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East Fife vs Airdrie United Result & Analysis

Date: 02/04/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 0-2
East Fife
East Fife
Vs
23%
31%
46%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Airdrie United
Airdrie United
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

East Fife win✗ Miss
23.0%
Avg Implied 24.5% · @ 3.77
Edge
-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.5%
Avg Implied 26.6% · @ 3.48
Edge
+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United win✓ Hit
46.5%
Avg Implied 48.9% · @ 1.89
Edge
-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D00D31W11D13L00D20W02L03LH·FAL22/01H·PET29/01H·CLY05/02A·ALL12/02H·QUE19/02A·FAL26/02A·MON05/03H·DUM12/03A·CLY19/03H·ALL26/03
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.970.931.210.882.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.002.000.901.401.082.50
vs Weaker (8)0.621.881.000.750.253.00
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D11D11D41W10W11D20W41W20W11DA·CLY25/01A·QUE29/01A·COV05/02H·MON12/02A·PET19/02H·CLY26/02A·ALL05/03A·FAL12/03H·QUE19/03H·COV26/03
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.830.972.131.001.530.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.830.882.170.921.500.83
vs Weaker (6)1.831.332.001.331.671.33
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%022%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.1%
Under 1.5
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
38.1%
@ 1.81-13.5%
Under 2.5
61.9%
@ 1.93+13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.3%
Under 3.5
81.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.2%
No
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
0-1
13.4%
0-0
12.2%
0-2 ✓
9.9%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.6%
0-3
4.4%
East Fife goals ↓
Airdrie United goals →
01234
012%13%9.9%4.4%1.5%
18.2%14%8.6%3.8%1.3%
24.1%5.6%3.7%1.7%0.6%
31.2%1.6%1.1%0.5%0.2%
40.3%0.4%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = East Fife goals (down), columns = Airdrie United goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cove Rangers
2.19
Airdrie United
2.00
Montrose
1.64
Queens Park
1.42
Alloa
1.25
Falkirk
1.22
Peterhead
1.17
Clyde
1.08
Dumbarton
0.94
East Fife
0.64
East Fife is 1.36 points worse than Airdrie United in terms of average points per game (0.64 vs 2.00).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cove Rangers
2.03
Airdrie United
1.89
Montrose
1.47
Queens Park
1.42
Falkirk
1.36
Alloa
1.36
Dumbarton
1.33
Peterhead
1.28
Clyde
1.08
East Fife
0.86
East Fife is 1.03 goals worse than Airdrie United in terms of goals scored per game (0.86 vs 1.89).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cove Rangers
0.89
Montrose
1.00
Queens Park
1.00
Airdrie United
1.03
Peterhead
1.42
Falkirk
1.53
Alloa
1.58
Clyde
1.72
East Fife
1.94
Dumbarton
1.97
East Fife is 0.92 goals worse than Airdrie United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.94 vs 1.03).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

East FifeEast Fife

For 3.6 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

130135345152667354635734896813810810H·ALLA·CLYH·DUMA·MONA·FALH·QUEA·ALLH·CLYH·PETH·FAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

602123213411123333423254525366H·ALLA·CLYH·DUMA·MONA·FALH·QUEA·ALLH·CLYH·PETH·FAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 11.2 · Total 21.7

⚠ïļ Fouls

33091471814131278791288171612109723252719152116332216H·ALLA·CLYA·MONA·FALH·QUEA·ALLH·CLYH·PETH·FALA·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

For 4.2 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.3

ðŸšĐ Corners

14023651447338677681035115113116141413H·COVH·QUEA·FALA·ALLH·CLYA·PETH·MONA·COVA·QUEA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.8 · Total 2.9

ðŸŸĻ Cards

50321312321413125041534043H·COVH·QUEA·FALA·ALLH·CLYA·PETH·MONA·COVA·QUEA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.5 · Against 9.5 · Total 19.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

29014158588885151210148109987929131616202222191716H·COVH·QUEA·FALA·ALLH·CLYA·PETH·MONA·COVA·QUEA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

East FifeEast Fife

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.610.29.03.43.23.621.622.720.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (33)9.510.28.83.53.04.121.923.020.8
vs Weaker (17)9.810.29.33.13.52.820.922.020.0
% over line54%60%48%44%32%56%43%54%32%
% under line46%40%52%56%68%44%57%46%68%
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.29.610.73.43.73.220.219.620.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (39)9.99.710.33.23.52.920.420.420.5
vs Weaker (11)10.99.612.04.24.24.219.416.421.8
% over line58%48%68%44%52%36%42%36%48%
% under line42%52%32%56%48%64%58%64%52%
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dumbarton
10.6
Falkirk
10.2
Airdrie United
10.2
Peterhead
10.0
Clyde
9.9
Queens Park
9.8
Alloa
9.6
East Fife
9.6
Montrose
9.5
Cove Rangers
9.3

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.3
Falkirk
4.2
Cove Rangers
3.8
Queens Park
3.7
Dumbarton
3.7
Clyde
3.6
Montrose
3.6
Alloa
3.4
Airdrie United
3.4
East Fife
3.4

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
25.7
Alloa
22.8
Cove Rangers
22.6
Falkirk
22.6
Montrose
22.4
Dumbarton
22.4
East Fife
21.6
Clyde
21.0
Airdrie United
20.2
Queens Park
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.7%
Under 9.5
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
45.0%
Under 3.5
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
44.0%
Under 21.5
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

East FifeEast Fife

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D21W11D11D00D10W01L00DH·FAL22/01H·PET29/01H·CLY05/02A·ALL12/02H·QUE19/02A·FAL26/02A·MON05/03H·DUM12/03A·CLY19/03H·ALL26/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.500.430.210.250.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.360.550.400.300.330.75
vs Weaker (8)0.250.380.500.000.000.75
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D01L21W10W01L10W10W20W10WA·CLY25/01A·QUE29/01A·COV05/02H·MON12/02A·PET19/02H·CLY26/02A·ALL05/03A·FAL12/03H·QUE19/03H·COV26/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.331.130.400.600.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.960.291.250.250.670.33
vs Weaker (6)0.500.500.671.000.330.00
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
East Fife over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

East FifeEast Fife

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D00D10W00D02L00D10W01L03LH·FAL22/01H·PET29/01H·CLY05/02A·ALL12/02H·QUE19/02A·FAL26/02A·MON05/03H·DUM12/03A·CLY19/03H·ALL26/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.470.501.000.621.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.641.450.501.100.751.75
vs Weaker (8)0.381.500.500.750.252.25
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Airdrie United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D00D10W20W00D10W10W31W00D01LA·CLY25/01A·QUE29/01A·COV05/02H·MON12/02A·PET19/02H·CLY26/02A·ALL05/03A·FAL12/03H·QUE19/03H·COV26/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.631.000.600.930.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.880.580.920.670.830.50
vs Weaker (6)1.330.831.330.331.331.33
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
East Fife over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Airdrie United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards86.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls83.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.581.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards73.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls71.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
MON (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
CLY (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (5)
€1m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
DUM (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
EF wins
1
Draws
6
AU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

East Fife vs Airdrie United · H/A from EF
DateH/AGameScore
08/01/22AAirdrie United Vs EF3-0
13/11/21HEF Vs Airdrie United0-1
18/09/21AAirdrie United Vs EF3-0
20/04/21AAirdrie United Vs EF2-0
05/12/20HEF Vs Airdrie United2-0
07/03/20AAirdrie United Vs EF1-0
11/01/20HEF Vs Airdrie United2-2
30/11/19AAirdrie United Vs EF4-0

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/03/22HEF Vs Alloa0-3
19/03/22AClyde Vs EF2-0
12/03/22HEF Vs Dumbarton2-0
05/03/22AMontrose Vs EF0-0
26/02/22AFalkirk Vs EF3-1
19/02/22HEF Vs Queens Park1-1
12/02/22AAlloa Vs EF1-3
05/02/22HEF Vs Clyde0-0
29/01/22HEF Vs Peterhead0-0
22/01/22HEF Vs Falkirk0-2

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/03/22HAU Vs Cove Rangers1-1
19/03/22HAU Vs Queens Park2-0
12/03/22AFalkirk Vs AU1-4
05/03/22AAlloa Vs AU0-2
26/02/22HAU Vs Clyde1-1
19/02/22APeterhead Vs AU0-1
12/02/22HAU Vs Montrose4-1
05/02/22ACove Rangers Vs AU1-1
29/01/22AQueens Park Vs AU1-1
25/01/22AClyde Vs AU2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

East Fife
East Fife
Scotland: League One
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLL1.10
HomeDDDWL1.60
AwayLWLDL0.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%44%16%
AVG goals2.822.283.36
Over 1.5 %88%80%96%
Over 2.5 %56%40%72%
Over 3.5 %26%12%40%
Scored1.101.201.00
Conceded1.721.082.36
BTTS54%44%64%
Clean Sheet18%32%4%
Corners9.6010.248.96
Cards3.403.163.64
Airdrie United
Airdrie United
Scotland: League One
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWD1.92
HomeWWDWD2.16
AwayDDWWW1.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%68%48%
AVG goals2.783.122.44
Over 1.5 %78%92%64%
Over 2.5 %52%64%40%
Over 3.5 %30%32%28%
Scored1.742.041.44
Conceded1.041.081.00
BTTS52%60%44%
Clean Sheet32%28%36%
Corners10.169.6410.68
Cards3.443.683.20

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Cove RangersCove Rangers3679
64%
2.2
7332+41
2.9
78%
50%
31%
9.6
47%
3.8
58%
21.6
42%
0
0002.00.9
-
2Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United3672
58%
2.0
6837+31
2.9
83%
58%
33%
10.0
61%
3.5
42%
20.0
44%
0
0001.91.0
-
3MontroseMontrose3659
42%
1.6
5336+17
2.5
75%
47%
25%
10.0
50%
3.7
50%
22.2
58%
0
0001.51.0
-
4Queens ParkQueens Park3651
31%
1.4
5136+15
2.4
78%
36%
14%
9.6
47%
3.7
53%
18.9
17%
0
0001.41.0
-
5
A
Alloa
3645
33%
1.2
4957-8
2.9
89%
58%
28%
9.6
47%
3.1
36%
20.4
44%
0
0001.41.6
-
6FalkirkFalkirk3644
33%
1.2
4955-6
2.9
89%
58%
22%
10.2
56%
4.2
72%
21.5
47%
6
2131.41.5
-
7PeterheadPeterhead3642
31%
1.2
4651-5
2.7
67%
47%
28%
10.2
58%
4.2
58%
25.5
81%
0
0001.31.4
-
8ClydeClyde3639
25%
1.1
3962-23
2.8
83%
61%
31%
9.5
53%
3.9
58%
21.7
50%
0
0001.11.7
-
9DumbartonDumbarton3634
25%
0.9
4871-23
3.3
92%
69%
36%
10.9
69%
3.8
56%
21.8
46%
0
0001.32.0
-
10East FifeEast Fife3623
14%
0.6
3170-39
2.8
83%
47%
31%
9.1
50%
3.2
39%
20.7
34%
0
0000.91.9
-
Scotland: League One 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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