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Dekani vs Rudar Result & Analysis

Date: 09/11/2025
Time: 13:00
Final 1-2
Dekani
Dekani
Vs
32%
26%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rudar
Rudar
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dekani win✗ Miss
31.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rudar win✓ Hit
42.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DekaniDekani

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D31W03L02L02L00D01L11D34L01LA·JES30/08H·ILI06/09H·TAB13/09A·BIS21/09H·NAF27/09A·BIL04/10H·BEL12/10A·BRI17/10H·TRI25/10A·SLO30/10
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.102.101.432.360.811.88
vs Stronger (8)1.253.001.403.601.002.00
vs Similar (21)1.001.761.441.670.671.83
vs Weaker (1)2.002.00--2.002.00
Clean sheet %17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RudarRudar

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D24L03L30W22D00D01L21W11D20WH·BEL30/08A·BRI05/09H·TRI12/09A·SLO21/09A·ILI27/09H·KRK05/10A·DRA11/10H·GOR18/10H·JES31/10A·KRŠ04/11
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.330.801.271.271.40
vs Stronger (9)0.892.331.001.670.673.67
vs Similar (20)1.100.900.621.001.420.83
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Dekani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.4%
Under 1.5
16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.1%
Under 2.5
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.8%
Under 3.5
61.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.7%
No
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
1-2 ✓
9.0%
2-1
7.6%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.2%
0-2
6.2%
0-0
5.3%
1-3
5.1%
Dekani goals ↓
Rudar goals →
01234
05.3%6.2%6.2%3.5%1.5%
15.1%12%9.0%5.1%2.2%
24.5%7.6%6.5%3.7%1.6%
32.2%3.7%3.1%1.8%0.8%
40.8%1.3%1.1%0.6%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dekani goals (down), columns = Rudar goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.50
Nafta
2.50
Triglav
2.13
Beltinci
2.00
Tabor Sežana
1.67
Bistrica
1.50
Rudar
1.23
Dravinja
1.23
Bilje
1.13
Dekani
1.10
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
0.97
Ilirija
0.90
Krško
0.87
Gorica
0.73
Jesenice
0.60
Dekani is 0.13 points worse than Rudar in terms of average points per game (1.10 vs 1.23).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Triglav
2.40
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.33
Nafta
2.17
Beltinci
1.83
Bistrica
1.67
Rudar
1.53
Dekani
1.33
Ilirija
1.27
Tabor Sežana
1.23
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
1.07
Dravinja
1.07
Gorica
1.03
Bilje
0.90
Jesenice
0.87
Krško
0.80
Dekani is 0.20 goals worse than Rudar in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.53).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nafta
0.77
Beltinci
0.83
Brinje-Grosuplje
0.87
Triglav
0.93
Tabor Sežana
1.10
Bistrica
1.20
Rudar
1.30
Dravinja
1.47
Gorica
1.50
Dekani
1.53
Bilje
1.57
Krka
1.70
Ilirija
1.73
Slovan Ljubljana
1.73
Krško
2.07
Jesenice
2.27
Dekani is 0.23 goals worse than Rudar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.30).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DekaniDekani

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W31W01L01L01L00D00D00D31W00DA·JES30/08H·ILI06/09H·TAB13/09A·BIS21/09H·NAF27/09A·BIL04/10H·BEL12/10A·BRI17/10H·TRI25/10A·SLO30/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.870.791.070.500.69
vs Stronger (8)0.751.001.001.200.330.67
vs Similar (21)0.520.860.671.000.420.75
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RudarRudar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L12L02L20W20W00D00D21W00D20WH·BEL30/08A·BRI05/09H·TRI12/09A·SLO21/09A·ILI27/09H·KRK05/10A·DRA11/10H·GOR18/10H·JES31/10A·KRŠ04/11
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.530.400.670.800.40
vs Stronger (9)0.561.110.671.000.331.33
vs Similar (20)0.650.300.250.500.920.17
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Dekani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dekani over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DekaniDekani

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D02L01L01L00D01L11D03L01LA·JES30/08H·ILI06/09H·TAB13/09A·BIS21/09H·NAF27/09A·BIL04/10H·BEL12/10A·BRI17/10H·TRI25/10A·SLO30/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.230.641.290.311.19
vs Stronger (8)0.502.000.402.400.671.33
vs Similar (21)0.480.900.780.670.251.08
vs Weaker (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RudarRudar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W12L01L10W02L00D01L00D11D00DH·BEL30/08A·BRI05/09H·TRI12/09A·SLO21/09A·ILI27/09H·KRK05/10A·DRA11/10H·GOR18/10H·JES31/10A·KRŠ04/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.800.400.600.471.00
vs Stronger (9)0.331.220.330.670.332.33
vs Similar (20)0.450.600.380.500.500.67
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Dekani) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dekani over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dekani over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
JES (13)
€1m
SL (13)
€1m
KRŠ (13)
€1m
Dekani and Rudar have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
JES (5)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
KRŠ (4)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
SL (2)
€0m
Dekani and Rudar have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
SL (3)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
JES (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
KRŠ (1)
€0m
Dekani and Rudar have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
KRŠ (8)
€0m
SL (8)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
JES (6)
€0m
Dekani and Rudar have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
2
DEK wins
3
Draws
1
RUD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dekani vs Rudar · H/A from DEK
DateH/AGameScore
08/05/25ARudar Vs DEK0-0
25/10/24HDEK Vs Rudar2-0
04/05/24ARudar Vs DEK1-0
14/10/23HDEK Vs Rudar4-1
26/11/22ARudar Vs DEK0-0
14/08/22HDEK Vs Rudar1-1

DekaniDekani

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/10/25ASlovan Ljubljana Vs DEK1-0
25/10/25HDEK Vs Triglav3-4
17/10/25ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs DEK1-1
12/10/25HDEK Vs Beltinci0-1
04/10/25ABilje Vs DEK0-0
27/09/25HDEK Vs Nafta0-2
21/09/25ABistrica Vs DEK2-0
13/09/25HDEK Vs Tabor Sežana0-3
06/09/25HDEK Vs Ilirija3-1
30/08/25AJesenice Vs DEK2-2

RudarRudar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/11/25AKrško Vs RUD0-2
31/10/25HRUD Vs Jesenice1-1
18/10/25HRUD Vs Gorica2-1
11/10/25ADravinja Vs RUD1-0
05/10/25HRUD Vs Krka0-0
27/09/25AIlirija Vs RUD2-2
21/09/25ASlovan Ljubljana Vs RUD0-3
12/09/25HRUD Vs Triglav0-3
05/09/25ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs RUD4-2
30/08/25HRUD Vs Beltinci2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dekani
Dekani
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLL1.04
HomeWLLLL1.24
AwayDLDDL0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%36%20%
AVG goals2.743.082.40
Over 1.5 %72%84%60%
Over 2.5 %50%56%44%
Over 3.5 %28%36%20%
Scored1.081.400.76
Conceded1.661.681.64
BTTS50%52%48%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Rudar
Rudar
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWDW1.08
HomeDLDWD1.04
AwayLWDLW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%21%27%
AVG goals2.402.332.46
Over 1.5 %70%67%73%
Over 2.5 %48%54%42%
Over 3.5 %24%25%23%
Scored0.960.831.08
Conceded1.441.501.38
BTTS40%42%38%
Clean Sheet34%33%35%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3075
77%
2.5
7026+44
3.2
83%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.30.9
-
2NaftaNafta3075
77%
2.5
6523+42
2.9
90%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.20.8
-
3TriglavTriglav3064
67%
2.1
7228+44
3.3
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.40.9
-
4BeltinciBeltinci3060
60%
2.0
5525+30
2.7
77%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.80.8
-
5Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3050
50%
1.7
3733+4
2.3
67%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.1
-
6BistricaBistrica3045
43%
1.5
5036+14
2.9
83%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.2
-
7RudarRudar3037
30%
1.2
4639+7
2.8
80%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.51.3
-
8DravinjaDravinja3037
33%
1.2
3244-12
2.5
80%
43%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.5
-
9BiljeBilje3034
30%
1.1
2747-20
2.5
60%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.91.6
-
10DekaniDekani3033
27%
1.1
4046-6
2.9
83%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.5
-
11Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana3032
30%
1.1
3252-20
2.8
77%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.7
-
12KrkaKrka3029
20%
1.0
3251-19
2.8
70%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.7
-
13IlirijaIlirija3027
20%
0.9
3852-14
3.0
87%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.7
-
14KrškoKrško3026
23%
0.9
2462-38
2.9
87%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.82.1
-
15GoricaGorica3022
13%
0.7
3145-14
2.5
73%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
16JeseniceJesenice3018
13%
0.6
2668-42
3.1
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.3
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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