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Dubrava Zagreb vs Orijent 1919 Result & Analysis

Date: 27/10/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 3-2
Dubrava Zagreb
Dubrava Zagreb
Vs
42%
26%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Orijent 1919
Orijent 1919
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Dubrava Zagreb win✓ Hit
42.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 win✗ Miss
32.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D10W13L21W11D01L22D11D14L01LH·HNK19/08A·SES28/08H·DUG04/09A·CRO10/09A·BSK16/09H·JAR25/09A·VUK30/09H·SOL09/10A·SIB14/10H·ZRI21/10
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.431.071.400.931.47
vs Stronger (2)1.501.50--1.501.50
vs Similar (26)0.811.460.791.360.831.58
vs Weaker (2)3.001.005.002.001.000.00
Clean sheet %20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Orijent 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Orijent 1919Orijent 1919

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-624L01L14L54W21W10W03L11D12L26LA·JAR21/08H·VUK26/08A·SOL02/09H·SIB09/09A·ZRI15/09H·BSK23/09H·HNK30/09A·SES06/10H·DUG15/10A·CRO22/10
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.531.531.001.332.07
vs Stronger (3)0.001.000.000.500.002.00
vs Similar (25)1.641.721.751.171.542.23
vs Weaker (2)1.000.002.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.3%
Under 1.5
16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.0%
Under 2.5
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
38.7%
Under 3.5
61.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.7%
No
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-0
6.1%
0-0
5.3%
0-1
5.2%
Dubrava Zagreb goals ↓
Orijent 1919 goals →
01234
05.3%5.2%4.6%2.2%0.8%
16.2%12%7.7%3.8%1.4%
26.1%8.9%6.5%3.2%1.2%
33.5%5.0%3.7%1.8%0.7%
41.5%2.1%1.6%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dubrava Zagreb goals (down), columns = Orijent 1919 goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sibenik
2.48
Zrinski Jurjevac
2.45
Vukovar
1.76
Sesvete
1.27
Jarun
1.21
Dubrava Zagreb
1.15
HNK Cibalia
1.12
Dugopolje
1.12
Orijent 1919
1.11
Croatia Zmijavci
1.09
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.03
Solin
0.73
Kustosija
0.00
Dubrava Zagreb is 0.04 points better than Orijent 1919 in terms of average points per game (1.15 vs 1.11).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sibenik
2.06
Vukovar
1.70
Zrinski Jurjevac
1.61
Croatia Zmijavci
1.18
Dugopolje
1.15
HNK Cibalia
1.12
Sesvete
1.09
Dubrava Zagreb
1.09
Orijent 1919
1.09
Jarun
1.06
Solin
1.00
Kustosija
1.00
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
Dubrava Zagreb is 0.01 goals better than Orijent 1919 in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 1.09).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sibenik
0.55
Zrinski Jurjevac
0.55
Vukovar
1.09
Sesvete
1.24
Dubrava Zagreb
1.33
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.33
Dugopolje
1.36
Jarun
1.39
Orijent 1919
1.43
Croatia Zmijavci
1.45
Solin
1.52
HNK Cibalia
1.73
Kustosija
2.00
Dubrava Zagreb is 0.10 goals better than Orijent 1919 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.43).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W02L00D01L01L11D11D12L01LH·HNK19/08A·SES28/08H·DUG04/09A·CRO10/09A·BSK16/09H·JAR25/09A·VUK30/09H·SOL09/10A·SIB14/10H·ZRI21/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.600.400.670.470.53
vs Stronger (2)1.000.50--1.000.50
vs Similar (26)0.350.620.290.640.420.58
vs Weaker (2)1.000.502.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Orijent 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Orijent 1919Orijent 1919

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L11D13L00D00D01L11D11D03LA·JAR21/08H·VUK26/08A·SOL02/09H·SIB09/09A·ZRI15/09H·BSK23/09H·HNK30/09A·SES06/10H·DUG15/10A·CRO22/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.700.470.600.470.80
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.000.500.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.560.760.580.670.540.85
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D11D21W10W00D11D00D02L00DH·HNK19/08A·SES28/08H·DUG04/09A·CRO10/09A·BSK16/09H·JAR25/09A·VUK30/09H·SOL09/10A·SIB14/10H·ZRI21/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.830.670.730.470.93
vs Stronger (2)0.501.00--0.501.00
vs Similar (26)0.460.850.500.710.421.00
vs Weaker (2)2.000.503.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Orijent 1919) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Orijent 1919Orijent 1919

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L00D03L41W21W10W02L00D01L23LA·JAR21/08H·VUK26/08A·SOL02/09H·SIB09/09A·ZRI15/09H·BSK23/09H·HNK30/09A·SES06/10H·DUG15/10A·CRO22/10
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.831.070.400.871.27
vs Stronger (3)0.000.330.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (25)1.080.961.170.501.001.38
vs Weaker (2)1.000.002.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Orijent 1919 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (22)
€3m
VUK (13)
€2m
DUG (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
KUS (12)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
Dubrava Zagreb and Orijent 1919 have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VUK (6)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
SES (7)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
KUS (3)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
Dubrava Zagreb and Orijent 1919 have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (4)
€1m
DZ (3)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
KUS (2)
€0m
VUK (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
Dubrava Zagreb and Orijent 1919 have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (11)
€2m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
KUS (7)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
VUK (5)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
Dubrava Zagreb and Orijent 1919 have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
DZ wins
2
Draws
1
O1 wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dubrava Zagreb vs Orijent 1919 · H/A from DZ
DateH/AGameScore
12/08/23AOrijent 1919 Vs DZ1-1
17/04/23HDZ Vs Orijent 19190-3
05/11/22HDZ Vs Orijent 19195-0
20/08/22AOrijent 1919 Vs DZ2-2

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/10/23HDZ Vs Zrinski Jurjevac0-1
14/10/23ASibenik Vs DZ4-1
09/10/23HDZ Vs Solin1-1
30/09/23AVukovar Vs DZ2-2
25/09/23HDZ Vs Jarun0-1
16/09/23ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs DZ1-1
10/09/23ACroatia Zmijavci Vs DZ1-2
04/09/23HDZ Vs Dugopolje1-3
28/08/23ASesvete Vs DZ0-1
19/08/23HDZ Vs HNK Cibalia1-1

Orijent 1919Orijent 1919

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/10/23ACroatia Zmijavci Vs O16-2
15/10/23HO1 Vs Dugopolje1-2
06/10/23ASesvete Vs O11-1
30/09/23HO1 Vs HNK Cibalia0-3
23/09/23HO1 Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo1-0
15/09/23AZrinski Jurjevac Vs O11-2
09/09/23HO1 Vs Sibenik5-4
02/09/23ASolin Vs O14-1
26/08/23HO1 Vs Vukovar0-1
21/08/23AJarun Vs O14-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dubrava Zagreb
Dubrava Zagreb
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLL1.20
HomeDLLDL1.32
AwayWWDDL1.09
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%36%23%
AVG goals2.362.452.27
Over 1.5 %68%68%68%
Over 2.5 %32%36%27%
Over 3.5 %23%23%23%
Scored1.111.270.95
Conceded1.251.181.32
BTTS48%41%55%
Clean Sheet23%27%18%
Corners---
Cards---
Orijent 1919
Orijent 1919
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLL1.23
HomeLWWLL1.68
AwayLLWDL0.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%45%14%
AVG goals3.022.643.41
Over 1.5 %75%68%82%
Over 2.5 %57%45%68%
Over 3.5 %39%27%50%
Scored1.391.551.23
Conceded1.641.092.18
BTTS55%45%64%
Clean Sheet27%41%14%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SibenikSibenik3382
79%
2.5
6818+50
2.6
73%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.10.5
-
2Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac3381
79%
2.5
5318+35
2.2
61%
42%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.60.5
-
3VukovarVukovar3358
48%
1.8
5636+20
2.8
79%
61%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.1
-
4SesveteSesvete3342
36%
1.3
3641-5
2.3
67%
42%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.11.2
-
5JarunJarun3340
33%
1.2
3546-11
2.5
70%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
6Orijent 1919Orijent 19193539
26%
1.1
3850-12
2.5
60%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.4
-
7Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3338
30%
1.2
3644-8
2.4
73%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.11.3
-
8DugopoljeDugopolje3337
24%
1.1
3845-7
2.5
82%
55%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.4
-
9HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3337
33%
1.1
3757-20
2.8
76%
55%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.7
-
10Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3336
24%
1.1
3948-9
2.6
76%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.5
-
11Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3334
21%
1.0
3044-14
2.2
64%
42%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.3
-
12SolinSolin3324
12%
0.7
3350-17
2.5
73%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
13KustosijaKustosija20
0%
0.0
24-2
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.02.0
-
Croatia: First NL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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