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Dravinja vs Bistrica Result & Analysis

Date: 24/05/2025
Time: 15:30
Final 2-1
Dravinja
Dravinja
Vs
27%
32%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bistrica
Bistrica
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dravinja win✓ Hit
27.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bistrica win✗ Miss
40.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DravinjaDravinja

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-650W00D12L12L11D30W21W06L01L04LA·TOL22/03H·DEK29/03A·SLO05/04A·ALU12/04H·ILI19/04A·GOR26/04H·BEL02/05A·BRI07/05H·RUD11/05A·TRI18/05
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.170.790.791.621.50
vs Stronger (9)0.892.110.501.751.202.40
vs Similar (21)1.380.760.900.401.821.09
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Bistrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BistricaBistrica

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-822D22D23L21W40W00D00D21W53W82WH·BRI21/03A·RUD28/03H·TRI06/04H·SLO11/04A·NŠ 19/04H·TAB27/04A·BIL03/05H·KRK08/05A·TOL11/05H·DEK17/05
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.302.401.331.531.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.971.302.401.331.531.27
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Dravinja) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.5%
Under 1.5
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
35.1%
Under 2.5
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.2%
Under 3.5
83.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.1%
No
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
13.5%
0-1
13.1%
1-0
9.9%
0-2
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-1 ✓
6.1%
2-0
5.2%
Dravinja goals ↓
Bistrica goals →
01234
014%13%8.5%3.3%1.0%
19.9%15%7.9%3.1%0.9%
25.2%6.1%3.6%1.4%0.4%
31.6%1.9%1.1%0.4%0.1%
40.4%0.4%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dravinja goals (down), columns = Bistrica goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Aluminij
2.13
Triglav
2.10
Gorica
1.97
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.83
Tabor Sežana
1.80
Bistrica
1.70
Dravinja
1.50
Krka
1.27
Beltinci
1.10
Bilje
1.10
Slovan Ljubljana
1.10
Dekani
1.07
Rudar
1.07
Ilirija
0.87
Tolmin
0.73
NŠ Drava
0.67
Dravinja is 0.20 points worse than Bistrica in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.70).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Triglav
2.40
Gorica
2.00
Bistrica
2.00
Aluminij
1.97
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.93
Tabor Sežana
1.90
Beltinci
1.33
Dravinja
1.23
Bilje
1.17
Slovan Ljubljana
1.13
Dekani
1.07
Ilirija
0.93
Krka
0.93
Rudar
0.90
Tolmin
0.87
NŠ Drava
0.73
Dravinja is 0.77 goals worse than Bistrica in terms of goals scored per game (1.23 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Aluminij
0.93
Brinje-Grosuplje
1.03
Krka
1.07
Triglav
1.10
Gorica
1.13
Tabor Sežana
1.17
Dravinja
1.20
Bistrica
1.27
Slovan Ljubljana
1.30
Rudar
1.47
Bilje
1.50
Beltinci
1.60
Ilirija
1.63
Dekani
1.87
Tolmin
2.07
NŠ Drava
2.17
Dravinja is 0.07 goals better than Bistrica in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 1.27).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DravinjaDravinja

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W00D01L12L01L10W01L02L01L03LA·TOL22/03H·DEK29/03A·SLO05/04A·ALU12/04H·ILI19/04A·GOR26/04H·BEL02/05A·BRI07/05H·RUD11/05A·TRI18/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.630.290.570.750.69
vs Stronger (9)0.331.220.001.000.601.40
vs Similar (21)0.620.380.400.400.820.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Bistrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BistricaBistrica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D11D11D10W20W00D00D11D31W42WH·BRI21/03A·RUD28/03H·TRI06/04H·SLO11/04A·NŠ 19/04H·TAB27/04A·BIL03/05H·KRK08/05A·TOL11/05H·DEK17/05
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.701.070.800.800.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.930.701.070.800.800.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Dravinja) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dravinja over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dravinja over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dravinja over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DravinjaDravinja

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D11D00D10W20W20W04L00D01LA·TOL22/03H·DEK29/03A·SLO05/04A·ALU12/04H·ILI19/04A·GOR26/04H·BEL02/05A·BRI07/05H·RUD11/05A·TRI18/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.530.500.210.880.81
vs Stronger (9)0.560.890.500.750.601.00
vs Similar (21)0.760.380.500.001.000.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Bistrica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BistricaBistrica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D11D12L11D20W00D00D10W22D40WH·BRI21/03A·RUD28/03H·TRI06/04H·SLO11/04A·NŠ 19/04H·TAB27/04A·BIL03/05H·KRK08/05A·TOL11/05H·DEK17/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.601.330.530.730.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.030.601.330.530.730.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Dravinja) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dravinja over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dravinja over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dravinja over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bistrica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.583.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (24)
€4m
BRI (24)
€3m
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
SL (13)
€1m
Dravinja and Bistrica have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (9)
€2m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
SL (2)
€0m
Dravinja and Bistrica have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
SL (3)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
Dravinja and Bistrica have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALU (10)
€2m
BRI (10)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
SL (8)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
Dravinja and Bistrica have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
DRA wins
0
Draws
2
BIS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dravinja vs Bistrica · H/A from DRA
DateH/AGameScore
16/11/24ABistrica Vs DRA4-0
03/03/24HDRA Vs Bistrica3-1
14/08/23ABistrica Vs DRA3-0

DravinjaDravinja

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/05/25ATriglav Vs DRA4-0
11/05/25HDRA Vs Rudar0-1
07/05/25ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs DRA6-0
02/05/25HDRA Vs Beltinci2-1
26/04/25AGorica Vs DRA0-3
19/04/25HDRA Vs Ilirija1-1
12/04/25AAluminij Vs DRA2-1
05/04/25ASlovan Ljubljana Vs DRA2-1
29/03/25HDRA Vs Dekani0-0
22/03/25ATolmin Vs DRA0-5

BistricaBistrica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/25HBIS Vs Dekani8-2
11/05/25ATolmin Vs BIS3-5
08/05/25HBIS Vs Krka2-1
03/05/25ABilje Vs BIS0-0
27/04/25HBIS Vs Tabor Sežana0-0
19/04/25ANŠ Drava Vs BIS0-4
11/04/25HBIS Vs Slovan Ljubljana2-1
06/04/25HBIS Vs Triglav2-3
28/03/25ARudar Vs BIS2-2
21/03/25HBIS Vs Brinje-Grosuplje2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dravinja
Dravinja
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.36
HomeDDDWL1.23
AwayLLWLL1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%31%46%
AVG goals2.281.692.92
Over 1.5 %62%46%79%
Over 2.5 %50%31%71%
Over 3.5 %22%12%33%
Scored1.120.771.50
Conceded1.160.921.42
BTTS34%27%42%
Clean Sheet38%38%38%
Corners---
Cards---
Bistrica
Bistrica
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWW1.62
HomeLWDWW2.00
AwayWDWDW1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%58%29%
AVG goals3.283.582.96
Over 1.5 %82%77%88%
Over 2.5 %60%65%54%
Over 3.5 %46%50%42%
Scored1.842.231.42
Conceded1.441.351.54
BTTS64%69%58%
Clean Sheet28%27%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1AluminijAluminij3064
67%
2.1
5928+31
2.9
83%
60%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.00.9
-
2TriglavTriglav3063
67%
2.1
7233+39
3.5
80%
60%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.41.1
-
3GoricaGorica3059
57%
2.0
6034+26
3.1
83%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.1
-
4Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3055
53%
1.8
5831+27
3.0
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.0
-
5Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3054
47%
1.8
5735+22
3.1
80%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.91.2
-
6BistricaBistrica3051
43%
1.7
6038+22
3.3
83%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.01.3
-
7DravinjaDravinja3045
43%
1.5
3736+1
2.4
63%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.21.2
-
8KrkaKrka3038
33%
1.3
2832-4
2.0
63%
37%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.1
-
9Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana3033
27%
1.1
3439-5
2.4
80%
40%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.3
-
10BeltinciBeltinci3033
30%
1.1
4048-8
2.9
87%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.6
-
11BiljeBilje3033
27%
1.1
3545-10
2.7
67%
43%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.21.5
-
12RudarRudar3032
23%
1.1
2744-17
2.4
70%
47%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0100.91.5
-
13DekaniDekani3032
30%
1.1
3256-24
2.9
73%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.9
-
14IlirijaIlirija3026
17%
0.9
2849-21
2.6
67%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.91.6
-
15TolminTolmin3022
20%
0.7
2662-36
2.9
77%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.1
-
16NŠ DravaNŠ Drava3020
17%
0.7
2265-43
2.9
77%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.72.2
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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