Dender are tipped to win, with a 58% chance of triumph, a 26% chance of a draw and a 17% chance of Seraing United taking the victory. The match is expected to see 2.6 goals on average, with the most probable total of two goals. The single most likely scoreline is 1-0 for the home side, a 12.4% chance of that exact outcome. Dender, playing at home, have been scoring 1.0 goal per game and conceding 1.22 against stronger opposition, while Seraing United, on the road, have scored 1.0 and conceded 1.22 against stronger opponents. The model’s selections include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.5%, Under 7.5 at 99.5%, Away under 3.5 goals at 99.0%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.7%, Under 6.5 at 98.4%, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 95.5%, Under 5.5 at 95.4% and Away under 2.5 goals at 94.9%.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Dender win
57.7%
Avg Implied 58.2% · @ 1.57
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.63
Betano
1.62
Dafabet
1.62
BetVictor
1.60
William Hil
1.60
Draw
25.7%
Avg Implied 23.6% · @ 3.88
Edge
+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.13
Dafabet
4.10
Unibet
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Seraing United win
16.5%
Avg Implied 18.2% · @ 5.02
Edge
-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
5.80
10Bet
5.40
Dafabet
5.20
Superbet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Dender
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.67
1.25
2.00
1.00
1.29
vs Stronger (11)
1.00
1.82
1.12
2.12
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (19)
1.21
1.58
1.38
1.88
1.09
1.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Seraing United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Seraing United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.33
1.38
1.44
1.07
1.21
vs Stronger (22)
1.18
1.50
1.31
1.69
1.00
1.22
vs Similar (8)
1.38
0.88
1.67
0.33
1.20
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Dender) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
73.4%
@ 1.21-3.2%
Under 1.5
26.6%
@ 3.96+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Superbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.20
Pinnacle
4.16
BetVictor
4.10
Unibet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
46.9%
@ 1.71-7.6%
Under 2.5
53.1%
@ 2.05+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
Pinnacle
1.71
Under
Pinnacle
2.14
Bet365
2.08
Marathonbet
2.06
1xBet
2.06
10Bet
2.05
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
25.4%
@ 2.72-8.6%
Under 3.5
74.6%
@ 1.40+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.79
BetVictor
2.75
Unibet
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Under
Pinnacle
1.43
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Both teams to score
Yes
47.3%
@ 1.74-5.7%
No
52.7%
@ 1.97+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Unibet
1.78
Superbet
1.77
Betano
1.75
No
William Hil
2.05
1xBet
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
Betano
1.98
Marathonbet
1.97
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
12.4%@ 6.66+5.9%
1-1
12.2%@ 6.88+5.9%
2-0
11.6%@ 7.17+5.6%
2-1
9.6%@ 7.13+3.5%
0-0
8.9%@ 10.98+5.0%
3-0
6.7%@ 10.68+2.7%
3-1
5.5%@ 10.93+1.6%
0-1
5.3%@ 13.17+2.0%
Dender goals ↓
Seraing United goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.9%
5.3%
2.6%
0.7%
0.1%
1
12%
12%
4.6%
1.3%
0.3%
2
12%
9.6%
3.9%
1.1%
0.2%
3
6.7%
5.5%
2.3%
0.6%
0.1%
4
2.9%
2.4%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dender goals (down), columns = Seraing United goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Beerschot VA
2.00
Dender
1.77
Liège
1.66
Patro Eisden
1.59
AS Eupen
1.47
Lokeren-Temse
1.31
KAA Gent II
1.28
K. Lierse S.K.
1.19
Seraing United
1.13
Francs Borains
1.09
Sporting Hasselt
1.01
RSC Anderlecht II
0.97
KRC Genk II
0.97
Excelsior Virton
0.95
Club Brugge II
0.66
Dender is 0.65 points better than Seraing United in terms of average points per game (1.77 vs 1.13).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dender
1.82
Beerschot VA
1.62
Lokeren-Temse
1.50
RSC Anderlecht II
1.44
Patro Eisden
1.38
Liège
1.38
AS Eupen
1.38
KAA Gent II
1.31
KRC Genk II
1.31
Seraing United
1.19
K. Lierse S.K.
1.09
Sporting Hasselt
1.04
Club Brugge II
1.03
Francs Borains
1.03
Excelsior Virton
0.97
Dender is 0.63 goals better than Seraing United in terms of goals scored per game (1.82 vs 1.19).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Beerschot VA
0.97
Dender
1.09
AS Eupen
1.12
Liège
1.22
Patro Eisden
1.25
K. Lierse S.K.
1.31
Seraing United
1.32
Lokeren-Temse
1.41
Francs Borains
1.47
KAA Gent II
1.59
Club Brugge II
1.72
RSC Anderlecht II
1.72
KRC Genk II
1.84
Sporting Hasselt
1.92
Excelsior Virton
2.05
Dender is 0.23 goals better than Seraing United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.09 vs 1.32).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
KAA Gent II
57%
Club Brugge II
56%
Lokeren-Temse
54%
Beerschot VA
53%
RSC Anderlecht II
52%
KRC Genk II
52%
AS Eupen
51%
K. Lierse S.K.
47%
Francs Borains
45%
Liège
44%
Seraing United
41%
Patro Eisden
38%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dender
For 5.1 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.2 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 8.6 · Total 22.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Seraing United
For 4.6 · Against 3.4 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 10.5 · Total 23.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dender
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
8.8
10.4
3.1
2.6
3.6
21.8
21.5
22.0
vs Stronger (21)
9.3
9.0
9.5
2.8
2.2
3.5
20.9
19.3
22.3
vs Similar (28)
9.9
8.6
11.2
3.4
3.1
3.7
22.4
23.1
21.8
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
% over line
47%
32%
61%
42%
38%
46%
51%
50%
52%
% under line
53%
68%
39%
58%
62%
54%
49%
50%
48%
This opponent (Seraing United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Seraing United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
9.5
7.8
3.5
3.5
3.5
25.7
27.1
24.4
vs Stronger (38)
8.8
10.2
7.6
3.5
3.1
4.0
26.5
28.0
25.1
vs Similar (12)
8.1
8.0
8.2
3.2
4.7
1.8
23.7
24.8
22.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
41%
59%
24%
50%
50%
50%
82%
82%
82%
% under line
59%
41%
76%
50%
50%
50%
18%
18%
18%
This opponent (Dender) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lokeren-Temse
10.9
Liège
10.5
Beerschot VA
10.3
KRC Genk II
10.2
RSC Anderlecht II
9.9
Francs Borains
9.7
Dender
9.7
AS Eupen
9.5
KAA Gent II
9.5
Club Brugge II
9.3
K. Lierse S.K.
9.1
Seraing United
9.1
Excelsior Virton
9.0
Patro Eisden
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Lokeren-Temse
5.9
K. Lierse S.K.
5.8
Patro Eisden
5.6
Francs Borains
5.5
Seraing United
5.1
Beerschot VA
4.8
AS Eupen
4.7
RSC Anderlecht II
4.6
Liège
4.6
Club Brugge II
4.4
KAA Gent II
4.0
KRC Genk II
3.7
Dender
3.4
Excelsior Virton
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lokeren-Temse
28.5
Patro Eisden
28.4
K. Lierse S.K.
27.7
RSC Anderlecht II
27.2
Club Brugge II
27.1
Francs Borains
26.7
KAA Gent II
26.3
AS Eupen
25.8
Seraing United
25.7
KRC Genk II
25.4
Liège
24.9
Beerschot VA
24.5
Dender
21.3
Excelsior Virton
13.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
37.5%
@ 1.99-9.3%
Under 9.5
62.5%
@ 1.75+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.10
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.06
Unibet
1.71
Under
Unibet
1.98
1xBet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.67
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
61.7%
Under 3.5
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
75.8%
Under 21.5
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dender or Draw
83.5%
Avg Implied 81.7% · @ 1.13
Edge
+1.8%
58%
26%
17%
covers Dender + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Dender or Seraing United
74.3%
Avg Implied 77.0% · @ 1.20
Edge
-2.7%
58%
26%
17%
covers Dender + Seraing United
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
Unibet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Draw or Seraing United
42.3%
Avg Implied 41.3% · @ 2.23
Edge
+0.9%
58%
26%
17%
covers Draw + Seraing United
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.30
10Bet
2.30
Betfair
2.30
Unibet
2.28
Bet365
2.25
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dender over/under 0.5
Over
82.2%
@ 1.11-1.2%
Under
17.8%
@ 5.61+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Under
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.55
Superbet
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Dender over/under 1.5
Over
51.5%
@ 1.62-5.8%
Under
48.5%
@ 2.18+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
Marathonbet
1.62
Betfair
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Under
Unibet
2.23
Pinnacle
2.21
Bet365
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Dender over/under 2.5
Over
25.0%
@ 2.93-6.5%
Under
75.0%
@ 1.35+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.10
Bet365
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Betano
2.92
Under
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Unibet
1.34
Dender over/under 3.5
Over
9.7%
@ 5.95-5.9%
Under
90.3%
@ 1.10+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
Betano
5.70
1xBet
5.60
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Seraing United over/under 0.5
Over
56.1%
@ 1.51-5.0%
Under
43.9%
@ 2.38+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.55
Superbet
1.54
Betano
1.53
Betfair
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Under
Pinnacle
2.66
BetVictor
2.40
Betano
2.40
Betfair
2.38
Marathonbet
2.38
Seraing United over/under 1.5
Over
20.0%
@ 3.55-6.1%
Under
80.0%
@ 1.25+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Unibet
3.70
Superbet
3.55
10Bet
3.55
Under
Betano
1.29
Pinnacle
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Seraing United over/under 2.5
Over
5.1%
@ 9.18-5.0%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.03+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
9.50
Superbet
9.40
1xBet
8.60
Marathonbet
8.60
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Seraing United over/under 3.5
Over
1.0%
@ 34.00-99.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
34.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Dender, so a minus line means Dender give that many goals of a start and Seraing United receive them. At -1, Dender must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dender win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dender)
Dender -2
15.0%
@ 4.75-3.8%
Draw -2
18.2%
@ 4.49-1.7%
Seraing United +2
66.8%
@ 1.46+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.65
Unibet
4.35
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.10
Away
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.49
10Bet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Marathonbet
1.42
Handicap -1 (Dender)
Dender -1
33.2%
@ 2.47-2.6%
Draw -1
24.5%
@ 3.49-0.8%
Seraing United +1
42.3%
@ 2.28+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Betfair
2.50
Marathonbet
2.49
Unibet
2.33
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
10Bet
3.40
Unibet
3.40
Away
Unibet
2.38
10Bet
2.30
Betfair
2.30
Bet365
2.25
Marathonbet
2.16
Handicap +1 (Dender)
Dender +1
83.5%
@ 1.12+5.5%
Draw +1
11.1%
@ 6.38-2.6%
Seraing United -1
5.4%
@ 10.43-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
Unibet
1.11
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Unibet
7.00
Marathonbet
4.65
Away
Bet365
13.00
Unibet
11.50
Marathonbet
6.80
Handicap +2 (Dender)
Dender +2
94.6%
@ 1.04+3.0%
Draw +2
4.1%
@ 17.00-1.5%
Seraing United -2
1.3%
@ 34.00-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Draw
Bet365
17.00
Away
Bet365
34.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dender
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.77
0.88
0.88
0.36
0.64
vs Stronger (11)
0.64
0.91
0.88
1.25
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (19)
0.63
0.68
0.88
0.50
0.45
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Seraing United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Seraing United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.63
0.56
0.75
0.29
0.50
vs Stronger (22)
0.36
0.82
0.38
0.92
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (8)
0.62
0.12
1.33
0.00
0.20
0.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Dender) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
75.3%
@ 1.31+4.8%
Under 0.5
24.7%
@ 3.14-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Betfair
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Under
BetVictor
3.25
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Superbet
3.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
36.7%
@ 2.46-0.9%
Under 1.5
63.3%
@ 1.48+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Pinnacle
2.58
Betano
2.57
Bet365
2.50
10Bet
2.45
Under
BetVictor
1.50
Superbet
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.2%
@ 5.81-1.8%
Under 2.5
85.8%
@ 1.10+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
Betfair
6.00
William Hil
5.80
Superbet
5.50
Under
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
William Hil
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dender over/under 0.5 HT
Over
55.9%
@ 1.61-1.6%
Under
44.1%
@ 2.18+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
Superbet
1.60
10Bet
1.60
Under
Pinnacle
2.24
Unibet
2.23
Superbet
2.20
10Bet
2.20
1xBet
2.16
Dender over/under 1.5 HT
Over
22.2%
@ 3.97-1.1%
Under
77.8%
@ 1.20+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
4.00
1xBet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.98
10Bet
3.90
Under
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
Dender over/under 2.5 HT
Over
5.8%
@ 9.38-4.1%
Under
94.2%
@ 1.03+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
Seraing United over/under 0.5 HT
Over
31.0%
@ 2.62-4.2%
Under
69.0%
@ 1.43+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.71
10Bet
2.70
Unibet
2.70
Superbet
2.65
Betano
2.62
Under
1xBet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
Betano
1.44
Superbet
1.42
Seraing United over/under 1.5 HT
Over
4.4%
@ 8.97-5.9%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.03+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
9.50
Marathonbet
9.30
1xBet
9.20
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
Seraing United over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.5%
Under
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dender
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.90
0.38
1.12
0.64
0.64
vs Stronger (11)
0.36
0.91
0.25
0.88
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.89
0.50
1.38
0.64
0.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Seraing United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Seraing United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.70
0.81
0.69
0.79
0.71
vs Stronger (22)
0.82
0.68
0.92
0.77
0.67
0.56
vs Similar (8)
0.75
0.75
0.33
0.33
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Dender) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
81.2%
@ 1.19+3.5%
Under 0.5
18.8%
@ 4.13-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Under
10Bet
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.15
Marathonbet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
50.2%
@ 1.91+1.9%
Under 1.5
49.8%
@ 1.79-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.00
Superbet
1.92
Unibet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.91
1xBet
1.91
Under
10Bet
1.85
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.79
1xBet
1.79
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.1%
@ 3.81-5.1%
Under 2.5
80.9%
@ 1.21+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.74
1xBet
3.74
Under
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.19
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dender over/under 0.5 2H
Over
72.1%
@ 1.42+6.9%
Under
27.9%
@ 2.65-6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.43
Superbet
1.43
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.40
Under
10Bet
2.75
Betano
2.65
Superbet
2.62
1xBet
2.60
Dender over/under 1.5 2H
Over
31.9%
@ 2.95+0.6%
Under
68.1%
@ 1.34-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.98
10Bet
2.95
Betano
2.87
Under
Betano
1.37
10Bet
1.35
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Dender over/under 2.5 2H
Over
10.1%
@ 7.07-3.0%
Under
89.9%
@ 1.06+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.90
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.30
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Seraing United over/under 0.5 2H
Over
38.8%
@ 2.14-4.5%
Under
61.2%
@ 1.63+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.14
Betano
2.12
10Bet
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Under
10Bet
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Seraing United over/under 1.5 2H
Over
6.7%
@ 6.72-7.0%
Under
93.3%
@ 1.07+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.10
10Bet
7.00
1xBet
6.80
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
Seraing United over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.0%
@ 11.00-7.5%
Under
99.0%
@ 1.01+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
99.0%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+7.5%
Away under 3.5 goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+3.7%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
95.6%
1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
-
+5.9%
Under 5.5
95.4%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
BetVictor
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
+5.3%
Away under 2.5 goals
94.9%
1.03
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
+5.0%
Home +2 handicap
94.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+3.0%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.2%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
-
-
-
+4.1%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
93.3%
1.07
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
-
+7.0%
Home under 3.5 goals
90.3%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
1xBet
1.09
-
+5.9%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
89.9%
1.06
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
-
-
+3.0%
Under 4.5
88.4%
1.14
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
+6.7%
Over 19.5 fouls
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.8%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
William Hil
1.11
+1.8%
Home or Draw
83.5%
1.13
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
+1.8%
Home +1 handicap
83.5%
1.12
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
Unibet
1.11
-
-
+5.5%
Under 11.5 corners
83.0%
1.28
Unibet
1.38
1xBet
1.18
-
-
-
+11.3%
Home over 0.5 goals
82.2%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
Superbet
1.11
-1.2%
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.2%
1.19
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
+3.5%
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.9%
1.21
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.19
+5.1%
Away under 1.5 goals
80.0%
1.25
Betano
1.29
Pinnacle
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Superbet
1.25
+6.1%
Over 2.5 cards
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
77.8%
1.20
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
-
+1.1%
Over 21.5 fouls
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
75.3%
1.31
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Betfair
1.30
William Hil
1.30
+4.8%
Home under 2.5 goals
75.0%
1.35
Betano
1.37
Superbet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Unibet
1.34
+6.5%
Under 3.5
74.6%
1.40
Pinnacle
1.43
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Bet365
1.40
Betfair
1.40
+8.6%
Home or Away
74.3%
1.20
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.23
Unibet
1.20
10Bet
1.20
-2.7%
Under 5.5 cards
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 10.5 corners
73.9%
1.46
Unibet
1.62
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.38
-
-
+10.6%
Over 1.5
73.4%
1.21
Betano
1.24
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.22
Superbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
-3.2%
Home over 0.5 2H goals
72.1%
1.42
1xBet
1.43
Superbet
1.43
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.40
-
+6.9%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dender · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bruny Nsimba30%
David Toshevski15%
Roman Kvet15%
David Hrnčár11%
Mohamed Berte10%
Jordan Attah Kadiri8%
Desmond Acquah8%
Noah Mbamba6%
Ragnar Oratmangoen6%
Alireza Jahanbakhsh5%
Bryan Goncalves4%
Fabio Ferraro3%
Malcolm Viltard3%
Luc Marijnissen3%
Nathan Rodes0%
Michael Verrips0%
Guillaume Dietsch0%
Gauthier Gallon0%
Aurélien Scheidler0%
Joedrick Pupe0%
Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni0%
Kobe Cools0%
Dion Moise Sahi0%
Luc De Fougerolles0%
Krzysztof Koton0%
Benjamin Fredrick0%
Nail Moutha-Sebtaoui0%
Bo De Kerf0%
Amine Daali0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aurélien Scheidler25%
Joedrick Pupe25%
Nail Moutha-Sebtaoui25%
Alireza Jahanbakhsh24%
Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni23%
Luc De Fougerolles21%
Malcolm Viltard19%
David Toshevski19%
Luc Marijnissen19%
Bryan Goncalves18%
Fabio Ferraro17%
Jordan Attah Kadiri15%
Roman Kvet15%
Benjamin Fredrick14%
Amine Daali14%
Noah Mbamba11%
Kobe Cools11%
Bruny Nsimba10%
Bo De Kerf10%
Desmond Acquah8%
Krzysztof Koton8%
Guillaume Dietsch7%
Gauthier Gallon7%
Mohamed Berte7%
Ragnar Oratmangoen6%
David Hrnčár6%
Nathan Rodes3%
Michael Verrips0%
Dion Moise Sahi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Amine Daali14%
Bruny Nsimba13%
Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni13%
Fabio Ferraro10%
Desmond Acquah8%
Bryan Goncalves7%
Noah Mbamba6%
Alireza Jahanbakhsh5%
Luc De Fougerolles4%
Mohamed Berte3%
Malcolm Viltard3%
Nathan Rodes0%
Michael Verrips0%
Guillaume Dietsch0%
Gauthier Gallon0%
Aurélien Scheidler0%
Joedrick Pupe0%
Ragnar Oratmangoen0%
Roman Kvet0%
David Hrnčár0%
Jordan Attah Kadiri0%
Kobe Cools0%
David Toshevski0%
Luc Marijnissen0%
Dion Moise Sahi0%
Krzysztof Koton0%
Benjamin Fredrick0%
Nail Moutha-Sebtaoui0%
Bo De Kerf0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aurélien Scheidler25%
Bruny Nsimba17%
Jordan Attah Kadiri15%
Mohamed Berte10%
Alireza Jahanbakhsh10%
Roman Kvet9%
David Hrnčár6%
David Toshevski4%
Fabio Ferraro3%
Nathan Rodes3%
Michael Verrips0%
Guillaume Dietsch0%
Gauthier Gallon0%
Joedrick Pupe0%
Ragnar Oratmangoen0%
Bryan Goncalves0%
Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni0%
Kobe Cools0%
Malcolm Viltard0%
Luc Marijnissen0%
Noah Mbamba0%
Dion Moise Sahi0%
Luc De Fougerolles0%
Desmond Acquah0%
Krzysztof Koton0%
Benjamin Fredrick0%
Nail Moutha-Sebtaoui0%
Bo De Kerf0%
Amine Daali0%
Seraing United · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Akpa Chukwu Hemsley38%
Valerio Di Crescenzo33%
Abdoulaye Ba24%
Fostave Mabani20%
Edouard Soumah-Abbad19%
Matthieu Muland11%
Nabil Bouchentouf10%
Noah Solheid5%
Nick Gillekens0%
Bassim Boukteb0%
Kevin Bukusu0%
Thierno Gaye0%
Cheikhou Ndiaye0%
Hady Camara0%
Oussmane Kebe0%
Thiago Paulo da Silva0%
Wassim Bahri0%
Djibril Diarra0%
Harrison Ondo-Eyi0%
Serigne Faye0%
Matteo Scarpinati0%
Emmanuel Tshimbalanga0%
Tom Lockman0%
Diego Duarte0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matteo Scarpinati48%
Bassim Boukteb45%
Edouard Soumah-Abbad33%
Thiago Paulo da Silva31%
Fostave Mabani30%
Emmanuel Tshimbalanga26%
Djibril Diarra23%
Oussmane Kebe22%
Matthieu Muland21%
Harrison Ondo-Eyi20%
Tom Lockman18%
Noah Solheid14%
Hady Camara12%
Cheikhou Ndiaye11%
Akpa Chukwu Hemsley10%
Serigne Faye9%
Thierno Gaye8%
Nick Gillekens5%
Kevin Bukusu0%
Wassim Bahri0%
Nabil Bouchentouf0%
Abdoulaye Ba0%
Valerio Di Crescenzo0%
Diego Duarte0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matthieu Muland21%
Fostave Mabani20%
Emmanuel Tshimbalanga16%
Edouard Soumah-Abbad10%
Akpa Chukwu Hemsley10%
Abdoulaye Ba10%
Bassim Boukteb9%
Thierno Gaye8%
Nick Gillekens0%
Kevin Bukusu0%
Cheikhou Ndiaye0%
Hady Camara0%
Oussmane Kebe0%
Noah Solheid0%
Thiago Paulo da Silva0%
Wassim Bahri0%
Djibril Diarra0%
Nabil Bouchentouf0%
Harrison Ondo-Eyi0%
Serigne Faye0%
Matteo Scarpinati0%
Tom Lockman0%
Valerio Di Crescenzo0%
Diego Duarte0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Edouard Soumah-Abbad24%
Akpa Chukwu Hemsley24%
Matthieu Muland21%
Abdoulaye Ba10%
Thierno Gaye8%
Nick Gillekens0%
Bassim Boukteb0%
Kevin Bukusu0%
Cheikhou Ndiaye0%
Hady Camara0%
Fostave Mabani0%
Oussmane Kebe0%
Noah Solheid0%
Thiago Paulo da Silva0%
Wassim Bahri0%
Djibril Diarra0%
Nabil Bouchentouf0%
Harrison Ondo-Eyi0%
Serigne Faye0%
Matteo Scarpinati0%
Emmanuel Tshimbalanga0%
Tom Lockman0%
Valerio Di Crescenzo0%
Diego Duarte0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AE (26)
€12m
BV (26)
€9m
DEN (19)
€8m
RAI (19)
€8m
KGI (18)
€7m
PE (25)
€7m
KGI (19)
€6m
KLS (21)
€5m
LOK (16)
€5m
FB (22)
€4m
SU (15)
€3m
SH (8)
€2m
EV (11)
€2m
Dender's squad is €5m more valuable than Seraing United's (€8m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AE (9)
€7m
BV (13)
€4m
RAI (8)
€3m
KGI (9)
€2m
KGI (7)
€2m
LOK (5)
€2m
KLS (7)
€2m
FB (8)
€2m
DEN (4)
€1m
PE (7)
€1m
SU (4)
€1m
EV (4)
€1m
SH (4)
€1m
Dender and Seraing United have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DEN (6)
€3m
PE (7)
€2m
AE (9)
€2m
KGI (1)
€2m
RAI (3)
€2m
KGI (4)
€1m
FB (5)
€1m
LOK (3)
€1m
SU (3)
€1m
KLS (3)
€1m
BV (2)
€0m
SH (1)
€0m
EV (1)
€0m
Dender's midfield is €3m more valuable than Seraing United's (€3m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BV (11)
€5m
DEN (9)
€4m
PE (11)
€3m
RAI (8)
€3m
AE (8)
€3m
KLS (11)
€3m
KGI (8)
€3m
KGI (8)
€2m
LOK (8)
€2m
FB (9)
€2m
SU (8)
€2m
SH (3)
€1m
EV (6)
€1m
Dender's defence is €2m more valuable than Seraing United's (€4m vs €2m).
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Beerschot VA
Excelsior Virton
Club Brugge II
Lokeren-Temse
Francs Borains
Sporting Hasselt
K. Lierse S.K.
AS Eupen
Liège
Patro Eisden
KRC Genk II
KAA Gent II
RSC Anderlecht II