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Dugopolje vs Dinamo Zagreb U21 Prediction & Stats

Date: 19/09/2026
Time: 15:00
Dugopolje
Dugopolje
Vs
41%
25%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dinamo Zagreb U21
Dinamo Zagreb U21
Croatia: First NL
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Dugopolje’s recent draw streak and a 2-2 scoreline against Karlovac 1919 suggest a cautious start, yet the model favours a home win with a 41% probability, a draw at 25% and an away win at 34%. The expected total of 3.3 goals points to a high-scoring encounter, with the most likely total of three goals at 22%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying an 11.2% chance. Dugopolje averages 1.71 goals scored and 1.14 conceded at home against similar opposition, while Dinamo Zagreb U21, on the road, has yet to score and concedes two on average against comparable teams. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.1%), Under 6.5 (95.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (92.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (90.6%), Under 5.5 (88.8%), Over 1.5 (84.7%), Home +2 handicap (83.1%) and Home over 0.5 goals (81.9%). Each pick is presented with its exact probability.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dugopolje win
40.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
25.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb U21 win
34.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

DugopoljeDugopolje

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-443W30W21W12L21W03L03L11D21W22DH·DUB18/04A·KAR24/04H·HNK04/05H·BSK09/05A·SES16/05H·RUD23/05A·ORI30/05H·KUS22/08A·SES28/08H·KAR02/09
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.171.671.130.871.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)1.281.171.711.140.871.20
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb U21) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo Zagreb U21Dinamo Zagreb U21

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L03L62WA·BSK23/08A·ORI29/08A·VUK02/09
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.002.00--2.002.00
vs Stronger (1)6.002.00--6.002.00
vs Similar (2)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-31pp vs league)
This opponent (Dugopolje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.7%
Under 1.5
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63.3%
Under 2.5
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
41.1%
Under 3.5
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
65.6%
No
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-2
6.7%
2-0
5.6%
1-0
5.5%
3-1
4.9%
0-1
4.9%
Dugopolje goals ↓
Dinamo Zagreb U21 goals →
01234
04.9%4.9%4.6%2.4%0.9%
15.5%11%7.9%4.1%1.6%
25.6%8.7%6.7%3.5%1.4%
33.2%4.9%3.8%2.0%0.8%
41.4%2.1%1.6%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Dugopolje goals (down), columns = Dinamo Zagreb U21 goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
HNK Cibalia
1.76
Sesvete
1.73
Vukovar
1.68
Dugopolje
1.64
Dubrava Zagreb
1.42
Dinamo Zagreb U21
1.39
Segesta Sisak
1.38
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
1.27
Karlovac 1919
1.27
Opatija
1.21
Orijent 1919
1.15
Jadran LP
1.14
Hrvace
1.09
Croatia Zmijavci
1.06
Kustosija
1.02
Mladost Ždralovi
0.51
Dugopolje is 0.25 points better than Dinamo Zagreb U21 in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 1.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
HNK Cibalia
1.55
Vukovar
1.43
Sesvete
1.27
Dugopolje
1.21
Karlovac 1919
1.21
Orijent 1919
1.21
Dubrava Zagreb
1.18
Dinamo Zagreb U21
1.18
Segesta Sisak
1.17
Hrvace
1.09
Croatia Zmijavci
0.97
Jadran LP
0.97
Opatija
0.94
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
Kustosija
0.86
Mladost Ždralovi
0.43
Dugopolje is 0.03 goals better than Dinamo Zagreb U21 in terms of goals scored per game (1.21 vs 1.18).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sesvete
0.85
Bsk Bijelo Brdo
0.91
Vukovar
0.96
HNK Cibalia
1.00
Dugopolje
1.15
Opatija
1.15
Dinamo Zagreb U21
1.17
Segesta Sisak
1.17
Orijent 1919
1.24
Karlovac 1919
1.36
Dubrava Zagreb
1.39
Croatia Zmijavci
1.39
Jadran LP
1.42
Hrvace
1.45
Kustosija
1.59
Mladost Ždralovi
3.18
Dugopolje is 0.01 goals better than Dinamo Zagreb U21 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.15 vs 1.17).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Dugopolje or Draw
65.9%
Avg Implied -
41%
25%
34%
covers Dugopolje + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dugopolje or Dinamo Zagreb U21
74.9%
Avg Implied -
41%
25%
34%
covers Dugopolje + Dinamo Zagreb U21
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Dinamo Zagreb U21
59.3%
Avg Implied -
41%
25%
34%
covers Draw + Dinamo Zagreb U21
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Dugopolje over/under 0.5
Over
81.9%
Under
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dugopolje over/under 1.5
Over
50.9%
Under
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dugopolje over/under 2.5
Over
24.5%
Under
75.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dugopolje over/under 3.5
Over
9.4%
Under
90.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb U21 over/under 0.5
Over
78.8%
Under
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb U21 over/under 1.5
Over
46.0%
Under
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb U21 over/under 2.5
Over
20.4%
Under
79.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb U21 over/under 3.5
Over
7.2%
Under
92.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Dugopolje, so a minus line means Dugopolje give that many goals of a start and Dinamo Zagreb U21 receive them. At -1, Dugopolje must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Dugopolje win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Dugopolje)
Dugopolje -2
9.2%
Draw -2
12.5%
Dinamo Zagreb U21 +2
78.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Dugopolje)
Dugopolje -1
21.7%
Draw -1
19.0%
Dinamo Zagreb U21 +1
59.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Dugopolje)
Dugopolje +1
65.9%
Draw +1
17.2%
Dinamo Zagreb U21 -1
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Dugopolje)
Dugopolje +2
83.1%
Draw +2
10.3%
Dinamo Zagreb U21 -2
6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

DugopoljeDugopolje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W30W21W11D10W02L01L10W21W10WH·DUB18/04A·KAR24/04H·HNK04/05H·BSK09/05A·SES16/05H·RUD23/05A·ORI30/05H·KUS22/08A·SES28/08H·KAR02/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.670.930.600.530.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.720.690.930.640.530.73
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb U21) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo Zagreb U21Dinamo Zagreb U21

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L31WA·BSK23/08A·ORI29/08A·VUK02/09
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.33--1.001.33
vs Stronger (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
vs Similar (2)0.001.50--0.001.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-31pp vs league)
This opponent (Dugopolje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Dugopolje over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dugopolje over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dugopolje over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb U21 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb U21 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb U21 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

DugopoljeDugopolje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D00D01L11D01L02L01L00D12LH·DUB18/04A·KAR24/04H·HNK04/05H·BSK09/05A·SES16/05H·RUD23/05A·ORI30/05H·KUS22/08A·SES28/08H·KAR02/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.500.730.530.330.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (29)0.550.480.790.500.330.47
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb U21) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dinamo Zagreb U21Dinamo Zagreb U21

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L31WA·BSK23/08A·ORI29/08A·VUK02/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.67--1.000.67
vs Stronger (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
vs Similar (2)0.000.50--0.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Dugopolje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Dugopolje over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dugopolje over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dugopolje over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb U21 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb U21 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb U21 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.1%-------
Under 6.595.2%-------
Away under 3.5 goals92.8%-------
Home under 3.5 goals90.6%-------
Under 5.588.8%-------
Over 1.584.7%-------
Home +2 handicap83.1%-------
Home over 0.5 goals81.9%-------
Away under 2.5 goals79.6%-------
Away over 0.5 goals78.8%-------
Away +2 handicap78.3%-------
Under 4.577.0%-------
Home under 2.5 goals75.5%-------
Home or Away74.9%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
K1 (26)
€4m
SES (22)
€3m
VUK (13)
€2m
DUG (22)
€2m
OPA (22)
€2m
BBB (18)
€2m
DZ (15)
€2m
O1 (19)
€2m
HRV (20)
€2m
KUS (12)
€2m
JL (9)
€2m
CZ (14)
€2m
HC (19)
€2m
DZU (2)
€1m
MŽ (4)
€0m
Dugopolje's squad is €2m more valuable than Dinamo Zagreb U21's (€2m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
K1 (10)
€2m
VUK (6)
€1m
HRV (8)
€1m
JL (4)
€1m
O1 (4)
€1m
SES (7)
€1m
DUG (10)
€1m
BBB (7)
€1m
CZ (7)
€1m
KUS (3)
€1m
DZU (1)
€0m
HC (6)
€0m
MŽ (4)
€0m
OPA (7)
€0m
DZ (4)
€0m
Dugopolje and Dinamo Zagreb U21 have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (4)
€1m
DZ (3)
€1m
DUG (4)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
K1 (5)
€0m
HC (6)
€0m
BBB (2)
€0m
KUS (2)
€0m
VUK (2)
€0m
CZ (2)
€0m
DZU (1)
€0m
O1 (2)
€0m
HRV (3)
€0m
JL (1)
€0m
MŽ (0)
€0m
Dugopolje and Dinamo Zagreb U21 have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SES (11)
€2m
OPA (10)
€1m
O1 (13)
€1m
DZ (8)
€1m
HRV (9)
€1m
KUS (7)
€1m
BBB (9)
€1m
VUK (5)
€1m
K1 (11)
€1m
DUG (8)
€1m
CZ (5)
€1m
HC (7)
€1m
JL (4)
€1m
MŽ (0)
€0m
DZU (0)
€0m
Dugopolje and Dinamo Zagreb U21 have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
DUG wins
0
Draws
0
DZU wins

Head-to-head

Dugopolje vs Dinamo Zagreb U21 · H/A from DUG
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

DugopoljeDugopolje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/26HDUG Vs Karlovac 19192-2
28/08/26ASesvete Vs DUG1-2
22/08/26HDUG Vs Kustosija1-1
30/05/26AOrijent 1919 Vs DUG3-0
23/05/26HDUG Vs Rudes0-3
16/05/26ASesvete Vs DUG1-2
09/05/26HDUG Vs Bsk Bijelo Brdo1-2
04/05/26HDUG Vs HNK Cibalia2-1
24/04/26AKarlovac 1919 Vs DUG0-3
18/04/26HDUG Vs Dubrava Zagreb4-3

Dinamo Zagreb U21Dinamo Zagreb U21

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/26AVukovar Vs DZU2-6
29/08/26AOrijent 1919 Vs DZU3-0
23/08/26ABsk Bijelo Brdo Vs DZU1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Dugopolje
Dugopolje
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWD1.48
HomeWLLDD1.88
AwayDWWLW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%54%29%
AVG goals2.542.812.25
Over 1.5 %76%85%67%
Over 2.5 %52%58%46%
Over 3.5 %18%27%8%
Scored1.221.580.83
Conceded1.321.231.42
BTTS50%62%38%
Clean Sheet24%31%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Dinamo Zagreb U21
Dinamo Zagreb U21
Croatia: First NL
Recent: 1 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLW1.00
Home--
AwayLLW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%-33%
AVG goals4.00-4.00
Over 1.5 %67%-67%
Over 2.5 %67%-67%
Over 3.5 %33%-33%
Scored2.00-2.00
Conceded2.00-2.00
BTTS33%-33%
Clean Sheet0%-0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Croatia ZmijavciCroatia Zmijavci39
100%
3.0
61+5
2.3
67%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.00.3
-
2Mladost ŽdraloviMladost Ždralovi37
67%
2.3
42+2
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.7
-
3Jadran LPJadran LP35
33%
1.7
74+3
3.7
100%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.31.3
-
4DugopoljeDugopolje35
33%
1.7
54+1
3.0
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.71.3
-
5HNK CibaliaHNK Cibalia35
33%
1.7
32+1
1.7
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.00.7
-
6Orijent 1919Orijent 191934
33%
1.3
43+1
2.3
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.0
-
7OpatijaOpatija34
33%
1.3
44+0
2.7
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.31.3
-
8Segesta SisakSegesta Sisak34
33%
1.3
33+0
2.0
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
9Bsk Bijelo BrdoBsk Bijelo Brdo34
33%
1.3
22+0
1.3
33%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.70.7
-
10VukovarVukovar34
33%
1.3
57-2
4.0
100%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.72.3
-
11Karlovac 1919Karlovac 191934
33%
1.3
46-2
3.3
100%
100%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.32.0
-
12SesveteSesvete33
33%
1.0
43+1
2.3
67%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.31.0
-
13Dinamo Zagreb U21Dinamo Zagreb U2133
33%
1.0
66+0
4.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.02.0
-
14KustosijaKustosija32
0%
0.7
23-1
1.7
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.71.0
-
15Dubrava ZagrebDubrava Zagreb31
0%
0.3
35-2
2.7
100%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.7
-
16HrvaceHrvace30
0%
0.0
18-7
3.0
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.32.7
-
Croatia: First NL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: First NL stats & trends →

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