This opponent (Zulte Waregem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zulte Waregem
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.20
0.87
1.53
2.47
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
1.42
1.11
0.90
1.60
2.00
0.56
vs Weaker (11)
2.09
1.36
0.80
1.40
3.17
1.33
Clean sheet %
27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Dender) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.1%
Under 1.5
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.0%
Under 2.5
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.1%
Under 3.5
72.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.6%
No
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.7%
0-0
8.4%
2-1
7.6%
1-0
7.6%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
5.4%
Dender goals ↓
Zulte Waregem goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.4%
8.9%
7.1%
3.3%
1.2%
1
7.6%
14%
8.7%
4.1%
1.4%
2
5.4%
7.6%
5.3%
2.5%
0.9%
3
2.2%
3.1%
2.2%
1.0%
0.4%
4
0.7%
1.0%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dender goals (down), columns = Zulte Waregem goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Beerschot VA
1.87
Dender
1.80
Lommel United
1.76
Deinze
1.76
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
Patro Eisden
1.59
SK Beveren
1.50
Oostende
1.27
Club Brugge II
1.23
KRC Genk II
1.23
K. Lierse S.K.
1.17
RSC Anderlecht II
1.13
Francs Borains
1.07
Seraing United
0.93
Standard Liège II
0.57
Dender is 0.18 points better than Zulte Waregem in terms of average points per game (1.80 vs 1.62).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dender
1.83
Lommel United
1.65
Deinze
1.65
Liège
1.63
Zulte Waregem
1.62
KRC Genk II
1.53
Beerschot VA
1.53
SK Beveren
1.47
K. Lierse S.K.
1.47
Club Brugge II
1.33
RSC Anderlecht II
1.30
Patro Eisden
1.28
Francs Borains
1.27
Seraing United
1.10
Oostende
1.07
Standard Liège II
0.83
Dender is 0.21 goals better than Zulte Waregem in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 1.62).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Beerschot VA
0.97
Lommel United
1.00
Patro Eisden
1.06
Dender
1.07
Zulte Waregem
1.12
Deinze
1.21
Oostende
1.30
SK Beveren
1.33
Liège
1.37
RSC Anderlecht II
1.57
Club Brugge II
1.63
Seraing United
1.70
Francs Borains
1.73
KRC Genk II
1.73
K. Lierse S.K.
1.97
Standard Liège II
2.00
Dender is 0.06 goals better than Zulte Waregem in terms of goals conceded per game (1.07 vs 1.12).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Beerschot VA
61%
Lommel United
59%
SK Beveren
55%
Club Brugge II
54%
Zulte Waregem
54%
RSC Anderlecht II
51%
KRC Genk II
50%
Deinze
49%
Dender
49%
K. Lierse S.K.
49%
Seraing United
47%
Francs Borains
46%
Standard Liège II
46%
Liège
45%
Oostende
44%
Patro Eisden
41%
Dender is 4.6 percentage points worse than Zulte Waregem in terms of average possession (49% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dender
For 5.5 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 12.0 · Total 25.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Zulte Waregem
For 5.9 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 11.3 · Total 24.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dender
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.8
9.3
2.3
2.0
2.7
27.7
27.4
28.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (40)
9.3
9.6
9.1
2.5
2.2
2.7
27.7
27.7
27.7
vs Weaker (10)
10.8
11.0
10.5
1.6
0.8
2.4
27.8
26.0
29.5
% over line
43%
45%
42%
32%
23%
42%
83%
82%
83%
% under line
57%
55%
58%
68%
77%
58%
17%
18%
17%
This opponent (Zulte Waregem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zulte Waregem
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.9
10.2
2.3
2.4
2.1
25.0
23.9
26.2
vs Stronger (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
9.8
8.8
11.0
2.3
2.8
1.9
24.5
24.5
24.6
vs Weaker (17)
11.5
14.4
9.2
2.9
2.6
3.2
25.7
23.0
28.0
% over line
62%
62%
62%
42%
46%
38%
77%
77%
77%
% under line
38%
38%
38%
58%
54%
62%
23%
23%
23%
This opponent (Dender) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Standard Liège II
12.4
Liège
11.9
Beerschot VA
11.6
Seraing United
11.6
Deinze
11.2
KRC Genk II
10.8
K. Lierse S.K.
10.7
SK Beveren
10.7
Francs Borains
10.7
Lommel United
10.2
Zulte Waregem
10.1
RSC Anderlecht II
9.9
Club Brugge II
9.8
Oostende
9.7
Dender
9.6
Patro Eisden
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
KRC Genk II
6.4
Francs Borains
5.6
Seraing United
5.5
Standard Liège II
5.5
Liège
5.5
Patro Eisden
5.3
Beerschot VA
5.2
RSC Anderlecht II
5.2
K. Lierse S.K.
5.2
Lommel United
5.0
Deinze
5.0
Dender
5.0
Oostende
4.9
SK Beveren
4.3
Club Brugge II
4.2
Zulte Waregem
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dender
27.7
KRC Genk II
27.4
Francs Borains
26.9
Patro Eisden
26.4
Seraing United
26.3
Deinze
26.1
Standard Liège II
25.8
Beerschot VA
25.4
K. Lierse S.K.
25.3
RSC Anderlecht II
25.3
Oostende
25.2
SK Beveren
24.4
Liège
24.3
Club Brugge II
23.1
Zulte Waregem
23.0
Lommel United
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
53.1%
Under 9.5
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
64.9%
Under 3.5
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
76.0%
Under 21.5
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dender
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.53
0.93
0.33
0.53
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.50
0.62
0.77
0.38
0.23
0.85
vs Weaker (4)
2.25
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Zulte Waregem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zulte Waregem
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.63
0.27
0.87
0.93
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.63
0.58
0.40
0.80
0.89
0.33
vs Weaker (11)
0.55
0.73
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Dender) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dender over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dender over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dender over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zulte Waregem over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zulte Waregem over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zulte Waregem over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dender
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.53
1.00
0.60
1.20
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.00
0.50
0.77
0.54
1.23
0.46
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
0.75
2.50
1.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Zulte Waregem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zulte Waregem
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.57
0.60
0.67
1.53
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.79
0.53
0.50
0.80
1.11
0.22
vs Weaker (11)
1.55
0.64
0.80
0.40
2.17
0.83
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Dender) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dender over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dender over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dender over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zulte Waregem over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zulte Waregem over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zulte Waregem over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dender
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bruny Nsimba35%
Ali Akman25%
Arnaud Dony20%
Jordy Soladio19%
Michael Lallemand18%
Desmond Acquah17%
Olivier Myny14%
Kobe Cools12%
Ridwane M'Barki10%
Lennard Hens10%
Stefano Marzo9%
Dylan Ragolle6%
Jasper Van Oudenhove6%
Nicolas Antoine Rajsel5%
Ibrahima Sory Sankhon0%
Nathan Rodes0%
Joedrick Pupe0%
Gilles Ruyssen0%
Xavier Gies0%
Kéres Masangu0%
Fabio Ferraro0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joedrick Pupe38%
Stefano Marzo27%
Olivier Myny27%
Bruny Nsimba26%
Dylan Ragolle25%
Ridwane M'Barki24%
Lennard Hens24%
Gilles Ruyssen17%
Xavier Gies17%
Kobe Cools17%
Jordy Soladio14%
Kéres Masangu11%
Nathan Rodes9%
Fabio Ferraro7%
Nicolas Antoine Rajsel5%
Ibrahima Sory Sankhon0%
Ali Akman0%
Michael Lallemand0%
Jasper Van Oudenhove0%
Arnaud Dony0%
Desmond Acquah0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ridwane M'Barki33%
Lennard Hens33%
Stefano Marzo27%
Nicolas Antoine Rajsel11%
Ali Akman10%
Jordy Soladio10%
Bruny Nsimba9%
Olivier Myny5%
Ibrahima Sory Sankhon0%
Nathan Rodes0%
Joedrick Pupe0%
Dylan Ragolle0%
Michael Lallemand0%
Gilles Ruyssen0%
Xavier Gies0%
Kobe Cools0%
Jasper Van Oudenhove0%
Kéres Masangu0%
Fabio Ferraro0%
Arnaud Dony0%
Desmond Acquah0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bruny Nsimba43%
Lennard Hens33%
Ridwane M'Barki19%
Ali Akman15%
Nicolas Antoine Rajsel11%
Jordy Soladio10%
Gilles Ruyssen6%
Ibrahima Sory Sankhon0%
Nathan Rodes0%
Stefano Marzo0%
Olivier Myny0%
Joedrick Pupe0%
Dylan Ragolle0%
Michael Lallemand0%
Xavier Gies0%
Kobe Cools0%
Jasper Van Oudenhove0%
Kéres Masangu0%
Fabio Ferraro0%
Arnaud Dony0%
Desmond Acquah0%
Zulte Waregem
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jelle Vossen38%
Yannick Cappelle33%
Zinho Gano30%
Pape Diop25%
Matheus Machado Ferreira21%
Andres Labie17%
Alioune Ndour14%
Abdoulaye Traore12%
Ruud Vormer11%
Tochukwu Nadi9%
Stavros Gavriel8%
Robbe Decostere7%
Dylan Demuynck7%
Nicolas Rommens6%
Modou Tambedou6%
Alessandro Ciranni5%
Rubin Seigers0%
Timothy Derijck0%
Louis Bostyn0%
Ortwin De Wolf0%
Christian Brüls0%
Anton Tanghe0%
Joel Bagan0%
Kevor Palumets0%
Lukas Willen0%
Mohamed Guindo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tochukwu Nadi45%
Stavros Gavriel25%
Ruud Vormer21%
Joel Bagan20%
Modou Tambedou17%
Andres Labie17%
Robbe Decostere13%
Dylan Demuynck13%
Matheus Machado Ferreira12%
Abdoulaye Traore12%
Rubin Seigers11%
Alessandro Ciranni11%
Jelle Vossen10%
Alioune Ndour10%
Anton Tanghe8%
Lukas Willen8%
Nicolas Rommens6%
Christian Brüls5%
Zinho Gano0%
Timothy Derijck0%
Louis Bostyn0%
Ortwin De Wolf0%
Kevor Palumets0%
Pape Diop0%
Mohamed Guindo0%
Yannick Cappelle0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pape Diop25%
Zinho Gano20%
Abdoulaye Traore20%
Stavros Gavriel17%
Matheus Machado Ferreira12%
Ruud Vormer11%
Alessandro Ciranni11%
Jelle Vossen10%
Tochukwu Nadi9%
Anton Tanghe8%
Robbe Decostere7%
Joel Bagan7%
Dylan Demuynck7%
Modou Tambedou6%
Christian Brüls5%
Alioune Ndour5%
Lukas Willen4%
Rubin Seigers0%
Timothy Derijck0%
Louis Bostyn0%
Ortwin De Wolf0%
Nicolas Rommens0%
Kevor Palumets0%
Mohamed Guindo0%
Andres Labie0%
Yannick Cappelle0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jelle Vossen52%
Zinho Gano40%
Abdoulaye Traore36%
Stavros Gavriel25%
Alioune Ndour19%
Nicolas Rommens6%
Matheus Machado Ferreira4%
Ruud Vormer0%
Rubin Seigers0%
Timothy Derijck0%
Louis Bostyn0%
Robbe Decostere0%
Ortwin De Wolf0%
Christian Brüls0%
Alessandro Ciranni0%
Anton Tanghe0%
Joel Bagan0%
Kevor Palumets0%
Lukas Willen0%
Pape Diop0%
Tochukwu Nadi0%
Modou Tambedou0%
Dylan Demuynck0%
Mohamed Guindo0%
Andres Labie0%
Yannick Cappelle0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (25)
€26m
ZW (27)
€20m
SB (24)
€12m
BV (26)
€9m
DEN (19)
€8m
RAI (19)
€8m
KGI (18)
€7m
PE (25)
€7m
KLS (21)
€5m
FB (22)
€4m
SU (15)
€3m
Dender's squad is €12m less valuable than Zulte Waregem's (€8m vs €20m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZW (10)
€8m
LU (10)
€8m
SB (9)
€4m
BV (13)
€4m
RAI (8)
€3m
KGI (9)
€2m
KLS (7)
€2m
FB (8)
€2m
DEN (4)
€1m
PE (7)
€1m
SU (4)
€1m
Dender's attack is €6m less valuable than Zulte Waregem's (€1m vs €8m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (5)
€15m
ZW (4)
€4m
DEN (6)
€3m
SB (5)
€3m
PE (7)
€2m
KGI (1)
€2m
RAI (3)
€2m
FB (5)
€1m
SU (3)
€1m
KLS (3)
€1m
BV (2)
€0m
Dender and Zulte Waregem have a similar midfield value (both €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZW (13)
€9m
BV (11)
€5m
SB (10)
€5m
LU (10)
€4m
DEN (9)
€4m
PE (11)
€3m
RAI (8)
€3m
KLS (11)
€3m
KGI (8)
€2m
FB (9)
€2m
SU (8)
€2m
Dender's defence is €5m less valuable than Zulte Waregem's (€4m vs €9m).
Belgium: Challenger Pro League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belgium: Challenger Pro League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Lommel United
Deinze
Beerschot VA
Patro Eisden
Liège
SK Beveren
Oostende
KRC Genk II
Club Brugge II
K. Lierse S.K.
RSC Anderlecht II
Francs Borains
Seraing United
Standard Liège II