This opponent (Atletico Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Atletico Madrid
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.13
1.13
2.86
0.79
1.50
1.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
2.29
2.29
3.33
1.33
1.50
3.00
vs Weaker (23)
2.09
0.78
2.73
0.64
1.50
0.92
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Deportivo La Coruna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
84.4%
Under 1.5
15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
63.4%
Under 2.5
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.2%
Under 3.5
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.2%
No
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
13.0%
0-3
11.3%
0-1 ✓
9.3%
1-2
8.5%
1-3
7.4%
0-4
7.4%
1-1
7.2%
1-4
4.9%
Deportivo La Coruna goals ↓
Atletico Madrid goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.5%
9.3%
13%
11%
7.4%
1
1.8%
7.2%
8.5%
7.4%
4.9%
2
0.8%
2.1%
2.8%
2.4%
1.6%
3
0.2%
0.5%
0.6%
0.5%
0.3%
4
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Deportivo La Coruna goals (down), columns = Atletico Madrid goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Real Sociedad
2.57
Celta Vigo
2.50
Osasuna
2.40
Valencia
2.40
Barcelona
2.33
Atletico Madrid
2.29
Pontevedra
2.25
Elche
2.25
Rayo Vallecano
2.25
Real Betis
2.25
Ourense CF
2.25
Almeria
2.25
Zaragoza
2.00
Leganes
2.00
Sevilla
2.00
Las Palmas
2.00
Castellón
2.00
Getafe
2.00
Huesca
2.00
Girona
2.00
Racing Santander
2.00
FC Cartagena
2.00
Racing Ferrol
2.00
Eldense
2.00
Alaves
2.00
Real Madrid
1.83
Gimnastic
1.50
Manises
1.50
Burgos
1.50
FC Andorra
1.50
Sporting Gijon
1.50
Espanyol
1.50
Cultural Leonesa
1.50
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Europa Fc
1.50
Sant Andreu
1.50
Villarreal
1.50
Cadiz
1.50
Tenerife
1.33
Valladolid
1.33
Granada CF
1.33
Oviedo
1.00
Cordoba
1.00
Eibar
1.00
Langreo
1.00
Estepona
1.00
Orihuela
1.00
Real Ávila
1.00
UD Logroñés
1.00
Malaga
1.00
UCAM Murcia
0.97
Rayo Majadahonda
0.97
Sámano
0.97
Quintanar del Rey
0.97
Real Avilés
0.97
CD Yuncos
0.97
Reddis
0.97
Mutilvera
0.97
Azuaga
0.97
Náxara
0.97
Sant Just
0.97
UD Ourense
0.97
Atlético Astorga
0.97
Valle Egüés
0.97
Deportivo Getxo
0.97
Ebro
0.97
Atlètic Lleida
0.97
CF Talavera
0.97
Torrent
0.97
Navalcarnero
0.97
Guadalajara
0.97
Palma del Rio
0.97
Teruel
0.97
Atlético Baleares
0.97
Caudal
0.97
Lorca Deportiva
0.97
Los Garres
0.97
Puerto de Vega
0.97
Atlético Tordesillas
0.97
Constància
0.97
Maracena
0.97
La Unión Atlético
0.97
Inter de Valdemoro
0.97
CD Sant Jordi
0.97
SD Negreira
0.97
Cieza
0.97
Toledo
0.97
Roda (Spain)
0.97
San Fernando CD
0.97
Antoniano
0.97
Arenas Getxo
0.97
RSD Alcalá
0.97
Tropezón
0.97
Portugalete
0.97
Puente Genil
0.97
SD Logroñés
0.97
Real Murcia
0.97
Mérida AD
0.97
Textil Escudo
0.97
Campanario
0.97
Betis Valladolid
0.97
Tarazona
0.97
Lourdes
0.97
Universitario FC
0.97
Sporting Ceuta
0.97
Atletico Calatayud
0.97
Atlético Melilla
0.97
Alberite
0.97
Antequera
0.97
Sabadell
0.71
Ponferradina
0.67
Cacereño
0.50
Athletic Club
0.50
Ibiza
0.00
Extremadura 1924
0.00
Levante
0.00
Mirandes
0.00
Poblense
0.00
Deportivo La Coruna
0.00
Numancia
0.00
Mallorca
0.00
Real Jaén
0.00
Ciudad de Lucena
0.00
Utebo
0.00
Albacete
0.00
Juventud Torremolinos
0.00
Deportivo La Coruna is 2.29 points worse than Atletico Madrid in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 2.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Celta Vigo
4.25
Zaragoza
3.50
Barcelona
3.50
Las Palmas
3.00
Rayo Vallecano
3.00
Villarreal
3.00
Real Betis
2.75
Atletico Madrid
2.71
Valladolid
2.67
Real Madrid
2.67
Osasuna
2.60
Burgos
2.50
Almeria
2.50
Real Sociedad
2.43
Sevilla
2.33
Racing Santander
2.33
Leganes
2.20
Pontevedra
2.00
Elche
2.00
Girona
2.00
Espanyol
2.00
Racing Ferrol
2.00
Valencia
1.60
Manises
1.50
Estepona
1.50
Cultural Leonesa
1.50
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Europa Fc
1.50
Sant Andreu
1.50
Ourense CF
1.50
Cadiz
1.50
Granada CF
1.33
UCAM Murcia
1.14
Rayo Majadahonda
1.14
Sámano
1.14
Quintanar del Rey
1.14
Real Avilés
1.14
CD Yuncos
1.14
Reddis
1.14
Mutilvera
1.14
Azuaga
1.14
Náxara
1.14
Sant Just
1.14
UD Ourense
1.14
Atlético Astorga
1.14
Valle Egüés
1.14
Deportivo Getxo
1.14
Ebro
1.14
Atlètic Lleida
1.14
CF Talavera
1.14
Torrent
1.14
Navalcarnero
1.14
Guadalajara
1.14
Palma del Rio
1.14
Teruel
1.14
Atlético Baleares
1.14
Caudal
1.14
Lorca Deportiva
1.14
Los Garres
1.14
Puerto de Vega
1.14
Atlético Tordesillas
1.14
Constància
1.14
Maracena
1.14
La Unión Atlético
1.14
Inter de Valdemoro
1.14
CD Sant Jordi
1.14
SD Negreira
1.14
Cieza
1.14
Toledo
1.14
Roda (Spain)
1.14
San Fernando CD
1.14
Antoniano
1.14
Arenas Getxo
1.14
RSD Alcalá
1.14
Tropezón
1.14
Portugalete
1.14
Puente Genil
1.14
SD Logroñés
1.14
Real Murcia
1.14
Mérida AD
1.14
Textil Escudo
1.14
Campanario
1.14
Betis Valladolid
1.14
Tarazona
1.14
Lourdes
1.14
Universitario FC
1.14
Sporting Ceuta
1.14
Atletico Calatayud
1.14
Atlético Melilla
1.14
Alberite
1.14
Antequera
1.14
Gimnastic
1.00
Tenerife
1.00
Cordoba
1.00
Castellón
1.00
Levante
1.00
Getafe
1.00
Huesca
1.00
Mirandes
1.00
Langreo
1.00
Poblense
1.00
Cacereño
1.00
FC Andorra
1.00
Athletic Club
1.00
FC Cartagena
1.00
Real Ávila
1.00
Ciudad de Lucena
1.00
Malaga
1.00
Albacete
1.00
Alaves
1.00
Juventud Torremolinos
1.00
Sabadell
0.84
Eldense
0.67
Orihuela
0.50
Sporting Gijon
0.50
Ponferradina
0.33
Ibiza
0.00
Oviedo
0.00
Extremadura 1924
0.00
Eibar
0.00
Deportivo La Coruna
0.00
Numancia
0.00
Mallorca
0.00
Real Jaén
0.00
UD Logroñés
0.00
Utebo
0.00
Deportivo La Coruna is 2.71 goals worse than Atletico Madrid in terms of goals scored per game (0.00 vs 2.71).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Oviedo
0.00
Eibar
0.00
Girona
0.00
UD Logroñés
0.00
Huesca
0.33
Pontevedra
0.50
Castellón
0.50
Orihuela
0.50
Sporting Gijon
0.50
Cadiz
0.50
Alaves
0.50
Tenerife
0.67
FC Cartagena
0.67
Eldense
0.67
Real Sociedad
0.71
Atletico Madrid
0.86
Gimnastic
1.00
Ibiza
1.00
Cordoba
1.00
Elche
1.00
Getafe
1.00
Langreo
1.00
FC Andorra
1.00
Granada CF
1.00
Deportivo La Coruna
1.00
Espanyol
1.00
Numancia
1.00
Ponferradina
1.00
Cultural Leonesa
1.00
Real Ávila
1.00
Malaga
1.00
Villarreal
1.00
Barcelona
1.17
Valencia
1.20
Ourense CF
1.25
Celta Vigo
1.25
Osasuna
1.40
Zaragoza
1.50
Burgos
1.50
Estepona
1.50
Athletic Club
1.50
Rayo Vallecano
1.50
AD Ceuta FC
1.50
Europa Fc
1.50
Almeria
1.50
Sevilla
1.67
Las Palmas
1.67
Racing Ferrol
1.67
Real Madrid
1.67
Real Betis
1.75
UCAM Murcia
1.80
Rayo Majadahonda
1.80
Sámano
1.80
Quintanar del Rey
1.80
Real Avilés
1.80
CD Yuncos
1.80
Reddis
1.80
Mutilvera
1.80
Azuaga
1.80
Náxara
1.80
Sant Just
1.80
UD Ourense
1.80
Atlético Astorga
1.80
Valle Egüés
1.80
Deportivo Getxo
1.80
Ebro
1.80
Atlètic Lleida
1.80
CF Talavera
1.80
Torrent
1.80
Navalcarnero
1.80
Guadalajara
1.80
Palma del Rio
1.80
Teruel
1.80
Atlético Baleares
1.80
Caudal
1.80
Lorca Deportiva
1.80
Los Garres
1.80
Puerto de Vega
1.80
Atlético Tordesillas
1.80
Constància
1.80
Maracena
1.80
La Unión Atlético
1.80
Inter de Valdemoro
1.80
CD Sant Jordi
1.80
SD Negreira
1.80
Cieza
1.80
Toledo
1.80
Roda (Spain)
1.80
San Fernando CD
1.80
Antoniano
1.80
Arenas Getxo
1.80
RSD Alcalá
1.80
Tropezón
1.80
Portugalete
1.80
Puente Genil
1.80
SD Logroñés
1.80
Real Murcia
1.80
Mérida AD
1.80
Textil Escudo
1.80
Campanario
1.80
Betis Valladolid
1.80
Tarazona
1.80
Lourdes
1.80
Universitario FC
1.80
Sporting Ceuta
1.80
Atletico Calatayud
1.80
Atlético Melilla
1.80
Alberite
1.80
Antequera
1.80
Leganes
1.80
Valladolid
2.00
Manises
2.00
Mirandes
2.00
Cacereño
2.00
Racing Santander
2.00
Ciudad de Lucena
2.00
Sant Andreu
2.00
Albacete
2.00
Juventud Torremolinos
2.00
Sabadell
2.46
Mallorca
3.00
Real Jaén
3.00
Extremadura 1924
4.00
Levante
4.00
Utebo
4.00
Poblense
6.00
Deportivo La Coruna is 0.14 goals worse than Atletico Madrid in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.86).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Barcelona
58%
Real Madrid
50%
Atletico Madrid
43%
Real Sociedad
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Deportivo La Coruna
For 4.1 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.6 · Against 11.5 · Total 20.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Atletico Madrid
For 5.8 · Against 5.6 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 9.4 · Total 21.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Deportivo La Coruna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
8.7
9.5
4.4
4.3
4.4
23.7
24.8
22.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (43)
9.3
9.0
9.5
4.6
4.5
4.8
24.3
24.9
23.8
vs Weaker (7)
7.6
6.3
9.5
2.7
3.3
2.2
19.2
23.7
14.7
% over line
40%
29%
52%
62%
67%
58%
65%
75%
54%
% under line
60%
71%
48%
38%
33%
42%
35%
25%
46%
This opponent (Atletico Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Atletico Madrid
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
11.3
9.2
3.8
4.2
3.5
22.9
21.7
24.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
11.3
12.8
9.8
4.2
5.7
2.9
24.3
25.8
22.8
vs Weaker (37)
9.8
10.8
9.0
3.7
3.7
3.7
22.4
20.2
24.4
% over line
44%
61%
28%
54%
58%
50%
58%
43%
72%
% under line
56%
39%
72%
46%
42%
50%
42%
57%
28%
This opponent (Deportivo La Coruna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Antoniano
22.0
CF Talavera
16.0
Real Ávila
14.0
Atlético Baleares
12.0
Ourense CF
11.7
Real Madrid
11.3
Orihuela
11.0
Real Murcia
11.0
Sant Andreu
11.0
Ebro
11.0
Guadalajara
11.0
Barcelona
10.9
Rayo Vallecano
10.8
Racing Santander
10.3
Atletico Madrid
10.2
Albacete
10.1
Real Sociedad
10.1
Real Betis
10.0
Valencia
10.0
Navalcarnero
10.0
Mallorca
9.9
Levante
9.9
Cordoba
9.9
Sporting Gijon
9.9
Alaves
9.8
Castellón
9.8
Numancia
9.8
Huesca
9.8
Ibiza
9.7
Zaragoza
9.7
Espanyol
9.6
Sevilla
9.6
Cadiz
9.6
Almeria
9.6
Leganes
9.6
Girona
9.6
Granada CF
9.5
Malaga
9.4
Rayo Majadahonda
9.4
FC Andorra
9.4
Villarreal
9.3
Ponferradina
9.3
Eldense
9.2
Cultural Leonesa
9.2
AD Ceuta FC
9.1
Oviedo
9.1
Athletic Club
9.1
Deportivo La Coruna
9.1
Tenerife
9.1
Osasuna
9.1
Gimnastic
9.0
Extremadura 1924
9.0
Valladolid
9.0
Racing Ferrol
9.0
Eibar
9.0
Sabadell
8.8
FC Cartagena
8.8
Las Palmas
8.7
Mirandes
8.6
Celta Vigo
8.6
Elche
8.3
Getafe
8.2
Burgos
8.2
Portugalete
8.0
Ciudad de Lucena
7.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sant Andreu
10.0
Racing Santander
6.6
Zaragoza
6.3
Orihuela
6.0
Ourense CF
6.0
Cordoba
5.9
Gimnastic
5.9
Rayo Majadahonda
5.8
Burgos
5.8
Mirandes
5.6
Las Palmas
5.6
Almeria
5.6
Valladolid
5.6
Numancia
5.6
Getafe
5.5
Alaves
5.4
Cadiz
5.4
Malaga
5.3
Sevilla
5.2
Sporting Gijon
5.2
Granada CF
5.1
AD Ceuta FC
5.1
Eibar
5.1
Cultural Leonesa
5.1
Castellón
5.1
FC Andorra
5.0
Portugalete
5.0
Leganes
5.0
Celta Vigo
5.0
Elche
5.0
Real Sociedad
4.9
Valencia
4.8
Rayo Vallecano
4.8
Tenerife
4.8
Ponferradina
4.8
Osasuna
4.7
Deportivo La Coruna
4.7
Eldense
4.6
Levante
4.6
Sabadell
4.6
Villarreal
4.6
Huesca
4.6
Oviedo
4.6
Albacete
4.6
Real Madrid
4.5
Real Betis
4.5
Real Murcia
4.5
Racing Ferrol
4.3
Girona
4.3
Mallorca
4.3
Athletic Club
4.3
Barcelona
4.3
Atletico Madrid
4.2
FC Cartagena
4.2
Ibiza
4.2
Espanyol
4.2
Guadalajara
4.0
Pontevedra
3.0
Extremadura 1924
3.0
Antoniano
3.0
Real Ávila
3.0
Navalcarnero
2.0
Ebro
2.0
Atlético Baleares
2.0
CF Talavera
1.5
Ciudad de Lucena
1.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sant Andreu
40.0
Portugalete
36.0
Navalcarnero
33.0
Ourense CF
32.7
Orihuela
32.0
Antoniano
31.0
Numancia
30.6
Rayo Majadahonda
30.5
Gimnastic
30.1
Alaves
30.1
Getafe
29.7
Cordoba
29.5
Real Ávila
29.0
Elche
28.3
Mirandes
28.2
Zaragoza
28.1
Ibiza
28.1
Racing Santander
27.9
Sabadell
27.8
Valladolid
27.8
Cadiz
27.4
Tenerife
27.3
Cultural Leonesa
27.2
Granada CF
27.1
Extremadura 1924
27.0
Burgos
27.0
Las Palmas
27.0
Almeria
26.6
Eibar
26.5
Sevilla
26.3
FC Andorra
26.3
Malaga
26.3
AD Ceuta FC
26.1
Leganes
26.0
Racing Ferrol
26.0
Oviedo
26.0
Real Sociedad
25.8
Castellón
25.2
Espanyol
25.1
Eldense
25.0
Atlético Baleares
25.0
Real Betis
24.6
Athletic Club
24.6
Valencia
24.5
Osasuna
24.4
Villarreal
24.4
Celta Vigo
24.4
Girona
24.4
Rayo Vallecano
24.4
Mallorca
24.3
Levante
24.2
Huesca
24.1
FC Cartagena
24.1
Ponferradina
23.8
Deportivo La Coruna
23.6
Real Madrid
23.2
Sporting Gijon
23.1
Atletico Madrid
22.8
Ebro
22.0
Barcelona
22.0
Albacete
21.6
Real Murcia
20.0
Ciudad de Lucena
20.0
Guadalajara
20.0
CF Talavera
18.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
73.3%
Under 9.5
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
51.9%
Under 3.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
58.7%
Under 21.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Deportivo La Coruna or Draw✗ Miss
21.4%
Avg Implied -
6%
15%
79%
covers Deportivo La Coruna + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Deportivo La Coruna or Atletico Madrid✓ Hit
85.0%
Avg Implied -
6%
15%
79%
covers Deportivo La Coruna + Atletico Madrid
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Atletico Madrid✓ Hit
93.6%
Avg Implied -
6%
15%
79%
covers Draw + Atletico Madrid
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
48.0%
Under
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
14.0%
Under
86.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
2.9%
Under
97.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.5%
Under
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
92.7%
Under
7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
73.5%
Under
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
48.5%
Under
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
26.7%
Under
73.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Deportivo La Coruna, so a minus line means Deportivo La Coruna give that many goals of a start and Atletico Madrid receive them. At -1, Deportivo La Coruna must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Deportivo La Coruna win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Deportivo La Coruna)Actual: Atletico Madrid
Deportivo La Coruna -2
0.3%
Draw -2
1.4%
Atletico Madrid +2
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Deportivo La Coruna)Actual: Atletico Madrid
Deportivo La Coruna -1
1.7%
Draw -1
4.7%
Atletico Madrid +1
93.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Deportivo La Coruna)Actual: Draw
Deportivo La Coruna +1
21.4%
Draw +1
20.6%
Atletico Madrid -1
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Deportivo La Coruna)Actual: Deportivo La Coruna
Deportivo La Coruna +2
42.0%
Draw +2
22.2%
Atletico Madrid -2
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Deportivo La Coruna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.70
0.79
0.71
0.56
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.73
0.75
0.75
0.50
0.71
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Atletico Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Atletico Madrid
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.40
1.43
0.36
0.75
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.00
0.86
1.33
0.67
0.75
1.00
vs Weaker (23)
1.09
0.26
1.45
0.27
0.75
0.25
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Deportivo La Coruna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Deportivo La Coruna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.57
0.86
0.64
1.25
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.00
0.58
0.92
0.58
1.07
0.57
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
0.50
0.50
1.00
2.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Atletico Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Atletico Madrid
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.73
1.43
0.43
0.75
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.29
1.43
2.00
0.67
0.75
2.00
vs Weaker (23)
1.00
0.52
1.27
0.36
0.75
0.67
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Deportivo La Coruna) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Deportivo La Coruna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 3.5 goals
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away win
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away over 1.5 goals
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 9.5 corners
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Deportivo La Coruna
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yeremay Hernández28%
Bil Nsongo25%
Noé Carrillo25%
Zakaria Eddahchouri24%
Stoichkov14%
David Mella14%
Rubén López14%
Mario Soriano13%
Samuele Mulattieri12%
Dani Barcia7%
Cristian Herrera6%
Diego Villares5%
Giacomo Quagliata5%
Sergio Escudero5%
Luismi Cruz5%
Adrià Altimira4%
Lucas Noubi3%
Álvaro Fernández0%
Miguel Loureiro0%
Ximo Navarro0%
José Gragera0%
José Ángel Jurado0%
Germán Parreño0%
Riki Rodríguez0%
Arnau Comas0%
Charlie Patiño0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dani Barcia32%
Rubén López29%
Arnau Comas28%
Adrià Altimira26%
Giacomo Quagliata22%
Miguel Loureiro21%
Zakaria Eddahchouri18%
Stoichkov17%
Lucas Noubi16%
Yeremay Hernández15%
Bil Nsongo15%
Diego Villares14%
Riki Rodríguez13%
José Ángel Jurado13%
Ximo Navarro12%
Samuele Mulattieri12%
Noé Carrillo12%
Sergio Escudero10%
Luismi Cruz10%
Álvaro Fernández9%
Mario Soriano9%
José Gragera8%
David Mella7%
Charlie Patiño7%
Cristian Herrera6%
Germán Parreño5%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Luismi Cruz21%
Yeremay Hernández21%
Adrià Altimira17%
Mario Soriano13%
Zakaria Eddahchouri11%
Sergio Escudero10%
Stoichkov9%
Cristian Herrera6%
Bil Nsongo5%
José Ángel Jurado4%
Dani Barcia4%
David Mella4%
Miguel Loureiro3%
Giacomo Quagliata2%
Álvaro Fernández0%
Ximo Navarro0%
José Gragera0%
Samuele Mulattieri0%
Germán Parreño0%
Riki Rodríguez0%
Arnau Comas0%
Diego Villares0%
Charlie Patiño0%
Lucas Noubi0%
Rubén López0%
Noé Carrillo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yeremay Hernández26%
Zakaria Eddahchouri21%
Mario Soriano7%
Bil Nsongo5%
Sergio Escudero5%
Adrià Altimira4%
Ximo Navarro4%
Dani Barcia4%
David Mella4%
Charlie Patiño3%
Samuele Mulattieri3%
Stoichkov3%
Álvaro Fernández0%
Cristian Herrera0%
Miguel Loureiro0%
José Gragera0%
José Ángel Jurado0%
Germán Parreño0%
Riki Rodríguez0%
Giacomo Quagliata0%
Arnau Comas0%
Diego Villares0%
Luismi Cruz0%
Lucas Noubi0%
Rubén López0%
Noé Carrillo0%
Atletico Madrid
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ademola Lookman38%
Julián Álvarez33%
Alexander Sørloth26%
Javier Boñar25%
Antoine Griezmann22%
Giuliano Simeone13%
Giacomo Raspadori13%
Conor Gallagher12%
Thiago Almada10%
Nicolás González8%
Robin Le Normand7%
Marcos Llorente6%
Dávid Hancko6%
Nahuel Molina4%
Alex Baena4%
José María Giménez4%
Koke4%
Johnny Cardoso3%
Marc Pubill3%
Pablo Barrios3%
Jan Oblak0%
Clément Lenglet0%
Juan Musso0%
Javi Galán0%
Matteo Ruggeri0%
Obed Vargas0%
Rodrigo Mendoza0%
Julio Díaz0%
Javi Morcillo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Julio Díaz50%
Javi Morcillo40%
Clément Lenglet29%
Alex Baena20%
Marc Pubill20%
Rodrigo Mendoza20%
Marcos Llorente19%
Robin Le Normand18%
Johnny Cardoso17%
Juan Musso17%
José María Giménez16%
Obed Vargas15%
Matteo Ruggeri15%
Koke15%
Nahuel Molina11%
Nicolás González11%
Thiago Almada10%
Giuliano Simeone10%
Alexander Sørloth9%
Ademola Lookman8%
Conor Gallagher8%
Giacomo Raspadori7%
Dávid Hancko6%
Pablo Barrios6%
Julián Álvarez4%
Antoine Griezmann2%
Jan Oblak0%
Javi Galán0%
Javier Boñar0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Julio Díaz25%
Julián Álvarez17%
Antoine Griezmann15%
Javi Galán14%
Giuliano Simeone13%
Giacomo Raspadori13%
Matteo Ruggeri13%
Ademola Lookman12%
Marcos Llorente10%
Rodrigo Mendoza10%
Nahuel Molina9%
Pablo Barrios9%
Obed Vargas8%
Alex Baena7%
Dávid Hancko6%
Koke5%
Thiago Almada5%
Clément Lenglet4%
José María Giménez4%
Conor Gallagher4%
Marc Pubill3%
Jan Oblak2%
Robin Le Normand2%
Alexander Sørloth2%
Juan Musso0%
Nicolás González0%
Johnny Cardoso0%
Javier Boñar0%
Javi Morcillo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Julián Álvarez31%
Ademola Lookman21%
Nicolás González19%
Alexander Sørloth19%
Antoine Griezmann16%
Conor Gallagher8%
Giuliano Simeone8%
José María Giménez4%
Pablo Barrios3%
Thiago Almada3%
Nahuel Molina2%
Marcos Llorente2%
Jan Oblak0%
Koke0%
Clément Lenglet0%
Juan Musso0%
Dávid Hancko0%
Giacomo Raspadori0%
Robin Le Normand0%
Javi Galán0%
Johnny Cardoso0%
Matteo Ruggeri0%
Alex Baena0%
Marc Pubill0%
Obed Vargas0%
Javier Boñar0%
Rodrigo Mendoza0%
Julio Díaz0%
Javi Morcillo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (27)
€1456m
BAR (30)
€1282m
AM (25)
€653m
VIL (24)
€325m
RS (24)
€247m
AC (29)
€241m
RB (25)
€235m
CV (24)
€163m
SEV (25)
€134m
VAL (27)
€125m
ESP (24)
€119m
GIR (28)
€114m
GET (24)
€90m
LEV (26)
€89m
RS (20)
€89m
DLC (29)
€84m
ELC (27)
€79m
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALA (25)
€68m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
MAL (27)
€41m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
VAL (29)
€26m
CAS (28)
€21m
ALB (27)
€18m
BUR (22)
€17m
GC (18)
€17m
COR (26)
€16m
EIB (24)
€15m
FA (26)
€15m
TEN (28)
€12m
ACF (22)
€10m
ZAR (20)
€9m
SAB (28)
€8m
ELD (20)
€7m
MIR (21)
€6m
CL (20)
€6m
HUE (21)
€5m
Deportivo La Coruna's squad is €569m less valuable than Atletico Madrid's (€84m vs €653m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
BAR (10)
€590m
AM (9)
€290m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
RS (10)
€110m
AC (10)
€106m
GIR (12)
€64m
CV (9)
€57m
LEV (10)
€51m
DLC (9)
€49m
SEV (8)
€45m
VAL (10)
€40m
ESP (9)
€39m
ALM (11)
€38m
GET (5)
€36m
ELC (13)
€34m
RS (7)
€34m
RV (10)
€30m
MAL (11)
€26m
OSA (8)
€25m
ALA (8)
€24m
MAL (11)
€23m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
CAS (10)
€11m
VAL (11)
€10m
ALB (10)
€8m
BUR (7)
€8m
EIB (8)
€7m
GC (5)
€6m
FA (10)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
COR (9)
€4m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (8)
€3m
CL (8)
€3m
HUE (9)
€2m
MIR (6)
€2m
Deportivo La Coruna's attack is €241m less valuable than Atletico Madrid's (€49m vs €290m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (8)
€324m
RM (5)
€238m
AM (6)
€155m
RS (5)
€58m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (4)
€52m
VAL (5)
€46m
CV (3)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
ESP (5)
€31m
GIR (7)
€28m
GET (6)
€28m
RS (5)
€28m
SEV (5)
€23m
ALA (8)
€22m
LEV (5)
€16m
DLC (7)
€13m
OSA (4)
€12m
ELC (5)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€9m
LEG (5)
€8m
MAL (5)
€6m
VAL (6)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
BUR (6)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
EIB (6)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
CAS (6)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
FA (5)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
SAB (6)
€2m
ACF (4)
€1m
ELD (3)
€1m
HUE (4)
€1m
MIR (4)
€1m
CL (4)
€1m
Deportivo La Coruna's midfield is €142m less valuable than Atletico Madrid's (€13m vs €155m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
AM (10)
€208m
VIL (12)
€148m
RS (9)
€79m
AC (12)
€77m
CV (12)
€71m
RB (10)
€70m
SEV (12)
€65m
ESP (10)
€48m
VAL (12)
€39m
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
ELC (9)
€33m
RS (8)
€28m
GET (13)
€26m
GIR (9)
€22m
DLC (13)
€22m
LEV (11)
€22m
ALA (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
VAL (12)
€10m
OVI (8)
€10m
MAL (11)
€9m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
LEG (10)
€8m
CAS (12)
€8m
COR (12)
€7m
FA (11)
€7m
BUR (9)
€6m
ALB (10)
€5m
EIB (10)
€5m
MIR (11)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
SAB (11)
€3m
ELD (9)
€3m
ACF (8)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
CL (8)
€2m
HUE (8)
€2m
Deportivo La Coruna's defence is €186m less valuable than Atletico Madrid's (€22m vs €208m).
Spain: Segunda División 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
Spain: La Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →
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Racing Santander
Malaga
Almeria
Las Palmas
Castellón
Burgos
Eibar
Sporting Gijon
Cordoba
AD Ceuta FC
Albacete
FC Andorra
Granada CF
Real Sociedad II
Leganes
Valladolid
Cadiz
Mirandes
Huesca
Cultural Leonesa
Zaragoza
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Villarreal
Real Betis
Celta Vigo
Getafe
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
Real Sociedad
Espanyol
Athletic Club
Elche
Alaves
Sevilla
Osasuna
Mallorca
Levante
Girona
Oviedo