This opponent (Zorya Luhansk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zorya Luhansk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.30
1.07
1.14
1.38
1.44
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
2.38
1.00
2.00
0.75
2.75
vs Similar (13)
1.08
0.92
1.14
1.14
1.00
0.67
vs Weaker (9)
1.78
0.89
1.00
0.00
2.17
1.33
Clean sheet %
33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Dnipro-1) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.4%
Under 1.5
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.0%
Under 2.5
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.3%
Under 3.5
73.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.6%
No
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
8.7%
2-0
7.6%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-2 ✓
5.2%
Dnipro-1 goals ↓
Zorya Luhansk goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.7%
7.5%
5.1%
2.0%
0.6%
1
9.4%
14%
7.2%
2.8%
0.8%
2
7.6%
8.9%
5.2%
2.0%
0.6%
3
3.6%
4.2%
2.5%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.3%
1.5%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dnipro-1 goals (down), columns = Zorya Luhansk goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.37
Dynamo Kyiv
2.30
Kryvbas KR
1.90
Dnipro-1
1.73
Polessya
1.67
Ruh Lviv
1.63
LNZ Cherkasy
1.37
Oleksandria
1.13
Vorskla Poltava
1.10
Kolos Kovalivka
1.07
Zorya Luhansk
1.07
Chornomorets
1.07
Veres Rivne
1.00
Obolon'-Brovar
0.94
Minai
0.83
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.77
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
0.50
Livyi Bereh
0.50
Dnipro-1 is 0.67 points better than Zorya Luhansk in terms of average points per game (1.73 vs 1.07).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dynamo Kyiv
2.40
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.10
Kryvbas KR
1.70
Ruh Lviv
1.47
Dnipro-1
1.33
Polessya
1.30
Chornomorets
1.27
Veres Rivne
1.09
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.07
LNZ Cherkasy
1.03
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.00
Oleksandria
1.00
Vorskla Poltava
1.00
Zorya Luhansk
0.97
Minai
0.90
Kolos Kovalivka
0.73
Obolon'-Brovar
0.62
Livyi Bereh
0.50
Dnipro-1 is 0.37 goals better than Zorya Luhansk in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 0.97).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.80
Dnipro-1
0.90
Dynamo Kyiv
0.93
Polessya
1.00
Livyi Bereh
1.00
Kryvbas KR
1.00
Kolos Kovalivka
1.03
Ruh Lviv
1.03
LNZ Cherkasy
1.13
Zorya Luhansk
1.23
Oleksandria
1.27
Obolon'-Brovar
1.31
Veres Rivne
1.50
Vorskla Poltava
1.53
Chornomorets
1.57
Minai
1.67
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.90
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
2.00
Dnipro-1 is 0.33 goals better than Zorya Luhansk in terms of goals conceded per game (0.90 vs 1.23).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shakhtar Donetsk
59%
Dynamo Kyiv
56%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
55%
Livyi Bereh
54%
Chornomorets
52%
Dnipro-1
52%
Kryvbas KR
51%
LNZ Cherkasy
51%
Polessya
51%
Oleksandria
51%
Ruh Lviv
50%
Vorskla Poltava
50%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
49%
Zorya Luhansk
47%
Kolos Kovalivka
47%
Obolon'-Brovar
44%
Minai
44%
Veres Rivne
44%
Dnipro-1 is 4.7 percentage points better than Zorya Luhansk in terms of average possession (52% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Dnipro-1
For 4.6 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 10.3 · Total 20.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Zorya Luhansk
For 5.0 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 9.5 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dnipro-1
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.6
8.7
3.9
3.8
4.0
23.5
23.8
23.2
vs Stronger (11)
9.3
10.8
8.0
5.0
4.0
5.8
27.3
29.4
25.5
vs Similar (25)
9.5
9.8
9.2
3.8
4.0
3.6
22.6
24.3
21.2
vs Weaker (14)
8.4
8.5
8.2
3.4
3.4
3.3
21.9
19.8
26.2
% over line
50%
50%
50%
56%
54%
58%
67%
70%
65%
% under line
50%
50%
50%
44%
46%
42%
33%
30%
35%
This opponent (Zorya Luhansk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zorya Luhansk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.3
9.9
4.0
3.7
4.4
22.7
20.6
25.0
vs Stronger (11)
9.4
9.8
9.0
3.2
2.2
4.0
20.8
18.0
23.6
vs Similar (23)
9.7
10.7
8.3
4.3
4.2
4.3
22.7
21.5
24.1
vs Weaker (16)
11.1
9.9
12.1
4.2
3.8
4.8
24.1
20.9
26.9
% over line
58%
65%
50%
60%
50%
71%
64%
52%
77%
% under line
42%
35%
50%
40%
50%
29%
36%
48%
23%
This opponent (Dnipro-1) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Veres Rivne
10.4
LNZ Cherkasy
10.4
Kolos Kovalivka
10.2
Zorya Luhansk
10.1
Polessya
10.1
Vorskla Poltava
10.0
Dynamo Kyiv
9.6
Minai
9.6
Ruh Lviv
9.5
Shakhtar Donetsk
9.4
Oleksandria
9.4
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
9.3
Kryvbas KR
9.1
Dnipro-1
9.1
Obolon'-Brovar
8.9
Chornomorets
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Polessya
5.9
Obolon'-Brovar
5.7
Ruh Lviv
5.4
Vorskla Poltava
5.3
Dynamo Kyiv
5.2
Veres Rivne
5.1
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
4.8
Kolos Kovalivka
4.7
Chornomorets
4.7
LNZ Cherkasy
4.7
Zorya Luhansk
4.6
Minai
4.5
Oleksandria
4.5
Shakhtar Donetsk
4.4
Kryvbas KR
4.2
Dnipro-1
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Obolon'-Brovar
27.5
Vorskla Poltava
26.7
LNZ Cherkasy
24.2
Dynamo Kyiv
24.2
Minai
23.8
Ruh Lviv
23.5
Kryvbas KR
23.4
Kolos Kovalivka
23.3
Dnipro-1
23.2
Polessya
23.0
Oleksandria
23.0
Zorya Luhansk
22.7
Chornomorets
22.3
Shakhtar Donetsk
22.3
Veres Rivne
22.1
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
21.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
50.5%
Under 9.5
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
61.8%
Under 3.5
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
61.4%
Under 21.5
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Dnipro-1
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.50
0.47
0.47
0.67
0.53
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
0.67
0.33
0.33
0.50
0.83
vs Similar (14)
0.43
0.29
0.38
0.25
0.50
0.33
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
0.71
0.75
1.00
1.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Zorya Luhansk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zorya Luhansk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.67
0.64
0.64
0.81
0.69
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
1.00
0.50
1.25
0.00
0.75
vs Similar (13)
0.77
0.62
0.71
0.57
0.83
0.67
vs Weaker (9)
1.11
0.44
0.67
0.00
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Dnipro-1) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dnipro-1 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zorya Luhansk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zorya Luhansk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zorya Luhansk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Dnipro-1
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
0.80
0.53
0.60
0.67
vs Stronger (9)
0.78
1.00
1.00
1.33
0.67
0.83
vs Similar (14)
0.79
0.50
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (7)
0.43
0.29
0.25
0.00
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Zorya Luhansk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Zorya Luhansk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.63
0.43
0.50
0.56
0.75
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
1.38
0.50
0.75
0.75
2.00
vs Similar (13)
0.31
0.31
0.43
0.57
0.17
0.00
vs Weaker (9)
0.67
0.44
0.33
0.00
0.83
0.67
Clean sheet %
57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Dnipro-1) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dnipro-1 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zorya Luhansk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zorya Luhansk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zorya Luhansk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Dnipro-1
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Oleksandr Filippov43%
Maksym Tretyakov33%
Volodymyr Tanchyk33%
Oleg Ocheretko33%
Bogdan Lednev29%
Oleksii Hutsuliak29%
Denys Miroshnichenko20%
Volodymyr Adamyuk12%
Oleksandr Svatok0%
Vasyl Kravets0%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok0%
Yevhen Pasich0%
Ruslan Babenko0%
Ihor Kohut0%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi0%
Oleksandr Kapliyenko0%
Yevhenii Volynets0%
Eduard Sarapiyy0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oleksii Hutsuliak43%
Oleksandr Kapliyenko33%
Eduard Sarapiyy33%
Bogdan Lednev14%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi12%
Oleksandr Svatok0%
Vasyl Kravets0%
Maksym Tretyakov0%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok0%
Volodymyr Adamyuk0%
Oleksandr Filippov0%
Yevhen Pasich0%
Denys Miroshnichenko0%
Ruslan Babenko0%
Volodymyr Tanchyk0%
Ihor Kohut0%
Yevhenii Volynets0%
Oleg Ocheretko0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Oleksandr Kapliyenko33%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok20%
Volodymyr Tanchyk17%
Oleksandr Filippov14%
Volodymyr Adamyuk12%
Oleksandr Svatok0%
Vasyl Kravets0%
Maksym Tretyakov0%
Bogdan Lednev0%
Yevhen Pasich0%
Denys Miroshnichenko0%
Oleksii Hutsuliak0%
Ruslan Babenko0%
Ihor Kohut0%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi0%
Yevhenii Volynets0%
Eduard Sarapiyy0%
Oleg Ocheretko0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bogdan Lednev57%
Oleksii Hutsuliak43%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok20%
Oleksandr Filippov14%
Oleksandr Svatok0%
Vasyl Kravets0%
Maksym Tretyakov0%
Volodymyr Adamyuk0%
Yevhen Pasich0%
Denys Miroshnichenko0%
Ruslan Babenko0%
Volodymyr Tanchyk0%
Ihor Kohut0%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi0%
Oleksandr Kapliyenko0%
Yevhenii Volynets0%
Eduard Sarapiyy0%
Oleg Ocheretko0%
Zorya Luhansk
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Eduardo Guerrero31%
Ihor Horbach25%
Danyil Alefirenko20%
Oleksandr Yatsyk18%
Jakov Bašić14%
Denys Nagnoynyi12%
Denys Antyukh12%
Ihor Kyriukhantsev8%
Arsenii Batahov8%
Petar Mićin8%
Bogdan Butko0%
Oleg Danchenko0%
Kyrylo Dryshlyuk0%
Vyacheslav Churko0%
Dmytro Myshnov0%
Vladyslav Bugai0%
Ihor Snurnitsyn0%
Roman Vantukh0%
Anderson Jordan0%
Reis Rodriguez Leovigildo Junior0%
Alioune Ndour0%
Vikentiy Voloshyn0%
Mykyta Turbaievskyi0%
Oleksii Khakhliov0%
Anton Bol0%
Oleksandr Saputin0%
Kodjo Aziangbe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kodjo Aziangbe40%
Bogdan Butko38%
Anderson Jordan38%
Anton Bol33%
Ihor Snurnitsyn29%
Arsenii Batahov25%
Eduardo Guerrero25%
Vyacheslav Churko20%
Roman Vantukh20%
Denys Antyukh18%
Dmytro Myshnov15%
Denys Nagnoynyi12%
Oleksandr Saputin10%
Oleksandr Yatsyk9%
Ihor Horbach8%
Petar Mićin8%
Jakov Bašić0%
Oleg Danchenko0%
Kyrylo Dryshlyuk0%
Ihor Kyriukhantsev0%
Vladyslav Bugai0%
Reis Rodriguez Leovigildo Junior0%
Alioune Ndour0%
Vikentiy Voloshyn0%
Mykyta Turbaievskyi0%
Oleksii Khakhliov0%
Danyil Alefirenko0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Denys Antyukh18%
Anton Bol17%
Ihor Horbach17%
Bogdan Butko12%
Eduardo Guerrero12%
Roman Vantukh10%
Ihor Kyriukhantsev8%
Arsenii Batahov8%
Petar Mićin8%
Dmytro Myshnov8%
Jakov Bašić0%
Oleg Danchenko0%
Kyrylo Dryshlyuk0%
Vyacheslav Churko0%
Vladyslav Bugai0%
Ihor Snurnitsyn0%
Anderson Jordan0%
Reis Rodriguez Leovigildo Junior0%
Alioune Ndour0%
Vikentiy Voloshyn0%
Oleksandr Yatsyk0%
Mykyta Turbaievskyi0%
Oleksii Khakhliov0%
Danyil Alefirenko0%
Denys Nagnoynyi0%
Oleksandr Saputin0%
Kodjo Aziangbe0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Eduardo Guerrero50%
Danyil Alefirenko20%
Denys Antyukh18%
Ihor Horbach17%
Petar Mićin15%
Ihor Kyriukhantsev8%
Bogdan Butko0%
Jakov Bašić0%
Oleg Danchenko0%
Kyrylo Dryshlyuk0%
Vyacheslav Churko0%
Dmytro Myshnov0%
Vladyslav Bugai0%
Ihor Snurnitsyn0%
Roman Vantukh0%
Arsenii Batahov0%
Anderson Jordan0%
Reis Rodriguez Leovigildo Junior0%
Alioune Ndour0%
Vikentiy Voloshyn0%
Oleksandr Yatsyk0%
Mykyta Turbaievskyi0%
Oleksii Khakhliov0%
Anton Bol0%
Denys Nagnoynyi0%
Oleksandr Saputin0%
Kodjo Aziangbe0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Ukraine: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →