This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Patro Eisden
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.39
1.06
1.67
1.33
1.11
0.78
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
1.36
1.21
1.43
1.43
1.29
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
0.50
2.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
28% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Dender) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
66.0%
Under 1.5
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.9%
Under 2.5
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.2%
Under 3.5
81.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.5%
No
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0 ✓
12.4%
1-0
12.1%
0-1
9.6%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
5.4%
Dender goals ↓
Patro Eisden goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
9.6%
5.4%
1.8%
0.4%
1
12%
15%
6.5%
2.2%
0.5%
2
8.2%
8.1%
4.0%
1.3%
0.3%
3
3.3%
3.3%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
4
1.0%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dender goals (down), columns = Patro Eisden goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Beerschot VA
1.87
Dender
1.80
Lommel United
1.76
Deinze
1.76
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
Patro Eisden
1.59
SK Beveren
1.50
Oostende
1.27
Club Brugge II
1.23
KRC Genk II
1.23
K. Lierse S.K.
1.17
RSC Anderlecht II
1.13
Francs Borains
1.07
Seraing United
0.93
Standard Liège II
0.57
Dender is 0.21 points better than Patro Eisden in terms of average points per game (1.80 vs 1.59).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dender
1.83
Lommel United
1.65
Deinze
1.65
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
KRC Genk II
1.53
Beerschot VA
1.53
SK Beveren
1.47
K. Lierse S.K.
1.47
Club Brugge II
1.33
RSC Anderlecht II
1.30
Patro Eisden
1.28
Francs Borains
1.27
Seraing United
1.10
Oostende
1.07
Standard Liège II
0.83
Dender is 0.55 goals better than Patro Eisden in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 1.28).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Beerschot VA
0.97
Lommel United
1.00
Patro Eisden
1.06
Dender
1.07
Zulte Waregem
1.12
Deinze
1.21
Oostende
1.30
SK Beveren
1.33
Liège
1.37
RSC Anderlecht II
1.57
Club Brugge II
1.63
Seraing United
1.70
Francs Borains
1.73
KRC Genk II
1.73
K. Lierse S.K.
1.97
Standard Liège II
2.00
Dender is 0.00 goals worse than Patro Eisden in terms of goals conceded per game (1.07 vs 1.06).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Beerschot VA
61%
Lommel United
59%
SK Beveren
55%
Club Brugge II
54%
Zulte Waregem
54%
RSC Anderlecht II
51%
KRC Genk II
50%
Deinze
49%
Dender
49%
K. Lierse S.K.
49%
Seraing United
47%
Francs Borains
46%
Standard Liège II
46%
Liège
45%
Oostende
44%
Patro Eisden
41%
Dender is 8.2 percentage points better than Patro Eisden in terms of average possession (49% vs 41%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dender
For 6.1 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.4 · Against 14.3 · Total 29.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Patro Eisden
For 4.1 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 13.6 · Total 28.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dender
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (49)
9.9
10.0
9.9
1.4
1.5
1.4
29.8
30.8
29.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (39)
9.8
10.0
9.6
1.5
1.8
1.2
29.9
30.8
29.0
vs Weaker (10)
10.5
-
10.5
1.2
0.0
2.0
29.5
-
29.5
% over line
58%
60%
57%
22%
21%
24%
92%
100%
86%
% under line
42%
40%
43%
78%
79%
76%
8%
0%
14%
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Patro Eisden
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (18)
8.7
9.4
7.8
3.7
3.8
3.7
28.3
28.9
27.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
8.7
10.0
7.0
3.4
3.6
3.3
28.0
29.4
26.2
vs Weaker (4)
8.8
8.0
9.5
4.8
4.5
5.0
29.0
27.5
30.5
% over line
23%
29%
17%
61%
56%
67%
85%
86%
83%
% under line
77%
71%
83%
39%
44%
33%
15%
14%
17%
This opponent (Dender) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Liège
12.5
Deinze
11.8
K. Lierse S.K.
11.8
Seraing United
11.7
Beerschot VA
11.1
Francs Borains
10.7
SK Beveren
10.6
Standard Liège II
10.6
KRC Genk II
10.5
Club Brugge II
10.4
Zulte Waregem
10.3
Lommel United
10.2
RSC Anderlecht II
10.1
Dender
9.9
Oostende
9.9
Patro Eisden
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
KRC Genk II
6.6
RSC Anderlecht II
6.1
K. Lierse S.K.
6.0
Dender
5.8
Liège
5.7
Seraing United
5.5
Deinze
5.5
Patro Eisden
5.2
Beerschot VA
5.1
Francs Borains
5.1
Standard Liège II
4.9
Oostende
4.8
Club Brugge II
4.8
Lommel United
4.7
SK Beveren
4.2
Zulte Waregem
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dender
29.8
Patro Eisden
28.3
Deinze
27.7
RSC Anderlecht II
27.4
KRC Genk II
26.7
Standard Liège II
26.7
Francs Borains
26.6
Seraing United
26.4
Beerschot VA
26.0
K. Lierse S.K.
24.9
Liège
24.7
SK Beveren
24.6
Oostende
24.4
Club Brugge II
23.9
Zulte Waregem
22.8
Lommel United
22.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
46.3%
Under 9.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
81.7%
Under 3.5
18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
87.0%
Under 21.5
13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dender
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.60
0.64
0.43
0.50
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.42
0.71
0.58
0.42
0.25
1.00
vs Weaker (6)
1.17
0.17
1.00
0.50
1.25
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Patro Eisden
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.61
0.33
0.78
0.44
0.44
0.22
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.64
0.36
0.71
0.43
0.57
0.29
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.25
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Dender) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dender over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dender over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dender over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dender
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.50
0.71
0.50
1.31
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.12
0.54
0.83
0.58
1.42
0.50
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.33
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Patro Eisden) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Patro Eisden
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.78
0.72
0.89
0.89
0.67
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.71
0.86
0.71
1.00
0.71
0.71
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.25
1.50
0.50
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
44% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Dender) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dender over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dender over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dender over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Patro Eisden over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
92.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dender
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bruny Nsimba35%
Ali Akman25%
Arnaud Dony20%
Jordy Soladio19%
Michael Lallemand18%
Desmond Acquah17%
Olivier Myny14%
Kobe Cools12%
Ridwane M'Barki10%
Lennard Hens10%
Stefano Marzo9%
Dylan Ragolle6%
Jasper Van Oudenhove6%
Nicolas Antoine Rajsel5%
Ibrahima Sory Sankhon0%
Nathan Rodes0%
Joedrick Pupe0%
Gilles Ruyssen0%
Xavier Gies0%
Kéres Masangu0%
Fabio Ferraro0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joedrick Pupe38%
Stefano Marzo27%
Olivier Myny27%
Bruny Nsimba26%
Dylan Ragolle25%
Ridwane M'Barki24%
Lennard Hens24%
Gilles Ruyssen17%
Xavier Gies17%
Kobe Cools17%
Jordy Soladio14%
Kéres Masangu11%
Nathan Rodes9%
Fabio Ferraro7%
Nicolas Antoine Rajsel5%
Ibrahima Sory Sankhon0%
Ali Akman0%
Michael Lallemand0%
Jasper Van Oudenhove0%
Arnaud Dony0%
Desmond Acquah0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ridwane M'Barki33%
Lennard Hens33%
Stefano Marzo27%
Nicolas Antoine Rajsel11%
Ali Akman10%
Jordy Soladio10%
Bruny Nsimba9%
Olivier Myny5%
Ibrahima Sory Sankhon0%
Nathan Rodes0%
Joedrick Pupe0%
Dylan Ragolle0%
Michael Lallemand0%
Gilles Ruyssen0%
Xavier Gies0%
Kobe Cools0%
Jasper Van Oudenhove0%
Kéres Masangu0%
Fabio Ferraro0%
Arnaud Dony0%
Desmond Acquah0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bruny Nsimba43%
Lennard Hens33%
Ridwane M'Barki19%
Ali Akman15%
Nicolas Antoine Rajsel11%
Jordy Soladio10%
Gilles Ruyssen6%
Ibrahima Sory Sankhon0%
Nathan Rodes0%
Stefano Marzo0%
Olivier Myny0%
Joedrick Pupe0%
Dylan Ragolle0%
Michael Lallemand0%
Xavier Gies0%
Kobe Cools0%
Jasper Van Oudenhove0%
Kéres Masangu0%
Fabio Ferraro0%
Arnaud Dony0%
Desmond Acquah0%
Patro Eisden
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marius Noubissi27%
Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson22%
Kevin Kis16%
Bafode Dansoko12%
Yacine Bentayeb11%
Lukas Van Eenoo8%
Anis Hadj Moussa8%
Simon Bammens7%
Theo Pierrot7%
Leslie Bamona Lubelu6%
Elisha Sam6%
Stef Peeters5%
Wouter Corstjens4%
Tom Pietermaat0%
Roman Ferber0%
Henk Dijkhuizen0%
Yassin Gueroui0%
Mehdi Bounou0%
Iebe Swers0%
Justin Heekeren0%
Jordan Renson0%
Jordi Belin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Stef Peeters43%
Henk Dijkhuizen33%
Tom Pietermaat30%
Wouter Corstjens26%
Leslie Bamona Lubelu25%
Lukas Van Eenoo23%
Yassin Gueroui23%
Iebe Swers21%
Theo Pierrot21%
Marius Noubissi18%
Mehdi Bounou18%
Kevin Kis16%
Simon Bammens14%
Jordan Renson12%
Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson11%
Justin Heekeren8%
Bafode Dansoko8%
Anis Hadj Moussa8%
Elisha Sam6%
Roman Ferber0%
Yacine Bentayeb0%
Jordi Belin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lukas Van Eenoo23%
Simon Bammens14%
Bafode Dansoko12%
Stef Peeters10%
Marius Noubissi9%
Kevin Kis8%
Leslie Bamona Lubelu6%
Elisha Sam6%
Tom Pietermaat4%
Jordan Renson4%
Roman Ferber0%
Wouter Corstjens0%
Yacine Bentayeb0%
Henk Dijkhuizen0%
Yassin Gueroui0%
Mehdi Bounou0%
Iebe Swers0%
Justin Heekeren0%
Theo Pierrot0%
Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson0%
Jordi Belin0%
Anis Hadj Moussa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Roman Ferber33%
Stef Peeters29%
Bafode Dansoko28%
Lukas Van Eenoo23%
Marius Noubissi18%
Elisha Sam12%
Stefán Ingi Sigurðarson11%
Jordan Renson8%
Anis Hadj Moussa8%
Theo Pierrot7%
Kevin Kis4%
Tom Pietermaat0%
Wouter Corstjens0%
Yacine Bentayeb0%
Henk Dijkhuizen0%
Yassin Gueroui0%
Mehdi Bounou0%
Iebe Swers0%
Simon Bammens0%
Justin Heekeren0%
Leslie Bamona Lubelu0%
Jordi Belin0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (25)
€26m
ZW (27)
€20m
SB (24)
€12m
BV (26)
€9m
DEN (19)
€8m
RAI (19)
€8m
KGI (18)
€7m
PE (25)
€7m
KLS (21)
€5m
FB (22)
€4m
SU (15)
€3m
Dender's squad is €1m more valuable than Patro Eisden's (€8m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZW (10)
€8m
LU (10)
€8m
SB (9)
€4m
BV (13)
€4m
RAI (8)
€3m
KGI (9)
€2m
KLS (7)
€2m
FB (8)
€2m
DEN (4)
€1m
PE (7)
€1m
SU (4)
€1m
Dender and Patro Eisden have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (5)
€15m
ZW (4)
€4m
DEN (6)
€3m
SB (5)
€3m
PE (7)
€2m
KGI (1)
€2m
RAI (3)
€2m
FB (5)
€1m
SU (3)
€1m
KLS (3)
€1m
BV (2)
€0m
Dender's midfield is €1m more valuable than Patro Eisden's (€3m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZW (13)
€9m
BV (11)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
LU (10)
€4m
DEN (9)
€4m
PE (11)
€3m
RAI (8)
€3m
KLS (11)
€3m
KGI (8)
€2m
FB (9)
€2m
SU (8)
€2m
Dender and Patro Eisden have a similar defence value (both €4m).
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Lommel United
Deinze
Beerschot VA
Zulte Waregem
Liège
SK Beveren
Oostende
KRC Genk II
Club Brugge II
K. Lierse S.K.
RSC Anderlecht II
Francs Borains
Seraing United
Standard Liège II