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East Fife vs Montrose Result & Analysis

Date: 09/04/2016
Time: 00:00
Final 3-0
East Fife
East Fife
Vs
58%
23%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Montrose
Montrose
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

East Fife win✓ Hit
57.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Montrose win✗ Miss
19.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-620W22D21W10W03L31W42W60W11D10WH·CLY30/01A·MON06/02H·ARB13/02H·STI20/02A·QUE27/02A·ELG05/03H·ANN12/03A·STI19/03H·QUE26/03A·ARB02/04
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.231.401.072.131.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.631.371.331.331.901.40
vs Weaker (11)2.001.001.500.672.601.40
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MontroseMontrose

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-722D07L33D31W01L42W11D11D05L33DH·EAS06/02A·STI09/02A·ANN13/02H·ELG20/02A·BER27/02A·EAS05/03H·QUE12/03A·ELG19/03H·ANN26/03A·CLY02/04
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.472.131.672.001.272.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.381.622.002.140.671.00
vs Weaker (17)1.532.531.381.881.673.11
Clean sheet %10% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.0%
Under 1.5
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.3%
Under 2.5
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.0%
Under 3.5
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.6%
No
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.6%
1-0
7.4%
3-1
6.8%
3-0 ✓
5.9%
2-2
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
East Fife goals ↓
Montrose goals →
01234
05.0%3.7%2.7%1.0%0.3%
17.4%10%5.5%2.1%0.6%
28.6%9.9%5.7%2.2%0.6%
35.9%6.8%3.9%1.5%0.4%
43.0%3.5%2.0%0.8%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = East Fife goals (down), columns = Montrose goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
East Fife
1.72
Elgin
1.64
Clyde
1.58
Queens Park
1.56
Annan Athletic
1.56
Berwick
1.36
Stirling
1.33
Montrose
1.19
Arbroath
1.08
East Stirling
0.89
East Fife is 0.53 points better than Montrose in terms of average points per game (1.72 vs 1.19).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Annan Athletic
1.92
East Fife
1.72
Elgin
1.64
Clyde
1.56
Montrose
1.39
Stirling
1.31
Queens Park
1.28
Berwick
1.25
Arbroath
1.17
East Stirling
1.14
East Fife is 0.33 goals better than Montrose in terms of goals scored per game (1.72 vs 1.39).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Queens Park
0.89
East Fife
1.14
Clyde
1.25
Elgin
1.28
Stirling
1.28
Berwick
1.39
Arbroath
1.42
Annan Athletic
1.58
Montrose
1.94
East Stirling
2.19
East Fife is 0.81 goals better than Montrose in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.94).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

East FifeEast Fife

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

MontroseMontrose

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

East FifeEast Fife

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (32)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (21)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (11)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MontroseMontrose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (32)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (14)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (18)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Not collected for this league yet.

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Not collected for this league yet.

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

East FifeEast Fife

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W10W00D00D21W20W20W11D10WH·CLY30/01A·MON06/02H·ARB13/02H·STI20/02A·QUE27/02A·ELG05/03H·ANN12/03A·STI19/03H·QUE26/03A·ARB02/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.470.600.401.270.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.840.530.560.561.100.50
vs Weaker (11)1.090.360.670.171.600.60
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MontroseMontrose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L03L11D10W00D10W01L01L02L11DH·EAS06/02A·STI09/02A·ANN13/02H·ELG20/02A·BER27/02A·EAS05/03H·QUE12/03A·ELG19/03H·ANN26/03A·CLY02/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.900.600.930.330.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.620.620.860.860.330.33
vs Weaker (17)0.351.120.381.000.331.22
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
East Fife over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

East FifeEast Fife

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W12L11D10W03L10W22D40W00D00DH·CLY30/01A·MON06/02H·ARB13/02H·STI20/02A·QUE27/02A·ELG05/03H·ANN12/03A·STI19/03H·QUE26/03A·ARB02/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.770.800.670.870.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.790.840.780.780.800.90
vs Weaker (11)0.910.640.830.501.000.80
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MontroseMontrose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W04L22D21W01L32W10W10W03L22DH·EAS06/02A·STI09/02A·ANN13/02H·ELG20/02A·BER27/02A·EAS05/03H·QUE12/03A·ELG19/03H·ANN26/03A·CLY02/04
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.231.071.070.931.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.771.001.141.290.330.67
vs Weaker (17)1.181.411.000.881.331.89
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
East Fife over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (15)
€1m
AA (2)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
East Fife and Montrose have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
East Fife and Montrose have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (5)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
East Fife and Montrose have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARB (7)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
East Fife and Montrose have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
EF wins
2
Draws
0
MON wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

East Fife vs Montrose · H/A from EF
DateH/AGameScore
06/02/16AMontrose Vs EF2-2
19/12/15HEF Vs Montrose1-1
26/09/15AMontrose Vs EF1-4

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/04/16AArbroath Vs EF0-1
26/03/16HEF Vs Queens Park1-1
19/03/16AStirling Vs EF0-6
12/03/16HEF Vs Annan Athletic4-2
05/03/16AElgin Vs EF1-3
27/02/16AQueens Park Vs EF3-0
20/02/16HEF Vs Stirling1-0
13/02/16HEF Vs Arbroath2-1
06/02/16AMontrose Vs EF2-2
30/01/16HEF Vs Clyde2-0

MontroseMontrose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/04/16AClyde Vs MON3-3
26/03/16HMON Vs Annan Athletic0-5
19/03/16AElgin Vs MON1-1
12/03/16HMON Vs Queens Park1-1
05/03/16AEast Stirling Vs MON2-4
27/02/16ABerwick Vs MON1-0
20/02/16HMON Vs Elgin3-1
13/02/16AAnnan Athletic Vs MON3-3
09/02/16AStirling Vs MON7-0
06/02/16HMON Vs East Fife2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

East Fife
East Fife
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW1.78
HomeWWWWD1.88
AwayDLWWW1.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %53%56%50%
AVG goals3.002.623.38
Over 1.5 %78%69%88%
Over 2.5 %44%31%56%
Over 3.5 %34%19%50%
Scored1.811.622.00
Conceded1.191.001.38
BTTS50%44%56%
Clean Sheet25%31%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Montrose
Montrose
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLD1.19
HomeWDWDL1.69
AwayDLWDD0.69
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%50%12%
AVG goals3.563.623.50
Over 1.5 %91%100%81%
Over 2.5 %62%69%56%
Over 3.5 %50%50%50%
Scored1.501.751.25
Conceded2.061.882.25
BTTS69%69%69%
Clean Sheet12%19%6%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1East FifeEast Fife3662
50%
1.7
6241+21
2.9
78%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.1
-
2ElginElgin3659
47%
1.6
5946+13
2.9
81%
50%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
3ClydeClyde3657
47%
1.6
5645+11
2.8
72%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
4Queens ParkQueens Park3656
42%
1.6
4632+14
2.2
64%
36%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.9
-
5Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3656
44%
1.6
6957+12
3.5
81%
64%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
6
B
Berwick
3649
39%
1.4
4550-5
2.6
69%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
7StirlingStirling3648
36%
1.3
4746+1
2.6
67%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
8MontroseMontrose3643
31%
1.2
5070-20
3.3
86%
58%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.9
-
9ArbroathArbroath3639
31%
1.1
4251-9
2.6
75%
56%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.4
-
10
ES
East Stirling
3632
25%
0.9
4179-38
3.3
83%
75%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.2
-
Scotland: League Two 2015/16 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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