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Dinamo-Auto vs Făleşti Result & Analysis

Date: 03/05/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 6-2
Dinamo-Auto
Dinamo-Auto
Vs
62%
22%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Făleşti
Făleşti
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dinamo-Auto win✓ Hit
61.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Făleşti win✗ Miss
15.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Dinamo-AutoDinamo-Auto

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-801L14L05L11D12L81W01L20W20W20WA·CSF22/10H·PET27/10A·DAC09/11A·SPA10/03H·VIC17/03A·FĂL31/03A·DAC08/04H·FLO15/04H·SPA21/04A·VIC29/04
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.480.901.101.091.82
vs Stronger (10)0.601.600.601.600.601.60
vs Similar (10)1.301.501.000.751.502.00
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %29% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Făleşti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FăleştiFăleşti

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-841W14L20W13L13L18L07L15L15L05LH·FCM29/10A·SHE08/11A·FCM13/11A·VIC11/03A·DAC18/03H·DIN31/03A·FLO07/04H·SPA14/04H·VIC21/04H·DAC29/04← Liga 1Super Liga →
Avg total
5.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
4.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.593.061.333.441.882.62
vs Stronger (2)1.002.501.001.001.004.00
vs Similar (10)1.503.601.004.502.252.25
vs Weaker (5)2.002.202.501.501.672.67
Clean sheet %6% (-26pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo-Auto) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.9%
Under 1.5
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.9%
Under 2.5
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.6%
Under 3.5
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.5%
No
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.5%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
8.8%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
4.9%
Dinamo-Auto goals ↓
Făleşti goals →
01234
05.7%3.6%2.2%0.7%0.2%
18.8%11%4.7%1.5%0.4%
210%9.9%4.9%1.6%0.4%
37.1%6.9%3.4%1.1%0.3%
43.7%3.6%1.8%0.6%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dinamo-Auto goals (down), columns = Făleşti goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.38
Floreşti
2.17
Petrocub
2.00
Speranis Nisporeni
2.00
Dacia-Buiucani
1.75
Văsieni
1.50
Spartanii Selemet
1.33
Zimbru
1.29
Milsami Orhei
1.17
Dinamo-Auto
1.11
Sfîntul Gheorghe
1.08
Victoria Bardar
1.00
CSF Bălți
0.92
Făleşti
0.00
Speranța Drochia
0.00
Real Succes
0.00
Sucleia
0.00
Dinamo-Auto is 1.11 points better than Făleşti in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 0.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Speranis Nisporeni
3.00
Văsieni
3.00
Floreşti
2.33
Victoria Bardar
2.00
Spartanii Selemet
2.00
Dacia-Buiucani
1.67
Sheriff Tiraspol
1.62
Petrocub
1.50
Dinamo-Auto
1.33
Zimbru
1.12
Făleşti
1.00
Real Succes
1.00
Sucleia
1.00
Milsami Orhei
0.92
Sfîntul Gheorghe
0.92
CSF Bălți
0.75
Speranța Drochia
0.00
Dinamo-Auto is 0.33 goals better than Făleşti in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.38
Petrocub
0.71
Dacia-Buiucani
0.71
Floreşti
0.92
Speranis Nisporeni
1.00
Zimbru
1.08
CSF Bălți
1.08
Milsami Orhei
1.25
Dinamo-Auto
1.41
Sfîntul Gheorghe
1.46
Văsieni
1.50
Spartanii Selemet
1.92
Victoria Bardar
2.69
Speranța Drochia
4.00
Făleşti
4.91
Sucleia
6.00
Real Succes
7.00
Dinamo-Auto is 3.50 goals better than Făleşti in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 4.91).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Dinamo-AutoDinamo-Auto

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L00D12L03L01L01L00D10W10WH·SHE09/10H·SFÎ15/10A·CSF22/10H·PET27/10A·DAC09/11H·VIC17/03A·DAC08/04H·FLO15/04H·SPA21/04A·VIC29/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.320.790.400.500.221.11
vs Stronger (10)0.400.800.400.800.400.80
vs Similar (8)0.250.880.500.250.001.50
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Făleşti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FăleştiFăleşti

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L03L10W02L03LA·DAC18/03A·FLO07/04H·SPA14/04H·VIC21/04H·DAC29/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.202.000.331.670.002.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.251.750.331.670.002.00
vs Weaker (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo-Auto) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dinamo-Auto over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo-Auto over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo-Auto over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Dinamo-AutoDinamo-Auto

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L01L02L02L11D00D20W10W10WH·SHE09/10H·SFÎ15/10A·CSF22/10H·PET27/10A·DAC09/11H·VIC17/03A·DAC08/04H·FLO15/04H·SPA21/04A·VIC29/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.320.740.500.600.110.89
vs Stronger (10)0.200.800.200.800.200.80
vs Similar (8)0.250.750.500.500.001.00
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Făleşti) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FăleştiFăleşti

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D04L05L13L02LA·DAC18/03A·FLO07/04H·SPA14/04H·VIC21/04H·DAC29/04
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
3.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.403.000.333.330.502.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.502.750.333.331.001.00
vs Weaker (1)0.004.00--0.004.00
Clean sheet %0% (-32pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo-Auto) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dinamo-Auto over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo-Auto over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo-Auto over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Făleşti over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
SS (12)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
DAC (6)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
DIN wins
0
Draws
0
FĂL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dinamo-Auto vs Făleşti · H/A from DIN
DateH/AGameScore
31/03/23AFăleşti Vs DIN1-8

Dinamo-AutoDinamo-Auto

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/04/23AVictoria Bardar Vs DIN0-2
21/04/23HDIN Vs Spartanii Selemet2-0
15/04/23HDIN Vs Floreşti2-0
08/04/23ADacia-Buiucani Vs DIN1-0
31/03/23AFăleşti Vs DIN1-8
17/03/23HDIN Vs Victoria Bardar1-2
10/03/23ASpartanii Selemet Vs DIN1-1
09/11/22ADacia-Buiucani Vs DIN5-0
27/10/22HDIN Vs Petrocub1-4
22/10/22ACSF Bălți Vs DIN1-0

FăleştiFăleşti

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/04/23HFĂL Vs Dacia-Buiucani0-5
21/04/23HFĂL Vs Victoria Bardar1-5
14/04/23HFĂL Vs Spartanii Selemet1-5
07/04/23AFloreşti Vs FĂL7-0
31/03/23HFĂL Vs Dinamo-Auto1-8
18/03/23ADacia-Buiucani Vs FĂL3-1
11/03/23AVictoria Bardar Vs FĂL3-1
13/11/22AFCM Ungheni Vs FĂL0-2
08/11/22ASheriff II Vs FĂL4-1
29/10/22HFĂL Vs FCM Ungheni4-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dinamo-Auto
Dinamo-Auto
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW0.90
HomeLLLWW1.10
AwayLDWLW0.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%30%18%
AVG goals2.482.002.91
Over 1.5 %71%70%73%
Over 2.5 %33%20%45%
Over 3.5 %19%10%27%
Scored1.000.901.09
Conceded1.481.101.82
BTTS29%30%27%
Clean Sheet29%40%18%
Corners---
Cards---
Făleşti
Făleşti
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.12
HomeWLLLL0.78
AwayLWLLL1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %35%22%50%
AVG goals4.654.784.50
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %88%89%88%
Over 3.5 %76%67%88%
Scored1.591.331.88
Conceded3.063.442.62
BTTS82%89%75%
Clean Sheet6%0%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol2457
71%
2.4
399+30
2.0
71%
29%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3131.60.4
-
2PetrocubPetrocub2448
58%
2.0
3617+19
2.2
62%
46%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.50.7
-
3Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani2442
50%
1.8
4017+23
2.4
62%
33%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.70.7
-
4ZimbruZimbru2431
29%
1.3
2726+1
2.2
62%
38%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.11.1
-
5Dinamo-AutoDinamo-Auto2730
30%
1.1
3638-2
2.7
74%
37%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
6Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei2428
29%
1.2
2230-8
2.2
71%
33%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1120.91.2
-
7FloreştiFloreşti1226
67%
2.2
2811+17
3.2
92%
58%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.30.9
-
8Sfîntul GheorgheSfîntul Gheorghe2426
29%
1.1
2235-13
2.4
75%
42%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
9CSF BălțiCSF Bălți2422
21%
0.9
1826-8
1.8
54%
29%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.81.1
-
10Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet1216
42%
1.3
2423+1
3.9
100%
67%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.9
-
11Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar1313
31%
1.0
2635-9
4.7
100%
92%
77%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.7
-
12Speranis NisporeniSperanis Nisporeni24
50%
2.0
62+4
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.01.0
-
13VăsieniVăsieni23
50%
1.5
63+3
4.5
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.01.5
-
14Sheriff IISheriff II00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
15Speranța DrochiaSperanța Drochia10
0%
0.0
04-4
4.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.04.0
-
16SucleiaSucleia10
0%
0.0
16-5
7.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.06.0
-
17Real SuccesReal Succes10
0%
0.0
17-6
8.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.07.0
-
18FăleştiFăleşti110
0%
0.0
1154-43
5.9
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.04.9
-
Moldova: Super Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

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