
3.1
79%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
9Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3342
33%
1.3
3839-1
2.3
67%
30%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.2
-
10DugopoljeDugopolje3341
27%
1.2
3035-5
2.0
70%
24%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.91.1
-
11KustosijaKustosija3537
29%
1.1
3752-15
2.5
69%
46%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.5
-
12Hrvatski DragovoljacHrvatski Dragovoljac3325
15%
0.8
3356-23
2.7
76%
52%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
13Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
14Inter ZaprešićInter Zaprešić00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Croatia: First NL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

← all matches