Drogheda United hosts St Patrick's Athl. in the Ireland: Premier Division on August 21, 2026. The away side's recent form is notable, as they are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including a 2-1 win over Shelbourne. However, their away scoring and conceding statistics against weaker opponents are impressive, with an average of 2 goals scored and 1 conceded.
The model predicts a 44% chance of an away win, with St Patrick's Athl. being the favourite to win the match. The expected total goals is 2.3, and the most likely score is 1-1 with a probability of 14.2%. Drogheda United's home scoring and conceding statistics against stronger opponents are less impressive, with an average of 1.08 goals scored and 1.54 conceded.
The model's suggested picks include Under 3.5 with an 80.1% probability, which offers a 9% edge, and Over 3.5 cards with a 71.9% probability. The home win percentage is 25%, the draw percentage is 30%, and the away win percentage is 44%.
Results analysis
The match saw St Patrick’s Athl. extend their two-game winning run, while Drogheda United finished the week on a defeat. The model’s favourite was an Away win, with a 45 % probability, and it proved correct as St Patrick’s took the 0-2 victory. The predicted 2-goal total also materialised. Every suggested pick hit: Under 7.5 (99.8 %), Under 6.5 (99.4 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.9 %), Home under 3.5 goals (98.2 %), Under 5.5 (97.9 %), Away under 3.5 goals (97.2 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.9 %) and Under 4.5 (93.7 %). The model’s selections performed strongly, confirming the forecast’s accuracy.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Drogheda United win✗ Miss
24.7%
Avg Implied 19.1% · @ 4.83
Edge
+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.34
Marathonbet
5.15
1xBet
5.08
Bet365
5.00
Betano
5.00
Draw✗ Miss
30.0%
Avg Implied 25.5% · @ 3.62
Edge
+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.91
1xBet
3.72
Marathonbet
3.72
10Bet
3.70
Betfair
3.70
St Patrick's Athl. win✓ Hit
45.2%
Avg Implied 55.3% · @ 1.67
Edge
-10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.74
888Sport
1.70
10Bet
1.69
SBO
1.68
Betano
1.67
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Drogheda United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.60
1.07
1.33
1.20
1.87
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
1.89
0.50
0.75
0.80
2.80
vs Similar (21)
1.33
1.48
1.27
1.55
1.40
1.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St Patrick's Athl.
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
0.80
2.00
0.60
0.93
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
1.17
0.83
1.64
0.64
0.77
1.00
vs Weaker (6)
2.67
0.67
3.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.5%
@ 1.29-3.8%
Under 1.5
31.5%
@ 3.36+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.31
Betano
1.30
10Bet
1.30
888Sport
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Under
Pinnacle
3.56
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.45
888Sport
3.40
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
40.8%
@ 1.91-8.2%
Under 2.5
59.2%
@ 1.84+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.98
Pinnacle
1.97
Bet365
1.95
1xBet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.92
Under
Pinnacle
1.89
Betfair
1.87
Bet365
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.4%
@ 3.27-8.1%
Under 3.5
79.6%
@ 1.30+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.40
10Bet
3.30
BetVictor
3.30
Under
Pinnacle
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.9%
@ 1.86-2.8%
No
53.1%
@ 1.84+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.95
Betfair
1.90
Superbet
1.88
BetVictor
1.87
1xBet
1.86
No
Betfair
1.90
888Sport
1.85
Unibet
1.85
William Hil
1.85
Betano
1.85
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%@ 6.63+7.4%
0-1
12.2%@ 6.22+5.1%
0-0
11.2%@ 9.08+6.3%
0-2 ✓
9.2%@ 7.23+3.1%
1-2
8.7%@ 7.58+2.9%
1-0
8.1%@ 11.87+4.4%
2-1
6.1%@ 14.01+2.9%
2-0
4.4%@ 24.81+2.7%
Drogheda United goals ↓
St Patrick's Athl. goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
12%
9.2%
4.2%
1.4%
1
8.1%
14%
8.7%
4.0%
1.4%
2
4.4%
6.1%
4.1%
1.9%
0.6%
3
1.4%
1.9%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
4
0.3%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Drogheda United goals (down), columns = St Patrick's Athl. goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shamrock Rovers
1.96
St Patrick's Athl.
1.72
Bohemians
1.72
Dundalk
1.38
Shelbourne
1.30
Galway United
1.21
Derry City
1.17
Waterford
1.10
Drogheda United
0.97
Sligo Rovers
0.79
Drogheda United is 0.76 points worse than St Patrick's Athl. in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 1.72).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bohemians
1.72
Shamrock Rovers
1.64
Dundalk
1.59
St Patrick's Athl.
1.55
Derry City
1.41
Shelbourne
1.37
Waterford
1.34
Galway United
1.29
Drogheda United
1.14
Sligo Rovers
0.79
Drogheda United is 0.41 goals worse than St Patrick's Athl. in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.55).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
St Patrick's Athl.
0.86
Shamrock Rovers
0.96
Bohemians
1.17
Derry City
1.38
Shelbourne
1.44
Galway United
1.50
Dundalk
1.55
Sligo Rovers
1.66
Drogheda United
1.66
Waterford
1.66
Drogheda United is 0.79 goals worse than St Patrick's Athl. in terms of goals conceded per game (1.66 vs 0.86).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shamrock Rovers
62%
Bohemians
59%
St Patrick's Athl.
55%
Derry City
54%
Shelbourne
53%
Dundalk
52%
Sligo Rovers
46%
Drogheda United
40%
Galway United
40%
Waterford
39%
Drogheda United is 14.9 percentage points worse than St Patrick's Athl. in terms of average possession (40% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Drogheda United
For 4.5 · Against 6.1 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 14.8 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
St Patrick's Athl.
For 6.0 · Against 5.1 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 4.0 · Total 6.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 13.2 · Total 23.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Drogheda United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.0
10.5
4.5
4.7
4.2
22.1
21.5
22.6
vs Stronger (17)
9.3
9.4
9.2
4.4
5.4
3.4
21.3
21.5
21.1
vs Similar (33)
10.7
10.2
11.2
4.5
4.4
4.7
22.5
21.5
23.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
45%
42%
48%
62%
76%
48%
59%
54%
64%
% under line
55%
58%
52%
38%
24%
52%
41%
46%
36%
This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St Patrick's Athl.
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.9
10.2
4.5
4.3
4.7
23.4
24.2
22.5
vs Stronger (2)
3.5
5.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
20.0
20.0
20.0
vs Similar (36)
10.1
9.8
10.4
4.9
4.9
4.8
23.4
24.9
22.0
vs Weaker (12)
11.1
11.0
11.2
3.6
2.9
4.6
23.7
23.0
24.6
% over line
60%
57%
64%
64%
54%
75%
62%
70%
55%
% under line
40%
43%
36%
36%
46%
25%
38%
30%
45%
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Sligo Rovers
11.1
Waterford
10.9
Galway United
10.5
Dundalk
10.4
St Patrick's Athl.
10.3
Drogheda United
10.2
Bohemians
10.0
Shelbourne
9.7
Derry City
9.4
Shamrock Rovers
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Derry City
5.2
Dundalk
5.1
St Patrick's Athl.
5.0
Shamrock Rovers
4.9
Shelbourne
4.8
Bohemians
4.8
Waterford
4.7
Galway United
4.6
Drogheda United
4.6
Sligo Rovers
4.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bohemians
23.5
Dundalk
23.3
Galway United
23.3
Derry City
23.2
St Patrick's Athl.
23.0
Shamrock Rovers
22.9
Waterford
22.5
Drogheda United
22.1
Shelbourne
21.3
Sligo Rovers
19.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.5%
@ 1.69+1.9%
Under 9.5
43.5%
@ 2.04-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Superbet
1.69
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.66
Under
Unibet
2.08
Betano
2.07
Superbet
2.05
Pinnacle
2.05
Marathonbet
2.01
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
71.7%
Under 3.5
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
51.3%
Under 21.5
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Drogheda United or Draw✗ Miss
62.6%
Avg Implied 44.1% · @ 2.12
Edge
+18.6%
25%
30%
45%
covers Drogheda United + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.20
Marathonbet
2.17
1xBet
2.17
BetVictor
2.15
SBO
2.15
Drogheda United or St Patrick's Athl.✓ Hit
67.5%
Avg Implied 75.3% · @ 1.24
Edge
-7.8%
25%
30%
45%
covers Drogheda United + St Patrick's Athl.
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Draw or St Patrick's Athl.✓ Hit
69.8%
Avg Implied 80.6% · @ 1.16
Edge
-10.8%
25%
30%
45%
covers Draw + St Patrick's Athl.
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
William Hil
1.17
10Bet
1.17
888Sport
1.17
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Drogheda United over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
62.6%
@ 1.58+3.9%
Under
37.4%
@ 2.25-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.64
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.60
BetVictor
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Under
Unibet
2.33
Pinnacle
2.30
10Bet
2.30
888Sport
2.30
Betano
2.25
Drogheda United over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
25.8%
@ 3.89+2.0%
Under
74.2%
@ 1.22-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.25
BetVictor
4.10
1xBet
4.05
Marathonbet
4.05
Bet365
4.00
Under
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.22
Betfair
1.22
888Sport
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Drogheda United over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.7%
@ 11.14-0.8%
Under
92.3%
@ 1.04+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Marathonbet
12.00
888Sport
12.00
1xBet
12.00
Superbet
10.00
Under
888Sport
1.04
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Drogheda United over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 41.00-98.2%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
41.00
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
67.5%
@ 1.15-13.1%
Under
32.5%
@ 4.78+13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Unibet
1.14
Under
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
1xBet
4.95
10Bet
4.75
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
31.0%
@ 1.80-20.7%
Under
69.0%
@ 1.93+20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.84
Pinnacle
1.82
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.81
Bet365
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
2.02
1xBet
1.96
Marathonbet
1.96
Betano
1.95
BetVictor
1.93
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.5%
@ 3.48-16.2%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.26+16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
Pinnacle
3.59
Betfair
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Under
Betano
1.30
Pinnacle
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.8%
@ 7.50-9.8%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.08+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
8.00
Betano
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Drogheda United, so a minus line means Drogheda United give that many goals of a start and St Patrick's Athl. receive them. At -1, Drogheda United must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Drogheda United win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Drogheda United)Actual: St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United -2
3.2%
@ 37.50+0.7%
Draw -2
8.4%
@ 16.00+2.5%
St Patrick's Athl. +2
88.4%
@ 1.03-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
41.00
Bet365
34.00
Draw
Bet365
17.00
Betfair
15.00
Away
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Handicap -1 (Drogheda United)Actual: St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United -1
11.6%
@ 10.43+3.2%
Draw -1
18.6%
@ 5.83+3.5%
St Patrick's Athl. +1
69.8%
@ 1.15-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
12.00
Unibet
9.50
Marathonbet
7.20
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
6.50
Unibet
5.50
Marathonbet
4.30
Away
Unibet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Handicap +1 (Drogheda United)Actual: St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United +1
62.6%
@ 2.09+19.9%
Draw +1
21.4%
@ 3.43-4.6%
St Patrick's Athl. -1
16.0%
@ 2.85-15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.17
Bet365
2.10
Betfair
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Unibet
1.97
Draw
Bet365
3.60
Betfair
3.40
Marathonbet
3.40
10Bet
3.40
Unibet
3.35
Away
Unibet
3.00
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.88
Bet365
2.75
Marathonbet
2.74
Handicap +2 (Drogheda United)Actual: Draw
Drogheda United +2
84.0%
@ 1.35+17.7%
Draw +2
10.9%
@ 4.83-7.6%
St Patrick's Athl. -2
5.0%
@ 5.92-10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Betfair
1.33
Unibet
1.30
Draw
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.85
Unibet
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Bet365
4.75
Away
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.00
Unibet
6.00
10Bet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.35
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Drogheda United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.77
0.73
0.73
0.20
0.80
vs Stronger (9)
0.11
0.89
0.00
0.75
0.20
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.62
0.71
1.00
0.73
0.20
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St Patrick's Athl.
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.43
0.87
0.47
0.53
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.58
0.42
0.91
0.45
0.31
0.38
vs Weaker (6)
1.17
0.50
0.75
0.50
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
68.3%
@ 1.37+0.9%
Under 0.5
31.7%
@ 2.85-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
BetVictor
1.39
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.38
Under
Pinnacle
3.02
William Hil
3.00
Betfair
3.00
10Bet
2.88
Superbet
2.87
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
28.6%
@ 2.76-4.9%
Under 1.5
71.4%
@ 1.39+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.91
Betfair
2.88
Betano
2.85
1xBet
2.81
Marathonbet
2.81
Under
10Bet
1.42
Superbet
1.41
BetVictor
1.41
Pinnacle
1.41
William Hil
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.6%
@ 6.71-4.1%
Under 2.5
90.4%
@ 1.07+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
William Hil
7.00
Marathonbet
6.85
1xBet
6.85
Superbet
6.40
Under
Betano
1.09
Unibet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Drogheda United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
36.4%
@ 2.77+2.9%
Under
63.6%
@ 1.39-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.06
Marathonbet
2.80
Betano
2.80
Superbet
2.77
10Bet
2.70
Under
Unibet
1.43
1xBet
1.41
10Bet
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Betano
1.38
Drogheda United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.2%
@ 9.75-2.4%
Under
92.8%
@ 1.03+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.00
1xBet
10.00
10Bet
9.50
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Drogheda United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.1%
Under
98.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
49.1%
@ 1.72-4.7%
Under
50.9%
@ 2.01+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.75
Betano
1.75
Pinnacle
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Under
Pinnacle
2.11
Superbet
2.05
10Bet
2.05
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.9%
@ 4.48-7.7%
Under
87.1%
@ 1.16+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.75
1xBet
4.50
Betano
4.35
10Bet
4.33
Under
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.1%
@ 10.62-5.7%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.02+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
12.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Drogheda United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.83
0.33
0.60
1.00
1.07
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.60
1.80
vs Similar (21)
0.71
0.76
0.27
0.82
1.20
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (St Patrick's Athl.) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
St Patrick's Athl.
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.37
1.13
0.13
0.40
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (24)
0.58
0.42
0.73
0.18
0.46
0.62
vs Weaker (6)
1.50
0.17
2.25
0.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Drogheda United) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Drogheda United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Drogheda United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St Patrick's Athl. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.9%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Betfair
1.02
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.2%
1.08
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
-
-
+9.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
93.7%
1.09
Pinnacle
1.12
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Bet365
1.11
888Sport
1.11
+8.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
92.8%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
92.3%
1.04
888Sport
1.04
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.4%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Unibet
1.08
Superbet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.06
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
89.5%
1.26
Betano
1.30
Pinnacle
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
+16.2%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
88.4%
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-3.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
87.1%
1.16
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
-
+7.7%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
84.0%
1.35
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Betfair
1.33
Unibet
1.30
+17.7%
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
79.6%
1.30
Pinnacle
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
+8.1%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
74.2%
1.22
Betano
1.24
Pinnacle
1.22
Betfair
1.22
888Sport
1.22
1xBet
1.22
-2.0%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 1.5 HT goals
71.4%
1.39
10Bet
1.42
Superbet
1.41
BetVictor
1.41
Pinnacle
1.41
William Hil
1.40
+4.9%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Drogheda United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
M. Doyle30%
Keegan Ancelin20%
Shane Farrell16%
Brandon Kavanagh11%
T. Oluwa11%
Warren Davis11%
Ryan Brennan9%
Conor Keeley8%
Jago Godden8%
Leo Burney6%
Edwin Agbaje4%
Alfie Bates0%
Conor Kane0%
Luke Dennison0%
Andrew Quinn0%
Kieran Cruise0%
Ethan O'Brien0%
J. Bolger0%
Jason Bucknor0%
Dare Kareem0%
Fynn Talley0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Shane Farrell44%
Leo Burney38%
Ryan Brennan32%
Conor Keeley23%
Alfie Bates20%
Jago Godden19%
M. Doyle19%
J. Bolger17%
Edwin Agbaje14%
Ethan O'Brien13%
Jason Bucknor12%
Brandon Kavanagh11%
Conor Kane11%
Kieran Cruise8%
T. Oluwa7%
Luke Dennison6%
Andrew Quinn0%
Warren Davis0%
Keegan Ancelin0%
Dare Kareem0%
Fynn Talley0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Keegan Ancelin20%
Kieran Cruise17%
Brandon Kavanagh15%
Andrew Quinn5%
Ryan Brennan5%
Conor Keeley4%
Jago Godden4%
T. Oluwa4%
Conor Kane4%
Edwin Agbaje4%
Alfie Bates0%
Shane Farrell0%
M. Doyle0%
Luke Dennison0%
Warren Davis0%
Ethan O'Brien0%
J. Bolger0%
Jason Bucknor0%
Leo Burney0%
Dare Kareem0%
Fynn Talley0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Shane Farrell12%
M. Doyle11%
Conor Keeley4%
Jago Godden4%
Brandon Kavanagh4%
T. Oluwa4%
Alfie Bates0%
Ryan Brennan0%
Conor Kane0%
Luke Dennison0%
Edwin Agbaje0%
Andrew Quinn0%
Kieran Cruise0%
Warren Davis0%
Ethan O'Brien0%
J. Bolger0%
Keegan Ancelin0%
Jason Bucknor0%
Leo Burney0%
Dare Kareem0%
Fynn Talley0%
St Patrick's Athl.
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anthony Olusanya50%
A. Keena26%
K. Leavy25%
Ryan Edmondson22%
Zachary Elbouzedi20%
R. Palmer17%
Christopher Forrester11%
S. Hoare9%
Max Mata8%
Anto Breslin5%
J. Lennon4%
D. Nugent4%
J. Brown4%
B. Baggley4%
Luke Turner4%
D. Rogers0%
Tom Grivosti0%
J. McClelland0%
J. Redmond0%
Ronan Boyce0%
Joseph Anang0%
Glory Nzingo0%
Ryan Sheridan0%
Sam Rooney0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
S. Hoare27%
Anthony Olusanya25%
J. Lennon25%
Ryan Sheridan25%
Ronan Boyce20%
J. Brown19%
R. Palmer17%
Ryan Edmondson15%
J. Redmond14%
Luke Turner11%
Tom Grivosti10%
K. Leavy8%
Max Mata8%
Christopher Forrester5%
J. McClelland5%
Anto Breslin5%
Joseph Anang4%
D. Nugent4%
B. Baggley4%
A. Keena0%
D. Rogers0%
Zachary Elbouzedi0%
Glory Nzingo0%
Sam Rooney0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ryan Sheridan25%
A. Keena17%
Zachary Elbouzedi13%
K. Leavy12%
J. Brown12%
Luke Turner11%
J. McClelland10%
J. Lennon8%
J. Redmond7%
R. Palmer6%
Christopher Forrester5%
Ryan Edmondson4%
B. Baggley4%
D. Rogers0%
Tom Grivosti0%
Anthony Olusanya0%
S. Hoare0%
D. Nugent0%
Anto Breslin0%
Max Mata0%
Ronan Boyce0%
Joseph Anang0%
Glory Nzingo0%
Sam Rooney0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
A. Keena26%
Ryan Edmondson26%
Max Mata15%
K. Leavy12%
Christopher Forrester11%
Luke Turner7%
Zachary Elbouzedi7%
R. Palmer6%
J. McClelland5%
J. Brown4%
B. Baggley0%
D. Rogers0%
Tom Grivosti0%
Anthony Olusanya0%
S. Hoare0%
D. Nugent0%
J. Lennon0%
Anto Breslin0%
J. Redmond0%
Ronan Boyce0%
Joseph Anang0%
Glory Nzingo0%
Ryan Sheridan0%
Sam Rooney0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (31)
€7m
SPA (22)
€5m
BOH (23)
€4m
DC (22)
€4m
SHE (22)
€4m
DU (19)
€3m
SR (21)
€3m
DUN (20)
€3m
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
Drogheda United's squad is €2m less valuable than St Patrick's Athl.'s (€3m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (14)
€3m
SPA (6)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (7)
€1m
SHE (8)
€1m
SR (10)
€1m
WAT (6)
€1m
DU (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
DUN (3)
€0m
Drogheda United and St Patrick's Athl. have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (7)
€2m
SPA (7)
€1m
DC (6)
€1m
BOH (5)
€1m
SHE (4)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
DUN (6)
€1m
SR (3)
€1m
DU (4)
€0m
Drogheda United and St Patrick's Athl. have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SR (10)
€2m
SPA (9)
€2m
DU (11)
€2m
BOH (9)
€2m
DC (9)
€2m
DUN (11)
€2m
SHE (10)
€2m
SR (8)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
Drogheda United and St Patrick's Athl. have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Ireland: Premier Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: Premier Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Derry City
Galway United
Waterford
Sligo Rovers