This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bohemians
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.13
1.19
1.19
1.00
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.10
1.13
1.19
1.19
1.00
1.07
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.3%
Under 1.5
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
40.4%
Under 2.5
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
20.1%
Under 3.5
79.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.1%
No
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
11.3%
1-0
10.2%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.6%
Drogheda United goals ↓
Bohemians goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
10%
6.6%
2.5%
0.7%
1
10%
15%
7.6%
2.9%
0.8%
2
6.6%
7.6%
4.4%
1.7%
0.5%
3
2.5%
2.9%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.7%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Drogheda United goals (down), columns = Bohemians goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shelbourne
1.75
Shamrock Rovers
1.69
St Patrick's Athl.
1.64
Derry City
1.53
Galway United
1.44
Sligo Rovers
1.36
Waterford
1.25
Bohemians
1.17
Drogheda United
1.00
Dundalk
0.72
Bray Wanderers
0.00
Drogheda United is 0.17 points worse than Bohemians in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
St Patrick's Athl.
1.42
Shamrock Rovers
1.39
Derry City
1.33
Waterford
1.19
Drogheda United
1.19
Shelbourne
1.11
Sligo Rovers
1.11
Bohemians
1.08
Bray Wanderers
1.00
Galway United
0.92
Dundalk
0.64
Drogheda United is 0.11 goals better than Bohemians in terms of goals scored per game (1.19 vs 1.08).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shelbourne
0.75
Galway United
0.81
Derry City
0.86
Shamrock Rovers
0.97
St Patrick's Athl.
1.03
Bohemians
1.19
Waterford
1.31
Dundalk
1.39
Sligo Rovers
1.42
Drogheda United
1.59
Bray Wanderers
3.00
Drogheda United is 0.40 goals worse than Bohemians in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.19).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shamrock Rovers
62%
Derry City
56%
Shelbourne
53%
St Patrick's Athl.
53%
Bohemians
52%
Waterford
50%
Dundalk
48%
Sligo Rovers
48%
Drogheda United
39%
Galway United
39%
Drogheda United is 13.3 percentage points worse than Bohemians in terms of average possession (39% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Drogheda United
For 2.8 · Against 4.2 · Total 7.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 14.1 · Total 24.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bohemians
For 5.7 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 11.3 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Drogheda United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
9.1
8.7
3.5
3.7
3.2
23.0
22.7
23.2
vs Stronger (17)
9.2
8.8
9.4
2.8
2.8
2.9
20.9
22.0
20.0
vs Similar (33)
8.8
9.2
8.3
3.8
4.2
3.4
23.9
23.0
24.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
39%
40%
38%
46%
48%
44%
66%
65%
67%
% under line
61%
60%
62%
54%
52%
56%
34%
35%
33%
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bohemians
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
10.1
11.9
3.9
4.8
3.0
24.8
25.0
24.6
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (50)
10.9
10.1
11.9
3.9
4.8
3.0
24.8
25.0
24.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
63%
57%
71%
60%
73%
46%
74%
76%
71%
% under line
37%
43%
29%
40%
27%
54%
26%
24%
29%
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bohemians
10.9
Shamrock Rovers
10.4
St Patrick's Athl.
9.6
Derry City
9.6
Galway United
9.5
Waterford
9.3
Sligo Rovers
9.0
Drogheda United
8.9
Shelbourne
8.7
Dundalk
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Shelbourne
6.1
St Patrick's Athl.
5.8
Sligo Rovers
5.5
Waterford
5.4
Bohemians
5.3
Dundalk
5.3
Derry City
5.1
Shamrock Rovers
4.9
Galway United
4.6
Drogheda United
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sligo Rovers
26.5
Dundalk
26.2
Shelbourne
26.0
St Patrick's Athl.
25.9
Waterford
25.4
Galway United
25.0
Bohemians
24.8
Derry City
24.3
Shamrock Rovers
23.4
Drogheda United
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
49.1%
Under 9.5
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
75.6%
Under 3.5
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
69.3%
Under 21.5
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Drogheda United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.83
0.64
0.57
0.31
1.06
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
1.00
0.20
0.40
0.20
1.60
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.75
0.89
0.67
0.36
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bohemians
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.50
0.56
0.69
0.50
0.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.53
0.50
0.56
0.69
0.50
0.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Drogheda United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Drogheda United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.13
0.71
0.93
0.31
1.31
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
1.10
0.20
0.40
0.20
1.80
vs Similar (20)
0.65
1.15
1.00
1.22
0.36
1.09
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Bohemians) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bohemians
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.63
0.62
0.50
0.50
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.57
0.63
0.62
0.50
0.50
0.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Drogheda United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bohemians over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Drogheda United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Douglas James-Taylor38%
Frantz Pierrot26%
Evan Weir21%
Steve Zishim Bawa18%
Adam Foley12%
Shane Farrell9%
Aaron McNally9%
Andrew Quinn8%
Elicha Ahui8%
Hayden Cann6%
Oisin Gallagher6%
Jack Keaney4%
Conor Kane4%
Warren Davis4%
Darragh Markey3%
Gary Deegan0%
Jethren Barr0%
David Webster0%
Ryan Brennan0%
Luke Heeney0%
Luke Dennison0%
Matthew O'Brien0%
Killian Cailloce0%
Andrew Wogan0%
James Bolger0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Shane Farrell45%
Douglas James-Taylor31%
Elicha Ahui31%
Oisin Gallagher28%
Luke Dennison27%
Evan Weir26%
Matthew O'Brien25%
Darragh Markey24%
Ryan Brennan24%
Luke Heeney24%
Jack Keaney24%
Gary Deegan24%
David Webster21%
James Bolger18%
Frantz Pierrot16%
Adam Foley16%
Hayden Cann12%
Aaron McNally9%
Andrew Quinn8%
Warren Davis7%
Steve Zishim Bawa6%
Andrew Wogan5%
Jethren Barr0%
Conor Kane0%
Killian Cailloce0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Darragh Markey12%
Evan Weir11%
Shane Farrell9%
Douglas James-Taylor8%
Conor Kane8%
Adam Foley6%
Oisin Gallagher6%
Andrew Wogan5%
Gary Deegan5%
Andrew Quinn4%
Luke Heeney3%
Frantz Pierrot3%
Jethren Barr0%
David Webster0%
Jack Keaney0%
Ryan Brennan0%
Luke Dennison0%
Aaron McNally0%
Matthew O'Brien0%
Hayden Cann0%
Killian Cailloce0%
Elicha Ahui0%
Warren Davis0%
Steve Zishim Bawa0%
James Bolger0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Frantz Pierrot39%
Douglas James-Taylor23%
Steve Zishim Bawa18%
Darragh Markey9%
Shane Farrell9%
James Bolger9%
Warren Davis7%
Adam Foley6%
Evan Weir5%
Conor Kane4%
Gary Deegan0%
Jethren Barr0%
David Webster0%
Jack Keaney0%
Ryan Brennan0%
Luke Heeney0%
Luke Dennison0%
Aaron McNally0%
Matthew O'Brien0%
Hayden Cann0%
Andrew Quinn0%
Oisin Gallagher0%
Killian Cailloce0%
Elicha Ahui0%
Andrew Wogan0%
Bohemians
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dawson Devoy33%
Ross Tierney23%
Dayle Rooney21%
Archie Meekison20%
James Akintunde19%
Sten Reinkort12%
Daniel Grant11%
Filip Piszczek10%
James Clarke9%
Jordan Flores7%
Aboubacar Keita6%
Jevon Mills4%
Declan McDaid4%
Jake Carroll0%
Adam McDonnell0%
Luke Matheson0%
Dylan Connolly0%
Liam Smith0%
Michael Lilander0%
Martin Miller0%
Paddy Kirk0%
Cian Byrne0%
Kacper Chorążka0%
Leigh Kavanagh0%
Brian McManus0%
Alex Greive0%
James McManus0%
Nickson Okosun0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dawson Devoy50%
Leigh Kavanagh43%
Jordan Flores39%
Filip Piszczek38%
Paddy Kirk28%
Cian Byrne28%
Aboubacar Keita25%
Ross Tierney23%
Daniel Grant21%
James Clarke21%
Dylan Connolly21%
Martin Miller21%
Adam McDonnell21%
James McManus18%
Jevon Mills17%
Declan McDaid15%
Dayle Rooney15%
Jake Carroll12%
Brian McManus12%
Liam Smith11%
Archie Meekison10%
James Akintunde4%
Kacper Chorążka3%
Luke Matheson0%
Michael Lilander0%
Sten Reinkort0%
Alex Greive0%
Nickson Okosun0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dayle Rooney24%
Dawson Devoy17%
Dylan Connolly11%
Luke Matheson10%
James Akintunde7%
Aboubacar Keita6%
Adam McDonnell6%
Declan McDaid4%
Jordan Flores4%
Daniel Grant4%
Paddy Kirk3%
James Clarke3%
Jake Carroll0%
Filip Piszczek0%
Archie Meekison0%
Liam Smith0%
Michael Lilander0%
Martin Miller0%
Sten Reinkort0%
Ross Tierney0%
Cian Byrne0%
Kacper Chorążka0%
Leigh Kavanagh0%
Brian McManus0%
Alex Greive0%
James McManus0%
Jevon Mills0%
Nickson Okosun0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ross Tierney23%
Dawson Devoy17%
Dayle Rooney15%
James Akintunde7%
Jordan Flores7%
James Clarke6%
Filip Piszczek5%
Declan McDaid4%
Daniel Grant4%
Adam McDonnell3%
Jake Carroll0%
Luke Matheson0%
Dylan Connolly0%
Archie Meekison0%
Liam Smith0%
Michael Lilander0%
Martin Miller0%
Sten Reinkort0%
Paddy Kirk0%
Cian Byrne0%
Aboubacar Keita0%
Kacper Chorążka0%
Leigh Kavanagh0%
Brian McManus0%
Alex Greive0%
James McManus0%
Jevon Mills0%
Nickson Okosun0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (22)
€5m
BOH (23)
€4m
DC (22)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
DUN (20)
€3m
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
BW (1)
€0m
Drogheda United's squad is €1m less valuable than Bohemians's (€3m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
DUN (3)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
Drogheda United and Bohemians have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (6)
€1m
BOH (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
DUN (6)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
Drogheda United and Bohemians have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
SPA (9)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
DUN (11)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
BW (0)
€0m
Drogheda United and Bohemians have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Ireland: Premier Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: Premier Division stats & trends →
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Shelbourne
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Galway United
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Dundalk
Bray Wanderers