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Dekani vs Krka Result & Analysis

Date: 24/08/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 1-3
Dekani
Dekani
Vs
37%
29%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Krka
Krka
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dekani win✗ Miss
37.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Krka win✓ Hit
34.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DekaniDekani

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L00D12L22D01L20W21W31W02LH·TAB29/03A·BEL07/04H·TOL14/04A·BRI21/04H·BIL28/04A·RUD04/05H·NAF11/05A·TRI18/05H·TAB10/08A·BIL17/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.271.401.271.071.27
vs Stronger (8)1.250.881.500.501.001.25
vs Similar (22)1.231.411.361.551.091.27
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Krka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KrkaKrka

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D12L05L10W22D12L10W50W11D12LH·FUŽ29/03A·PRI07/04H·TAB12/04A·BEL19/04H·TOL27/04A·BRI04/05H·BIL10/05A·RUD19/05H·SLO09/08H·TOL16/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.601.181.761.461.38
vs Stronger (6)1.001.501.251.250.502.00
vs Similar (24)1.381.621.151.921.641.27
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Dekani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.7%
Under 1.5
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.4%
Under 2.5
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.6%
Under 3.5
73.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.3%
No
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
0-0
8.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.0%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
5.9%
Dekani goals ↓
Krka goals →
01234
08.6%8.1%5.9%2.5%0.8%
18.6%14%8.0%3.4%1.1%
26.6%8.4%5.3%2.3%0.7%
32.9%3.7%2.4%1.0%0.3%
41.0%1.2%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dekani goals (down), columns = Krka goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Aluminij
2.13
Triglav
2.10
Gorica
1.97
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.83
Tabor Sežana
1.80
Bistrica
1.70
Dravinja
1.50
Krka
1.27
Beltinci
1.10
Bilje
1.10
Slovan Ljubljana
1.10
Dekani
1.07
Rudar
1.07
Ilirija
0.87
Tolmin
0.73
NŠ Drava
0.67
Dekani is 0.20 points worse than Krka in terms of average points per game (1.07 vs 1.27).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Triglav
2.40
Gorica
2.00
Bistrica
2.00
Aluminij
1.97
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.93
Tabor Sežana
1.90
Beltinci
1.33
Dravinja
1.23
Bilje
1.17
Slovan Ljubljana
1.13
Dekani
1.07
Ilirija
0.93
Krka
0.93
Rudar
0.90
Tolmin
0.87
NŠ Drava
0.73
Dekani is 0.13 goals better than Krka in terms of goals scored per game (1.07 vs 0.93).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Aluminij
0.93
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.03
Krka
1.07
Triglav
1.10
Gorica
1.13
Tabor Sežana
1.17
Dravinja
1.20
Bistrica
1.27
Slovan Ljubljana
1.30
Rudar
1.47
Bilje
1.50
Beltinci
1.60
Ilirija
1.63
Dekani
1.87
Tolmin
2.07
NŠ Drava
2.17
Dekani is 0.80 goals worse than Krka in terms of goals conceded per game (1.87 vs 1.07).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DekaniDekani

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D01L00D00D00D01L21W00DH·TAB29/03A·BEL07/04H·TOL14/04A·BRI21/04H·BIL28/04A·RUD04/05H·NAF11/05A·TRI18/05H·TAB10/08A·BIL17/08
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.670.470.730.470.60
vs Stronger (8)0.500.380.750.250.250.50
vs Similar (22)0.450.770.360.910.550.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Krka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KrkaKrka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D02L10W21W11D00D20W01L01LH·FUŽ29/03A·PRI07/04H·TAB12/04A·BEL19/04H·TOL27/04A·BRI04/05H·BIL10/05A·RUD19/05H·SLO09/08H·TOL16/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.630.410.650.620.62
vs Stronger (6)0.330.670.250.500.501.00
vs Similar (24)0.540.620.460.690.640.55
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Dekani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dekani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DekaniDekani

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D11D22D01L20W20W10W02LH·TAB29/03A·BEL07/04H·TOL14/04A·BRI21/04H·BIL28/04A·RUD04/05H·NAF11/05A·TRI18/05H·TAB10/08A·BIL17/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.600.930.530.600.67
vs Stronger (8)0.750.500.750.250.750.75
vs Similar (22)0.770.641.000.640.550.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Krka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KrkaKrka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D12L03L00D01L01L10W30W10W11DH·FUŽ29/03A·PRI07/04H·TAB12/04A·BEL19/04H·TOL27/04A·BRI04/05H·BIL10/05A·RUD19/05H·SLO09/08H·TOL16/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.970.761.120.850.77
vs Stronger (6)0.670.831.000.750.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.831.000.691.231.000.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Dekani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dekani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Krka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.4%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (24)
€4m
BRI (24)
€3m
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
SL (13)
€1m
Dekani and Krka have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (9)
€2m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
SL (2)
€0m
Dekani and Krka have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
SL (3)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
Dekani and Krka have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (10)
€2m
BRI (10)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
SL (8)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
Dekani and Krka have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
DEK wins
1
Draws
1
KRK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dekani vs Krka · H/A from DEK
DateH/AGameScore
11/11/23HDEK Vs Krka3-2
29/08/23AKrka Vs DEK0-1
26/03/23HDEK Vs Krka1-1
09/09/22AKrka Vs DEK1-0

DekaniDekani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/08/24ABilje Vs DEK2-0
10/08/24HDEK Vs Tabor Sežana3-1
18/05/24ATriglav Vs DEK1-2
11/05/24HDEK Vs Nafta2-0
04/05/24ARudar Vs DEK1-0
28/04/24HDEK Vs Bilje2-2
21/04/24ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs DEK2-1
14/04/24HDEK Vs Tolmin0-0
07/04/24ABeltinci Vs DEK1-0
29/03/24HDEK Vs Tabor Sežana0-1

KrkaKrka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/24HKRK Vs Tolmin1-2
09/08/24HKRK Vs Slovan Ljubljana1-1
19/05/24ARudar Vs KRK0-5
10/05/24HKRK Vs Bilje1-0
04/05/24ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs KRK2-1
27/04/24HKRK Vs Tolmin2-2
19/04/24ABeltinci Vs KRK0-1
12/04/24HKRK Vs Tabor Sežana0-5
07/04/24APrimorje Vs KRK2-1
29/03/24HKRK Vs Fužinar0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dekani
Dekani
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWL1.28
HomeLDDWW1.33
AwayLLLWL1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%33%27%
AVG goals2.162.421.92
Over 1.5 %60%67%54%
Over 2.5 %38%42%35%
Over 3.5 %24%33%15%
Scored1.081.250.92
Conceded1.081.171.00
BTTS48%50%46%
Clean Sheet30%29%31%
Corners---
Cards---
Krka
Krka
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDL1.20
HomeLDWDL1.04
AwayLLWLW1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%24%36%
AVG goals2.762.882.64
Over 1.5 %78%76%80%
Over 2.5 %52%60%44%
Over 3.5 %30%32%28%
Scored1.321.241.40
Conceded1.441.641.24
BTTS56%64%48%
Clean Sheet26%20%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AluminijAluminij3064
67%
2.1
5928+31
2.9
83%
60%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.00.9
-
2TriglavTriglav3063
67%
2.1
7233+39
3.5
80%
60%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.41.1
-
3GoricaGorica3059
57%
2.0
6034+26
3.1
83%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.1
-
4Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3055
53%
1.8
5831+27
3.0
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.0
-
5Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3054
47%
1.8
5735+22
3.1
80%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.91.2
-
6BistricaBistrica3051
43%
1.7
6038+22
3.3
83%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.3
-
7DravinjaDravinja3045
43%
1.5
3736+1
2.4
63%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.2
-
8KrkaKrka3038
33%
1.3
2832-4
2.0
63%
37%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.1
-
9Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana3033
27%
1.1
3439-5
2.4
80%
40%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.3
-
10BeltinciBeltinci3033
30%
1.1
4048-8
2.9
87%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.6
-
11BiljeBilje3033
27%
1.1
3545-10
2.7
67%
43%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.21.5
-
12RudarRudar3032
23%
1.1
2744-17
2.4
70%
47%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0100.91.5
-
13DekaniDekani3032
30%
1.1
3256-24
2.9
73%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.9
-
14IlirijaIlirija3026
17%
0.9
2849-21
2.6
67%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.91.6
-
15TolminTolmin3022
20%
0.7
2662-36
2.9
77%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.1
-
16NŠ DravaNŠ Drava3020
17%
0.7
2265-43
2.9
77%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.2
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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