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CSF Bălți vs Petrocub Result & Analysis

Date: 12/09/2022
Time: 14:00
Final 0-1
CSF Bălți
CSF Bălți
Vs
29%
31%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Petrocub
Petrocub
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

CSF Bălți’s defensive record at home is shaky, conceding an average of two goals while scoring only half a goal per match against stronger opposition. Petrocub, on the other hand, has been on a winning streak, having just beaten CSF Bălți 3-0. The model therefore picks an away win, with a 39% chance of Petrocub triumphing, a 31% chance of a draw, and a 29% chance of a CSF Bălți victory. The expected total of 2.2 goals points to a tight, low-scoring affair, with the most likely total being two goals. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, occurring with a 14.6% probability. Petrocub’s home-side form shows they score 0.5 goals and concede 2.0 against stronger teams, while CSF Bălți’s away form is not listed. Suggested picks include the model’s selection of Under 3.5 goals, with an 81.5% probability of hitting that outcome.

Results analysis

The win for Petrocub extends their recent run, as they finished the match 0-1 to secure an away victory. The model’s favourite, an away win, was correct, having been assigned a 39% probability. The final score of 0-1 matched the actual result, confirming the prediction. The model’s single selection, Under 3.5, hit with an 81.5% probability. All other details - home recent form note of three straight defeats, away recent form note of a win, and the expected total of 2.2 goals - were reflected in the outcome. The prediction model delivered accurately on the favored result and its key selection.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSF Bălți win✗ Miss
29.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Petrocub win✓ Hit
39.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

CSF BălțiCSF Bălți

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D30W03L10W21WA·DAC30/07H·MIL07/08A·ZIM13/08H·SHE21/08A·DIN27/08A·SFÎ04/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.830.502.001.500.25
vs Stronger (3)1.331.330.502.003.000.00
vs Similar (3)1.000.33--1.000.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrocub) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrocubPetrocub

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D41W02L05L10W12L01L22D11D40WH·LAC21/07A·LAC28/07H·SFÎ31/07A·FEH04/08H·DAC07/08H·FEH11/08A·MIL14/08H·ZIM20/08A·SHE29/08H·DIN03/09
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.171.290.861.001.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.001.331.001.001.001.60
vs Weaker (3)1.670.671.670.67--
Clean sheet %42% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (CSF Bălți) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
66.4%
Under 1.5
33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
38.3%
Under 2.5
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.5%
Under 3.5
81.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.0%
No
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.2%
0-1 ✓
11.8%
1-0
9.6%
1-2
8.1%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.5%
CSF Bălți goals ↓
Petrocub goals →
01234
012%12%8.0%3.2%1.0%
19.6%15%8.1%3.3%1.0%
25.5%6.7%4.1%1.6%0.5%
31.8%2.2%1.4%0.6%0.2%
40.5%0.6%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = CSF Bălți goals (down), columns = Petrocub goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.38
Floreşti
2.17
Petrocub
2.00
Speranis Nisporeni
2.00
Dacia-Buiucani
1.75
Văsieni
1.50
Spartanii Selemet
1.33
Zimbru
1.29
Milsami Orhei
1.17
Dinamo-Auto
1.11
Sfîntul Gheorghe
1.08
Victoria Bardar
1.00
CSF Bălți
0.92
Făleşti
0.00
Speranța Drochia
0.00
Real Succes
0.00
Sucleia
0.00
CSF Bălți is 1.08 points worse than Petrocub in terms of average points per game (0.92 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Speranis Nisporeni
3.00
Văsieni
3.00
Floreşti
2.33
Victoria Bardar
2.00
Spartanii Selemet
2.00
Dacia-Buiucani
1.67
Sheriff Tiraspol
1.62
Petrocub
1.50
Dinamo-Auto
1.33
Zimbru
1.12
Făleşti
1.00
Real Succes
1.00
Sucleia
1.00
Milsami Orhei
0.92
Sfîntul Gheorghe
0.92
CSF Bălți
0.75
Speranța Drochia
0.00
CSF Bălți is 0.75 goals worse than Petrocub in terms of goals scored per game (0.75 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.38
Petrocub
0.71
Dacia-Buiucani
0.71
Floreşti
0.92
Speranis Nisporeni
1.00
Zimbru
1.08
CSF Bălți
1.08
Milsami Orhei
1.25
Dinamo-Auto
1.41
Sfîntul Gheorghe
1.46
Văsieni
1.50
Spartanii Selemet
1.92
Victoria Bardar
2.69
Speranța Drochia
4.00
Făleşti
4.91
Sucleia
6.00
Real Succes
7.00
CSF Bălți is 0.37 goals worse than Petrocub in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 0.71).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

CSF BălțiCSF Bălți

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D10W01L00D00DA·DAC30/07H·MIL07/08A·ZIM13/08H·SHE21/08A·DIN27/08A·SFÎ04/09
Avg total
0.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.170.170.000.500.250.00
vs Stronger (3)0.330.330.000.501.000.00
vs Similar (3)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %83% (+52pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrocub) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrocubPetrocub

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L01L03L10W12L01L01L11D10WH·LAC21/07A·LAC28/07H·SFÎ31/07A·FEH04/08H·DAC07/08H·FEH11/08A·MIL14/08H·ZIM20/08A·SHE29/08H·DIN03/09
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.420.830.570.570.201.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.331.000.500.750.201.20
vs Weaker (3)0.670.330.670.33--
Clean sheet %42% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (CSF Bălți) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
CSF Bălți over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

CSF BălțiCSF Bălți

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D20W02L10W21WA·DAC30/07H·MIL07/08A·ZIM13/08H·SHE21/08A·DIN27/08A·SFÎ04/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.670.501.501.250.25
vs Stronger (3)1.001.000.501.502.000.00
vs Similar (3)1.000.33--1.000.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrocub) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrocubPetrocub

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D40W01L02L00D00D00D21W00D30WH·LAC21/07A·LAC28/07H·SFÎ31/07A·FEH04/08H·DAC07/08H·FEH11/08A·MIL14/08H·ZIM20/08A·SHE29/08H·DIN03/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.750.330.710.290.800.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.670.330.500.250.800.40
vs Weaker (3)1.000.331.000.33--
Clean sheet %75% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (CSF Bălți) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
CSF Bălți over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSF Bălți over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.581.5%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Petrocub · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Victor Mudrac20%
Teodor Lungu20%
Ion Borș20%
Sergiu Plătică17%
Ion Jardan0%
Vladimir Ambros0%
Maxim Potirniche0%
Vasile Jardan0%
Vsevolod Nihaev0%
Marin Caruntu0%
Donalio Melachio Douanla0%
Silviu Șmalenea0%
Dan Pușcaș0%
Dumitru Demian0%
Boubacar Diallo0%
Mihai Lupan0%
Manuel Nana Agyemang0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Teodor Lungu60%
Ion Jardan50%
Dumitru Demian33%
Dan Pușcaș20%
Ion Borș20%
Vladimir Ambros17%
Sergiu Plătică0%
Maxim Potirniche0%
Vasile Jardan0%
Vsevolod Nihaev0%
Marin Caruntu0%
Victor Mudrac0%
Donalio Melachio Douanla0%
Silviu Șmalenea0%
Boubacar Diallo0%
Mihai Lupan0%
Manuel Nana Agyemang0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dan Pușcaș20%
Vladimir Ambros17%
Ion Jardan0%
Sergiu Plătică0%
Maxim Potirniche0%
Vasile Jardan0%
Vsevolod Nihaev0%
Marin Caruntu0%
Victor Mudrac0%
Donalio Melachio Douanla0%
Teodor Lungu0%
Silviu Șmalenea0%
Dumitru Demian0%
Ion Borș0%
Boubacar Diallo0%
Mihai Lupan0%
Manuel Nana Agyemang0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sergiu Plătică17%
Ion Jardan0%
Vladimir Ambros0%
Maxim Potirniche0%
Vasile Jardan0%
Vsevolod Nihaev0%
Marin Caruntu0%
Victor Mudrac0%
Donalio Melachio Douanla0%
Teodor Lungu0%
Silviu Șmalenea0%
Dan Pușcaș0%
Dumitru Demian0%
Ion Borș0%
Boubacar Diallo0%
Mihai Lupan0%
Manuel Nana Agyemang0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
SS (12)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
CSF Bălți's squad is €5m less valuable than Petrocub's (€1m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
CSF Bălți's attack is €2m less valuable than Petrocub's (€0m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
DAC (6)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
CSF Bălți and Petrocub have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
CSF Bălți's defence is €2m less valuable than Petrocub's (€1m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
CB wins
0
Draws
0
PET wins

Head-to-head

CSF Bălți vs Petrocub · H/A from CB
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

CSF BălțiCSF Bălți

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/09/22ASfîntul Gheorghe Vs CB1-2
27/08/22ADinamo-Auto Vs CB0-1
21/08/22HCB Vs Sheriff Tiraspol0-3
13/08/22AZimbru Vs CB0-3
07/08/22HCB Vs Milsami Orhei1-1
30/07/22ADacia-Buiucani Vs CB0-0

PetrocubPetrocub

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/09/22HPET Vs Dinamo-Auto4-0
29/08/22ASheriff Tiraspol Vs PET1-1
20/08/22HPET Vs Zimbru2-2
14/08/22AMilsami Orhei Vs PET1-0
11/08/22HPET Vs Fehérvár FC1-2
07/08/22HPET Vs Dacia-Buiucani1-0
04/08/22AFehérvár FC Vs PET5-0
31/07/22HPET Vs Sfîntul Gheorghe0-2
28/07/22ALaci Vs PET1-4
21/07/22HPET Vs Laci0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

CSF Bălți
CSF Bălți
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWW1.83
HomeDL0.50
AwayDWWW2.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%0%75%
AVG goals2.002.501.75
Over 1.5 %67%100%50%
Over 2.5 %50%50%50%
Over 3.5 %0%0%0%
Scored1.170.501.50
Conceded0.832.000.25
BTTS33%50%25%
Clean Sheet50%0%75%
Corners---
Cards---
Petrocub
Petrocub
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDW1.33
HomeLWLDW1.57
AwayDWLLD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%43%20%
AVG goals2.332.142.60
Over 1.5 %58%57%60%
Over 2.5 %42%43%40%
Over 3.5 %33%29%40%
Scored1.171.291.00
Conceded1.170.861.60
BTTS33%29%40%
Clean Sheet42%57%20%
Corners7.837.338.33
Cards5.003.677.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol2457
71%
2.4
399+30
2.0
71%
29%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3131.60.4
-
2PetrocubPetrocub2448
58%
2.0
3617+19
2.2
62%
46%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.50.7
-
3Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani2442
50%
1.8
4017+23
2.4
62%
33%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.70.7
-
4ZimbruZimbru2431
29%
1.3
2726+1
2.2
62%
38%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.11.1
-
5Dinamo-AutoDinamo-Auto2730
30%
1.1
3638-2
2.7
74%
37%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
6Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei2428
29%
1.2
2230-8
2.2
71%
33%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.91.2
-
7FloreştiFloreşti1226
67%
2.2
2811+17
3.2
92%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.30.9
-
8Sfîntul GheorgheSfîntul Gheorghe2426
29%
1.1
2235-13
2.4
75%
42%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
9CSF BălțiCSF Bălți2422
21%
0.9
1826-8
1.8
54%
29%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.81.1
-
10Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet1216
42%
1.3
2423+1
3.9
100%
67%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.9
-
11Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar1313
31%
1.0
2635-9
4.7
100%
92%
77%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.7
-
12Speranis NisporeniSperanis Nisporeni24
50%
2.0
62+4
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.01.0
-
13VăsieniVăsieni23
50%
1.5
63+3
4.5
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.01.5
-
14Sheriff IISheriff II00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
15Speranța DrochiaSperanța Drochia10
0%
0.0
04-4
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.04.0
-
16SucleiaSucleia10
0%
0.0
16-5
7.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.06.0
-
17Real SuccesReal Succes10
0%
0.0
17-6
8.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.07.0
-
18FăleştiFăleşti110
0%
0.0
1154-43
5.9
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.04.9
-
Moldova: Super Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

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