This opponent (Benevento) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Benevento
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.47
1.40
1.47
1.40
1.47
vs Stronger (18)
1.17
1.39
1.11
1.78
1.22
1.00
vs Similar (11)
1.64
1.64
1.60
1.00
1.67
2.17
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Crotone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.8%
Under 1.5
19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.1%
@ 1.80+4.4%
Under 2.5
42.9%
@ 2.00-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.7%
Under 3.5
65.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.2%
No
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
7.5%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
7.2%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
6.0%
1-0
5.5%
Crotone goals ↓
Benevento goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.2%
7.5%
7.2%
4.0%
1.7%
1
5.5%
12%
9.3%
5.2%
2.2%
2
4.3%
7.2%
6.0%
3.4%
1.4%
3
1.9%
3.1%
2.6%
1.5%
0.6%
4
0.6%
1.0%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Crotone goals (down), columns = Benevento goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Inter
2.39
AC Milan
2.08
Atalanta
2.05
Juventus
2.05
Napoli
2.03
Lazio
1.79
AS Roma
1.66
Sassuolo
1.63
Sampdoria
1.37
Hellas Verona
1.13
Genoa
1.11
Bologna
1.08
Udinese
1.05
Fiorentina
1.05
Spezia
1.03
Torino
0.97
Cagliari
0.97
Benevento
0.87
Crotone
0.61
Parma
0.53
Crotone is 0.26 points worse than Benevento in terms of average points per game (0.61 vs 0.87).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Atalanta
2.37
Inter
2.34
Napoli
2.26
Juventus
2.03
AC Milan
1.95
AS Roma
1.79
Sassuolo
1.68
Lazio
1.61
Sampdoria
1.37
Spezia
1.37
Bologna
1.34
Torino
1.32
Genoa
1.24
Fiorentina
1.24
Crotone
1.18
Hellas Verona
1.13
Cagliari
1.13
Udinese
1.11
Benevento
1.05
Parma
1.03
Crotone is 0.13 goals better than Benevento in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 1.05).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Inter
0.92
Juventus
1.00
Napoli
1.08
AC Milan
1.08
Atalanta
1.24
Hellas Verona
1.26
Sampdoria
1.42
AS Roma
1.45
Lazio
1.45
Sassuolo
1.47
Udinese
1.53
Genoa
1.53
Cagliari
1.55
Fiorentina
1.55
Bologna
1.71
Torino
1.82
Spezia
1.89
Benevento
1.97
Parma
2.18
Crotone
2.42
Crotone is 0.45 goals worse than Benevento in terms of goals conceded per game (2.42 vs 1.97).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
C
Crotone
For 2.5 · Against 5.2 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 13.9 · Total 28.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Benevento
For 5.2 · Against 6.1 · Total 11.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 15.9 · Total 28.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
C
Crotone
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
8.5
9.9
5.7
6.0
5.4
30.4
30.5
30.3
vs Stronger (27)
8.4
7.4
9.4
6.3
6.8
5.9
30.3
31.2
29.5
vs Similar (23)
10.2
9.9
10.5
5.0
5.1
4.9
30.5
29.7
31.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
40%
33%
46%
86%
92%
81%
92%
92%
92%
% under line
60%
67%
54%
14%
8%
19%
8%
8%
8%
This opponent (Benevento) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Benevento
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.0
9.3
5.1
4.8
5.5
29.1
29.0
29.2
vs Stronger (23)
10.0
11.0
8.7
4.7
4.3
5.2
29.0
29.2
28.9
vs Similar (25)
9.2
8.8
9.5
5.6
5.6
5.6
29.4
28.9
29.8
vs Weaker (2)
12.0
10.0
14.0
4.5
3.0
6.0
27.5
29.0
26.0
% over line
46%
50%
42%
72%
65%
79%
96%
96%
96%
% under line
54%
50%
58%
28%
35%
21%
4%
4%
4%
This opponent (Crotone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bologna
11.3
Sassuolo
11.1
AS Roma
10.9
Sampdoria
10.8
Juventus
10.8
AC Milan
10.7
Udinese
10.6
Parma
10.5
Hellas Verona
10.5
Torino
10.3
Inter
10.0
Cagliari
10.0
Napoli
9.9
Fiorentina
9.9
Lazio
9.9
Benevento
9.7
Genoa
9.3
Crotone
9.3
Atalanta
8.9
Spezia
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sassuolo
5.8
Lazio
5.7
Crotone
5.7
Torino
5.5
Genoa
5.5
Spezia
5.5
Bologna
5.4
Juventus
5.3
AS Roma
5.3
AC Milan
5.3
Sampdoria
5.3
Inter
5.2
Hellas Verona
5.2
Benevento
5.1
Fiorentina
5.1
Napoli
5.0
Atalanta
4.9
Cagliari
4.9
Parma
4.5
Udinese
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Torino
30.7
Crotone
30.4
Bologna
29.7
Spezia
29.6
Benevento
29.1
Hellas Verona
29.1
Genoa
28.9
Atalanta
28.3
Fiorentina
28.1
Sampdoria
27.9
Sassuolo
27.5
AC Milan
27.3
Inter
27.2
Cagliari
27.1
AS Roma
26.7
Parma
26.2
Juventus
26.0
Udinese
25.3
Napoli
25.1
Lazio
24.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
42.3%
Under 9.5
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
81.0%
Under 3.5
19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
89.1%
Under 21.5
10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
C
Crotone
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.83
0.64
0.71
0.88
0.94
vs Stronger (20)
0.65
1.20
0.50
1.00
0.80
1.40
vs Similar (10)
1.00
0.10
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.17
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Benevento) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Benevento
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.73
0.53
0.73
0.80
0.73
vs Stronger (18)
0.61
0.72
0.44
0.89
0.78
0.56
vs Similar (11)
0.73
0.82
0.60
0.60
0.83
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Crotone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Crotone over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crotone over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crotone over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benevento over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benevento over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benevento over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
C
Crotone
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.80
0.57
0.57
0.50
1.00
vs Stronger (20)
0.45
0.85
0.60
0.60
0.30
1.10
vs Similar (10)
0.70
0.70
0.50
0.50
0.83
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Benevento) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Benevento
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.73
0.87
0.73
0.60
0.73
vs Stronger (18)
0.56
0.67
0.67
0.89
0.44
0.44
vs Similar (11)
0.91
0.82
1.00
0.40
0.83
1.17
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Crotone) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Crotone over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crotone over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crotone over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benevento over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benevento over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benevento over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Benevento · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Francesco Salvemini67%
Davide Lamesta33%
Stefano Scognamillo0%
Gianmarco Vannucchi0%
Pietro Beruatto0%
Mattia Maita0%
Edoardo Pierozzi0%
Antonio Prisco0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pietro Beruatto33%
Stefano Scognamillo0%
Gianmarco Vannucchi0%
Francesco Salvemini0%
Mattia Maita0%
Davide Lamesta0%
Edoardo Pierozzi0%
Antonio Prisco0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pietro Beruatto33%
Stefano Scognamillo0%
Gianmarco Vannucchi0%
Francesco Salvemini0%
Mattia Maita0%
Davide Lamesta0%
Edoardo Pierozzi0%
Antonio Prisco0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Davide Lamesta33%
Stefano Scognamillo0%
Gianmarco Vannucchi0%
Francesco Salvemini0%
Pietro Beruatto0%
Mattia Maita0%
Edoardo Pierozzi0%
Antonio Prisco0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie A 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie A stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Benevento
Inter
AC Milan
Atalanta
Juventus
Napoli
Lazio
AS Roma
Sassuolo
Sampdoria
Hellas Verona
Genoa
Bologna
Fiorentina
Udinese
Spezia
Cagliari
Torino
Parma