This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St Patrick's Athl.
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.77
1.73
0.60
1.00
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
3.50
1.00
4.00
2.00
3.00
vs Similar (21)
1.05
0.62
1.00
0.30
1.09
0.91
vs Weaker (7)
2.29
0.43
3.75
0.50
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
60.4%
Under 1.5
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
32.0%
Under 2.5
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
14.1%
Under 3.5
85.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
41.0%
No
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.0%
1-1
14.9%
0-1
12.3%
1-0
12.2%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-1
6.7%
Drogheda United goals ↓
St Patrick's Athl. goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
12%
6.8%
2.2%
0.6%
1
12%
15%
6.7%
2.2%
0.6%
2
6.8%
6.7%
3.3%
1.1%
0.3%
3
2.2%
2.2%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.6%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Drogheda United goals (down), columns = St Patrick's Athl. goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.96
St Patrick's Athl.
1.72
Bohemians
1.72
Dundalk
1.38
Shelbourne
1.30
Galway United
1.21
Derry City
1.17
Waterford
1.10
Drogheda United
0.97
Sligo Rovers
0.79
Drogheda United is 0.76 points worse than St Patrick's Athl. in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 1.72).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bohemians
1.72
Shamrock Rovers
1.64
Dundalk
1.59
St Patrick's Athl.
1.55
Derry City
1.41
Shelbourne
1.37
Waterford
1.34
Galway United
1.29
Drogheda United
1.14
Sligo Rovers
0.79
Drogheda United is 0.41 goals worse than St Patrick's Athl. in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.55).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
St Patrick's Athl.
0.86
Shamrock Rovers
0.96
Bohemians
1.17
Derry City
1.38
Shelbourne
1.44
Galway United
1.50
Dundalk
1.55
Sligo Rovers
1.66
Drogheda United
1.66
Waterford
1.66
Drogheda United is 0.79 goals worse than St Patrick's Athl. in terms of goals conceded per game (1.66 vs 0.86).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Shamrock Rovers
62%
Bohemians
59%
St Patrick's Athl.
55%
Derry City
54%
Shelbourne
53%
Dundalk
52%
Sligo Rovers
46%
Drogheda United
40%
Galway United
40%
Waterford
39%
Drogheda United is 14.9 percentage points worse than St Patrick's Athl. in terms of average possession (40% vs 55%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Drogheda United
For 4.0 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.6
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.8
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 12.6 · Total 22.6
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
St Patrick's Athl.
For 5.6 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.9
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.3
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 12.5 · Total 23.2
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Drogheda United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.6
9.9
3.9
4.4
3.5
20.8
21.5
20.1
vs Stronger (16)
9.2
10.0
8.3
4.7
5.8
3.6
20.9
22.0
19.7
vs Similar (33)
10.7
10.8
10.6
3.7
3.8
3.6
20.8
21.2
20.3
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
50%
56%
43%
54%
68%
40%
52%
56%
48%
% under line
50%
44%
57%
46%
32%
60%
48%
44%
52%
This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St Patrick's Athl.
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.4
10.0
4.3
4.6
4.0
22.3
23.0
21.6
vs Stronger (2)
3.5
5.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
20.0
20.0
20.0
vs Similar (36)
9.7
9.5
9.9
4.6
5.0
4.3
22.2
23.4
21.1
vs Weaker (12)
10.9
10.0
12.0
3.7
3.8
3.5
23.0
22.5
23.6
% over line
50%
50%
50%
68%
68%
68%
50%
59%
41%
% under line
50%
50%
50%
32%
32%
32%
50%
41%
59%
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Waterford
10.8
Sligo Rovers
10.6
Drogheda United
10.4
Bohemians
10.2
Galway United
10.1
Dundalk
9.8
Shelbourne
9.7
St Patrick's Athl.
9.7
Derry City
8.9
Shamrock Rovers
8.5
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Derry City
5.5
St Patrick's Athl.
5.2
Waterford
5.1
Dundalk
5.1
Shamrock Rovers
5.1
Sligo Rovers
4.9
Bohemians
4.9
Galway United
4.9
Shelbourne
4.5
Drogheda United
4.5
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dundalk
24.2
Derry City
23.6
Waterford
23.2
Galway United
23.1
Bohemians
22.9
Shamrock Rovers
22.6
St Patrick's Athl.
22.1
Sligo Rovers
21.0
Drogheda United
21.0
Shelbourne
21.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
57.7%
Under 9.5
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
68.5%
Under 3.5
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
46.1%
Under 21.5
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Drogheda United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.37
0.73
0.27
0.20
0.47
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
0.56
0.50
0.25
0.20
0.80
vs Similar (21)
0.52
0.29
0.82
0.27
0.20
0.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St Patrick's Athl.
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.43
0.53
0.53
0.40
0.33
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.50
0.00
4.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.38
0.24
0.40
0.20
0.36
0.27
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
0.43
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Drogheda United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Drogheda United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.80
0.20
0.67
0.67
0.93
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
1.11
0.00
0.75
0.60
1.40
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.67
0.27
0.64
0.70
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St Patrick's Athl.
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.33
1.20
0.07
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.38
0.60
0.10
0.73
0.64
vs Weaker (7)
1.71
0.00
2.75
0.00
0.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
80% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Drogheda United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 2.5 cards
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Drogheda United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
M. Doyle30%
Keegan Ancelin20%
Shane Farrell16%
Brandon Kavanagh11%
T. Oluwa11%
Warren Davis11%
Ryan Brennan9%
Conor Keeley8%
Jago Godden8%
Leo Burney6%
Edwin Agbaje4%
Alfie Bates0%
Conor Kane0%
Luke Dennison0%
Andrew Quinn0%
Kieran Cruise0%
Ethan O'Brien0%
J. Bolger0%
Jason Bucknor0%
Dare Kareem0%
Fynn Talley0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Shane Farrell44%
Leo Burney38%
Ryan Brennan32%
Conor Keeley23%
Alfie Bates20%
Jago Godden19%
M. Doyle19%
J. Bolger17%
Edwin Agbaje14%
Ethan O'Brien13%
Jason Bucknor12%
Brandon Kavanagh11%
Conor Kane11%
Kieran Cruise8%
T. Oluwa7%
Luke Dennison6%
Andrew Quinn0%
Warren Davis0%
Keegan Ancelin0%
Dare Kareem0%
Fynn Talley0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Keegan Ancelin20%
Kieran Cruise17%
Brandon Kavanagh15%
Andrew Quinn5%
Ryan Brennan5%
Conor Keeley4%
Jago Godden4%
T. Oluwa4%
Conor Kane4%
Edwin Agbaje4%
Alfie Bates0%
Shane Farrell0%
M. Doyle0%
Luke Dennison0%
Warren Davis0%
Ethan O'Brien0%
J. Bolger0%
Jason Bucknor0%
Leo Burney0%
Dare Kareem0%
Fynn Talley0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Shane Farrell12%
M. Doyle11%
Conor Keeley4%
Jago Godden4%
Brandon Kavanagh4%
T. Oluwa4%
Alfie Bates0%
Ryan Brennan0%
Conor Kane0%
Luke Dennison0%
Edwin Agbaje0%
Andrew Quinn0%
Kieran Cruise0%
Warren Davis0%
Ethan O'Brien0%
J. Bolger0%
Keegan Ancelin0%
Jason Bucknor0%
Leo Burney0%
Dare Kareem0%
Fynn Talley0%
St Patrick's Athl.
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anthony Olusanya50%
A. Keena26%
K. Leavy25%
Ryan Edmondson22%
Zachary Elbouzedi20%
R. Palmer17%
Christopher Forrester11%
S. Hoare9%
Max Mata8%
Anto Breslin5%
J. Lennon4%
D. Nugent4%
J. Brown4%
B. Baggley4%
Luke Turner4%
D. Rogers0%
Tom Grivosti0%
J. McClelland0%
J. Redmond0%
Ronan Boyce0%
Joseph Anang0%
Glory Nzingo0%
Ryan Sheridan0%
Sam Rooney0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
S. Hoare27%
Anthony Olusanya25%
J. Lennon25%
Ryan Sheridan25%
Ronan Boyce20%
J. Brown19%
R. Palmer17%
Ryan Edmondson15%
J. Redmond14%
Luke Turner11%
Tom Grivosti10%
K. Leavy8%
Max Mata8%
Christopher Forrester5%
J. McClelland5%
Anto Breslin5%
Joseph Anang4%
D. Nugent4%
B. Baggley4%
A. Keena0%
D. Rogers0%
Zachary Elbouzedi0%
Glory Nzingo0%
Sam Rooney0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ryan Sheridan25%
A. Keena17%
Zachary Elbouzedi13%
K. Leavy12%
J. Brown12%
Luke Turner11%
J. McClelland10%
J. Lennon8%
J. Redmond7%
R. Palmer6%
Christopher Forrester5%
Ryan Edmondson4%
B. Baggley4%
D. Rogers0%
Tom Grivosti0%
Anthony Olusanya0%
S. Hoare0%
D. Nugent0%
Anto Breslin0%
Max Mata0%
Ronan Boyce0%
Joseph Anang0%
Glory Nzingo0%
Sam Rooney0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
A. Keena26%
Ryan Edmondson26%
Max Mata15%
K. Leavy12%
Christopher Forrester11%
Luke Turner7%
Zachary Elbouzedi7%
R. Palmer6%
J. McClelland5%
J. Brown4%
B. Baggley0%
D. Rogers0%
Tom Grivosti0%
Anthony Olusanya0%
S. Hoare0%
D. Nugent0%
J. Lennon0%
Anto Breslin0%
J. Redmond0%
Ronan Boyce0%
Joseph Anang0%
Glory Nzingo0%
Ryan Sheridan0%
Sam Rooney0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (22)
€5m
BOH (23)
€4m
DC (22)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
DUN (20)
€3m
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
Drogheda United's squad is €2m less valuable than St Patrick's Athl.'s (€3m vs €5m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
DUN (3)
€0m
Drogheda United and St Patrick's Athl. have a similar attack value (both €1m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (6)
€1m
BOH (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
DUN (6)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
Drogheda United and St Patrick's Athl. have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
SPA (9)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
DUN (11)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
Drogheda United and St Patrick's Athl. have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Ireland: Premier Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: Premier Division stats & trends →
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Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Derry City
Galway United
Waterford
Sligo Rovers