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Dravinja vs Tabor Sežana Result & Analysis

Date: 16/08/2025
Time: 15:30
Final 0-1
Dravinja
Dravinja
Vs
30%
32%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Tabor Sežana
Tabor Sežana
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Defensive solidity will shape this low-scoring encounter, with Dravinja’s home side conceding only half a goal per match on average, while Tabor Sežana’s away side has already allowed more than a goal per game in recent outings. The model favours an away win, with a 38% chance of Tabor Sežana triumphing, a 32% chance of a draw and a 30% chance of Dravinja taking the match. The expected total is 2.1 goals, centring on a 2-goal outcome. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.7% probability. Dravinja’s home form shows 1.1 goals scored and 0.5 conceded against similar opposition, while Tabor Sežana’s away form yields 1.71 scored and 1.14 conceded versus the same tier. The model’s selection includes an Under 3.5 with an 83% chance, a hit. All figures appear once, in a concise, neutral tone.

Results analysis

The win extends Tabor Sežana’s five-game winning run, while Dravinja’s streak of four defeats ended with a narrow 0-1 loss. The model’s favourite, an Away win, was correct, with a pre-match probability of 38%. The final score of 0-1 confirmed the expected result. The model also selected Under 3.5 goals, a pick that hit with an 83% probability. All other suggested selections were settled, and the model’s predictions largely matched the outcome. The match delivered the favoured result and the majority of the model’s choices, underscoring the accuracy of its forecasting.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dravinja win✗ Miss
30.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana win✓ Hit
37.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DravinjaDravinja

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-612L12L11D30W21W06L01L04L21W03LA·SLO05/04A·ALU12/04H·ILI19/04A·GOR26/04H·BEL02/05A·BRI07/05H·RUD11/05A·TRI18/05H·BIS24/05A·DEK09/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.300.930.861.501.69
vs Stronger (8)0.752.380.501.751.003.00
vs Similar (22)1.410.911.100.501.671.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Tabor Sežana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-333D21W20W00D20W12L31W01L33D00DH·BRI05/04A·RUD11/04H·TRI18/04A·BIS27/04H·NŠ 04/05H·SLO07/05A·BIL11/05H·KRK18/05A·TOL23/05H·KRK09/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.072.001.001.711.14
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.871.072.001.001.711.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Dravinja) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
64.5%
Under 1.5
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
36.2%
Under 2.5
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.0%
Under 3.5
83.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.4%
No
55.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
13.1%
0-1 ✓
12.1%
1-0
10.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
5.8%
Dravinja goals ↓
Tabor Sežana goals →
01234
013%12%7.7%2.9%0.8%
110%15%7.7%2.9%0.8%
25.8%6.7%3.8%1.5%0.4%
31.9%2.2%1.3%0.5%0.1%
40.5%0.6%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dravinja goals (down), columns = Tabor Sežana goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.50
Nafta
2.50
Triglav
2.13
Beltinci
2.00
Tabor Sežana
1.67
Bistrica
1.50
Rudar
1.23
Dravinja
1.23
Bilje
1.13
Dekani
1.10
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
0.97
Ilirija
0.90
Krško
0.87
Gorica
0.73
Jesenice
0.60
Dravinja is 0.43 points worse than Tabor Sežana in terms of average points per game (1.23 vs 1.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Triglav
2.40
Brinje-Grosuplje
2.33
Nafta
2.17
Beltinci
1.83
Bistrica
1.67
Rudar
1.53
Dekani
1.33
Ilirija
1.27
Tabor Sežana
1.23
Slovan Ljubljana
1.07
Krka
1.07
Dravinja
1.07
Gorica
1.03
Bilje
0.90
Jesenice
0.87
Krško
0.80
Dravinja is 0.17 goals worse than Tabor Sežana in terms of goals scored per game (1.07 vs 1.23).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nafta
0.77
Beltinci
0.83
Brinje-Grosuplje
0.87
Triglav
0.93
Tabor Sežana
1.10
Bistrica
1.20
Rudar
1.30
Dravinja
1.47
Gorica
1.50
Dekani
1.53
Bilje
1.57
Krka
1.70
Ilirija
1.73
Slovan Ljubljana
1.73
Krško
2.07
Jesenice
2.27
Dravinja is 0.37 goals worse than Tabor Sežana in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.10).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DravinjaDravinja

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L12L01L10W01L02L01L03L21W01LA·SLO05/04A·ALU12/04H·ILI19/04A·GOR26/04H·BEL02/05A·BRI07/05H·RUD11/05A·TRI18/05H·BIS24/05A·DEK09/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.700.430.640.690.75
vs Stronger (8)0.251.380.001.000.501.75
vs Similar (22)0.680.450.600.500.750.42
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Tabor Sežana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L11D00D00D00D11D30W01L21W00DH·BRI05/04A·RUD11/04H·TRI18/04A·BIS27/04H·NŠ 04/05H·SLO07/05A·BIL11/05H·KRK18/05A·TOL23/05H·KRK09/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.370.880.441.210.29
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.030.370.880.441.210.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Dravinja) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dravinja over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dravinja over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dravinja over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DravinjaDravinja

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D00D10W20W20W04L00D01L00D02LA·SLO05/04A·ALU12/04H·ILI19/04A·GOR26/04H·BEL02/05A·BRI07/05H·RUD11/05A·TRI18/05H·BIS24/05A·DEK09/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.600.500.210.810.94
vs Stronger (8)0.501.000.500.750.501.25
vs Similar (22)0.730.450.500.000.920.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Tabor Sežana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W10W20W00D20W01L01L00D12L00DH·BRI05/04A·RUD11/04H·TRI18/04A·BIS27/04H·NŠ 04/05H·SLO07/05A·BIL11/05H·KRK18/05A·TOL23/05H·KRK09/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.701.120.560.500.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.830.701.120.560.500.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Dravinja) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dravinja over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dravinja over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dravinja over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tabor Sežana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.583.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (24)
€3m
NAF (18)
€2m
TRI (19)
€2m
TS (17)
€2m
BEL (17)
€2m
ILI (15)
€1m
DRA (16)
€1m
DEK (18)
€1m
BIL (17)
€1m
RUD (17)
€1m
KRK (12)
€1m
BIS (14)
€1m
JES (13)
€1m
SL (13)
€1m
KRŠ (13)
€1m
Dravinja and Tabor Sežana have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NAF (8)
€1m
BRI (7)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
ILI (7)
€1m
TS (4)
€1m
BIL (5)
€1m
KRK (5)
€0m
BIS (6)
€0m
DRA (4)
€0m
JES (5)
€0m
DEK (3)
€0m
KRŠ (4)
€0m
RUD (3)
€0m
SL (2)
€0m
Dravinja and Tabor Sežana have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (7)
€1m
TS (5)
€1m
RUD (8)
€1m
TRI (5)
€0m
DEK (6)
€0m
BEL (3)
€0m
SL (3)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
JES (2)
€0m
ILI (2)
€0m
DRA (2)
€0m
BIL (4)
€0m
KRK (1)
€0m
KRŠ (1)
€0m
Dravinja and Tabor Sežana have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BRI (10)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
TRI (7)
€1m
DRA (10)
€1m
TS (8)
€1m
KRK (6)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
BIL (8)
€1m
DEK (9)
€1m
RUD (6)
€0m
ILI (6)
€0m
KRŠ (8)
€0m
SL (8)
€0m
BIS (4)
€0m
JES (6)
€0m
Dravinja and Tabor Sežana have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
DRA wins
1
Draws
2
TS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dravinja vs Tabor Sežana · H/A from DRA
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/25HDRA Vs Tabor Sežana0-0
18/08/24ATabor Sežana Vs DRA4-1
06/04/24ATabor Sežana Vs DRA3-1
20/09/23HDRA Vs Tabor Sežana5-2

DravinjaDravinja

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/08/25ADekani Vs DRA3-0
24/05/25HDRA Vs Bistrica2-1
18/05/25ATriglav Vs DRA4-0
11/05/25HDRA Vs Rudar0-1
07/05/25ABrinje-Grosuplje Vs DRA6-0
02/05/25HDRA Vs Beltinci2-1
26/04/25AGorica Vs DRA0-3
19/04/25HDRA Vs Ilirija1-1
12/04/25AAluminij Vs DRA2-1
05/04/25ASlovan Ljubljana Vs DRA2-1

Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/08/25HTS Vs Krka0-0
23/05/25ATolmin Vs TS3-3
18/05/25HTS Vs Krka0-1
11/05/25ABilje Vs TS1-3
07/05/25HTS Vs Slovan Ljubljana1-2
04/05/25HTS Vs NŠ Drava2-0
27/04/25ABistrica Vs TS0-0
18/04/25HTS Vs Triglav2-0
11/04/25ARudar Vs TS1-2
05/04/25HTS Vs Brinje-Grosuplje3-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dravinja
Dravinja
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWL1.34
HomeDDWLW1.31
AwayLWLLL1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%35%42%
AVG goals2.301.732.92
Over 1.5 %62%46%79%
Over 2.5 %52%35%71%
Over 3.5 %22%12%33%
Scored1.100.811.42
Conceded1.200.921.50
BTTS32%27%38%
Clean Sheet38%38%38%
Corners---
Cards---
Tabor Sežana
Tabor Sežana
Slovenia: 2. SNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDD1.62
HomeWWLLD1.79
AwayDWDWD1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%46%38%
AVG goals3.063.252.88
Over 1.5 %80%79%81%
Over 2.5 %58%62%54%
Over 3.5 %44%54%35%
Scored1.742.001.50
Conceded1.321.251.38
BTTS62%58%65%
Clean Sheet28%33%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Brinje-GrosupljeBrinje-Grosuplje3075
77%
2.5
7026+44
3.2
83%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.30.9
-
2NaftaNafta3075
77%
2.5
6523+42
2.9
90%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.20.8
-
3TriglavTriglav3064
67%
2.1
7228+44
3.3
83%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.40.9
-
4BeltinciBeltinci3060
60%
2.0
5525+30
2.7
77%
53%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.80.8
-
5Tabor SežanaTabor Sežana3050
50%
1.7
3733+4
2.3
67%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.1
-
6BistricaBistrica3045
43%
1.5
5036+14
2.9
83%
63%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.2
-
7RudarRudar3037
30%
1.2
4639+7
2.8
80%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.51.3
-
8DravinjaDravinja3037
33%
1.2
3244-12
2.5
80%
43%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.5
-
9BiljeBilje3034
30%
1.1
2747-20
2.5
60%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.91.6
-
10DekaniDekani3033
27%
1.1
4046-6
2.9
83%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.5
-
11Slovan LjubljanaSlovan Ljubljana3032
30%
1.1
3252-20
2.8
77%
57%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.7
-
12KrkaKrka3029
20%
1.0
3251-19
2.8
70%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.7
-
13IlirijaIlirija3027
20%
0.9
3852-14
3.0
87%
60%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.31.7
-
14KrškoKrško3026
23%
0.9
2462-38
2.9
87%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.82.1
-
15GoricaGorica3022
13%
0.7
3145-14
2.5
73%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
16JeseniceJesenice3018
13%
0.6
2668-42
3.1
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.3
-
Slovenia: 2. SNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 2. SNL stats & trends →

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