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Dubrava Zagreb vs Rudes Result & Analysis

Date: 13/05/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 0-4
Dubrava Zagreb
Dubrava Zagreb
Vs
40%
30%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rudes
Rudes
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dubrava Zagreb win✗ Miss
40.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rudes win✓ Hit
29.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L11D11D12L10W11D03L04L20W11DA·CRO08/03A·HRV11/03H·RUD18/03H·BSK25/03A·HRV31/03H·DUG06/04H·ORI17/04A·SOL23/04H·HNK28/04A·VUK06/05
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.241.171.601.000.861.36
vs Stronger (3)0.330.670.000.000.501.00
vs Similar (24)1.251.211.461.001.001.45
vs Weaker (2)2.501.505.002.000.001.00
Clean sheet %24% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RudesRudes

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L10W11D31W10W41W12L10W22D11DA·VUK05/03H·ORI12/03A·DUB18/03H·ORI26/03A·JAR03/04H·CRO08/04A·KUS14/04H·BSK22/04A·HRV28/04H·DUG06/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.590.762.130.531.001.00
vs Stronger (2)1.002.002.002.000.002.00
vs Similar (24)1.670.672.230.461.000.91
vs Weaker (3)1.330.671.000.001.501.00
Clean sheet %41% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%019%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.1%
Under 1.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.6%
Under 2.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
21.8%
Under 3.5
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.4%
No
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
10.5%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.4%
Dubrava Zagreb goals ↓
Rudes goals →
01234
011%8.7%5.4%1.9%0.5%
111%14%7.0%2.5%0.7%
27.9%8.5%4.6%1.6%0.4%
33.4%3.7%2.0%0.7%0.2%
41.1%1.2%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dubrava Zagreb goals (down), columns = Rudes goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vukovar
1.91
Rudes
1.85
HNK Cibalia
1.64
Zrinski Jurjevac
1.50
Jarun
1.33
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.33
Croatia Zmijavci
1.30
Orijent 1919
1.30
Solin
1.30
Dubrava Zagreb
1.27
Dugopolje
1.24
Kustosija
1.06
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
0.76
Dubrava Zagreb is 0.58 points worse than Rudes in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 1.85).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vukovar
1.73
Rudes
1.61
Solin
1.42
Orijent 1919
1.36
Jarun
1.30
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.24
Dubrava Zagreb
1.15
Croatia Zmijavci
1.12
HNK Cibalia
1.12
Kustosija
1.06
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
1.00
Zrinski Jurjevac
1.00
Dugopolje
0.91
Dubrava Zagreb is 0.45 goals worse than Rudes in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 1.61).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vukovar
0.76
HNK Cibalia
0.79
Rudes
0.82
Zrinski Jurjevac
1.00
Dugopolje
1.06
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.12
Dubrava Zagreb
1.18
Croatia Zmijavci
1.33
Orijent 1919
1.36
Kustosija
1.49
Solin
1.67
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
1.70
Jarun
1.73
Dubrava Zagreb is 0.36 goals worse than Rudes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.18 vs 0.82).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D01L00D01L02L02L00D10WA·CRO08/03A·HRV11/03H·RUD18/03H·BSK25/03A·HRV31/03H·DUG06/04H·ORI17/04A·SOL23/04H·HNK28/04A·VUK06/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.450.450.530.530.360.36
vs Stronger (3)0.330.000.000.000.500.00
vs Similar (24)0.420.500.460.540.360.45
vs Weaker (2)1.000.502.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %69% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RudesRudes

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W00D21W00D10W01L00D01L00DA·VUK05/03H·ORI12/03A·DUB18/03H·ORI26/03A·JAR03/04H·CRO08/04A·KUS14/04H·BSK22/04A·HRV28/04H·DUG06/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.480.450.600.330.360.57
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.002.000.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.500.380.620.230.360.55
vs Weaker (3)0.670.331.000.000.500.50
Clean sheet %62% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W11D11D10W10W01L02L20W01LA·CRO08/03A·HRV11/03H·RUD18/03H·BSK25/03A·HRV31/03H·DUG06/04H·ORI17/04A·SOL23/04H·HNK28/04A·VUK06/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.790.721.070.470.501.00
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.830.711.000.460.641.00
vs Weaker (2)1.501.003.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %41% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudes) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RudesRudes

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D11D10W10W31W11D10W21W11DA·VUK05/03H·ORI12/03A·DUB18/03H·ORI26/03A·JAR03/04H·CRO08/04A·KUS14/04H·BSK22/04A·HRV28/04H·DUG06/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.311.530.200.640.43
vs Stronger (2)1.000.502.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (24)1.170.291.620.230.640.36
vs Weaker (3)0.670.330.000.001.000.50
Clean sheet %69% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Dubrava Zagreb) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dubrava Zagreb over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.578.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.570.1%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Rudes · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Stefan Vukić33%
Noa Skoko25%
Xavier Fernandes25%
Ivan Đorić25%
Lenny Ilečić20%
Marko Stolnik0%
Lovre Rogić0%
Jakov Blagaić0%
Toni Kolega0%
Jurica Poldrugač0%
Diego Živulić0%
Felipe Curcio0%
Vedran Celjak0%
Bruno Unušić0%
Ante Sušak0%
Josip Pejić0%
Vid Seitz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Xavier Fernandes50%
Vid Seitz50%
Diego Živulić33%
Stefan Vukić33%
Ante Sušak25%
Jurica Poldrugač20%
Marko Stolnik0%
Lovre Rogić0%
Jakov Blagaić0%
Toni Kolega0%
Felipe Curcio0%
Vedran Celjak0%
Bruno Unušić0%
Noa Skoko0%
Josip Pejić0%
Ivan Đorić0%
Lenny Ilečić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lenny Ilečić40%
Josip Pejić33%
Jurica Poldrugač20%
Vedran Celjak20%
Marko Stolnik0%
Lovre Rogić0%
Jakov Blagaić0%
Toni Kolega0%
Diego Živulić0%
Felipe Curcio0%
Stefan Vukić0%
Bruno Unušić0%
Noa Skoko0%
Ante Sušak0%
Xavier Fernandes0%
Ivan Đorić0%
Vid Seitz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marko Stolnik0%
Lovre Rogić0%
Jakov Blagaić0%
Toni Kolega0%
Jurica Poldrugač0%
Diego Živulić0%
Felipe Curcio0%
Vedran Celjak0%
Stefan Vukić0%
Bruno Unušić0%
Noa Skoko0%
Ante Sušak0%
Josip Pejić0%
Xavier Fernandes0%
Ivan Đorić0%
Lenny Ilečić0%
Vid Seitz0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (27)
€5m
VUK (13)
€2m
DUG (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
KUS (12)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
Dubrava Zagreb's squad is €3m less valuable than Rudes's (€2m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (13)
€3m
VUK (6)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
KUS (3)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
Dubrava Zagreb's attack is €2m less valuable than Rudes's (€0m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (3)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
KUS (2)
€0m
VUK (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
Dubrava Zagreb and Rudes have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUD (10)
€1m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
KUS (7)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
VUK (5)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
Dubrava Zagreb and Rudes have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
DZ wins
2
Draws
0
RUD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Dubrava Zagreb vs Rudes · H/A from DZ
DateH/AGameScore
18/03/23HDZ Vs Rudes1-1
22/10/22ARudes Vs DZ1-1

Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/05/23AVukovar Vs DZ1-1
28/04/23HDZ Vs HNK Cibalia2-0
23/04/23ASolin Vs DZ4-0
17/04/23HDZ Vs Orijent 19190-3
06/04/23HDZ Vs Dugopolje1-1
31/03/23AHrvatski Dragovoljac Vs DZ0-1
25/03/23HDZ Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo1-2
18/03/23HDZ Vs Rudes1-1
11/03/23AHrvatski Dragovoljac Vs DZ1-1
08/03/23ACroatia Zmijavci Vs DZ2-0

RudesRudes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/05/23HRUD Vs Dugopolje1-1
28/04/23AHrvatski Dragovoljac Vs RUD2-2
22/04/23HRUD Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo1-0
14/04/23AKustosija Vs RUD2-1
08/04/23HRUD Vs Croatia Zmijavci4-1
03/04/23AJarun Vs RUD0-1
26/03/23HRUD Vs Orijent 19193-1
18/03/23ADubrava Zagreb Vs RUD1-1
12/03/23HRUD Vs Orijent 19191-0
05/03/23AVukovar Vs RUD2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dubrava Zagreb
Dubrava Zagreb
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWD1.24
HomeDLDLW1.60
AwayLDWLD0.86
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%47%14%
AVG goals2.412.602.21
Over 1.5 %72%73%71%
Over 2.5 %31%40%21%
Over 3.5 %21%20%21%
Scored1.241.600.86
Conceded1.171.001.36
BTTS45%40%50%
Clean Sheet24%33%14%
Corners---
Cards---
Rudes
Rudes
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDD1.97
HomeWWWWD2.60
AwayLDWLD1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %59%80%36%
AVG goals2.342.672.00
Over 1.5 %66%73%57%
Over 2.5 %45%53%36%
Over 3.5 %24%33%14%
Scored1.592.131.00
Conceded0.760.531.00
BTTS45%47%43%
Clean Sheet41%53%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VukovarVukovar3363
52%
1.9
5725+32
2.5
70%
42%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.70.8
-
2RudesRudes3361
55%
1.8
5327+26
2.4
70%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3111.60.8
-
3HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia3354
39%
1.6
3726+11
1.9
58%
30%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.10.8
-
4Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo3344
36%
1.3
4137+4
2.4
67%
45%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.1
-
5JarunJarun3344
39%
1.3
4357-14
3.0
73%
67%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
6Orijent 1919Orijent 19193343
30%
1.3
4545+0
2.7
73%
55%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.4
-
7Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci3343
36%
1.3
3744-7
2.5
79%
52%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.3
-
8SolinSolin3343
36%
1.3
4755-8
3.1
79%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
9Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb3342
33%
1.3
3839-1
2.3
67%
30%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.2
-
10DugopoljeDugopolje3341
27%
1.2
3035-5
2.0
70%
24%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.91.1
-
11KustosijaKustosija3537
29%
1.1
3752-15
2.5
69%
46%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.5
-
12Hrvatski DragovoljacHrvatski Dragovoljac3325
15%
0.8
3356-23
2.7
76%
52%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
13Zrinski JurjevacZrinski Jurjevac23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
14Inter ZaprešićInter Zaprešić00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Croatia: First NL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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